Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delaware Park
Friday - August 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DEL-1   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(5/10/4/3/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(5/10/4/3/6)-(5/11/2/10/4) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
DEL-2   WIN (5/10/4/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/10/4/3/6)-(5/10/4/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/10/4/3/6)-(5/10/4/3/6)-(5/10/4/3/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/10/4/3/6)-(5/11/2/10/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (5/10/4/3/6)-(5/11/2/10/4)-(2/3/8) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
DEL-3   WIN (5/11/2/10/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/11/2/10/4)-(5/11/2/10/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/11/2/10/4)-(5/11/2/10/4)-(5/11/2/10/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/11/2/10/4)-(2/3/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/11/2/10/4)-(2/3/8)-(6/4/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
DEL-4   WIN (2/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/8)-(2/3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/8)-(2/3/8)-(2/3/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/8)-(6/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/8)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
DEL-5   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(6/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(6/4/3)-(12/5/10/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DEL-6   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/3)-(12/5/10/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3)-(12/5/10/9)-(2/5/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DEL-7   WIN (12/5/10/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (12/5/10/9)-(12/5/8/10/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (12/5/10/9)-(12/5/8/10/9)-(12/5/8/10/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (12/5/10/9)-(2/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
DEL-8   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DEL-1   08/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLAW Jun28 Apr15 Mar30 Mar13 Feb20 (sullivan ellio)HIRALDO JOHN 121 1.80 38% 1.60    
POSITIVELY AWESOME Jul11 Jun12 May29 May17 May08 (diaz jorge)CASTILLO A 124 2.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  DRONE SWARM Jul18 Jul07 Jun16 May24 May06 (diaz jorge)HADDOCK DEXTER 119 10.00    
BREITHORN Jul01 Jun10 May27 Mar20 Feb13 (alcala cesar)TREJOS JOSEPH 121 8.00    
OVERBEARING Jul01 Jun22 Jun01 Apr30 Apr16 (simone mi)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 121 8.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  WILD CARAMELO Jun20 May31 May06 Jan18 May26 (fields kevin)CONNER TYLER 121 10.00    
PEPE AND HEYWOOD Jun22 May27 May13 May04 Mar25 (nazario pedr)TROTMAN KEIMAR 119 4.00    
 
DEL-2   08/04/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 SOFT Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QIA Jul06 Jun08 Apr11 Mar23 Nov21 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 117 6.00    
MY JO JO Jul08 Jun22 Jun04 May16 Apr23 (moysey ch)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 119 6.00    
BOARDWALK FRIES May05 Apr21 Aug31 Aug04   (allard t)GOMEZ KEVIN 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
ANIMAL PRINCESS Jul19 May31 Apr12 Sep17 Sep03 (cruz jaime)ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
SEIVER Jul12 Jun24 Jun05 May01 Apr18 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 122 2.50 64% 0.60    
ARIANA VALENTINA Jul21 Jul08 Jun22 Jun10 May31 (aguayo ramo)MARIN A 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
GRASS CUTTER Jul05 Jun09 May28 Apr13 Mar19 (robb j)ROJAS MARTINA 110 20.00    
COLETTE'S SPIRIT Jul04 Jun18 Jun05 May22 Apr25 (sanchez-pinero a)CASTILLO A 122 20.00    
CONSTITUTIONALRAGE Jul12 Aug13 Jul16 Jun17 Apr24 (bryant donal)ARROYO S 122 6.00    
10  LOUISE BROOKS Jul12 Jun14 May27 Nov02 Oct06 (ashby lynn)CEDENO CAROL 117 4.00 11% 8.30    
SCR  MODEL BEHAVIOR Jun17 Jun02 Aug28 Aug15 Jul15 (carango ant)OCASIO JONATHAN 122 15.00    
 
DEL-3   08/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VEGAS PLAYBOY Jul15 Jul01 Jun02 May13 Apr07 (sacco d)ROSE J 119 8.00    
CAPE COD SUMMER Jun28 Jun01 Apr29 Apr15   (simone michael)CEDENO CAROL 119 12.00 8% 12.00    
CATCHHIMANDFREEHIM Jul13 Apr20 Mar24 Mar02 Jul20 (rigattieri jo)ROJAS MARTINA 112 8.00    
SEAX Jun22 Jun01 May06 Apr29 Apr21 (ochoa gerard)HIRALDO JOHN 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
STAND UNITED Sep24 Aug26       (kirby john )OCASIO JONATHAN 124 3.50 56% 0.80    
RUN ROCKY RUN Jan27 Jan14       (robb john)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 119 8.00    
CUP MATCH Jun28 Jun10 May27 May06 Feb02 (nambo ce)RODRIGUEZ L 112 20.00    
SCR  LITTLE HENRY Jul12 Jun21 Jun10 Nov09 Oct25 (padilla hugo )RANGEL JOEZER 117 5.00    
ELUSIVE IMAGE Jul06 May31 Apr06 Mar24 Mar10 (smith d)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 6.00    
10  MY BIG DRAMA Jul20 Jun28 Jun10 Apr30 Apr15 (rigattieri )ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  ESTILO CLASICO Jul13 Jun28 May27 Oct27 Oct07 (arriagada ju)ARROYO S 119 4.00 13% 6.80    
 
DEL-4   08/04/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 SOFT Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BELIEVE IN LOV         (lopez mario )TROTMAN KEIMAR 119 12.00    
  (by LONG ON VALUE out of LIKE CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
DELTA CHARM Jul19 Jun22 Jun03     (smith g)HIRALDO JOHN 119 4.50 55% 0.80    
  (by KHOZAN out of JIM'S LONESA by PUT IT BACK)
RECKLESS KELLY Jan22 Jan01 Dec04     (gorham michael )CENTENO E 119 6.00 18% 4.60    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of UNBRIDLED BETTY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  QUEEN JELLY BEAN Jul19 May06       (lake a)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 12.00    
  (by NO NEVER NO MORE out of POWER BID by TOUCH GOLD)
SCR  BANDONARUN         (merryman micha)CEDENO CAROL 119 10.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of SWEET CITY BAND by CITY ZIP)
SCR  UP FOR IT Jul06 May19 Feb18 Aug07   (matz r)ROSE J 119 3.50    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of VELVET MOOD by LONHRO (AUS))
RACING Mar26         (carrascojr)MENDOZA JHONATAN 119 12.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE (ARG) out of RUNNING WILD by INDIAN CHARLIE)
APPLE SHAKE SHAKE Jul05         (alvarado dian)SILVERA RUBEN 119 8.00 7% 14.30    
  (by HARD SPUN out of ENCHANTED EMMA by BODEMEISTER)
SCR  CLASSY SLEW         (dye steve)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 119 12.00    
  (by FIRST DUDE out of SEATTLE ME UP by SLEWDLEDO)
10  TEQUESTA         (lynch cath)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 119 10.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION (GB) out of THE BLUE GOD (IRE) by ELNADIM)
SCR  EXPECTATIONS MET Jul09 Jun04 May06 Dec14 Nov19 (duarte jorge)ARROYO S 119 6.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of MS. CORNSTALK by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SCR  LADY LANCER Jul05 Jun22 Jun10 May31 May07 (sepulveda ca)ARROYO S 119 15.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of BELLAZZERIA by HENNY HUGHES)
 
DEL-5   08/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.5K) 3 F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOODBYE KYLE Jun08 May05 Mar05     (gaudet lacey)HIRALDO JOHN 118 8.00    
SCR  SANSA ARIEL Jul19 Jun24 May25 Sep22 Aug10 (lynch cathal)ARROYO S 118 8.00    
BLOME Jun21 May30 Jan03 Nov29 Oct22 (montoya marya)SILVERA RUBEN 118 3.50    
WILD ARMY BRAT Jun24 May25 Sep02 Jul27 May31 (lynch cath)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 118 1.80 19% 4.20    
DEEDS OF LOVE Jan13         (allard edward )CEDENO CAROL 118 6.00 17% 4.80    
MISS LONELYHEARTS Jun24 Apr19 Feb28 Feb09 Jan20 (brinkman brett)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 2.50 35% 1.90    
 
DEL-6   08/04/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 SOFT Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($38.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FILIGREE Jul06 Oct21 Sep23 Aug29 Aug17 (schistl rafael)BLANCO ANDRY 121 6.00    
SCR  MR. CASH Nov30 Nov04 Oct06     (barboza victor )CENTENO E 121 10.00    
CAPT. CANDY Jun09 May26 May13 Apr04 Feb09 (pecoraro anthony)ROSE J 121 4.50 15% 5.80    
CALL WIL Jul05 Aug31 Aug03 Jul14 Jun29 (catalano l)CENTENO E 121 4.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  SAM STORMY Jul20 Jun01 Apr21 Feb25 Oct30 (lopez mario )TROTMAN KEIMAR 116 12.00    
THE JUDGE AND JURY Jul06 Nov14 Oct25 Oct04 Sep07 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 125 5.00 24% 3.10    
KITCHEN FIRE Jun09 Apr15 Apr01 Mar15 Feb19 (raven kerri)ARROYO S 121 10.00    
SCR  BOMBOLONI Aug03 Jun24 May29 May05 Jan26 (capuano philli)HIRALDO JOHN 121 10.00    
NICHIREN Jun10 May19 Oct15 Sep22 Sep03 (russell brittan)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 10.00    
SCR  BAM BAM BLU May31 Apr23 Mar31 Mar12 Jan20 (mcburney patri)CEDENO CAROL 121 6.00    
 
DEL-7   08/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHIMMERING LIGHT Jul06 Jun03 Apr16 Apr02 Feb24 (carrascojr)MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 15.00    
LORD DARNLEY Jul14 Jun28 Jun03 May24 Apr29 (douthall jam)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 10.00    
SUTTON VALLEY Jul19 Jun15 May25 Apr16 Mar26 (rodriguez)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 125 8.00    
CLASSY SOLUTION Jul14 Jun22 Jun10 May27 Feb01 (nazario pedro)TREJOS JOSEPH 120 12.00    
ROARING RIVER Apr06 Mar20 Mar11 Feb09 Jan05 (smith g)ROSE J 120 4.50 29% 2.50    
LITIGANT Jul05 Jun15 May06 Mar25 Feb08 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 120 8.00    
MY BEAU Jun15 Oct26 Sep16 Aug17 Aug03 (cronk samue)MARIN A 120 6.00    
THERISASTORMBREWIN Jul19 Jul03 Jun13 May23 May06 (diaz jorge)HIRALDO JOHN 120 10.00    
POINTER Jun12 May01 Apr19 Apr11 Mar01 (diaz jorge)ROLDAN FELISHA 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  MONDAY'S WITH MIKE Jul05 Jun21 May27 Feb20 Jan20 (siculietano)ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  NOON TIME GEM Jul01 Jun03 May14 Apr14 Mar31 (alcala cesa)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 120 10.00    
12  NOTTOWAY Jul03 Dec09 Oct15 Sep23 Apr29 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 120 3.50 49% 1.10    
 
DEL-8   08/04/2023 5490ft TURF RC6 SOFT Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REDEEM EDDIE May31 May05 Mar25 Feb13 Jan14 (simoff andrew)BLANCO ANDRY 120 8.00    
STRONG HEADED Jul01 Jun11 May18 Oct16 Aug29 (magee kieron)CEDENO CAROL 120 2.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  BUFFALO SHUFFLE Jul20 Jun27 May23 May10 Apr05 (dunham bernard )CENTENO E 120 4.00    
BORGOBYTHESEA Jun15 May06 Apr14 Feb24 Feb11 (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 122 6.00 7% 13.00    
TWO BY TWO Jul09 Jun18 Jun02 May09 Mar19 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 124 3.00 33% 2.10    
SCR  AMERICAN UNITY Jul03 Jun07 May25 May06 Jun24 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00    
GREAT FACES Jun23 Jun09 Mar31 Mar18 Feb17 (compton greg)HIRALDO JOHN 120 8.00    
JAMMIN STILL Jun24 Jun03 May18 May05 Apr27 (caison jody )TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.