Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Thursday - August 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(2/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(2/1/7)-(7/6/5/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-2   WIN (2/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/7)-(2/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/7)-(2/1/7)-(2/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/7)-(7/6/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/7)-(7/6/5/4)-(4/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-3   WIN (7/6/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/5/4)-(7/6/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/5/4)-(7/6/5/4)-(7/6/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/5/4)-(4/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/5/4)-(4/3/1)-(5/7/2/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-4   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/1)-(5/7/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1)-(5/7/2/3)-(3/9/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-5   WIN (5/7/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/2/3)-(5/7/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/2/3)-(5/7/2/3)-(5/7/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/2/3)-(3/9/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/7/2/3)-(3/9/6/7)-(1/2/7/6/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
HAW-6   WIN (3/9/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/6/7)-(3/9/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/9/6/7)-(3/9/6/7)-(3/9/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/9/6/7)-(1/2/7/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
HAW-7   WIN (1/2/7/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/2/7/6/3)-(1/2/7/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/2/7/6/3)-(1/2/7/6/3)-(1/2/7/6/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   08/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUNARCHY Jul16 Jun14 May31 Apr27 Apr20 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 118 4.50 29% 2.50    
2  MUD HUT Jul06 Jun14 Apr20 Mar09 Dec30 (kirby j)EMIGH A 122 3.50 15% 5.80    
3  OPALINE Jul16 Jun08 May20 May04 Mar23 (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 5.00    
4  HEY MA Jul16 May25 May07 Apr16 Mar16 (reyes martin)REYES FRANK 122 6.00    
5  SISTER SAINT Jul03 Jun08 May18 May02 Apr14 (granitz j)FELIX E 118 1.60 36% 1.80    
6  OH LA DE DA Jul25 Jun24 May30 May16 Apr22 (bahena fer)SIMPSON M 122 8.00    
 
HAW-2   08/03/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIL CARRIE D Jul16 Jun22 Jun04 May14 Apr23 (slager mike)ORM CORY 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of MOONLIGHT ESCAPADE by LION HEART)
2  PACIFIC VIEW Jul09 Jun07 May21 May11 Dec31 (clay pat)GILES EMMANUEL 115 3.50 65% 0.50    
  (by UNKNOWN out of INDIA'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
3  MIRUS Jul08 Jun03 May20 Aug07   (catalano wayn)HERNANDEZ K 120 2.50    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of FARRELL by MALIBU MOON)
4  THEMISCHIEVOUSONE Jul16 Jun22 Dec03     (block chris)COLON H 120 6.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MADISON MAYHEM by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  HIGHTAILING IT         (durham)BAILON JADHIR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EXCAPER out of VIOLET ROSE by STREET CRY (IRE))
6  JOYZELLA Jul16 Jun22 Jun07 May14 Apr23 (spagnola i)WEATHERLY BAILEY 110 6.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of TIZ TERESA by TIZNOW)
7  WICKED SKY Jul09 Jun13 Apr23 Apr02 Dec03 (wainwrigh)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of BYLIA by BANDINI)
8  VOSTRA Jul09 Jun22 Jun03 May14 Dec16 (jones s)TAVARES JAVIER 120 15.00    
  (by FORT LARNED out of WANDAFUL WANDAFUL by HERO'S TRIBUTE)
 
HAW-3   08/03/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HATCHET CREEK Jul06 Jun15 May04 Apr16 Mar30 (dizeo dino)HERNANDEZ K 122 6.00    
2  POWERFUL MAN Jul16 Jun25 Jun04 May25 Apr30 (bahena fernando)FELIX E 122 10.00    
3  VERRAZANOINTHESKY Jul23 May31 May11 Apr16 Mar26 (winebaugh ch)TAVARES JAVIER 122 4.50    
4  KRAMDEN Jul16 Jul08 Jun29 Jun21 Jun14 (castro isidro)REYES FRANK 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  READY REDDING Jul25 Jul04 Jun20 Jun06 May23 (durham mike)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 12.00 6% 15.10    
6  RISKY BOY Jul16 Jun25 Jun15 May28 May11 (shephard )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 6.00 20% 4.00    
7  MEMPHIS PRAYER Jul06 Jun14 May25 Apr27 Apr13 (rodriguez hu)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 2.50 49% 1.00    
8  BLOOMING GARDEN Jun25 Jun04 May18 Apr30 Apr02 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 117 5.00    
 
HAW-4   08/03/2023 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLOODY MARY MORNIN May29 Mar25 Mar04 Dec17 Oct10 (reid r)COLON H 122 6.00 7% 14.10    
SCR  ORNERY ANGEL Jul01 Jun13 May30 May02 Nov25 (randazzo frank )ORTIZ ALVIN 122 20.00    
3  STOPSHOPPINGAMY Jun07 May28 Apr30 Apr09 Mar23 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 2.50 14% 6.20    
4  SAMARITA Jul26 Jul12 Jun11 May31 May07 (rodriguez jo)TAVARES JAVIER 124 4.00 59% 0.70    
5  WAR COLORS Jun17 May20 Mar30 Dec10 Oct30 (wainwright )SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 12.00    
6  JULIAISON Jul08 May20 Apr13 Mar30 Dec10 (wainwright j)GILES EMMANUEL 117 15.00    
SCR  PALACE MAGIC Jul16 Jun21 Jun01 May18 May02 (witthauer john )REYES FRANK 122 10.00    
8  EMITYAAZ Jul20 Jun21 May04 Mar26 Feb12 (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 10.00    
SCR  LONG TALL WOMAN Jul26 Jul15 Jun11 May31 May07 (hernandez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 3.00    
 
HAW-5   08/03/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORM BORN Jul19 Jul05 Jun01 May18 Dec17 (castro isidro)REYES FRANK 122 20.00    
2  FLY NIGHTLY Jul20 Jun29 Mar04 Jan25 Jan11 (clay pat)FELIX E 122 3.50 17% 5.00    
3  COMMAND CENTRAL Jun25 Jun14 May25 Apr20 Mar31 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 122 4.50 11% 7.80    
SCR  RED FLAG ALERT Feb02 Jan12 Dec11 Nov12 Oct19 (winebaugh cher)COLON H 122 1.80    
5  SIERRA HOTEL Jul19 Jun22 May21 Mar05 Jan19 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 122 5.00 23% 3.30    
6  DRAMATIC KITTEN Jun21 Jun11 May21 Nov26 Nov13 (castro is)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 30.00    
7  PINEDALE Jul12 Jun21 Jun01 May14 Apr23 (cristel mark)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00 21% 3.70    
8  SEMINOLE BEACH Jul12 Jun13 Jun01 May09 Apr18 (randazzo frank )ORTIZ ALVIN 122 12.00    
SCR  VITALE Jul20 Jun21 May21 Apr15 Mar02 (clay pat)FELIX E 122 4.00    
SCR  JEFF THE LION Jul12 Jun21 May18 Apr20 Mar30 (boyce michel)TAVARES JAVIER 122 2.00    
 
HAW-6   08/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RAINY MOUNTAIN Jun14 Jun01 May14 Apr23 Mar30 (kirby j)HERNANDEZ K 122 8.00    
SCR  LURE'EM IN Jul20 Jun21 May20 Mar12 Jan21 (block chris)COLON H 118 6.00    
3  STYLE Jul13 Jul05 Jun01 Apr21 Feb12 (campbell joe)TAVARES JAVIER 122 4.00 43% 1.30    
4  BALI DREAMIN Jul13 Jun23 May27 May20 Feb19 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 4.50    
5  I DON'T KNOW MARGO Jul13 Jun21 Jun08 May14 Apr20 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 10.00    
6  RIBBONSINHERHAIR Jul01 May28 May05 Apr01 Oct07 (robertson h)SANTIAGO VICTOR 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  SECRET OPERATION Jul20 Jun21 May25 May14 Apr23 (slager mike)ORM CORY 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  CANDY KICK Dec30 Oct29 Sep30 Aug14 Jun19 (mason ingrid)FELIX E 122 10.00    
9  SPECIALIZIN Jul12 Jun22 Apr02 Jun23   (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 3.50 32% 2.20    
 
HAW-7   08/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IGGY BIGS Jul12 Dec18 Nov27 Oct22 Sep06 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 4.00 32% 2.20    
2  BEG BORROW N STEAL Jun21 Jun01 May11 Apr20 Mar30 (block chris)TAVARES JAVIER 122 3.00 29% 2.50    
3  MAYSTART Jul09 Apr27 Mar30 Mar19 Nov25 (ramirez ca)WEATHERLY BAILEY 112 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  DOWNTON TABBY Feb16 Jan25 Dec30 Oct08 Aug14 (winebaugh cher)COLON H 122 6.00    
5  SHADOW BELLE Jul16 Jun06 May10 Apr19 Feb01 (cook brian)REYES FRANK 122 6.00    
6  BALI BABY Jul09 Mar17 Feb22 Jan19 Nov13 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  SWEET CRYSTAL Jul06 Jan14 Oct29 Sep15 Aug11 (robertson hugh)FELIX E 120 5.00 8% 10.80    
8  LOONA LUV Jul16 Sep20 Sep01 Aug04 Jul21 (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 15.00    
9  BLAME TERI Jul01 Jun10 May27 May02   (durham)BAILON JADHIR 122 12.00    
10  TALKTOMEJUSTICE Jul09 Jun13 Apr26 Nov22 Oct26 (reid r)GILES EMMANUEL 117 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.