Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - July 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(1/5/2)-(3/2/6/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-2   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/2)-(3/2/6/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2)-(3/2/6/7)-(3/4/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-3   WIN (3/2/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/6/7)-(3/2/6/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/2/6/7)-(3/2/6/7)-(3/2/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/6/7)-(3/4/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6/7)-(3/4/1)-(6/7/5/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-4   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(6/7/5/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(6/7/5/3)-(8/5/4/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-5   WIN (6/7/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/5/3)-(6/7/5/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/7/5/3)-(6/7/5/3)-(6/7/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/5/3)-(8/5/4/6) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (6/7/5/3)-(8/5/4/6)-(4/5) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PID-6   WIN (8/5/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/4/6)-(8/5/4/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (8/5/4/6)-(8/5/4/6)-(8/5/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/4/6)-(4/5) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/5/4/6)-(4/5)-(2/7/3/6) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PID-7   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/5)-(2/7/3/6) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
PID-8   WIN (2/7/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/3/6)-(2/7/3/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/7/3/6)-(2/7/3/6)-(2/7/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   07/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHEROKEE CHATTER Jul04 Jun13 May22 Oct06 Sep26 (carr-roz)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00    
2  VILLAGE QUEEN Jul11 Jun21 Dec17 Oct26 Oct11 (potts g)SPIETH S 122 1.80 18% 4.40    
SCR  GOLDEN SUN DROPS Jun14 May02 Mar26 Feb28 Feb07 (vitali mar)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 2.50    
4  LENTEN ROSE Jun20 May31 Apr23 Feb25 Feb11 (potts g)MORALES PABLO 122 1.40 44% 1.30    
SCR  CLASSY HALO May09 Sep06 Aug15 Aug03 Jul25 (schneider ki)AYALA J 122 15.00    
 
PID-2   07/26/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VALDOLOBO (IRE) Jan08 Sep12       (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 2.00 38% 1.60    
2  PLEASE SIT DOWN Jun19 Oct13 Aug16 Aug03 Jun15 (dodge albert)MARTINEZ W 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  LAUDERDALE Jul11 Jun27 Jun12 May16 Mar18 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 6.00    
4  BATTLE CREEK Jul12 Jun27 Jun12 May24 Apr22 (potts g)ALLEN D 124 1.60    
5  INCLUSIVE Jul11 Jun27 Oct13 Sep28 Sep08 (boyer jr)FOX CHRIS 122 8.00 30% 2.30    
6  MARV'S MAGIC Jul11 Jun27 Feb25 Jan15 Dec28 (potts g)WALKER M 122 3.50    
 
PID-3   07/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHICKEN TALK Jul18 Jul04 Jun20 Sep07   (russell randall)RIQUELME J 124 20.00    
  (by ISLAND PEAK out of CHICKEN LITTLE by PEMBROKE)
2  NATURE TRAIL Jul18 Jul03 May22 Sep22 Aug26 (judd cas)MARTINEZ A 124 2.50 33% 2.00    
  (by PETIONVILLE out of TAHITIAN PEARL by EL PRADO (IRE))
3  I'M HEADING EAST Jul18 Jun20 Jun07 May22 Apr06 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 118 4.00 36% 1.80    
  (by EASTWOOD out of I'M JUST SAYIN by SEMORAN)
4  SENSIBLE MARRIAGE Jun16 Feb08 Jan20 Dec21 Nov08 (agnew naois)CORUJO LEONARDO 118 10.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of MARY BERNICE by BERNARDINI)
5  R PENELOPE         (rojas eduard)AYALA J 118 4.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of LA GREY ZULIANA by BORREGO)
6  SHEZ UNTAPPABLE         (russell randa)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of SHEZA MAGIC MATCH by ZULU MAGIC)
7  HOPE SHE COMES Jun12 May22 Oct18 Sep29   (morrell justin)ALLEN D 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOT THE LAST LAUGH out of DELILAH'S SEVEN by SKY MESA)
8  PEACE IN PARADISE Jul16 May30       (parente pat)CARROLL DECLAN 118 3.00    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of TIZ PARADISE by TIZNOW)
 
PID-4   07/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORMIN MELLY Jun26 May29 May17     (pappada michae)ALLEN D 116 6.00 11% 8.20    
2  MO NIGHEAN DONN Jun20 May15 Nov21 Nov01 Oct10 (tasso mark)SPIETH S 122 10.00    
3  JULIETTE FALLS Jul03 Jun13 Oct18 Oct03   (stokes lance)MARTINEZ W 122 1.80 50% 1.00    
4  SHE'S A BOSSY GIRL Jul10 May29 Apr05 Mar20 Feb27 (vitali mar)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 3.50 11% 8.10    
5  READY SHE IS Jul03 Jun21 Apr29 Apr06 Feb16 (cheeks joseph)WALKER M 116 2.50    
6  LUNAR ICE Jan22 Jan01 Dec02 Nov13 Oct21 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 5.00    
 
PID-5   07/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST WATCH ME NOW Jul11 Jun20 Jun05 May22 Mar24 (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 2.50    
2  LEGIO Jul11 Jun19 Jun05 May17 Feb12 (skawinski car)DELGADO DAVID 122 5.00    
3  GOODTIME ARTIE Jul12 Jun27 Jun12 May17 Oct18 (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  ANTE UP ALEX Jul11 Jun14 Jun03 May17 May05 (bowersock mar)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 3.50    
5  BOURBON OVER ICE Jul11 Apr08 Mar10 Feb08 Jan28 (kintz ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 12.00 10% 9.40    
6  T C GREELEY Jul04 Jun21 Jun06 May22 Mar24 (rojas e)MARTINEZ W 124 3.00 37% 1.70    
7  KICKS ON SIXTY SIX Jul19 Jun20 Oct13 Oct06 Sep22 (russell randall)WALES GARY 122 5.00 23% 3.30    
 
PID-6   07/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HENRY'S WORLD Jul10 Jun20 May29 May03 Feb05 (bowersock mar)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 10.00    
2  GUACO Jul10 Jun20 Jan07 Dec09 Nov23 (weaver cassondra)MARTINEZ W 124 2.50    
3  WORBOTHOR Jul12 Jun27 Jun20 May22 Oct25 (roman malvin)AYALA J 122 12.00    
4  JARETH Jul12 Jun20 Jun05 May24 Oct13 (barron ror)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 4.50 16% 5.30    
5  EXTRA MEDIUM Jul10 Jun14 May31 May15 Sep20 (rogers j)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00 19% 4.20    
6  WAPITI WAY Jun27 Jun20 Jun06 May24 Oct12 (amaya joan)MORALES PABLO 124 4.50 8% 11.70    
7  HE'S ON THE FLY Jul10 Jun20 Jun06 May15 Mar31 (skawinski a)ALLEN M 122 12.00    
8  GREAT BLAKE Jul10 Jun20 May15 Apr19 Sep12 (hoffman mark)ALLEN D 122 3.00 36% 1.80    
 
PID-7   07/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YADI Jul12 Jun27 Oct25 Oct11 Sep27 (carr-roz)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00    
2  I ONCE STOOD ALONE Jul18 Jun21 Jun07 May26 Apr07 (brooks e)ALLEN M 116 12.00    
3  CHIC N WILBUR Jul04 Jun20 May29 Oct25 Oct13 (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 3.50    
4  JO JO HANS Jul04 Jun20 May23 Mar22 Sep19 (rojas eduard)AYALA J 122 1.60 25% 2.90    
5  REGAL SPEAKER Jul04 Jun12 May16 Mar05 Feb19 (rogers mich)MORALES PABLO 122 2.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  CUZ May05 Apr05 Mar08 Feb03 Jan21 (guciardo john)RIQUELME J 122 10.00 14% 6.20    
 
PID-8   07/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SGT RECKLESS USMC Jul11 May29 Apr21 Feb17 Dec27 (schoenthal phil)MARTINEZ W 122 5.00    
2  CAN I GET AN AMEN Jun30 Jun21 May31 May16 Feb16 (rogers ronal)AYALA J 122 2.50 49% 1.10    
3  RIO DEL ARMOUR Oct25 Oct17 Sep07 Aug16 Jul11 (guciardo)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00 8% 12.20    
SCR  JESSICA BLAH BLAH Jul11 Jun20 May22 Oct17 Sep27 (vitali mar)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 3.50    
5  ORGANZA Jul11 Dec11 Nov22 Nov06 Oct25 (herrington ca)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 15.00    
6  SAINT FOXY Jul04 Jun19 Jun06 May23   (brooks gerald )ALLEN D 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  ANA L Jul10 Jun26 Jun12 May30 May15 (cheeks katy)MORALES PABLO 116 3.00 19% 4.40    
8  KEEN ON ME Jul11 Jun13 May30 May15 Jun20 (tasso mark)SPIETH S 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.