Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Evangeline Downs
Friday - July 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EVD-1   WIN (1/5/10/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/5/10/4/8)-(1/5/10/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/5/10/4/8)-(1/5/10/4/8)-(1/5/10/4/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/5/10/4/8)-(1/5/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/5/10/4/8)-(1/5/6/8)-(3/8/7/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
EVD-2   WIN (1/5/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/6/8)-(1/5/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/6/8)-(1/5/6/8)-(1/5/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/6/8)-(3/8/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6/8)-(3/8/7/6)-(3/4/9/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
EVD-3   WIN (3/8/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/7/6)-(3/8/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/7/6)-(3/8/7/6)-(3/8/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/7/6)-(3/4/9/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/8/7/6)-(3/4/9/7)-(8/7/5/4/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
EVD-4   WIN (3/4/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/9/7)-(3/4/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/9/7)-(3/4/9/7)-(3/4/9/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/9/7)-(8/7/5/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/4/9/7)-(8/7/5/4/1)-(4/7/3/8/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
EVD-5   WIN (8/7/5/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/7/5/4/1)-(8/7/5/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/7/5/4/1)-(8/7/5/4/1)-(8/7/5/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/7/5/4/1)-(4/7/3/8/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (8/7/5/4/1)-(4/7/3/8/1)-(3/8/10/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
EVD-6   WIN (4/7/3/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/7/3/8/1)-(4/7/3/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/7/3/8/1)-(4/7/3/8/1)-(4/7/3/8/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/7/3/8/1)-(3/8/10/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/7/3/8/1)-(3/8/10/9)-(6/4/2/1/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
EVD-7   WIN (3/8/10/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/10/9)-(3/8/10/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/10/9)-(3/8/10/9)-(3/8/10/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/10/9)-(6/4/2/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/8/10/9)-(6/4/2/1/5)-(3/5/6/10) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
EVD-8   WIN (6/4/2/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/4/2/1/5)-(6/4/2/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/4/2/1/5)-(6/4/2/1/5)-(6/4/2/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/4/2/1/5)-(3/5/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
EVD-9   WIN (3/5/6/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/6/10)-(3/5/6/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/6/10)-(3/5/6/10)-(3/5/6/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EVD-1   07/21/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAR FASHION May20 Mar26 Mar03 Dec29 Nov26 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 123 2.00 46% 1.20    
2  OVERLY SWEET Jun23 Jun08 May20 Apr28 Mar11 (zeno benja)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 20.00    
3  COME WHAT MAE Jun08 Jan27 Jan07 Dec16 Nov26 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 123 8.00    
4  GEAUX VOTE May29 May12 Jan21 Dec20 Dec08 (brinkman bre)BARRERA J 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  RIPTIDE ROSE Jul06 Jun10 May20 Apr26 Apr15 (silva walte)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 4.50 20% 3.90    
6  LUCKY HARBORAGE Jul01 Jun08       (cormier)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 20.00    
SCR  DARING DARIAN Jul01 Jun10 May19 Apr12 Feb25 (charles jon)BALTHAZAR JARED 123 20.00    
8  CAT B CAUSE Jul03 Jun19 May27 May07 Apr12 (modica oscar)MELANCON G 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  AUNT JANA Jul01 Jun08 May20 Apr28 Mar26 (simon leste)LEDET THEODRICK 123 15.00    
10  TOLATETOOWAIT Jun23 May20 Apr15 Feb28 Jan21 (chatters benard)ROSIER R 123 3.00 6% 16.60    
 
EVD-2   07/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRON N STEEL Jun29 Apr21 Mar26 Feb24 Jan28 (brinkman bre)BARRERA J 118 2.50 20% 4.10    
2  HALF CRAZY Jun30 Jun10 May10 Apr27 Apr13 (boxie s)FUSILIER C 118 5.00    
3  ALL COUNTRY Jun24 May12 Apr07 Feb01 Jan20 (simon leste)LEDET THEODRICK 118 3.00    
4  FRIEND'S DO CARE Jul07 May26 May13 Apr28 Apr08 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 4.00    
5  POP POP MIKE         (robinsjr aa)MELANCON JANSEN 118 12.00 14% 6.00    
6  ALWAYS LEAVING         (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 15.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  HAIL THE CAT         (gomez rafael )VARGAS P 118 6.00    
8  WINE MY PRIORITY         (thomas lee)ROSIER R 118 10.00 14% 6.00    
 
EVD-3   07/21/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIDDEN LOVE Jun16 Feb22 Feb09 Jan20 Dec16 (gelner scott)MAGNON H 118 4.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of LIVE AND LOVE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
2  ABBY DABBY Jun29 Jun15 May04 Apr07 Mar19 (morrell cyn)MELANCON JANSEN 118 20.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of PRINCESS DROSSIE by DROSSELMEYER)
3  JUMPIN JUDY Jul02 Jun12 May28 Mar18 Mar02 (broberg karl)VARGAS P 118 2.00 49% 1.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of STAGE DIRECTION by MALIBU MOON)
4  TEASE ME NOT Nov26         (bourgeois keit)THORNTON G 118 5.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of SYDNEY'S KISS by BOSTON HARBOR)
5  SASSY SPRY Feb22         (thomas lee)POMPELL L 115 8.00    
  (by SASSICAIA out of SPRY by GOOD AND TOUGH)
6  BANK ON IT Jun22 Nov26 Oct22     (terre david)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of HARLAN'S HONOR by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
7  DAT DARES RIGHT         (schwandt emile)FUSILIER C 118 15.00 11% 8.50    
  (by ZONG out of SOFT BLUSH by FLATTER)
8  EXPECT A DANCER Jun22 Jun12 May10 Mar16 Jan14 (robbins ray)BARRERA J 118 2.50 17% 4.90    
  (by EXPECT A LOT out of DANCINGOVERTHELINE by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY)
 
EVD-4   07/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JERSEY HOTTIE Jul06 May18 Apr28 Apr12 Jan26 (cox l)MCMAHON J 117 12.00    
2  BROKE FINANCING Jun22 May11 Apr27 Apr12 Mar12 (jackson dway)MAGNON H 120 15.00    
3  ZYDECO MUSIC Jun17 May28 Apr27 Mar04 Feb04 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 2.00 38% 1.60    
4  ROSE PALACE Jun24 Apr27 Mar26 Feb23 Jan19 (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 3.00 17% 4.80    
5  SUMMER LIGHTNING Jun11 May21 Apr29 Apr02 Feb24 (rangel raul)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 15.00    
6  FIRED UP TIGER May13 Dec09 Nov12 Sep24 Aug09 (devereux pa)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 8.00    
7  SWEET VIDALIA Jun29 Jun17 May18 May05 Apr19 (degeyter ra)MELANCON JANSEN 117 6.00 10% 8.50    
SCR  GALAXY THIRTYSIX Jun10 May13 Apr19 Mar26 Mar04 (ney john)VARGAS P 117 12.00    
9  MY FRIEND AMY Jun09 May20 Feb24 Jan06 Dec22 (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 115 4.50 12% 7.10    
 
EVD-5   07/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VEGAS GUY Jun17 Jun08 Apr29 Apr14 Feb23 (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  BYATHREAD Jun30 Jun08 May20 May04 Apr13 (landry jaco)LEDET THEODRICK 115 20.00    
3  KAHAAL Jun22 Jun03 Feb11 Dec22 Nov17 (roberts kenneth)MELANCON G 120 8.00    
4  CLASSIC RED RACER May26 Apr29 Apr15 Feb10 Jan27 (zenon shelton)ROSIER R 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  BRYKEN N MITCHELL Jun17 May26 May12 Dec16 Dec02 (schwandt emi)BARRERA J 115 10.00 11% 8.20    
6  FUNNY ACTOR Jun17 May12 Apr14 Nov16 Aug18 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 12.00    
7  OVERTAXED Jun04 Apr07 Oct26 Sep21 Jul03 (gonzalez ad)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 5.00 18% 4.60    
8  RUSH THE COLORS Jul02 May12 Apr29 Jan22 Jan05 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 123 2.50 46% 1.20    
9  THE FIVE B'S Jun30 Jun08 May19 Apr29 Mar16 (pomier ch)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 118 3.50    
10  ONE TOUGH CHARLIE Jun30 Jun18 May21 Apr29 Apr14 (husak gary )MELANCON JANSEN 120 4.50    
 
EVD-6   07/21/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRINGTOTHEFRONT Jun01 Mar12 Sep24 Jul30 May28 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  GYPSYROSELEE Apr19 Feb24 Jan25 Dec17 Nov26 (brinkman bre)BARRERA J 113 15.00    
3  HOW BOUT ME Jun17 May11 Feb18 Jan27 Jan08 (gelner j)FUSILIER C 113 3.00 9% 10.40    
4  DOWNTOWN ABBY Jun17 May11 Apr15 Mar18 Jul01 (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 118 3.50 44% 1.30    
5  ZERO POINT ZERO May12 Apr07 Feb17 Feb10 Jan21 (morrell cynthia)POMPELL L 118 20.00    
6  RUMPUS Jun18 Apr30 Apr08 Mar26 Nov25 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 118 10.00    
7  APRIL MIST Feb03 Jan11 Nov07 Oct20 Sep16 (thomas lee)THORNTON G 115 2.50 23% 3.40    
8  MARIAH'S CANDY Jun23 May11 Apr15 Apr02 Feb26 (gelner jayd)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
9  RAISE THE PRAISE Jun24 May20 Apr19 Feb12 Jan16 (pomier chasey)VARGAS P 118 12.00    
 
EVD-7   07/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CORVETTE SPIRIT Jun25 May30 May22 Feb17 Jan26 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 20.00    
2  HONOR MY SPEED Jun02 May03 Apr20 Feb10 Jan18 (landry r)THORNTON G 118 15.00    
3  HELLUVA LIFE Jul01 Jun02 May03 Feb10 Jan19 (kidd mardy)STOKES J 118 3.50 42% 1.40    
4  PAYDAY TOO Jul01 Jun09 May20 Apr14 Mar24 (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 115 5.00    
SCR  GETCHA Jul01 Jun22 Jun02 Mar10 Feb25 (mojica edith)BARRERA J 113 8.00    
6  CHEROKEE TAKEOVER Jun23 Jun02 Apr29 Mar03 Feb15 (charles keith)VARGAS P 115 4.50    
SCR  FOOLISH DREAMS Jun23 Jun10 May06 Apr22 Apr12 (schwandt em)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 15.00    
8  IBERVILLE Feb19 Jan07 Nov17 Sep28 Aug23 (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 118 2.50 17% 4.70    
9  MUFFIN NUTS Jul01 Jun23 May20 Apr26 Feb15 (reeves a)ROSIER R 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  OUTLAW X. Jul01 Jun02 Apr29 Apr19 Feb28 (gonzalez adr)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
EVD-8   07/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT LE ROY Jun29 Apr29 Mar24 Mar02 Feb18 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 6.00 10% 9.00    
2  CHEATIN CHARLIE Jun10 Apr22 Feb10 Dec27 Dec08 (mojica edith)BARRERA J 113 10.00 16% 5.10    
3  TSURIS Jun29 Jun15 May06 Apr21 Mar22 (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 113 15.00    
4  OAK HILL SOLUTION Jul03 Jun18 May29 Mar18 Feb20 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 118 3.00 17% 4.70    
5  UP N GONE Jul06 Jun03 May10 Apr28 Mar11 (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 3.50 8% 12.30    
6  THE BOSS SOSS Jun30 Jun03 Apr28 Mar26 Feb04 (landry ray)STOKES J 113 4.00 20% 4.00    
7  ROCK ON COWBOY Jun08 Apr26 Feb18 Jan05 Dec15 (chatters benard)MCMAHON J 118 12.00    
8  BIG BOSS MAN Jun10 May18 Apr28 Apr13 Jan06 (ramirez eduardo)POMPELL L 118 12.00    
9  ALIGNED INTEREST Jun18 Jun08 May03 Apr07 Feb18 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 15.00    
10  RANCH WATER Apr28 Mar26 Feb22 Feb04 Dec31 (landry allen)MAGNON H 113 8.00    
 
EVD-9   07/21/2023 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT-10:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  APRIORITY ROCKET Jun23 May11 Apr19 Mar26 Mar02 (thomas lee)BARRERA J 113 6.00    
2  MARVINS' WARRIOR Jul07 Jun23 Jun01 May13 Apr16 (gelner scott)FUSILIER C 118 15.00    
3  CHECK ME OUT Apr07 Mar09 Feb17 Jan26 Jan01 (cuccia j)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 2.00 55% 0.80    
SCR  COCAL Jun08 May26 May25 Apr29   (blanchet chris)POMPELL L 120 12.00    
5  BUD WON Nov02 Oct19 Sep21     (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 4.00 17% 4.80    
6  CURIOUS APRIORITY Jun10 Sep25 Aug30     (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BELLAMY BROTHER May13         (ali anc)THORNTON G 115 20.00    
8  ARKANSAS ZONG Jul07 Jun17 Jun01 May13 Apr14 (dison phill)MELANCON JANSEN 123 10.00    
9  TRIPLE RED ACES Jun17 May25 Apr28 Feb23 Jan20 (landry ray)STOKES J 118 4.50    
10  C P'S WILD FIRE Jun19 May14 Mar31     (guzman adan)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.