Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Horseshoe Indianapolis
Thursday - July 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

IND-1   WIN (3/7/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/6/8)-(3/7/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/6/8)-(3/7/6/8)-(3/7/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/6/8)-(2/1/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/7/6/8)-(2/1/6/4)-(1/7/2/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
IND-2   WIN (2/1/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/6/4)-(2/1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/6/4)-(2/1/6/4)-(2/1/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/6/4)-(1/7/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6/4)-(1/7/2/5)-(4/5/9/2/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
IND-3   WIN (1/7/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/2/5)-(1/7/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/2/5)-(1/7/2/5)-(1/7/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/2/5)-(4/5/9/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/7/2/5)-(4/5/9/2/3)-(3/4/5/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
IND-4   WIN (4/5/9/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/5/9/2/3)-(4/5/9/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/5/9/2/3)-(4/5/9/2/3)-(4/5/9/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/5/9/2/3)-(3/4/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/5/9/2/3)-(3/4/5/1)-(9/11/12/5/10) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
IND-5   WIN (3/4/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/5/1)-(3/4/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/5/1)-(3/4/5/1)-(3/4/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/5/1)-(9/11/12/5/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5/1)-(9/11/12/5/10)-(10/7/6/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
IND-6   WIN (9/11/12/5/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/11/12/5/10)-(9/11/12/5/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/11/12/5/10)-(9/11/12/5/10)-(9/11/12/5/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/11/12/5/10)-(10/7/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/11/12/5/10)-(10/7/6/5)-(1/6/10/9/8) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
IND-7   WIN (10/7/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/7/6/5)-(10/7/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/7/6/5)-(10/7/6/5)-(10/7/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/7/6/5)-(1/6/10/9/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
IND-8   WIN (1/6/10/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/6/10/9/8)-(1/6/10/9/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/6/10/9/8)-(1/6/10/9/8)-(1/6/10/9/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
IND-1   07/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M WIDE AWAKE Jun22 May19 Apr18 Dec28 Nov20 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 3.00    
GOOD SUGAR Jun20 May10 Apr18 Nov23 Nov02 (haran john)MORALES JOSHUA 119 12.00    
TALE OF FAME Aug02 Jun11 Apr27 Mar31 Feb19 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 122 2.50 62% 0.60    
EL ROSILLO Jul06 May30 May22 Apr27 Apr18 (elliott miche)MORALES EDGAR 122 4.50    
FIRERY TALE Jun18 Jun04 May14 Apr08 Mar26 (estvanko)RODRIGUEZ A 117 5.00    
LITTLE KANSAS May16 Oct28 Oct15 Sep24 Aug22 (michael brian)PRESCOTT R 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
HOT PASTRAMI May14 Mar03 Jan15 Dec10 Nov17 (garcia )DE CRUZ 122 6.00 13% 6.80    
DAY IN THE COUNTRY Jun22 Jun01 Feb16 Feb02 Jan05 (meredith cha)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
IND-2   07/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLOCKED Jun10 Mar18 Aug26 Aug07 Jul02 (caramori )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 2.50 12% 7.50    
  (by UNION RAGS out of DEFIANT HONOR by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
HOMERUNHAPPY         (wohlers laur)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 1.60 50% 1.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of SLEWS RETURN by CAME HOME)
STAYINYOURLANE Jun10 May18 Apr29 Mar24   (medina tomas)PEREZ E 120 5.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of INFRACTION by TAPIT)
B ADMAN         (nance jonath)RAMOS D 124 6.00 7% 12.90    
  (by TOP HIT out of SASHA B by IS IT TRUE)
SATURDAY LONG LEGS May14 Apr29       (frazier matt)AYALA ISAIAS 120 30.00    
  (by DADDY LONG LEGS out of CRYING ON SATURDAY by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
FOXTROTANNA         (wojczynski )FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 8.00 10% 8.90    
  (by FAST ANNA out of FOXY CLEO by WHYWHYWHY)
BE RUTHLESS Oct11 Aug30       (jazdzewski j)MORALES JOSHUA 120 20.00    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of RUTH'S PROOF by DIXIE UNION)
TOTALITARIAN Jun07 May25 May11 Mar24   (gonza)ULLOA PATRICIO 120 30.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of INDIAN GRACEY by INDIAN OCEAN)
 
IND-3   07/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($37K) 3 ALL PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRE BABY Jun27 Jun06 May08 Jul12   (ortiz ale)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 2.50 33% 2.10    
GOLD LUCK Jun25 May28 May20 Apr26 Mar09 (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 120 3.00 15% 5.50    
ROMAN GIANT Jun15 May19 Oct28 Sep25 Sep08 (asmussen ste)RAMOS D 120 6.00    
METATRON'S MUSE May02 Mar25 Feb17 Jan20   (morey w)DE CRUZ 120 10.00    
BOURBON SPIRIT Oct12 Aug27 Jul16     (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 5.00 15% 5.70    
HUNTERTOWN Jun22 Jun06 May13 Apr27 Apr04 (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00    
TAKE THE CHARGE Jun10 Dec19 Nov20 Oct20 Sep07 (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 120 4.50 17% 5.00    
 
IND-4   07/13/2023 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKE A DIP Jun21 May25       (garcia )DE CRUZ 120 20.00    
DOMHNALL Jun24 May11 Apr19 Mar23 Feb15 (paquette ra)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 20.00 5% 17.30    
SILENT TOWN Jun24         (grani)ULLOA PATRICIO 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
ETERNAL BLISS Jun24 Mar19       (lynch a)ACHARD ALEX 120 3.00 31% 2.30    
PRINCE OF PENNIES Jun15 May17       (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 120 4.00 21% 3.70    
ALL JOKES ASIDE May18 Apr27 Apr14     (meah anna)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00    
MIDNIGHT NOIR Feb24 Feb03       (sanchez j)HISBY RONALD 120 30.00    
RUFFLED WATERS Jun22 May23 Oct06 Sep09 Aug19 (mcmichael la)MORALES JOSHUA 124 6.00    
APPLEGATE Jun05         (asmussen ste)RAMOS D 120 5.00 20% 4.10    
10  HINDOSTAIN FALLS Jun14 May17 May06 Feb28 Feb10 (perez natasha)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 8.00    
SCR  FAVORABLE RETURN May25 May15 Apr27     (haran john)MORALES JOSHUA 124 2.50    
 
IND-5   07/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DASH OF SIMPLICITY Jun15 May22 May03 Nov22 Oct26 (glyshaw tim)SANJUR SANTO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
FAIRE EXPRESS May29 May02 Oct29 Oct17 Sep09 (west m)LEAHEY HANNAH 112 20.00    
EKATI FLATTER Jun21 Apr26 Nov14 Nov01   (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 118 2.00 69% 0.40    
Z ZS RED Jul06 Jun14 May29 May18 Apr26 (haran john)MORALES JOSHUA 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
ADDICTED TO LOVE Jun29 Jun08 May18 Apr26 Oct29 (roggenkamp e)RAMOS D 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  E'S MAGIC Jun08 May18 Oct05 Aug09   (maker m)DE CRUZ 118 2.50    
HER WAY May03 Nov15 Oct25 Oct05 Sep14 (klopp randy)MORALES EDGAR 122 10.00    
QUILTER Jun24 May18 Nov14 Oct05 Sep21 (granitz a)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 4.00    
 
IND-6   07/13/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ORA CERTA         (caramori edua)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 120 12.00    
  (by TEXAS RED out of NOSSA VEZ by WAR CHANT)
SECRET RENDEZVOUS Jun21 May24 May09     (lauer michael)PRESCOTT R 120 8.00    
  (by GIO PONTI out of RING RING RING by PETIONVILLE)
WARRIOR'S PLACE         (west ethan )FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 10.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of SAVE MY PLACE by OUT OF PLACE)
QUALITY DANCER Jun24 May10 May03     (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 30.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of BINT ELUSIVE by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SARGENT HULKA Jun24 Jun13       (holden j)BURGOS ALBERTO 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DOWSING out of BECAUSES by COLONIAL COLONY)
SCENIC JUSTICE Jun22 May30 May09 Apr25 Nov08 (granitz)DE CRUZ 117 3.50    
  (by HARRY'S HOLIDAY out of YOU BE READY by MORE THAN READY)
BIG STORMY Jun24         (dunn ste)RODRIGUEZ A 115 20.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of BLACK TULIP by ROCK HARD TEN)
BAGGINSHIRE Jun24         (granitz anthon)SANJUR SANTO 120 20.00    
  (by FLINTSHIRE (GB) out of SHEZASMITTENKITTEN by CATIENUS)
PORKYISMYNAME Jun22 May30 May11 Apr25 Aug04 (perez natash)MORALES JOSHUA 117 4.50 41% 1.50    
  (by VICTOR'S CRY out of VERY BEST TRICK by ECKELSON)
10  REVS MEDAL Jun10 May30       (phillips ter)RAMOS D 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MEDAL COUNT out of SWEET REVEILLE by SUAVE)
11  HITCHPIN Jun24 May23 May10 Nov17 Nov09 (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 124 5.00 28% 2.60    
  (by TEXAS RED out of COLOR ME SPECIAL by RIVER SPECIAL)
12  SECRETO DE AMORE Jun24 May23 May03 Nov09 Oct10 (duran antonio)MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00 11% 8.50    
  (by OVERANALYZE out of MIDNIGHT ROMANCE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
SCR  SOLO TOURIST May02         (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 120 12.00    
  (by TOURIST out of STEEL COURAGE by EL CORREDOR)
14  WHITE SILVER SANDS Jun22 May30 May10 Nov08 Oct10 (holden j)RAMOS D 121 15.00    
  (by VICTOR'S CRY out of MEMAWS BABY by UNBRIDLED ENERGY)
 
IND-7   07/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGHCOTTON JUSTICE Jun15 Nov15 Oct24 Sep08 Aug22 (green darlen)MORALES JOSHUA 119 8.00    
BOLD BIZNESS Jun15 May22 Nov16 Oct20 Oct06 (duran antonio)MORALES EDGAR 122 15.00    
SCR  MACHO ALEGRE Jun15 Jun01 May25 May16 Nov11 (duran antonio)MOJICA O 122 15.00    
SCR  BRUSTER JUSTICE Jul03 Jun15 May17 Sep07 Aug17 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 115 4.50    
COMPASS POINT Jun29 Oct17 Sep27 Aug16 Jul19 (gorham m)PEREZ E 122 8.00 6% 14.70    
FIERCE JUSTICE Jul05 Jun15 May03 Oct29 Oct05 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 117 10.00 16% 5.20    
SHOOTER JUSTICE May06 Nov22 Nov03 Oct20 Sep22 (klopp randy)LEAHEY HANNAH 112 3.50 19% 4.30    
GIMMEFUELGIMMEFIRE Jun15 May25 Nov23 Nov03 Sep22 (greenhill j)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 6.00    
MIKIE O'PRADO Jun20 Jun07 May22 May11 Apr25 (garcia )DE CRUZ 121 15.00    
10  BROOKVILLE DEPUTY Jun29 Jun15 May08 Jun09 May19 (wisner j)PRESCOTT R 119 5.00 35% 1.90    
 
IND-8   07/13/2023 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STONE SILENT Jun24 Apr14 Feb11 Jun18   (asmussen )PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 1.20 53% 0.90    
MY MY MUNNY Jun18 May13 Apr27 Mar30 Mar09 (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 122 5.00    
VINEGAR VEGGIES Jun20 Mar30 Feb08 Jun15 May26 (mcentee paul)MCENTEE GRACE 122 20.00    
BALI DOVE (FR) Jun08 Apr30 Feb11 Jan16 Dec22 (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 122 30.00    
SCR  PISTOL May14 Apr22 Mar24 Feb12 Jan29 (van thom)CANNON DECLAN 122 6.00    
STELLA TERESA Jun24 Jun01 Oct25 Oct03 Aug19 (wojczynski just)ACHARD ALEX 122 8.00 10% 8.90    
HARTFUL HOPE Jun18 May22 Apr23 Mar31 Mar02 (oliver )DE CRUZ 118 15.00    
MUSICMANSANDY Jun23 May02 Apr14 Mar18 Mar12 (estvanko ric)RAMOS D 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
CAUMSETT Jun24 Jun08 May16 Feb22   (medina tomas)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  KENDAL GRACE Jun01 Mar31 Feb16 Dec21 Oct22 (acevedo isr)MIRANDA ROGELIO 122 10.00 8% 11.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.