Handicappers' Racing Form

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Finger Lakes
Tuesday - July 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FL-1   Win (6/1/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FL-2   Win (2/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FL-3   Win (1/6/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FL-4   Win (1/4/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FL-5   Win (4/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FL-6   Win (2/7/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FL-7   Win (7/5/3/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00
FL-8   Win (2/9/7/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FL-1   07/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAVARADOSSI Jun27 Jun05 May09 Jan12 Dec16 (englehart chris)DAVILA R 124 2.50 22% 3.50    
PROFESSOR DAVE Jun20 May23 May02 Oct18 Sep21 (lecesse michael)COA J 122 5.00 14% 6.10    
LOVER'S LEAP Jun20 May23 May09 Nov14 Oct25 (tasso mark)CRUZ JOEL 122 6.00    
TWO STEP SLEW Jun14 May09 Aug31 Aug16 Aug03 (maver eduardo)PAREDES JHOVANY 112 15.00    
GANONDAGAN Jun20 Jun05 May16 May02 Apr24 (sells rachel)BARBOSA CARLOS 112 10.00 5% 19.00    
HERO TIGER Jun13 May30 May17 Apr06 Feb13 (torelli stacy)BAEZ JOSE 122 2.00 41% 1.50    
SMOOTH TALES Jun20 Nov14 Oct17 Oct04 Sep26 (murphy timot)DE EMANUEL 122 4.00    
 
FL-2   07/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NIGHT ESCORT Jun20 Nov14 Oct25 Oct03 Aug29 (buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 6.00    
PREFERRED OUTCOME Jun05 May23 May09 Apr19 Mar31 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 124 3.00 52% 0.90    
MAGNIFICENT CHROME Jun20 May23 May09 Apr15 Mar30 (breed)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 4.00 15% 5.80    
HARRISON KNOWS Jun27 Jun13 May30 May17 Apr25 (gutierrez luis )DAVILA A 122 6.00    
SCR  DEVIOUS MO Jun14 May22 Apr24 Feb15 Jan19 (shaffer rich)DE EMANUEL 124 2.50    
HEYITSNRICOPALAZO Jun27 Jun05 Nov16 Oct18 Oct03 (murphy timoth)PAREDES JHOVANY 112 10.00    
TUCKABUCKAWAY Jul03 Jun20 May17 May02 Mar09 (grusmark k)DAVIS A 124 5.00 7% 14.10    
 
FL-3   07/11/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DON'T POKE THE CAT Jun28 Jun11 May29 May08 Feb08 (loaiza ilmar)BARBOSA CARLOS 110 2.00 43% 1.30    
1A  TRIVISTA May23 May14 Apr30 Apr15 Mar10 (loaiza ilmar)PEREZ E 120 2.00    
RUNABOUT Jun01 Apr14 Mar19 Jan29 Jan07 (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 3.50 11% 8.10    
ANYTHING PAZIBLE Jul03 Jun20 May29 May17 May02 (gutierrez a)ALVARADO R 120 5.00    
NIXON JOY (ARG) Feb01 Nov25 Apr08 Mar10 Feb09 (maver eduardo)PAREDES JHOVANY 110 15.00 5% 19.00    
FIRE'S FINALE Jun28 Jun14 May29 May15 May02 (torelli stacy)BAEZ JOSE 120 6.00    
ROYAL SUSPECT Jun28 Jun14 May30 May17 Jan26 (huertas nirka)CRUZ JOEL 124 1.80 23% 3.40    
 
FL-4   07/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR LITTLE TIGER Jun21 May17 May28 Apr08 Mar24 (buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 5.00 51% 1.00    
AVID SUCINORI Jun21 May22 May08 Nov23 Oct10 (dominguez carlo)DAVILA A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
QUIET HORIZON Jun21 May31 May22 Nov15 Nov07 (cabrera a)ROHENA JR 122 12.00    
PRETTY MISS KEENS Jun20 May08 Apr02 Feb17 Jan20 (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 4.00 12% 7.00    
BASTET May28 Apr06 Mar17 Sep23 Aug28 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 122 3.00 10% 9.00    
GOING GOING GONE Jul03 May31 May17 Apr25 Nov07 (lecesse mi)DAVIS A 122 6.00    
SCR  TASTY WAVE Jul03 Jun13 May22 Oct05 Sep13 (ashley juliu)DE EMANUEL 122 4.50    
BON FIRE DIVA Jan08 Nov03 Oct22 Sep30 Sep07 (williams omani)CRUZ JOEL 122 12.00    
BAD CONNECTION Jun26 Jun14 May31 May02 Mar24 (gutierrez luis)BARBOSA CARLOS 120 8.00    
 
FL-5   07/11/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($24.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:11
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MELISSA'S SMILE Jun21 May22 Nov15 Oct09 Sep12 (babcock kathleen)BAEZ JOSE 122 12.00    
CHARGE NURSE Jun15 Nov15 Oct24 Sep14 Aug23 (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 6.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  SWEET BLINDNESS Jun21 Jun06 Jan25 Dec09 Nov15 (englehart jeffr)IORIO MELISSA 115 4.00    
SHESASCOLDASICE Jun14 May30 Nov15 Oct19 Oct04 (ferraro anthon)COA J 122 2.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  FORTY SMOOTH Jun16 Apr27 Mar26 Nov15 Nov07 (englehart chris)DAVILA R 122 3.50    
SALOON GIRL Jun27 Jun12 May29 May16 Nov21 (dean ii)BARBOSA CARLOS 114 12.00    
SABREEN Jun21 May31 May22 Nov15 Oct03 (acquilano james)DAVILA A 122 5.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  ALICIA'S WAY Jan15 Dec30 Dec18 Nov21 Oct26 (englehart chris)ROHENA M 122 8.00    
 
FL-6   07/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEVIOUS BANKER Jun20 Jun05 May16 Apr25 Feb15 (grusmark karl)GOMEZ O 122 3.50    
FLORIDA ENDEAVOUR Sep19 Aug22 Aug08 Jul13 Jun14 (englehart chris)DAVILA R 122 1.80 30% 2.40    
MARGARITA SUNRISE Jun20 May23 May09 Nov22 Oct31 (tasso mark)ALVARADO R 122 15.00    
YOUR AWESOME BOSS Jun14 May23 May09 Apr25 Nov22 (morales samuel)CRUZ JOEL 122 12.00 11% 8.00    
SCR  FAR AWAY LOOK Nov14 Oct31 Oct05 Sep07 Aug24 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 4.00    
A HUGE CHECKPOINT Jun26 May31 May15 Dec10 Nov22 (breed)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 8.00    
WAR OF THRONES Jun13 May23 Nov14 Oct04 Sep21 (acquilano james)COA J 122 6.00 24% 3.10    
ALL TIME CLASSIC Jun21 May17 Apr21 Mar30 Mar16 (murphy timothy )DAVILA A 122 10.00    
BEASTFROMTHEEAST Apr19 Oct04 Sep06 Apr10 Mar25 (maver eduardo)PAREDES JHOVANY 112 12.00 7% 12.80    
 
FL-7   07/11/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAY HOME MAMA Jun27 Jun12 Nov21 Nov07 Oct26 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
PAVE MY WAY Jun21 May31 May22 May08 Jan22 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 122 4.00    
DAREDEVIL BULL Jun27 May24 Oct31 Oct17 Sep21 (oyola dav)NAVARRO J 122 3.50 21% 3.80    
DO WHAT IT TAKES Jul03 Jun19 May24 Nov16 Oct31 (dean ii)HARKIE K 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
HONORABLE LILLY Jun19 May16 Apr25 Feb18 Jan13 (sells rachel)SONE Y 122 6.00 23% 3.40    
LADY TEUFLESBERG Jun19 May31 May16 Apr02 Mar19 (buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 5.00    
CAPTIVATING CARA Jun15 Jun02 May04 Apr13 Mar31 (englehart chris)DAVILA R 124 2.50 35% 1.90    
MISS PAB Jun27 Jun19 May24 May08 Nov16 (gutierrez lui)PAREDES JHOVANY 112 20.00    
THE NEW MIAMI Jun27 Jun14 May17 May08 Nov16 (vasquez ramon)ROHENA M 122 20.00    
 
FL-8   07/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:38
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRETTY MISS PENNY Jun13 Sep27       (wright james)DE EMANUEL 120 20.00    
MIDNIGHT MINDSET Jun14 Nov09 Oct26 Oct11 Sep14 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
SLY SLOANE Jun13 May31 May02 Dec18 Oct23 (englehart jerem)IORIO MELISSA 113 5.00    
SWEET TOOTH SUE Jun27 Jun14 May31 Nov22 Nov15 (marino e)ROHENA JR 124 8.00 6% 14.50    
GONE OASIS Apr20         (maver edua)DAVIS A 124 20.00    
SHUL Mar29 Nov21 Nov08     (monserrate ma)CAMILO D 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
CANCELLEDCAPTIVITY Jun27 May30 Nov21 Oct25 Sep27 (monserrate marisa)CRUZ JOEL 120 8.00 19% 4.20    
BECAUSEOFTHEBRAVE Jun20 Jun13 May16 May02 Apr16 (clarke dylan)PAREDES JHOVANY 114 4.00    
PRINCESS RILEY Jun14 May30 Mar11 Feb19   (clarke dylan)HARKIE K 124 6.00 26% 2.80    
10  KATSURA Jun05 May16       (barro)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 10.00    
11  GIANT BOTTLE Apr03 Mar25       (henry n)ALVARADO R 124 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.