Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Louisiana Downs
Sunday - June 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LAD-1   WIN (4/5/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/8/6)-(4/5/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/8/6)-(4/5/8/6)-(4/5/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/8/6)-(6/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/5/8/6)-(6/8)-(1/5/7/2) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
LAD-2   WIN (6/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/8)-(6/8) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/8)-(1/5/7/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/8)-(1/5/7/2)-(1/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LAD-3   WIN (1/5/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/7/2)-(1/5/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/7/2)-(1/5/7/2)-(1/5/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/7/2)-(1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/7/2)-(1/4/6)-(5/3/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-4   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/6)-(5/3/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6)-(5/3/7/2)-(7/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-5   WIN (5/3/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/7/2)-(5/3/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/7/2)-(5/3/7/2)-(5/3/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/7/2)-(7/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/7/2)-(7/5/3)-(3/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-6   WIN (7/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/3)-(7/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/3)-(7/5/3)-(7/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/3)-(3/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/5/3)-(3/1/5)-(10/12/9/6/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LAD-7   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/5)-(10/12/9/6/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
LAD-8   WIN (10/12/9/6/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/12/9/6/5)-(10/12/9/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/12/9/6/5)-(10/12/9/6/5)-(10/12/9/6/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LAD-1   06/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRIVER Mar02 Feb11 Jan21 Dec18 Sep16 (hornsby tammy)TORRES HUGO 119 12.00    
NEVER OVER ME May06 Apr22 Mar11 Sep08 Jul31 (jacks e)GREEN AUBRIE 124 5.00    
ALL OF US Apr22 Apr12 Mar23 Feb28 Jan27 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 111 10.00    
STREET ART May14 Apr15 Mar25 Feb03 Dec31 (gibson jonas)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 3.00 61% 0.60    
MARKETBOOK May14 May06 Feb18 Jan05 Dec16 (beavin judy)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 124 4.00 9% 9.60    
GOODNIGHT ARCHIE Mar30 Mar11 Feb26 Dec10 May07 (hornsby )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
AUX ARCS May05 Apr07 Feb20 May08 Apr16 (witt ii)LOZADA CARLOS 124 6.00    
PREMIUM May14 Apr29 Apr14 Mar15 Feb03 (husak j)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 3.50 7% 13.10    
 
LAD-2   06/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET PRESENT May19 Apr20 Mar19 Feb19 Jan20 (rangel raul)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 2.50    
SCR  MO HAWK MAN May21 May03 Apr13 Mar18 Feb20 (rangel raul)HERNANDEZ V 124 8.00    
SCR  SPICE OF MY LIFE May10         (brinkm)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 12.00    
SCR  R R EMPIRE May05 Apr16 Mar09 Feb19 Jan22 (keithan rachae)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 10.00    
SCR  G'S LAW May20 Apr16 Mar19 Feb24 Feb10 (west patrici)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 6.00    
READY SHOES May13 Apr29 Mar05 Feb17 Jan13 (wilson m)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 3.50 42% 1.40    
CADILLAC COWBOY Apr22 Mar25 Mar12 Feb17 Dec31 (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 114 5.00    
HUMOR ME PLEASE May27 May07 Apr15 Mar31 Mar22 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 119 4.50 34% 1.90    
 
LAD-3   06/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MESABI May06 Feb16 Jan07 Dec02 Aug08 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 6.00 39% 1.60    
PRICED RIGHT May06 Jan27 Sep27 Sep13 Aug13 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 3.00 8% 12.20    
JESUIT May06 Mar11 Feb10 Jan01 Nov11 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 5.00    
DEPART Apr16 Mar17 Mar02 Jan21 Dec18 (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 119 8.00    
MADMARTIGAN May06 Apr22 Apr02 Mar05 Feb17 (witt i)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 4.00 20% 4.10    
DOUBLE TRAP Apr21 Jan06 Dec22 Nov26 Oct27 (ramirez ros)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 124 8.00    
SUPER GEEK May15 Apr16 Mar30 Mar19 Mar03 (villafranco ma)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 3.50 9% 9.70    
WEST TEXAS BOB May14 Mar24 Mar04 Feb09 Jan18 (butler w)TORRES HUGO 119 15.00    
 
LAD-4   06/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PETULA May04 Apr22 Mar16     (mckellar joe)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 2.50 53% 0.90    
PREACH IT GIRL May03 Apr24 Apr05 Mar20 Mar06 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 117 8.00    
SHE'S HAMAZING May20 Apr21 Mar18 Feb12 Feb05 (gonzalez jaime)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 3.50    
FUNTIMEGIRL May05 Apr14 Feb26 Feb05 Jan15 (prather john )LOZADA CARLOS 122 6.00 11% 7.80    
ARKLAHOMA SOUL Jan14 Dec19 Sep26     (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 2.00    
DANCIN N THEPULPIT May04 Apr14 Mar16 Mar03 Jan28 (cates al)GREEN AUBRIE 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-5   06/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DATA STORM May06 Apr07 Mar23 Jan22 Oct20 (martin e)STOKES J 122 12.00    
ORDER OF MERIT May13 Apr07 Mar23 Feb26 Feb04 (villafranco ma)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
AHIMAAZ May14 Feb15 Jan13 Dec30 Dec16 (alberto anton)VARGAS P 124 15.00 26% 2.90    
WINGS OF GOLD Mar19 Jan21 Nov05 Oct06 Sep15 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 6.00    
SEEKING SAWYER Mar24 Feb05       (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 2.00 43% 1.30    
NATE'S WAY May22 May05 Apr23 Mar11 Feb19 (deatherage core)TORRES HUGO 117 4.50    
ZAICI May19 Feb20 Jan28 Oct12 Sep17 (courville )ALBERT S 112 10.00 5% 19.00    
WHEELS May21 May07 Feb10     (martin k)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 2.50    
 
LAD-6   06/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HOOSIER May22 Apr12 Mar23 Feb24 Feb04 (mouton chadw)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 116 6.00    
OVERANALYTICAL Apr07 Mar11 Feb11 Jan14 Dec18 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 3.00    
UNCLE BRAD May13 Feb16 Jan20 Dec10 Nov22 (ward ronnie)MEDELLIN ERICK 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
BIG BOO May15 Mar26 Mar10 Jan22 Jan01 (singh s)SINGH R 121 4.00    
PARTYINTHESTREETS May06 Apr23       (martin timothy )TORRES HUGO 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
BREAD WINNER May22 May05 Apr23 Mar25 Mar04 (villafranco ma)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 4.50    
EFFICIENCY Apr23 Apr01 Feb24 Feb10 Jan20 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 2.50 69% 0.40    
 
LAD-7   06/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PINK HIGGINS May20 Jan25 Dec30 Dec07 Nov25 (dunn r)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 5.00 12% 7.20    
THROWIN' SHADE May05 Apr14 Feb11 Jan20 Aug27 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 119 2.00    
GTUONE BUCK May14 Mar24 Mar05 Feb17 Jul24 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 3.00 59% 0.70    
SCR  LOWER CRETACEOUS Dec19 Nov25 Nov02 Aug20 Aug06 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 12.00    
LONE STAR MAX May14 Mar02 Feb09 Jan20   (balderas alfon)GREEN AUBRIE 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FLOWER CAT May27 Mar09 Jan28 Dec27 Nov25 (ingram steve)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 4.00    
LIT A SHUCK May14 May06 Mar01 Feb03 Jan16 (hatcher nat)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 124 6.00    
 
LAD-8   06/04/2023 4950ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LONG SHOT LOUISE May14 Apr15 Mar18 Feb03 Jan04 (dodson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 30.00    
  (by SASSICAIA out of IN COMMAND by SIPHON)
BEULAH K May14 Apr22 Mar18 Jan05 Dec10 (snodderly rhonda)STOKES J 119 8.00    
  (by TENPINS out of AHORITA by WOODMAN)
NOT ALONE May14 Feb24 Jan14     (ward ronnie)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 20.00    
  (by LONE STAR SPECIAL out of PRETTY NOT by SEFAPIANO)
MIDNIGHT FAITH Apr15 Jan13 Dec18 Nov22 Oct15 (briley lonnie)VARGAS P 119 10.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of ANTE UP ANNIE by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
EVERYLITTLESINGH May14 Mar24 Mar09     (singh s)SINGH R 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COUNTRY DAY out of PEAKABOO BRIDE by LANGFUHR)
YOCKEY BETTERFLY May14 Mar24 Mar12 Jan21 Jan05 (balderas alfon)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 12.00 6% 15.20    
  (by YOCKEY'S WARRIOR out of MISS MARIPOSA by ZARBYEV)
GRACEFUL STREET May13 Apr15       (dodson clifford)TORRES HUGO 114 30.00    
  (by MO TOM out of SHIRLEY STREET by STORMY ATLANTIC)
CLEARANCE SALE May14 Feb02       (dunn hen)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 20.00    
  (by CLEARLY NOW out of SALESPITCH by ARCH)
QUEEN OF THE MOON May14 Mar12 Feb24 Jan01 Dec08 (antwine mich)BARRERA J 119 4.50 12% 7.40    
  (by MOONSHINE MULLIN out of IMPERIAL QUEEN by IMPERIALISM)
10  DREWSILLA May13 Mar12 Feb12 Jan01 Dec08 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 3.50 46% 1.20    
  (by COSTA RISING out of MILITARY MISS by MILITARY)
11  SMART IZZY May13 Apr15 Mar24 Mar02 Jan27 (hatcher nathan)GREEN AUBRIE 119 6.00    
  (by MO TOM out of SEA OF DREAMS by SMART STRIKE)
12  CALLING Mar23 Mar12 Feb18 Jan27 Dec29 (savoie sherma)LOZADA CARLOS 119 5.00 14% 6.20    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of CARE by TRAPPE SHOT)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.