Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Saturday - May 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (5/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/7)-(5/6/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/3/7)-(5/6/3/7)-(5/6/3/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/3/7)-(3/7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/7)-(3/7/6/2)-(4/1/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (3/7/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/6/2)-(3/7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/6/2)-(3/7/6/2)-(3/7/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/6/2)-(4/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/6/2)-(4/1/8)-(4/6/7/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (4/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/8)-(4/1/7/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/1/8)-(4/1/7/8)-(4/1/7/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/1/8)-(4/6/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/8)-(4/6/7/5)-(5/7/9/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-4   WIN (4/6/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/7/5)-(4/6/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/7/5)-(4/6/7/5)-(4/6/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/7/5)-(5/7/9/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/6/7/5)-(5/7/9/2)-(4/5/2/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-5   WIN (5/7/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/9/2)-(5/7/9/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/7/9/2)-(5/7/9/2/4)-(5/7/9/2/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/7/9/2)-(4/5/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/7/9/2)-(4/5/2/6)-(6/8/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (4/5/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/2/6)-(4/5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/2/6)-(4/5/2/6)-(4/5/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/2/6)-(6/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2/6)-(6/8/1)-(10/3/1/5/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-7   WIN (6/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/1)-(6/8/1/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/8/1)-(6/8/1/10)-(6/8/1/10) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/8/1)-(10/3/1/5/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
CT-8   WIN (10/3/1/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/3/1/5/7)-(10/3/1/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/3/1/5/7)-(10/3/1/5/7)-(10/3/1/5/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   05/27/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY BEST GIRL May12 Apr20 Mar09 Feb15 Dec16 (hamlin kath)BOCACHICA ABNEL 112 20.00    
COWGIRL HOP May06 Apr15 Mar26 Mar16 Feb23 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 118 20.00    
ALWAYS FORWARD Mar05 Feb12 Dec31 Dec04   (corrales)BUTTERFLY L 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
LOOKING FOR FLARE May07 Apr08 Aug27 Aug05   (bailes rober)ARAUJO DENIS 118 3.00    
WICKED SAUCY May18 Apr27 Apr15 Mar08 Feb17 (lane j)ADAMS L 117 1.20 69% 0.50    
CHANTILLY MOON (PER) May06 Apr27 Apr15 Apr06 Mar25 (brown keith)RAMGEET R 122 2.50    
SISTER SPIRIT May06 Feb25 Feb12 Feb04 Jan15 (aylor nat)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
DESTINED TO DANCE Mar17 Mar10       (corrales jose)ACOSTA D 118 15.00    
 
CT-2   05/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRIGHT DAWN Apr20 Mar09 Feb01 Jan07 Dec17 (farrior anthony)BOCACHICA O 120 4.50    
SARGENT KOBE May13 May05 Apr22 Mar31 Feb17 (lane j)ADAMS L 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
AUBURN MILL May13 Apr22 Apr01 Mar11 Feb09 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 2.00 51% 0.90    
GRAND FIBER Apr28 Mar09 Feb08 Jan06 Nov26 (mangual manolo)ACOSTA D 120 12.00    
THEWITCHISGONE Apr13 Mar10 Feb08 Jan06 Nov30 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.50    
GOLDEN APPEAL May05 Apr01 Mar01 Feb11 Jan18 (craig l)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
NEVER COMPROMISE Apr01 Mar11 Feb24 Feb01 Jan05 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 122 3.00 22% 3.50    
 
CT-3   05/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAY DIDDLE DIDDLE Mar24 Jan28 Jan07 Dec10 Nov03 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 1.60 23% 3.40    
MR MAJESTIC May04 Feb25 Feb08 Dec11 Oct18 (keller chri)RAMGEET R 116 10.00    
MAJOR NELSON May19 Apr28 Apr01 Mar17 Mar10 (caison l)RIVERA JAVIER 118 15.00    
COLONEL CAPPY May04 Jan11 Dec03     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 2.50 53% 0.90    
TOTHETRAINSTATION May06 Apr27 Apr08 Mar30 Mar18 (obed-lett)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 116 30.00    
MIMS SECOND CHANCE Apr14 Mar11 Feb25 Feb04 Jan14 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 15.00    
FANEUIL HALL Apr29 Apr01 Mar11 Feb18 Feb02 (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.00    
TAKE AIM Apr28 Apr08 Mar11 Mar02 Feb18 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-4   05/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STRONG LIL KOKORO Feb09 Jan20 Jan07 Nov30 Nov05 (collins tim)RAMGEET R 120 8.00    
MINISTRY OF MAGIC Aug26 Aug06 Jul16 Jun16 May21 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 12.00    
REMYS SHOWTIME May19 Apr27 Mar31 Mar18 Feb24 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 12.00    
PENGUIN PARADE Apr22 Mar18 Feb22 Jan20 Dec16 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 41% 1.50    
BOSS E BOOGS May13 Mar18 Feb24 Feb02 Jan12 (stehr p)ARAUJO DENIS 120 10.00 5% 17.50    
BUDDY BUDDY Apr27 Mar31 Feb24 Dec08 Oct27 (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 122 3.00 18% 4.60    
SPANGLISH Apr22 Feb22 Jan20 Dec16 Oct14 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 120 1.80 14% 6.20    
 
CT-5   05/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PRACTICALLY THERE Apr27 Mar18 Mar09 Feb16 Jan28 (campbell la)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 15.00    
CHINA CAT May06 Apr08 Mar04 Feb11 Jan21 (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 6.00 6% 16.40    
SWEET ANNABELLA May06 Apr15 Mar24 Feb22 Feb11 (brown k)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 10.00    
CLEARLY VISIBLE May06 Apr15 Mar02 Feb11 Jan21 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.00    
DAT DARES GOLD May06 Apr15 Mar30 Mar18 Mar04 (haynes erne)RAMGEET R 122 2.50 31% 2.20    
SAX May06 Apr15 Mar18 Mar04 Jan05 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 20.00    
SHINY PENNY May06 Apr15 Mar24 Mar04 Feb25 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 6.00 27% 2.70    
SUPER WILDCAT Apr14 Mar23 Mar01 Jan28 Jan05 (pennella m)LARROSA G 122 30.00    
RED QUEEN May06 Apr20 Mar26 Feb03 Jan08 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 5.00 12% 7.60    
10  DON'T TELL GRANDMA May06 Apr15 Feb22 Dec03 Nov12 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ABNEL 110 12.00    
SCR  MAE SAI PRINCESS May20 Mar18 Jan21 Dec02 Nov10 (brown keit)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 10.00    
 
CT-6   05/27/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY JUBA May18 May04 Apr01 Mar12 Feb01 (sanchez-sal)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 4.50    
ACADIAN GIRL May06 Apr01 Mar11 Jan27 Oct06 (geralis emanuel )ACOSTA D 122 2.00 12% 7.20    
SHERIFF'S KID Apr15 Mar30 Mar04 Feb11 Jan18 (price james )BATISTA A 120 15.00    
DIVINE FASHION May06 Apr15 Mar12 Feb23 Feb11 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.80 52% 0.90    
TEQUILA FOG May06 Apr15 Mar30 Mar18 May20 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 120 3.50 14% 6.00    
KALENJIN May06 Apr15 Jan15     (cornwell ja)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
FLOATING BY May20 Apr29 Mar24 Mar04 Sep21 (stahlin john)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00    
TAPPING SOUTH Apr28 Apr06 Mar18 Feb23 Feb04 (barahona is)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 30.00    
 
CT-7   05/27/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMBERLY May12 Apr28 Mar25 Jan14 Dec14 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
CEDAR'S WISH Apr29 Mar23 Feb18 Feb04 Jan20 (grams timothy )ARAUJO DENIS 124 10.00    
SCR  MYSTIC MALIBU May18 May04       (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 118 15.00    
SCR  WINDSOR'S PLAY May19 Apr21 Mar25 Feb08 Jan14 (rideout ant)RAMGEET R 124 8.00    
SISTER JOANN May12 Apr29 Mar30 Feb18 Feb11 (hess g)MORALES KELVIN 120 20.00    
FANCY HER UP Nov11 Oct22 Oct08 Aug25 Jul30 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 124 2.50 44% 1.30    
KILBRITTAIN'S RED May04 Apr20 Mar03 Feb17 Jan22 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 5.00    
SNOWY JUBA CAT Dec08 Nov11 Oct20 Sep21 Aug19 (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 3.50 30% 2.30    
JUBA'S HOUSE May12 Apr29 Apr06 Mar04 Feb04 (boggs joanna)RODRIGUEZ V 124 20.00    
10  FAST MULE Nov07 Oct13 Sep19 Sep05 Aug16 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 116 6.00    
 
CT-8   05/27/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACCACI May06 Feb23 Feb04 Dec14 Nov18 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 122 3.50 14% 6.10    
RIGHT TO ASSEMBLE May06 Apr20 Apr06 Mar09 Feb10 (dillon ja)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 30.00    
SPUNKY ZOEY May06 Apr20 Mar30 Feb24 Feb08 (shanley tim)BOCACHICA ABNEL 112 4.00 30% 2.40    
SHESAHUMBLEHUSTLER May12 Mar31 Mar10 Mar04 Jan25 (shanley timothy)CECIL Y 120 30.00    
CURLIN'S DOVE May06 Apr06 Nov17 Nov04 Oct08 (reynolds jo)RAMGEET R 122 2.50 5% 17.60    
PRETTY SPECTACULAR May06 Apr20 Mar31 Mar10 Mar04 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 120 30.00    
C TWO Mar04 Feb12 Jan25 Dec29 Sep10 (atkins )NUNEZ ANAHI 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
FORT ZANNA May06 Mar17 Mar04 Feb04 Jan12 (conn p)SIMPSON JASON 122 20.00    
SUPERSNAKE May11 Apr15 Mar30 Feb23 Feb11 (murtaugh)BUTTERFLY L 120 30.00    
10  IRISH SAMURAI May06 Apr15 Mar31 Mar17 Mar04 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 2.00 31% 2.30    
SCR  HOVEL May12 Apr28 Apr06 Mar17 Nov16 (davis rus)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 20.00    
SCR  HEARDITALL May07 Apr20 Apr01 Feb05 Jan28 (dove kevin )BOCACHICA ABNEL 108 20.00    
SCR  SHE'S MYBUDDYBUDDY May20 Apr28 Feb09 Jan13 Dec08 (haynes erne)RAMGEET R 120 1.60    
SCR  SEEMS TO WHISPER May20 May06 Nov13 Oct29 Oct09 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.