Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Horseshoe Indianapolis
Monday - May 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

IND-1   WIN (7/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/6)-(7/6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6)-(7/6/5/3)-(7/6/5/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (7/6)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/6)-(5/4/3)-(6/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
IND-2   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(6/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(6/1/4)-(7/1/6/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
IND-3   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/4)-(7/1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4)-(7/1/6/3)-(3/6/10/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-4   WIN (7/1/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/6/3)-(7/1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/6/3)-(7/1/6/3)-(7/1/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/6/3)-(3/6/10/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/1/6/3)-(3/6/10/7)-(5/4/7/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
IND-5   WIN (3/6/10/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/10/7)-(3/6/10/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/10/7)-(3/6/10/7)-(3/6/10/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/10/7)-(5/4/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/6/10/7)-(5/4/7/3)-(1/9/3/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
IND-6   WIN (5/4/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/7/3)-(5/4/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/7/3)-(5/4/7/3)-(5/4/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/7/3)-(1/9/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/4/7/3)-(1/9/3/6)-(2/3/6/1) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
IND-7   WIN (1/9/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/3/6)-(1/9/3/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/9/3/6)-(1/9/3/6/4)-(1/9/3/6/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/9/3/6)-(2/3/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/9/3/6)-(2/3/6/1)-(5/1/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-8   WIN (2/3/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/6/1)-(2/3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/6/1)-(2/3/6/1)-(2/3/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/6/1)-(5/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
IND-9   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/6)-(5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
IND-1   05/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIKIE O'PRADO May11 Apr25 Sep29 Sep12 Aug17 (garcia genaro)BAYS BROOKE 114 2.50    
BINGE May03 Jun09 May04 Apr19   (smith randy)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 10.00    
MACHO JUSTICE May03 Oct29 Oct05 Aug17 Jul06 (rechy cha)BERMUDEZ E 118 12.00    
CAN'T SAY ELLY MAE Apr19 Nov16 Nov03 Oct04 Sep12 (nance w)PRESCOTT R 122 3.50    
CONQUERED May06 Oct29 Aug17 Jul21 Jul07 (leitch d)RODRIGUEZ A 113 10.00    
DOSSIER Apr19 Nov22 Nov03 Oct24 Oct12 (garcia )DE CRUZ 122 4.00 32% 2.10    
CASPER JUSTICE May03 Dec17 Dec07 Nov22 Nov03 (medina tomas)MORALES JOSHUA 122 4.50 41% 1.40    
GO EARLY STAY LATE Apr19 Nov22 Nov15 Oct26 Oct04 (wisner trace)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 15.00    
 
IND-2   05/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LOUPIT Apr29         (mcpeek kennet)CANNON DECLAN 120 0.40    
  (by TAPIT out of COURTISANE by SILVER FINDER)
FLURR May08         (holden jay )BLANCHE RISHAWN 114 15.00    
  (by JAVA'S WAR out of FOLLOW by SEEKING THE GOLD)
MIDNIGHT GRIND Apr15 Aug06 Jun23     (ewing an)PARKER L 124 10.00 6% 17.10    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of LA BELLE CAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
MO HAPPY May05 Mar31 Jan28 Nov25 Oct15 (thompson)RODRIGUEZ A 119 6.00 8% 11.50    
  (by TRAPPE SHOT out of GENUINE HAPPINESS by UNCLE MO)
SPUN OATS Mar24 Mar10 Feb12     (drury tho)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 5.00 65% 0.50    
  (by HARD SPUN out of MORE OATS PLEASE by SMART STRIKE)
ACTIVE LANE Apr07         (medina rober)RAMOS D 120 15.00    
  (by TONALIST out of KENNY LANE by FORESTRY)
 
IND-3   05/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAX EXPRESS Feb04 Jan04 Dec17 Nov24 Oct05 (lauer michael)PRESCOTT R 119 1.80 19% 4.40    
MOHAAFETH May06 Jan21 Dec11 Nov27 Jun18 (trujillo elvis)MONTERREY R 122 8.00    
THE HONORABLE ONE Apr19 Feb28 Feb09 Dec30 Oct19 (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 122 6.00    
TRANSECT Mar04 Feb10 Jan20     (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00 13% 6.80    
TRASHTALKINYANKEE Jan01 Nov09 Oct10 Sep30 Sep06 (van thom)MORALES EDGAR 122 4.50    
BEAVER HAT Apr16 Mar30 Mar09 Feb11 Jan14 (asmussen ste)RAMOS D 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
 
IND-4   05/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AZZARO STEEL Apr26 Feb17 Dec30 Nov02 Oct25 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 4.00 22% 3.60    
DEUTERONOMYSTRONG Apr27 Mar24 Feb10 Jan15 Nov02 (egbert jame)BLANCHE RISHAWN 109 30.00    
FERDAN Apr26 Nov22 Oct24 Sep08 Aug15 (klopp randy)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 6.00 8% 11.40    
ME AND CHILI Nov03 Oct05 Sep14 Aug03 Jul20 (leonard i)PARKER L 119 5.00    
MANUELITO Apr26 Feb25 Dec18 Nov22 Oct27 (haran john)ANDERSON MCKENNA 112 4.50    
SCOTTY'S ON EDGE Apr26 Sep14 Aug25 Jul19 Jun29 (ortiz joh)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 6.00 12% 7.00    
NEW YEAR'S FEVER Apr27 Sep30 Sep08 Aug22 Aug03 (dobbsjr e)PRESCOTT R 124 1.80 33% 2.00    
 
IND-5   05/22/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  P K WOOD May04 Mar15 Jan26 Dec30 Oct31 (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 122 12.00    
PONTI PRIDE Apr15 Feb22 Feb11 Jan01   (west m)LEAHEY HANNAH 111 10.00    
EL ROSILLO Apr27 Apr18 Mar07 Feb14 Aug06 (elliott)DE CRUZ 122 3.00 27% 2.70    
EVEN MONEY May10 Feb03 Dec28 Nov23 Nov16 (sanchez j)CHAVEZ ORIEL 119 30.00    
BLACKSMITH STRONG Apr27 Mar31 Mar15 Feb22 Jan21 (green troy)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 10.00    
ONE LUCKY DAY Apr05 Mar24 Mar04 Jan21 Dec30 (hernandez r)PETERSON FERRIN 122 6.00 23% 3.30    
CALL ME GUSTO Jul05 Jun23 Mar12 Feb11   (huffman p)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 4.50 6% 16.50    
FASTBYTE Mar04 Dec02 Oct29 Aug18 Jul24 (leitch daniel)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00    
SCR  SAKIC May06 Apr18 Nov16 Nov09 Oct18 (douglass dev)MORALES JOSHUA 119 15.00    
10  FIERCE ASSAULT May11 Oct10 Sep28 Jul20 Jun29 (hammond k)BERMUDEZ E 124 4.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  SHIPSHAPE Jan07 Dec16 Nov15 Nov02 Oct13 (medina tomas)PEREZ E 119 15.00    
 
IND-6   05/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROOKWOOD May11 Dec16 Dec01 Nov02 Oct20 (langeme)DE CRUZ 122 8.00    
SHOTGUN JOE Feb02 Jan05 Nov15 Oct26 Oct06 (matthews randy)PRESCOTT R 119 10.00    
BENNY'S LEGACY Apr18 Nov23 Nov11 Sep26 Sep13 (rechy chaz)LEAHEY HANNAH 112 15.00 8% 10.90    
INDOCUMENTADO May06 Aug09 Jul20 Jun30 May16 (jurado luis)AYALA ISAIAS 122 5.00 15% 5.60    
VENICE BEACH Apr27 Nov22 Nov11 Nov02 Oct17 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 2.50 33% 2.00    
BOLD BIZNESS Nov16 Oct20 Oct06 Sep20 Aug29 (duran antonio)PARKER L 122 6.00    
FIRING RANGE May11 Apr27 Nov02 Aug30 Aug03 (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 122 4.50 15% 5.80    
UNBRIDLED VICTOR May08 Apr18 Nov23 Nov15 Oct24 (wisner trace)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 4.00    
 
IND-7   05/22/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STORMY WAGER Jan07 Dec15 Dec01 Oct12 Sep20 (maker m)DE CRUZ 122 1.80 42% 1.40    
CLEVER KATE Nov22 Nov11 Sep29 Sep09 Aug18 (holden j)RAMOS D 119 30.00    
REVS RUN Apr12 Nov21 Oct12 Sep21 Aug24 (phillips terry)PARKER L 122 5.00 10% 9.00    
CHELSEA'S STRENGTH May03 Nov21 Nov14 Oct12 Sep15 (greenhill j)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 12.00    
CHINATOWN NANCY Nov01 Oct18 Sep20 Aug30 Jul21 (silva car)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 30.00    
DASH OF SIMPLICITY May03 Nov22 Oct26 Oct06 Sep20 (richardville t)SANJUR SANTO 122 20.00 7% 13.60    
V. E. TIA Nov22 Nov14 Oct12 Aug24 Aug08 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 15.00    
TIZ ABBY May03 Mar02 Feb01 Jan13 Dec21 (mcbride barb)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 20.00    
SKIPPINJUSTICE Nov22 Oct29 Oct12 Sep21 Aug30 (leona)ULLOA PATRICIO 119 3.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  TALKTOMEJUSTICE Apr26 Nov22 Oct26 Oct06 Sep20 (reid r)PRESCOTT R 122 8.00    
11  SWIFT TEMPLE May09 Jan20 Jan06 Dec22 Nov14 (wisner trace)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 12.00    
 
IND-8   05/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3 F PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WICKED BEAUTIFUL Apr27         (medina to)BERMUDEZ E 121 15.00 7% 13.90    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of MY JIMMY CHEW GIRL by THUNDER GULCH)
NIKKI M P Apr15 Feb12       (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 121 2.50 32% 2.10    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ALLEGHENY ANGEL by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
ROSARIO'S PRAYER Mar11 Feb11 Dec18     (ortiz john)ANDERSON MCKENNA 114 5.00 28% 2.60    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of DESK JOB by TO HONOR AND SERVE)
SCR  HOLD MY CROWN May09 Mar15 Sep05 Aug28   (laugherty joe)NAVAS YOEL 114 8.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of BEAUTIFUL PRINCESS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
GOGO GEISHA Sep09 Aug18       (hernandez r)PETERSON FERRIN 121 15.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of ROUNDNROUNDWEGO by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
HARTFUL HOPE Apr23 Mar31 Mar02     (oliver victoria)MOJICA O 121 3.00 13% 6.90    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of SHE'S STYLISH by POSSE)
ALWAYS DREAM BIG May09         (hammond)DE CRUZ 121 20.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of BEN'S BOOTS by LOUIS QUATORZE)
KINGMAKING (GB) May06 Apr19 Nov05     (chavez manuel)PARKER L 121 6.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of LA DOROTEA by LOPE DE VEGA (IRE))
PARTY NEVER ENDS         (hernandez)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 10.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of ALL NIGHT PARTY by GERI)
 
IND-9   05/22/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 2 ALL PT- 6:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IZZIT MIDNIGHT         (hamilton sarah)NAVAS YOEL 113 20.00 6% 14.40    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of IZZY IZZY by MIZZEN MAST)
SCR  LEGEND OF THE NILE         (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 120 15.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of LEGENDARY STACEY by INCLUDE)
SCR  DRUNKEN SAILOR         (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 115 4.50    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of EGOT by DEHERE)
SCR  ORE MINE Apr13         (hernandez)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of GEMSTONE by GEMOLOGIST)
CANDYMAKER         (ward a)ORTIZ JR 120 1.00 51% 1.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of CURUZU by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
BLACK WHITE N GOLD         (lauer mic)BERMUDEZ E 117 15.00 6% 15.20    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of FROSTING by FLATTER)
SCR  POSITIVE CHANGE         (livers charlie)PRESCOTT R 117 20.00    
  (by FOREVER D'ORO out of DIVINING CHANGE by LANGFUHR)
PRINCE COLTON         (elliott michel)SANJUR SANTO 120 15.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of HUMORISTIC by SEFAPIANO)
GOOD BALI         (arnold ge)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of IN GOOD COMPANY by SOUVENIR COPY)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.