Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Sunday - May 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (1/6/3/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/6/3/7/5)-(1/6/3/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/6/3/7/5)-(1/6/3/7/5)-(1/6/3/7/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/6/3/7/5)-(5/4/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3/7/5)-(5/4/3)-(6/4/2) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
HAW-2   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(6/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(6/4/2)-(7/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
HAW-3   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/2)-(7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2)-(7/2)-(5/1/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-4   WIN (7/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/2)-(7/2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2)-(7/2/4/5)-(7/2/4/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (7/2)-(5/1/4/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/2)-(5/1/4/6)-(5/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-5   WIN (5/1/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/4/6)-(5/1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/4/6)-(5/1/4/6)-(5/1/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/4/6)-(5/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4/6)-(5/8/3)-(5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-6   WIN (5/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/3)-(5/8/3/9/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/3)-(5/8/3/9/11)-(5/8/3/9/11) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/8/3)-(5/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/8/3)-(5/8)-(9/4/5/10/3) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
HAW-7   WIN (5/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/8)-(5/8/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/8)-(5/8/1/4)-(5/8/1/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (5/8)-(9/4/5/10/3) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
HAW-8   WIN (9/4/5/10/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/4/5/10/3)-(9/4/5/10/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/4/5/10/3)-(9/4/5/10/3)-(9/4/5/10/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   05/21/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIERRA HOTEL Mar05 Jan19 Jan05 Dec17 Oct22 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 122 2.50 30% 2.40    
2  BOURBON DELIGHT Apr20 Apr02 Mar12 Mar05 Jan19 (castro isidr)GILES EMMANUEL 117 20.00    
3  MOVE ON OVER Apr23 Mar23 Mar12 Dec30 Dec17 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 10.00 12% 7.50    
4  BAKENEKO Apr20 Apr13 Mar24 Mar09 Feb18 (rodriguez hug)HERNANDEZ K 122 5.00    
5  IOYA AGAIN Apr23 Mar24 Feb09 Dec31 Dec11 (cook brian)TAVARES JAVIER 122 4.50 9% 10.10    
6  MALIGATOR Sep23 Aug24 Jun24 Jun04 May20 (reid r)SANCHEZ DIEGO 122 10.00 16% 5.10    
7  DYNABLUE Apr23 Mar30 Mar16 Dec30 Dec04 (poulos dee)MOJICA O 122 6.00 10% 9.40    
8  DRAMATIC KITTEN Nov26 Nov13 Nov06 Oct15 Sep23 (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 122 30.00    
9  VITALE Apr15 Mar02 Dec30 Dec10 Nov20 (reavis micha)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00    
10  WHERE'D THE DAY GO May07 Apr13 Mar30 Nov11 Oct15 (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 122 20.00    
SCR  MISTER CHARMING Apr13 Mar19 Dec30 Dec17 Dec02 (spagnola ida)GILES EMMANUEL 117 15.00    
SCR  FLY NIGHTLY Mar04 Jan25 Jan11 Dec22 Oct12 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 3.50    
SCR  GO FOR SHERRIE May03 Nov16 Oct27 Sep26 Aug31 (manley steve)LEZCANO ABEL 122 6.00    
SCR  BIG BLUE Apr27 Apr02 Mar19 Dec09 Nov04 (winebaugh cher)COLON H 122 8.00    
 
HAW-2   05/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GAGOOTS May07 Apr20 Dec31 Dec16 Dec02 (watkins jame)TAVARES JAVIER 122 3.00    
2  IRISH MAJOR May07 Apr23 Apr16 Mar30 Mar12 (perez man)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 8.00    
3  BEHAVIN MYSELF May07 Apr20 Apr13 Mar12 Jan24 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 122 4.00 14% 6.00    
4  NOT VERY GENTLE Apr30 Apr16 Mar26 Dec16 Nov20 (haran john)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 3.50 27% 2.70    
5  PISTOL BOX Apr06 Dec31 Dec11 Nov18 Nov06 (kirby j)EMIGH A 122 2.00 31% 2.30    
6  KRAMDEN May07 Apr20 Apr03 Feb02 Jan10 (castro isidr)GILES EMMANUEL 117 8.00    
 
HAW-3   05/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  J Z'S FINE WINE Dec16 Nov26 Nov12     (zawitz joel)TAVARES JAVIER 118 8.00    
  (by V. E. DAY out of JO JO'S WINE by D'WILDCAT)
2  PACIFIC VIEW May11 Dec31       (clay pat)GILES EMMANUEL 113 6.00 15% 5.70    
  (by UNKNOWN out of INDIA'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
3  FREEDOM ATTACK May04 Apr18 Apr02 Mar12 Sep23 (childers va)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 4.00    
  (by FOREST ATTACK out of LUCKY LIPSTICK by LUCKY LIONEL)
4  BLAZE BEAUTY Apr06 Mar16 Nov12 Sep24   (essenpreis )ARRIETA REYNIER 118 2.00 15% 5.60    
  (by TAPITURE out of BRIDAL ARCH by ARCHARCHARCH)
SCR  BUGSY'S WAVE RYDER May09 Jul30 Jul16 Jul02 Jun14 (pompell rober)HERNANDEZ K 124 20.00    
  (by MT WAVERLY out of K L RYDER by HOSS 'N RYDER)
6  POSITIONDUMONI Apr27 Apr06 Mar16 Oct23 Oct01 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 1.60 36% 1.80    
  (by WELL POSITIONED out of WINDUMONI by DUMAANI)
 
HAW-4   05/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHRISTMAS PRESENT May11 Apr27 Apr09 Mar05 Dec31 (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 122 15.00    
2  D'FEVER Apr23 Mar19 Mar09 Dec17 Nov18 (dizeo dino)MOJICA O 124 5.00 11% 8.00    
3  TAPIT SAM May04 Apr20 Mar30 Mar12 Feb16 (reavis micha)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 6.00    
4  KING TITO Apr22 Apr09 Mar19 Mar05 Dec17 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 10.00 ★    
5  BORN AGAIN GEORGE May11 Apr21 Mar24 Mar15 Feb04 (clay pat)GILES EMMANUEL 117 20.00 ★    
6  MUD ISLAND May06 Apr22 Apr06 Dec31 Dec10 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 122 8.00    
7  ALEBRIJE Apr13 Feb24 Feb12 Jan05 Oct27 (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 122 0.80 65% 0.50    
8  DEVIL'S RULE May04 Apr20 Apr09 Mar19 Mar05 (cook brian)TAVARES JAVIER 122 8.00    
 
HAW-5   05/21/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IAN GLASS Mar18 Jan28 Dec21 Nov26 Oct23 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 5.00 18% 4.40    
SCR  NOTARY Apr29 Mar21 Mar12 Jan22 Jun19 (mason ingrid)LEZCANO ABEL 122 20.00    
3  KENNESAW Apr06 Mar12 Feb23 Jan05 Oct30 (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 122 20.00    
4  PROTONIC POWER Apr16 Mar10 Feb04 Jan07 Oct21 (hernandez ar)GILES EMMANUEL 117 4.00 10% 9.00    
5  CAPTIVATING MOON Jan14 Dec26 Nov13 Jun25 May28 (goldfine micke)COLON H 122 3.50 41% 1.50    
6  SAMYAZA Nov12 Oct21 Sep08 Aug31 Aug20 (robertson hugh)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 10.00 9% 9.60    
7  DOWAGIAC CHIEF Apr22 Sep14 Jun22 May07 Apr02 (amoss m)MOJICA O 122 3.00    
8  GREY STREAK Mar10 Feb17 Jan18 Nov09 Oct04 (rodriguez hu)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 20.00    
SCR  BLAZEN ROAD Apr06 Nov04 Oct14 Oct01 Sep10 (manley stev)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 30.00    
10  ICE BLAST Apr30 Mar12 Feb10 Sep28 Sep14 (mason ingrid)FELIX E 122 10.00    
 
HAW-6   05/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  C F V NOBODYCARES Apr27 Apr16 Mar23 Mar09 Mar09 (reyes martin)REYES ANGEL 124 15.00    
2  ONE ACE Feb17         (quinonez )ULLOA JOAN 118 30.00    
3  LIGHTNING CASHES May04 Mar23 Mar09 Jan19 Dec17 (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 118 10.00 11% 8.10    
4  BREAKFAST IN BED Dec05 Nov22 Nov09 Oct31   (castro isidr)GILES EMMANUEL 119 20.00    
5  STAN THE CAMERAMAN May04 Apr16 Mar23 Mar03 Feb12 (poulos de)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 3.00 42% 1.40    
6  NAGY AND DA BEARS Apr22 Mar09 Dec30 Dec10 Nov27 (witthauer )SIMPSON M 124 15.00    
7  SANTINO'S FANTASY May04 Apr07 Feb26 Feb10 Jan20 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 118 3.50    
8  DEVLISH HOUR Apr07 Dec16 Sep15 Jul28   (robertson hugh)MOJICA O 124 4.00 26% 2.90    
9  WICKED SUPRISE May04 Apr27 Apr09 Mar23 Mar09 (cook brian)TAVARES JAVIER 124 10.00 ★    
SCR  NORMANDY ANGEL May04 Apr13 Nov25 Oct22 Oct01 (reyes martin)LOPEZ A 118 30.00    
11  PROCHARGER May06 Mar31 Feb12 Jan15 Sep21 (mason ingrid)FELIX E 118 8.00 ★    
 
HAW-7   05/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Third Chance Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHITE LIES Apr30 Dec02 Nov11 Oct22 Oct08 (miller r)EMIGH A 118 8.00 ★    
  (by PALACE out of MILITARY MAMA by INCLUDE)
2  RONAN May14 Apr30 Apr13 Dec31 Nov25 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 15.00    
  (by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL out of SWAN PEAK by BROAD BRUSH)
SCR  PURR SEA Oct22 Oct08 Sep24 Aug30 Aug03 (boyce miche)SANTIAGO VICTOR 118 3.50    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of KITTY'S CASTLE by CASHEL CASTLE)
4  ISABELLACANNETELLA Apr30 Mar23 Dec10 Nov25 Oct30 (jones s)TAVARES JAVIER 118 10.00 ★    
  (by GHAALEB out of CANNETELLA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
5  OEUVRE May05 Apr15 Feb21 Jan14 Dec03 (goldfine a)MOJICA O 125 1.40 58% 0.70    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of LOVE THIS KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
6  WAY TOO SMARTE Apr25 Apr09 Mar23 Dec31 Dec18 (pompell robert)ORM CORY 118 20.00    
  (by BRAVE 'N AWAY out of HOOSIER SMARTE by MARTE)
7  COWGIRL FRANKIE May04 Apr18 Mar16 Dec31 Dec11 (rednour john)GILES EMMANUEL 118 30.00    
  (by WAR CORRESPONDENT out of LITTLE RED WITCH by KITALPHA)
8  CAT ATTACK Dec02 Nov11 Oct08 Sep24 Aug15 (boyce michele)COLON H 118 4.50 19% 4.20    
  (by GET STORMY out of KITTY'S CASTLE by CASHEL CASTLE)
SCR  RAINY MOUNTAIN May14 Apr23 Mar30 Dec31 Dec11 (kirby j)FELIX E 120 15.00    
  (by KING'S EMPIRE out of ATLANTIC STORM R N by STORMY ATLANTIC)
 
HAW-8   05/21/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELECTRIC CHARGE Apr30 Apr02 Mar16 Dec31 Dec16 (quinonez max)LEZCANO ABEL 124 8.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of BEAT TO QUARTERS by WAR FRONT)
2  CHERRY ORCHARD May04 Apr13 Mar19     (slager mike)ORM CORY 118 30.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of STARVING ARTIST by PAYNTER)
3  SMILING STORMY         (reyes martin)TAVARES JAVIER 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of FAYREEN by ELITE SQUADRON)
4  AQUACAT Jan11 Dec17 Sep25 Aug05 Jun24 (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 124 3.00 25% 3.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of SNUCK A LITTLE FUN by CONGRATS)
5  MINING CAMP May11 Apr23 Apr13 Mar19 Mar05 (slager le)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 8.00 10% 9.50    
  (by GIO PONTI out of KALUGA by UNCLE MO)
6  ALL CHOKED UP         (divito james)GILES EMMANUEL 119 15.00    
  (by KLIMT out of NEVERTHESAME by SCAT DADDY)
7  THREE ROUGH SHODS May04         (robertson h)SANTIAGO VICTOR 118 5.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of ART FAN by LEAR FAN)
8  ICE VORTEX Sep25 Aug26       (perez manny)HERNANDEZ K 124 10.00    
  (by GIO PONTI out of WHITE BULLET by LAWYER RON)
9  OUT OF DEDUCTIONS Apr07         (goldfine a)MOJICA O 118 5.00 32% 2.10    
  (by NYQUIST out of GIANT DEDUCTION by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
10  MO TIME AT ALL Apr13 Mar01 Jan22     (berndt jo)ULLOA JOAN 124 4.50 7% 14.20    
  (by UNCLE MO out of OLD TIME CHICAGO by STREET SENSE)
SCR  COOL AND COLLECTED         (goldfine mic)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 6.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of FORT PRADA by FORT PRADO)
SCR  PONCHO ATTACK Sep13 Aug16 Jul29     (childers vance)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 30.00    
  (by FOREST ATTACK out of MISS GIGI by CRIMSON CLASSIC)
SCR  SHARP AZ NAILS Mar05 Feb03 Jan07 Dec09 Nov11 (winebaugh cher)COLON H 118 5.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of SPRING by STRAVINSKY)
SCR  MONEY AGENT         (perez man)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 20.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of QUEST TO PEAK by DISTANT VIEW)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.