Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Sunday - May 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(4/5)-(4/1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
HAW-2   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/5)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(4/1/3)-(6/11/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-3   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(6/11/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(6/11/1/7)-(2/6/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-4   WIN (6/11/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/11/1/7)-(6/11/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/11/1/7)-(6/11/1/7)-(6/11/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/11/1/7)-(2/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/11/1/7)-(2/6/3)-(5/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-5   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/3)-(5/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3)-(5/2/1)-(5/12/13/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-6   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(5/12/13/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(5/12/13/9)-(6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-7   WIN (5/12/13/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/12/13/9)-(5/12/13/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/12/13/9)-(5/12/13/9)-(5/12/13/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/12/13/9)-(6/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
HAW-8   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5/8/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5)-(6/5/8/1)-(6/5/8/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   05/14/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AIKEN TO BE TAKIN Apr29 Dec31 Dec10 Nov27 Nov06 (childers )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 3.50    
2  SPENDER Dec11 Nov20       (bahena fernando)MOJICA O 122 6.00 13% 7.00    
3  WEEKEND PASS May04 Apr27 Apr09 Mar16 Dec31 (hughes w)SANCHEZ DIEGO 122 4.00    
4  JERSEY GOLD Apr19 Mar18 Mar02 Feb01 Nov22 (nesbitt amy)TAVARES JAVIER 122 1.80 15% 5.60    
5  IMAGINE GOLD Dec11 Nov25 Oct28 Oct02 Sep13 (quinonez max)GILES EMMANUEL 117 2.50 44% 1.30    
 
HAW-2   05/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SON OF GRACE Apr30 Apr13 Mar26 Jan06 Dec10 (hughes w)SANCHEZ DIEGO 122 6.00    
2  LUCKY SHOT May07 Mar19 Dec31 Dec10 Oct30 (poulos dee)MOJICA O 122 3.00    
SCR  BLOOMING GARDEN Apr30 Apr02 Dec30 Dec04 Nov20 (rodriguez jo)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00    
4  RUSSIAN ALPHABET Apr16 Mar23 Sep17 Aug19 Mar04 (perez manny)GILES EMMANUEL 119 0.80 34% 1.90    
5  DEORA STORE Apr30 Apr13 Mar30 Mar12 Dec30 (hughes earl )TAVARES JAVIER 122 4.50 27% 2.70    
 
HAW-3   05/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLASSOFSIXTYSEVEN Dec30 Dec18 Nov27 Nov13 Oct07 (young terry)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 4.00 13% 7.00    
2  CHIEF MYSTIQUE Apr27 Apr16 Mar23 Mar09 Feb14 (hernandez ja)TAVARES JAVIER 124 6.00    
3  FAITHFUL KING Apr27 Apr09 Mar26 Nov25   (vanden britt)EMIGH A 116 5.00 11% 8.10    
4  BIRDIE MACHINE Apr27 Nov04 Sep14 Aug18   (berndt jo)ULLOA JOAN 122 1.80 51% 0.90    
5  CAPTAIN CARNEGIE Apr23 Mar23 Mar12 Dec30 Dec18 (ryan a)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 10.00    
6  SOVIET STANDARD Apr27 Apr13 Mar23 Mar09 Dec17 (perez manny)GILES EMMANUEL 111 3.00    
 
HAW-4   05/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SECRET OPERATION Apr23 Mar26 Dec30     (slager mike)HUGHES CARLY 118 6.00 13% 6.80    
  (by BELOMOR out of I'M SO BEAUTIFUL by GRAND SLAM)
SCR  THEMISCHIEVOUSONE Dec03         (goldfine micke)COLON H 118 8.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MADISON MAYHEM by DISTORTED HUMOR)
3  ROLL GYPSY ROLL Feb04 Jan14 Dec03 Sep09 Aug07 (scherer gary)WADE LYNDIE 118 4.00    
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of STORMY DIXIE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
4  JOYZELLA Apr23 Apr06 Mar12 Dec30 Dec03 (spagnola ida)GILES EMMANUEL 113 4.50    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of TIZ TERESA by TIZNOW)
SCR  MISS HIGH N MIGHTY Apr09 Dec02 Oct21 Sep30 Aug15 (ramirez carlos)LOPEZ A 124 30.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of OAK MARSH by FIRST SAMURAI)
6  I OWE UNCLE MO         (goldfine a)MOJICA O 118 3.50 42% 1.40    
  (by UNCLE MO out of I O IRELAND by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
7  LOTTA ROSES Apr30 Apr02 Mar18 Feb25 Feb09 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 15.00 6% 15.30    
  (by CUPID out of ROMANETTE by ALLEGED)
8  VOSTRA Dec16 Nov26 Oct15     (jones s)TAVARES JAVIER 118 30.00    
  (by FORT LARNED out of WANDAFUL WANDAFUL by HERO'S TRIBUTE)
SCR  CHECKED PERFECT Mar23         (west w)HERNANDEZ K 124 5.00    
  (by PERFECT SOUL (IRE) out of UNCHECKED by UNBRIDLED)
SCR  VISIONISTA Apr27 Mar25 Mar09 Feb05 Jan21 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 118 12.00    
  (by COURT VISION out of MISS PITTY PAT by DATA LINK)
11  ALLOTROPE Apr27         (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 118 5.00 14% 5.90    
  (by GIRVIN out of ADIOS VICKY by ADIOS CHARLIE)
 
HAW-5   05/14/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRONGENOUGHSTORM Apr27 Apr06 Mar05 Aug15 Aug02 (reyes martin)REYES ANGEL 124 6.00    
2  PRETTY IN PRADO Apr30 Apr02 Mar12 Dec16 Dec02 (boyce miche)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 2.00 41% 1.40    
3  EVIE JEAN Apr30 Apr20 Apr06 Mar19 Mar05 (ryan a)GILES EMMANUEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  GYURZA Apr27 Apr20 Sep17 Aug21   (perez man)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 10.00    
5  LIL CARRIE D Apr23 Mar12 Dec30 Dec16 Nov12 (slager mike)SANCHEZ DIEGO 118 4.50    
6  ARRINGTON Apr26 Dec30 Nov23 Nov11 Oct29 (meraz antonio)LOPEZ A 118 1.60 26% 2.90    
 
HAW-6   05/14/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MILLARD'S SMILE Apr27 Feb26 Feb03 Jan26 Nov12 (rodriguez edua)LEZCANO ABEL 122 1.80 16% 5.10    
2  GUN RUSH Apr27 Apr01 Mar04 Feb11 Jan28 (watkins jame)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  T J MUNNINGS Apr27 Apr16 Mar31 Mar15 Feb25 (hernandez ja)TAVARES JAVIER 122 12.00    
4  COMING UP ACES Apr27 Mar19 Dec30 Dec17 Dec02 (miller r)MOJICA O 122 8.00    
5  AVIANO Apr27 Mar31 Mar17 Feb18 Jan19 (meraz antonio)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 3.50 41% 1.40    
SCR  UNCLE NICK Apr20 Apr02 Mar16 Feb23 Jan12 (rodriguez eduar)WADE LYNDIE 122 10.00    
7  ROCKET HOTSHOT Apr27 Apr16 Mar16 Dec30 Dec17 (spagnola ida)GILES EMMANUEL 117 6.00    
 
HAW-7   05/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEEALEA Apr27 Apr06 Dec04 Nov13 Oct23 (rodriguez)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 10.00    
2  SUPER WISE Apr06 Mar04 Feb21 Feb04 Jan08 (scherer gary)WADE LYNDIE 122 10.00    
SCR  JEALOUS EYES Apr27 Mar16 Feb17 Jan28 Dec31 (winebaugh cher)COLON H 122 3.50    
SCR  POWER THROUGH Nov12 Oct15 Oct07 Aug31 Aug09 (goldfine a)MOJICA O 122 1.80    
5  DRIVEN ONE Apr21 Feb25 Feb05 Jan08 Dec17 (mason ingrid)FELIX E 122 6.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  RUSSIAN HAMMER May04 Apr23 Mar26 Mar05 Dec30 (perez manny)GILES EMMANUEL 111 20.00    
7  BALADINE Apr13 Mar16 Dec30 Dec11 Nov19 (poulos dee)LEZCANO ABEL 122 15.00    
SCR  SIMPLE LOGIC Oct07 Sep07 Aug15 Jul18 Jun25 (goldfine a)EMIGH A 122 8.00    
9  ANDTHETHUNDERROLLS Apr23 Dec17 Dec04 Nov20 Oct28 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 20.00 6% 15.50    
10  GLOBAL EMPIRE Apr27 Apr06 Mar16 Mar05 Dec10 (spagnola ida)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 12.00    
SCR  ASTI SKY Apr23 Apr06 Mar19 Dec30 Dec17 (cristel mark)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 15.00    
12  PINEDALE Apr23 Mar30 Dec30 Dec02 Nov12 (cristel mark)GILES EMMANUEL 117 6.00 13% 6.60    
13  WELLER ROGUE Mar30 Mar06 Feb04 Jan21 Dec18 (reavis michael)LEZCANO ABEL 122 8.00 13% 6.70    
SCR  RALLY SQUIRREL Apr26 Mar16 Jan19 Dec08 Oct07 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 4.50    
 
HAW-8   05/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORMY EMPIRE Apr23 Apr02 Mar12 Dec31 Dec18 (kirby j)EMIGH A 122 4.50 ★    
2  I DON'T KNOW MARGO Apr20 Mar30 Oct15 Sep23 Sep02 (pompell rober)HERNANDEZ K 124 12.00    
3  MYSTIC STORM Mar23 Feb10 Jan28 Oct14 Sep23 (robertson hugh)WADE LYNDIE 116 8.00    
4  CRYSTAL SNOW Apr20 Mar30 Mar09 Feb15 Jan12 (cristel mark)GILES EMMANUEL 117 6.00    
5  DREAM STREAK Apr29 Mar31 Mar10 Jan29 Jan05 (rosin w)MOJICA O 122 3.00 6% 14.60    
6  RAINY MOUNTAIN Apr23 Mar30 Dec31 Dec11 Nov13 (kirby frank)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 4.00 64% 0.60    
7  RONAN Apr30 Apr13 Dec31 Nov25 Sep30 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 6.00    
8  AVASARALA Apr23 Mar26 Mar05 Jan04 Dec18 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 8.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.