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The Longshot Specialist!
Parx Racing
Monday - May 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRX-1   WIN (8/4/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/7/2)-(8/4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/7/2)-(8/4/7/2)-(8/4/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/7/2)-(3/1/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/4/7/2)-(3/1/8/5)-(6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PRX-2   WIN (3/1/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/8/5)-(3/1/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/8/5)-(3/1/8/5)-(3/1/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/8/5)-(6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (3/1/8/5)-(6)-(3/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
PRX-3   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (6)-(6/2/3/4) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (6)-(6/2/3/4)-(6/2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6)-(3/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (6)-(3/7)-(3/10/9/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
PRX-4   WIN (3/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/7)-(3/7/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7)-(3/7/1/6)-(3/7/1/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/7)-(3/10/9/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/7)-(3/10/9/4)-(5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PRX-5   WIN (3/10/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/10/9/4)-(3/10/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/10/9/4)-(3/10/9/4)-(3/10/9/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/10/9/4)-(5/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/10/9/4)-(5/8)-(3/7/12) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRX-6   WIN (5/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/8)-(5/8/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/8)-(5/8/7/2)-(5/8/7/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (5/8)-(3/7/12) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/8)-(3/7/12)-(2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRX-7   WIN (3/7/12) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/12)-(3/7/12) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/12)-(3/7/12)-(3/7/12) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/12)-(2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/7/12)-(2/4)-(5/4/8) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRX-8   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/4/5/7)-(2/4/5/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/4)-(5/4/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(5/4/8)-(6/10/7/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRX-9   WIN (5/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/8)-(5/4/8/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/8)-(5/4/8/3/1)-(5/4/8/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/4/8)-(6/10/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRX-10   WIN (6/10/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/10/7/4)-(6/10/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/10/7/4)-(6/10/7/4)-(6/10/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRX-1   05/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXCITABLE LADY Mar20 Feb22 Feb01 Jan02 Dec12 (arce josue)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 2.50    
2  J J LOVES BILLY Apr26 Apr12 Mar28 Mar13 Feb22 (hogan william)PEREZ M 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  FALL CAMPAIGN Apr26 Apr11 Mar31 Mar22 Feb01 (diaz jorge)RUIZ ELISEO 116 15.00    
4  KENAI COOL Apr26 Apr12 Mar13 Mar01 Feb14 (crowell susan)RIVERA D 123 5.00 11% 7.90    
5  ANGINETTI Apr04 Feb14 Feb01 Jan09 Dec12 (lee r)CASTILLO A 123 10.00    
6  MS. MALEVOLENCE Apr20 Apr01 Mar12 Feb17 Feb03 (nazario pedro)VIVES SOFIA 116 4.50    
7  QUASAR Apr19 Mar21 Feb28 Jan30 Jan04 (soto c)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 8.00 8% 11.80    
8  LIVE AID Apr19 Mar07 Feb15 Jan24 Jan17 (pattersh)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 4.00 38% 1.60    
 
PRX-2   05/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAST INTENTIONS Mar29 Mar07 Feb07 Jan25 Jan09 (farro patri)NUNEZ Y 123 8.00 22% 3.70    
2  ADHWAA Mar28 Mar20 Feb17 Feb01 Jan11 (ramirez silvino)RUIZ ELISEO 116 3.00    
3  BLUNT FORCE Apr24 Mar28 Mar20 Feb22 Feb06 (simone michae)SILVERA RUBEN 126 4.00 26% 2.80    
4  PENANCE Apr24 Mar29 Mar15 Feb14 Feb01 (castillo sanc)RIVERA D 123 10.00    
5  REITERATE Mar28 Mar09 Feb15 Jan17 Dec14 (wyner harold)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 5.00 9% 9.90    
6  KNOCK OUT KID Apr26 Apr12 Mar28 Feb22 Feb01 (santaella-ca)HERNANDEZ ANDY 126 6.00    
7  THE BIGGEST ONE Mar28 Feb22 Jan24 Dec20 Dec07 (crowell susan )MOYA F 123 15.00    
8  AFLEET DIVA Apr04 Mar07 Feb07 Jan09 Dec08 (soto- marti)RAMOS C 123 6.00 11% 7.70    
SCR  BOCA ROYALTY Apr04 Mar28 Mar01 Feb07 Jan30 (wilson brenda)TREJOS JOSEPH 123 6.00    
 
PRX-3   05/08/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARLY'S CHOO CHOO Mar21 Feb15 Jan24 Dec20 Dec06 (tzortzakis e)RANGEL JOEZER 126 15.00    
2  ESCANDALO Apr17 Mar21 Feb15 Jan24 Jan09 (brown r)VIVES SOFIA 119 4.00 ★    
3  GLADIATORA Nov25 Oct30 Oct09 Sep18 Sep03 (romero rafa)RAMOS C 120 3.00 ★    
4  QUEENPIN Apr21 Mar21 Feb18 Nov18 Sep15 (taylor joseph)BOWMAN ADAM 120 6.00 ★    
5  COUSIN MARIE Apr05 Mar22 Feb14 Jun21 May30 (dotolo david)HADDOCK DEXTER 126 15.00    
6  AZTEC QUEEN Apr04 Mar07 Feb21 Jan16   (padilla-prec)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 1.60 65% 0.50    
7  COLLEGE TRY Feb22 Feb14 Jan17 Nov02 Sep27 (pessanha ney)ROLDAN FELISHA 119 15.00    
 
PRX-4   05/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FROSTED WILD RIDE Apr26 Apr10 Mar21 Feb08 Jan25 (romero rafa)RAMOS C 123 4.00 ★    
2  TWIRLING WIND Apr26 Apr19 Mar21 Feb22 Jan25 (tapsas elias)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 6.00    
3  YELLOW DRESS Apr03 Mar20 Mar01 Feb14 Jan16 (linder louis)TORRES A 118 3.50 59% 0.70    
SCR  CLASSY MISS Apr19 Apr03 Mar15 Feb28 Feb08 (tapsas elias)RIVERA D 123 6.00    
5  SWEET LILLY FACTUM Apr19 Apr10 Feb28 Feb08 Jan30 (nicholson junio)RUIZ ELISEO 116 8.00    
6  DON'T TELL FRANKIE Apr10 Mar28 Feb14 Jan25 Jan09 (pollara l)BOWMAN ADAM 123 6.00 ★    
7  POWWA OF LOVE Apr10 Mar21 Feb28 Jan30 Jan17 (noble jame)SANCHEZ J 123 4.50 15% 5.90    
8  LULINDA'S HEART Apr19 Mar28 Mar21 Feb08 Jan10 (st uriah)VIVES SOFIA 116 8.00    
 
PRX-5   05/08/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DISTRACTANDATTACK Apr25 Apr11 Mar21 Mar01 Feb08 (guerrero g)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 6.00    
2  DRENA'S BULLET Apr18 Apr04 Mar27 Mar01 Feb20 (bouchard leslye)RUIZ ELISEO 116 8.00    
3  SCREEN SAVER Apr24 Mar28 Mar07 Jan30 Dec21 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 3.50 26% 2.80    
4  SAMURAI SAINT Apr24 Mar30 Feb02 Jan19 Jan04 (solis jacinto)PENNINGTON F 123 6.00 7% 13.30    
SCR  OUTRAGEOUS BET Apr19 Apr05 Mar29 Mar08 Feb06 (tapsas elias)RIVERA D 123 10.00    
6  RELISHMENT Apr18 Apr03 Feb28 Feb22 Feb06 (simone michae)TREJOS JOSEPH 126 4.50    
7  MIRACLE SILVER Apr19 Mar21 Mar04 Feb10 Jan18 (nazario ped)WOLFSONT ANDREW 123 10.00    
SCR  WHAT'S TO BLAME Apr25 Mar22 Feb21 Jan10 Dec06 (simone mic)SANCHEZ J 126 3.00    
9  OFF THE MEDS Apr02 Mar16 Feb22 Feb14 Jan27 (farro patric)HERNANDEZ ANDY 123 8.00 15% 5.60    
10  MUCHO MACHO EDDIE Apr19 Mar29 Mar06 Feb20 Jan10 (romero alexis)BOWMAN ADAM 123 15.00 16% 5.20    
 
PRX-6   05/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($28K) 3 F PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KATE'S CUBAN KISS         (krebs steven)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 8.00    
2  NEECIE MARIE Apr04         (reid e)VIVES SOFIA 114 8.00 ★    
3  JSK LUCKY'S PUSHPA Feb07         (lake a)OCASIO M 121 8.00    
SCR  BLANCHIMENT Apr04 Mar21 Jan28 Jan12 Dec02 (lake a)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 8.00    
5  BLAME CATALAYA Oct21 Aug12       (pecoraro anthony)ROSE J 121 4.00 47% 1.10    
6  BET THE HOWES Mar26 Dec22       (cibelli jan)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 6.00    
7  WILDCAT GIRL Mar14 Feb08 Jan23 Nov11 Oct21 (solis jacinto)SILVERA RUBEN 121 5.00 ★    
8  BACK TO D' FUTURE Apr04 Mar10 Feb08 Jan17 Nov07 (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 121 8.00 22% 3.60    
9  LITTLE DOYLE Oct12         (lynch cath)SANCHEZ J 121 3.00    
 
PRX-7   05/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AHSAD Apr25 Apr03 Mar22 Feb21 Feb13 (kirby t)OCASIO M 126 6.00    
2  MANAHAWKIN Apr25 Apr04 Mar07 Feb14 Jan31 (lee hale)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 4.00    
3  ENRAGED Mar22 Dec07 Aug24 Jul25 Jun15 (catalano m)SANCHEZ J 123 3.50 57% 0.70    
SCR  TRADERS LUCK Apr05 Mar10 Dec27 Nov30 Nov16 (guerrero g)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 8.00 ★    
5  SPLITZVILLE Apr26 Apr12 Apr04 Mar21 Mar06 (hogan william)PEREZ M 123 10.00    
SCR  MY DEVILS CHILD Apr12 Mar30 Mar09 Feb08 Jan19 (dominguez m)RAMOS C 123 10.00    
7  NINE TOE JOHNNY Apr11 Mar20 Feb22 Jan18 Jan02 (shaw j)HERNANDEZ ANDY 123 10.00 12% 7.50    
SCR  STRONG BREEZE Apr24 Apr04 Feb27 Feb07 Jan04 (abrams ronald)SILVERA RUBEN 123 8.00    
9  JARLIAN Apr11 Mar21 Feb28 Jan31 Dec21 (king clarenc)TORRES A 118 8.00    
10  MAGNETRON Apr24 Apr11 Mar20 Mar07 Feb21 (wyner harold)CASTILLO A 123 4.50    
SCR  READY AND RICH Apr04 Mar23 Feb17 Jan11 Dec09 (velazquez danie)VIVES SOFIA 116 12.00    
12  POSITIVELY AWESOME May01 Apr12 Mar22 Feb21 Jan18 (diaz jorge)ROLDAN FELISHA 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRX-8   05/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL KING Apr19 Mar05 Feb10 Jan13 Jan29 (maker michael)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.50    
2  FOR THE DREAMERS Mar20 Feb06 Jan11 Nov16 Sep14 (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 123 3.50 63% 0.60    
3  TALENTED MAN Aug22 Aug04 Jul25 Jun25 Jun03 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 123 6.00    
4  MR SANDMAN Apr11 Jan11 Dec07 Nov16 Aug23 (allen randy)LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 6.00 11% 8.00    
5  CAPTAIN CHAZZ Mar01 Feb06 Jan16 Dec05 Nov28 (noble jame)SANCHEZ J 123 6.00 ★    
6  SPIRIT'S HERO Dec19 Nov09 Oct11 Sep21 Aug22 (curry dee)TREJOS JOSEPH 123 20.00    
7  MITROPANOS Mar31 Mar13 Feb08     (zalalas mic)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 6.00 ★    
8  DANCE CODE Mar15 Mar01 Feb06 Nov23 Sep24 (romero rafael)BOWMAN ADAM 123 4.00    
 
PRX-9   05/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHERO Apr18 Feb15 Jan24 Nov23 Oct21 (smith everton)SILVERA RUBEN 123 5.00 ★    
2  IN MY OPINION Mar27 Feb21 Jan18 Dec14 Nov06 (bedard alan)WOLFSONT ANDREW 123 12.00    
3  HEY MAMALUKE Mar18 Feb15 Jan24 Oct19 Aug22 (farro pa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 4.00 ★    
4  EARLY EDITION Apr03 Mar03 Feb07 Dec07 Nov23 (mcmullin stacy)ADORNO ABNER 123 4.50 23% 3.40    
5  CENTRE COURT CHAMP Mar07 Feb15 Jan24 Jan04 Dec12 (mosco robert)OCASIO M 123 3.50 37% 1.70    
6  MY BEAUTIFUL BELLE Mar07 Jan24 Oct19 Oct03 Sep10 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 123 6.00    
7  DECO STRONG Apr15 Mar24 Mar07 Jan24 Jan04 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 123 8.00    
8  GOLDEN TABBY Nov23 Oct24 Sep15 Aug22 Jul13 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 6.00 19% 4.20    
9  AKEMI Mar27 Mar11 Feb14 Jan17 Jan03 (cole-davis ti)TREJOS JOSEPH 123 12.00    
 
PRX-10   05/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3 ALL PT- 4:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IT'S A PITY Apr18 Mar20 Mar06 Feb07 Jan24 (whylie herold)OCASIO M 121 12.00    
2  POP SOCKS Mar12 Nov20 Oct27 Sep22   (martin clyd)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 15.00    
SCR  EL GRAN CUYAYA Apr17 Mar22 Feb09 Jan13 Dec29 (lake a)TREJOS JOSEPH 121 4.50    
4  JSK PHARAOH'SREIGN Apr18         (noble f)BOWMAN ADAM 121 10.00 10% 9.30    
5  CAYMAN'S SECRET Apr18         (coletti edward )RUIZ ELISEO 114 15.00    
6  STORMY FIRE Apr18 Mar29 Mar01     (coletti edward )VIVES SOFIA 114 6.00 32% 2.10    
7  NORLANDER Apr17 Mar28 Feb27 Jan03   (reid e)ADORNO ABNER 121 3.50 11% 8.50    
8  RUN FOR KARL Apr18 Apr10 Mar22 Feb14 Jan11 (wyner harol)RAMOS C 121 4.00    
SCR  SHADOW BAY Mar08 Jan23 Oct26 Oct07 Jun15 (romero)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 8.00    
10  SECRET THUNDER Apr18 Mar29 Dec02 Oct02 Aug25 (vega richard)TORRES A 116 6.00 23% 3.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.