Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Evangeline Downs
Thursday - April 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EVD-1   WIN (1/6/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/8/4)-(1/6/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/8/4)-(1/6/8/4)-(1/6/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/8/4)-(1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/8/4)-(1/6/3)-(3/6/4/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-2   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(3/6/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3)-(3/6/4/7)-(5/6/7/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-3   WIN (3/6/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/4/7)-(3/6/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/4/7)-(3/6/4/7)-(3/6/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/4/7)-(5/6/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4/7)-(5/6/7/2)-(6/4/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-4   WIN (5/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/7/2)-(5/6/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/7/2)-(5/6/7/2)-(5/6/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/7/2)-(6/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/7/2)-(6/4/3)-(2/3/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
EVD-5   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/3/1)-(6/4/3/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/4/3)-(2/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3)-(2/3/5)-(5/11/10/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
EVD-6   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5/7)-(2/3/5/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(5/11/10/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(5/11/10/6)-(10/3/11) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
EVD-7   WIN (5/11/10/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/11/10/6)-(5/11/10/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/11/10/6)-(5/11/10/6/7)-(5/11/10/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/11/10/6)-(10/3/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
EVD-8   WIN (10/3/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/3/11)-(10/3/11) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (10/3/11)-(10/3/11)-(10/3/11) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EVD-1   04/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  G E H GIANTS WAY Feb23 Feb09 Jan26 Jan12 Dec01 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 2.00 31% 2.20    
2  CUSTOM DANCER Feb23 Feb02 Dec14 Nov22 Nov12 (magnon jas)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 15.00    
3  MIDGE'S TIME Feb28 Jan20 Dec01     (rubin donal)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 20.00    
4  RIDGEPOINT ROAD Mar12 Feb20 Dec11 Nov19 Oct30 (pomier chase)BARRERA J 113 8.00 9% 10.30    
5  CHELSEA'S GLORY Feb21 Feb02 Jan07 Dec15 Dec01 (magnon jaso)LEDET THEODRICK 120 12.00    
6  AUTUMN'S SO FLASHY Mar26 Mar08 Jan29 Jan08 Dec16 (carter ang)ALBERT S 115 3.50 24% 3.20    
7  CALL ME FIREY Feb09 Jan25 Dec29 Dec07   (dison m)POMPELL L 118 5.00    
8  WILDCATS'S MEOW Jan06         (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 3.00 10% 9.20    
 
EVD-2   04/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NUGGET OF GRACE Feb16 Jan27 Jan11 Dec28 Dec16 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 4.50 16% 5.20    
2  HALF A BUCK Feb18 Jan27 Dec27 Dec08 Nov17 (gonzalez v)STOKES J 120 8.00    
3  CHIEF CHARLIE Feb18 Jan11 Nov23 Sep16 Jul14 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 123 2.50 14% 6.10    
4  SLOW Feb10 Oct22 May31 Feb23 Feb12 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 120 20.00    
5  MO VODKA Feb28 Feb10 Jan21 Jan11 Dec16 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 123 12.00    
6  SHARP CHARLIE Mar11 Feb16 Dec27 Nov30 Aug09 (thomas lee)POMPELL L 120 4.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  BRYKEN N MITCHELL Dec16 Dec02 Nov10 Nov02 Oct14 (landry jacoby)MCMAHON J 120 2.00 24% 3.10    
8  TROPHY DADDY Feb12 Jan27 Dec30 Dec01 Sep24 (antwine mich)BARRERA J 118 15.00    
 
EVD-3   04/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOLLY'S GUITAR Apr07 Mar12 Feb10 Jan13 Dec22 (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 115 15.00    
2  JACKS RUN WILD Mar22 Feb23       (woodley j)THORNTON G 120 8.00    
3  MYDEALOFTHEDAY Mar11 Jan26 Dec07 Oct29 Aug27 (constantine c)VARGAS P 120 3.50 20% 4.00    
4  LIL ADEAU Mar11 Feb24 Feb11 Jan21 Dec01 (breaux samue)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 1.80 14% 6.20    
5  SASSY EMMA Feb28 Feb03 Jan13 Dec08 Oct28 (chatters ben)NIEVES EMANUEL 123 12.00    
6  LA TRESS GRAY Dec29 Sep06 Jul22 Jun16 Mar04 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 2.50 20% 4.00    
7  DREAM ON IT Mar22 May27 Apr15 Mar04   (schwandt emi)BARRERA J 115 5.00 9% 10.10    
 
EVD-4   04/20/2023 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET PRESENT Mar19 Feb19 Jan20 Dec19 Oct29 (rangel raul)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 10.00    
2  STEP ON IT Feb17 Dec20 Dec08 Oct06   (pike l)MCMAHON J 118 5.00 6% 17.00    
3  ALWAYS LOGAN Dec29 Nov16       (briley lon)ALBERT S 113 20.00    
SCR  NEPHI Apr07 Feb20 Jan19 Nov26   (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 20.00    
5  LET'S GO RANDOM Mar15 Feb24 Feb03 Jan07 Dec23 (richards coral)THORNTON G 118 2.00 44% 1.30    
6  ASTERN BANKER Feb20 Feb03       (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 4.00 13% 6.90    
7  RUN ON ACES Mar26 Feb24 Jan22 Jan05 Dec11 (perron gerard)STOKES A 120 3.00 12% 7.30    
8  MY PAL SWEET Mar22         (thomas lee)STOKES J 115 8.00    
9  FIGHTING SOLDIER Feb28 Feb02 Jan07 Dec20 Dec01 (morrell cynthia)FUSILIER C 116 20.00    
SCR  MOTANAAFER Mar24 Mar05 Aug30 Aug23 Aug01 (escobar alis)BARRERA J 118 15.00    
SCR  DEFINE         (brinkman br)MELANCON JANSEN 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
EVD-5   04/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KAPPA HILL Jul28 Jul01 May27 May11 Apr07 (patt roland)BALTHAZAR JARED 123 15.00 ★    
SCR  MILA'S KAT Feb28 Feb02 Jan20 Jan04 Dec15 (breaux samuel)THORNTON G 123 8.00    
3  ENOUGH HEART Jan05 Nov25 Aug19 Jul28 Jul06 (bernard jo)ALBERT S 118 3.50 17% 5.00    
4  THE GREY BEAUTY Mar26 Feb02 Dec22 Nov27 May12 (terre d)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 3.00 25% 3.00    
5  BOSTON LUCILLE Feb15 Jan18 Dec16 Dec01 Oct27 (roberts kenn)BARRERA J 118 10.00    
6  SUNSHINE STAR Mar23 Feb26 Jan14 Aug25 Jul27 (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 123 5.00 33% 2.00    
7  WENDY WILECAT Mar23 Feb26 Jan26 Dec18 Dec04 (thomas lee)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 2.00    
 
EVD-6   04/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WITT'S TAQUITO Mar03 Feb10 Dec07 Nov05 Oct12 (lloyd )GUERRERO ANDRES 118 3.50    
2  MASTERLY (ARG) Feb18 Feb10 Feb01 Jan19 Dec21 (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 5.00 44% 1.20    
3  KEYS INCLUDED Mar22 Mar08 Feb12 Jan27 Jan06 (zeringue j)MURRAY M 120 3.00 22% 3.50    
4  COLONIST Mar12 Feb19 Oct15 Aug29 Aug09 (escobar alis)BARRERA J 113 12.00    
5  EASY TO MISS Jan28 Jan11 Dec27 Oct21 Aug19 (ramirez eduardo)MCMAHON J 115 1.80 8% 11.80    
6  CHAOSMOS Mar10 Dec28 Dec14 Sep27 Aug04 (richard russell )STOKES A 118 8.00    
7  HONOR MY SPEED Feb10 Jan18 Dec28 Dec17 Nov09 (landry r)THORNTON G 118 10.00 ★    
 
EVD-7   04/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JEB'S LUCKY EIGHT Mar19 Mar03 Feb09 Jan15 Dec31 (pennino fran)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 20.00    
SCR  ORDER UP Aug03 Jul14 May20 Apr16 Mar24 (flint steve)MELANCON G 120 20.00    
3  COACH KENNY Mar25 Mar01 Feb04 Jan13 Dec15 (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 10.00    
4  HOME VISIT Mar26 Mar03 Feb10 Jan11 Dec22 (broberg karl)VARGAS P 120 12.00    
5  X CLOWN Mar25 Feb16 Aug06 Jul12 Jun02 (delhomme jerry)MCMAHON J 120 4.50 30% 2.40    
6  LAURI'S WISH Mar25 Mar16 Dec08 Nov04 Oct15 (thomas lee)POMPELL L 120 6.00 7% 13.60    
7  SECRET VISTA Mar04 Feb09 Jan15 Dec10 Feb28 (jeansonne ju)BARRERA J 115 15.00 ★    
8  BINDING AGREEMENT Mar25 Mar16 Mar01 Feb16 Jan26 (ducoing stu)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 8.00    
9  GOLDEN PALACE Mar18 Feb21 Feb04 Jan26 Jan15 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 20.00    
10  DOCTOR LEO Feb17 Feb04 Dec30 Dec09 Nov26 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 3.50 10% 8.60    
11  SCARLETTSBLACKJACK Feb25 Jan26 Jan05 Dec17 Nov19 (delany sara)MELANCON JANSEN 120 2.50 28% 2.50    
 
EVD-8   04/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VALERIE LOUISE Apr07 Mar18 Feb02 Aug26 Feb16 (zeno b)RUIZ GARCIA 123 20.00    
2  TDZ CORRIENDA STAR Mar18 Feb24 Feb03     (roberts kenn)BARRERA J 113 15.00    
3  SILK NOT SATIN Mar23         (sanchez juan )VARGAS P 118 6.00 13% 6.70    
4  DAISY DE ORO Mar18         (thomas lee)MELANCON JANSEN 118 10.00    
5  STARRY STARRY DAY Feb16         (derousselle)BALTHAZAR JARED 118 20.00    
SCR  SEEMYVALENTINE Jan28 Dec19 Nov25 Nov11 Oct06 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 20.00    
7  KELLIE MAE Aug19 Jan17       (cormier do)ALBERT S 118 15.00    
8  SUNSET FLASH Jun30 Jun04 May20 Apr13   (rubin donald)STOKES J 123 20.00    
9  LACEY'S STAR Feb28         (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 12.00    
10  MOONLIGHTMADDY Feb28 Feb10 Jan13 Dec10 Nov22 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 1.80 16% 5.50    
11  A. P. STYLE Feb18 Jan20 Jan05 Dec08 Oct28 (dison m)POMPELL L 123 8.00 9% 10.40    
SCR  GYPSY JACKPOT Mar18 Feb15 Jan27 Jan14 Dec08 (pomier d)MCMAHON J 123 3.00 32% 2.10    
13  PERIPHERAL VISION Mar16 Feb26 Feb03     (ladner joh)ALBERT S 113 15.00    
SCR  HIT IT HARD         (gelner )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 20.00 8% 11.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.