Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Evangeline Downs
Saturday - April 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EVD-1   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2/10/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2)-(4/2/10/3)-(4/2/10/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (4/2)-(3/10/11/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(3/10/11/4)-(4/1/6/7/8) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
EVD-2   WIN (3/10/11/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/10/11/4)-(3/10/11/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/10/11/4)-(3/10/11/4/6)-(3/10/11/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/10/11/4)-(4/1/6/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/10/11/4)-(4/1/6/7/8)-(6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
EVD-3   WIN (4/1/6/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/1/6/7/8)-(4/1/6/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/1/6/7/8)-(4/1/6/7/8)-(4/1/6/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/1/6/7/8)-(6) 5 $1.00 $5.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6/7/8)-(6)-(3/8/7/4/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
EVD-4   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (6)-(6/1/8/10/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6)-(6/1/8/10/7)-(6/1/8/10/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6)-(3/8/7/4/5) 5 $1.00 $5.00 
    PK3 (6)-(3/8/7/4/5)-(1/4/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
EVD-5   WIN (3/8/7/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/8/7/4/5)-(3/8/7/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/8/7/4/5)-(3/8/7/4/5)-(3/8/7/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/8/7/4/5)-(1/4/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/8/7/4/5)-(1/4/2)-(7/2) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
EVD-6   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2/10)-(1/4/2/10) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(7/2)-(2/7/9) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
EVD-7   WIN (7/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/2)-(7/2/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2)-(7/2/6/1)-(7/2/6/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (7/2)-(2/7/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/2)-(2/7/9)-(7/2/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
EVD-8   WIN (2/7/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/9)-(2/7/9/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/7/9)-(2/7/9/6)-(2/7/9/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/7/9)-(7/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
EVD-9   WIN (7/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/5)-(7/2/5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/5)-(7/2/5/1/3)-(7/2/5/1/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EVD-1   04/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OCTOBER SURPRISE Mar08 Dec14 Nov04 Aug25 Jul27 (zenon charl)LEDET THEODRICK 120 20.00    
LIKEN IT Feb28 Feb16 Jan19 Dec28 Dec09 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 120 2.50 24% 3.20    
COOL INDIVIDUAL Feb16 Aug17 Jul20 Jun30 Apr08 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 117 15.00    
SOCIAL AFLEET Mar02 Nov27 Oct19 Aug12 Jul21 (delany sarah)ROSENDO J 117 4.50 42% 1.40    
BASSETT Mar26 Feb10 Jan25 Dec14 Nov23 (pomier chase)BARRERA J 112 20.00    
TAPPED OUT Feb22 Feb03 Jan25 Jan13 Dec27 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 120 15.00    
APPLEWOOD Feb03 Jan04 Oct19 Oct05 Aug25 (matthieu ronald )STOKES A 120 10.00    
OVERTHOUGHT Mar08 Feb10 Jan05 Dec19 Dec11 (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 8.00    
SCR  BODE'S LIGHT Feb22 Jan27 Dec21 Dec09 Nov11 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 5.00 10% 9.50    
10  M AND M'S CUSTOM Feb28 Feb18 Feb03 Jan14 Dec17 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 3.00    
 
EVD-2   04/15/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3 F PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRYSTAL D'ORO         (landry r)THORNTON G 120 20.00    
  (by GEMOLOGIST out of EXPRESSO RUN by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
LONG SHOT LOUISE Mar18 Feb03 Jan04     (dodson cliff)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 20.00    
  (by SASSICAIA out of IN COMMAND by SIPHON)
GRACE HAZEL Mar09         (terre d)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 2.00 38% 1.60    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of MANDY D by CAPE BLANCO (IRE))
REQUITE THE EFFORT Feb15         (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by REQUITE out of MIZZENWAY by MIZZEN MAST)
TONI'S M         (landry ray)STOKES J 120 15.00    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of TONI'S DAY by FIVE STAR DAY)
BITSY PERFECTMATCH Mar18 Feb26 Feb03 Dec23 Dec02 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 8.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of BITSY'S C C by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS)
EULA'S GIRL         (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 120 20.00    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of AN ABSOLUTE TEN by ROCK HARD TEN)
TRIPLE THE GOLD         (pedigo rand)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 6.00    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of MISS GOLDWIN by GOLD TRIBUTE)
MALLORY UNBRIDLED         (averett ronn)BARRERA J 115 15.00    
  (by TIME BANDIT out of UNBRIDLED ACTION by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
10  R T'S CAJUN LADY Mar25 Aug20       (sam w)STOKES A 120 5.00 19% 4.10    
  (by GEMOLOGIST out of THE GONCULATOR by CURLIN)
11  BLESSED ASSURANCE Mar24 Mar09 Feb24     (dison m)POMPELL L 120 3.50 16% 5.20    
  (by ZONG out of SOCIETY DOLL by THEATRICAL (IRE))
 
EVD-3   04/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S MY PRIORITY Feb15 Feb01 Jan18 Jan04 Dec16 (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 4.00 18% 4.60    
KNIGHTS SWORD Jan18 Dec27 Oct27 Oct06 Jul02 (roberts kenneth)MCMAHON J 117 3.00    
FIRE OF GOLD Feb17 Feb04 Jan13 Dec17 Nov23 (noel dane)BALTHAZAR JARED 117 4.50    
TENSAS VIRGINIA Apr07 Feb09 Jan25 Dec29 Dec02 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 2.50 22% 3.50    
STARBUCK LUCK Jan28 Dec30 Oct27 Jul29 May06 (segura kearney)STOKES J 117 10.00    
BOURN Oct29 Aug19 Jul02 May23 Apr02 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 15.00 16% 5.20    
PUZZLING PRIORITY Jan28 Dec30 Dec10 Nov19 Oct20 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 117 8.00 8% 10.90    
MY KIKI Feb17 Jan18 Jul18 Jun17 May21 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 112 12.00 5% 17.20    
PRAYERS SAVED Mar23 Feb17 Jan18 Dec10 Dec01 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 117 20.00    
 
EVD-4   04/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3 F PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRIPLE FOUR         (dodson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 20.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of SURPRISE SQUALL by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
TAP IRON FIST Feb12 Jan13 Dec18 Dec02 Nov18 (flint steve)MCMAHON J 120 5.00    
  (by IRON FIST out of AYALA STRAND by TIZNOW)
CALCITE Mar25         (delahoussaye g)THORNTON G 120 12.00    
  (by MINESHAFT out of HAPPY CHOICE by BROKEN VOW)
HOT GOLDEN GIRL Mar24 Feb18       (david b)GREEN AUBRIE 120 12.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of HEATSEEKER SHARON by HEATSEEKER (IRE))
GLAMOROUS STAR Mar24         (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 15.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of GLAMORIDE by IDE)
MISS ST. CLAIRE Feb24         (brinkman br)MELANCON JANSEN 120 2.00 69% 0.40    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of BLANCO CANYON by LONE STAR SKY)
SMART IZZY Mar24 Mar02 Jan27 Jan14 Sep18 (hatcher d)MELANCON G 120 6.00    
  (by MO TOM out of SEA OF DREAMS by SMART STRIKE)
GRACEFUL STREET         (dodson cliff)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 20.00    
  (by MO TOM out of SHIRLEY STREET by STORMY ATLANTIC)
MIDNIGHT FAITH Jan13 Dec18 Nov22 Oct15   (briley lonnie)VARGAS P 120 8.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of ANTE UP ANNIE by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
10  TENSAS BERTIE Mar24 Feb24 Jan13     (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 3.00    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of HARBOR PRINCESS by BOSTON HARBOR)
SCR  ZIPPITY ZOODA RED Mar23 Mar10 Feb02     (dussette a)ALBERT S 115 20.00    
  (by INTERACTIF out of SAWYERS GRAY GIRL by DUE DATE)
 
EVD-5   04/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HERECOMESGOODBYE Feb28         (zeno benja)ALBERT S 113 15.00    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of DELANTERA by BERNSTEIN)
ABBEY CAKES Feb24 Jan26 Nov26     (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 118 20.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM out of CRISTINA'S JOURNEY by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
PERPETUATE Jan14 Jan05       (kingston karl)LOZADA CARLOS 123 3.00 39% 1.50    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of CUT IN STONE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
LAST PENALTY Mar19         (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 123 6.00 9% 10.60    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of PENALTY DUE by RED BULLET)
ALABAMA QUEEN Feb22 Feb09 Jan20 Dec30 Dec09 (nelson r)GREEN AUBRIE 118 4.50 6% 16.30    
  (by DIVIDE AND CONQUER out of ALLUVIALS PRINCESS by ALLUVIAL)
BEAT THE DOUBLE Feb15         (zeno benjamin)STOKES A 120 20.00    
  (by IDE LIKE A DOUBLE out of YOUJUSTCANTBETER by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
SWEETHEART VISION Feb22         (garcia)RUIZ GARCIA 120 8.00 9% 9.90    
  (by COURT VISION out of JACKPOT MISS by VALID EXPECTATIONS)
THISONEISFORYOU Mar08         (flint steve)MCMAHON J 118 2.50 14% 6.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of ULLAPOOL by LANGFUHR)
BLACK ACE Mar24 Feb22       (courville ri)MAGNON H 118 15.00    
  (by MARK VALESKI out of PINK LENINADE by LEMON DROP KID)
10  CINCY'S ANNA Mar24         (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 10.00    
  (by FAST ANNA out of CINCY GIRL by BEHRENS)
 
EVD-6   04/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MI LIA Mar26 Aug13 Jul14 Jun10 May07 (arceneaux victor)FUSILIER C 115 3.00 26% 2.80    
SKY HIGH SUSAN Mar08 Feb04 Jan22 Dec31 Nov25 (delany sarah)MCMAHON J 115 8.00 7% 13.00    
VIOLA STAR Mar22 Mar08 Feb20 Feb04 Jan12 (husak j)NIEVES EMANUEL 115 4.00    
A WISH FOR MADELYN Feb04 Jan14 Dec22 Dec14 Oct20 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 115 2.50 14% 6.30    
SCR  GLANCE Feb20 Jan06 Dec09 Aug20 Aug05 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 118 4.50 27% 2.70    
SERIOUSLY SAM Mar22 Mar01 Jan29 Jan15 Dec17 (david b)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 12.00    
TEASIN' TESLA Feb15 Dec22 Nov12 Aug25 Aug06 (brinkman bre)BARRERA J 113 10.00    
MSCHITCHATTOUR Feb15 Jan28 Jan04 Nov30 Nov05 (zenon shelton)LOZADA CARLOS 118 20.00    
CAVE CREEK Mar23 Mar12 Feb23 Feb11 Jan27 (dussette a)ALBERT S 113 15.00    
10  GOODNIGHTLOVING Feb11 Jan13 Dec02 Nov23 Nov02 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 118 6.00    
 
EVD-7   04/15/2023 3300ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIBLEMAN Feb04 Jan19 Dec27 Dec10 Nov30 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 12.00    
BIG BELLA BROWN Mar18 Mar04 Feb02 Dec23 Dec02 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 115 12.00 7% 13.40    
SCR  KNOCKALITTLELOUDER Mar24 Mar15 Mar03 Feb02 Jan01 (ney john)MURRAY M 117 15.00    
SCR  COROT Feb22 Jan19 Dec15 Dec02 Nov22 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 2.00 41% 1.50    
HALFMOON REEF Feb09 Aug16 Jul02 Mar16 Feb11 (goins garland)HERNANDEZ V 117 20.00    
GLENN'S JUMPER Dec31 Dec02 Sep18 Aug18 Jul03 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 3.00    
LODE OF BLARNEY Jan19 Dec15 Nov18 Oct22 Oct02 (gonzalez is)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 4.50 25% 3.00    
HOSTILE AFLEET Mar19 Feb25 Feb04 Jan26 Jan07 (larrosa )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 10.00    
B W P SPECIAL Feb11 Jan05 Dec15 Oct26 Oct07 (mojica edith)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 15.00    
10  MY MAN LOUIE Mar19 Feb25 Feb16 Jan19 Dec07 (degeyter ra)MELANCON JANSEN 117 8.00    
 
EVD-8   04/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 WET FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANDIAMO GIACOMO Mar18 Feb25 Feb01 Jan13 Dec21 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 120 15.00    
EASY RUNNER Mar18 Feb23 Feb02 Jan08 Dec01 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 3.00 37% 1.70    
STEALING APRIORITY Mar03 Feb16 Feb03 Jan06 Dec16 (jeansonne justi)ROSENDO J 120 10.00    
GRAND PRADO Feb16 Dec28 Dec14 Oct22 Oct07 (landry ray)STOKES J 120 4.50    
WOOD RIVER Feb03 Dec02 Nov12 Oct12   (segura kearney)MCMAHON J 120 20.00    
FIELD OF VISION Feb18 Jan28 Jan01 Dec11 Nov25 (courville )MARQUEZ L 120 20.00    
CHARLI MICHAEL Mar16 Feb02 Jan01 Dec03 Nov04 (terre d)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 3.50 35% 1.80    
CLASSIC RED RACER Feb10 Jan27 Jan13 Dec30 Dec20 (zenon shelto)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 20.00    
SADIE'S LIGHT Feb16 Jan11 Nov04 Aug20 Jun08 (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
10  HUFFS TAZ A BOO Feb11 Dec28 Mar02 Feb19 Jan15 (sam w)STOKES A 120 15.00    
11  RELIC HUNTER Feb18 Dec11 Nov24 Apr21 Mar27 (landry r)THORNTON G 120 20.00    
SCR  SMOOTH RIVER Dec21 Dec02 Feb25 Feb10   (latour nicho)BARRERA J 115 8.00    
SCR  ALIGNED INTEREST Apr07 Feb18 Jan07 Dec21 Dec08 (broberg karl)VARGAS P 120 8.00    
SCR  HEARTTHROB HALO Mar02 Jan22 Jan06 Dec16 Nov25 (jeansonne justi)ROSENDO J 120 15.00    
 
EVD-9   04/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT-10:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROSIE SPRIT Mar03 Jan13 Dec29     (david b)GREEN AUBRIE 118 10.00    
JUST A WIN Feb01 Jan06 Dec15 Nov19 Oct14 (landry ray)STOKES J 123 3.50 24% 3.20    
HEY MADALYN CLAIRE Mar12 Feb10 Dec08 Aug26 Aug10 (delahoussaye g)THORNTON G 118 6.00    
DREAM TOWN Mar05 Jan13 May28 May06 Apr15 (rangel raul)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 15.00    
TOLATETOOWAIT Feb28 Jan21 Jan07 Dec08   (chatters benard)STOKES A 123 2.50 10% 9.30    
GLADS LOVE CAT Dec22 Nov11 Aug24 Aug05 Jul08 (trahan walter)BOURQUE J 123 20.00    
PICKIN ANA GRINNIN Mar10 Feb17 Feb05 Jan01   (jeansonne justi)ROSENDO J 123 3.00 41% 1.40    
RIPTIDE ROSE Mar19 Feb23 Feb01 Jan11 Dec21 (silva walte)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 8.00    
SCR  GATSBY'S GIFT Feb17 Dec10 Nov12     (larrosa a)FUSILIER C 118 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.