Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Friday - April 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (4/3/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/5/7)-(4/3/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5/7)-(6)-(2/1/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
LRL-2   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (6)-(6/5/9) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    DD (6)-(2/1/3) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (6)-(2/1/3)-(4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
LRL-3   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(4/7)-(5/4/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LRL-4   WIN (4/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/7)-(4/7/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (4/7)-(5/4/8)-(10/6/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LRL-5   WIN (5/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/8)-(5/4/8/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/8)-(10/6/8/7)-(3/7/6/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-6   WIN (10/6/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/6/8/7)-(10/6/8/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (10/6/8/7)-(3/7/6/5)-(5/6/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-7   WIN (3/7/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/6/5)-(3/7/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/6/5)-(5/6/4)-(4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
LRL-8   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
LRL-9   WIN (4) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (4)-(4/7) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   04/14/2023 5940ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRUSH IT Mar15 Feb02 Jan08 Nov02 Oct06 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 4.50    
1A  CAN'T PASS IT UP Mar12 Dec20 Dec03     (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 4.50    
2  ACE NINE NINE Mar19 Mar12 Feb20 Feb04 Dec27 (dove ke)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 20.00    
3  LOST MY VOWCHER Mar04 Feb04 Jan18 Dec20 Oct28 (gonzalez cl)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 3.00 7% 12.40    
4  MYSTIC LINK Mar19 Mar04 Feb14 Jan18 Dec21 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 2.00 53% 0.90    
5  UP AGAINST IT Mar12 Feb20 Jan29 Jan08 Oct22 (dilodovico damon)CRUZ ANGEL 123 2.50 6% 14.60    
SCR  NOBLE CONQUEST Oct23 Sep17 Aug12 Jul22 Jul02 (allen ferri)ALVELO C 123 20.00    
7  FORLOVEOFCOUNTRY Mar12 Feb20 Feb04 Jan08 Nov24 (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 123 8.00 5% 18.60    
 
LRL-2   04/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3 F PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WEST COAST WILDCAT         (sillaman ri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 10.00    
SCR  WILL TAKE ODDS Mar10         (keefe l)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 8.00    
3  CORA'S CHOICE Feb18         (russell britt)LYNCH FEARGAL 124 5.00    
SCR  DONNA'S COURAGE Feb18 Jan16 Dec16 Nov12 Oct13 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 120 8.00 8% 12.10    
5  LIL' LATE LUCK         (smith hamil)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 10.00 ★    
6  FREE ADMISSION Sep11 Aug20 Jul15     (salzman joh)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 4.50 34% 2.00    
7  DIAL FOR LOVE Mar10         (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 124 6.00    
SCR  MAMA'S EYES Mar19 Feb03 Jan13 Dec16 Sep02 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 124 3.50 33% 2.10    
9  ENKINDLE         (bailes rober)BOYCE FOREST 124 15.00 ★    
10  FOR CRYIN OUT LOUD Feb18 Dec21 Nov30 Jul05   (gorham mi)CARRASCO R 124 12.00    
 
LRL-3   04/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARTWHEEL Mar28 Feb22 Jan18 Dec07 Nov21 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.00 28% 2.60    
2  BARISTA VIXEN Mar23 Mar03 Feb22 Dec07 Oct14 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 126 1.40 43% 1.30    
3  VIKING QUEEN Mar26 Mar17 Feb19 Jan28 Jan08 (mcmahon thoma)MONTERREY R 123 4.00 5% 17.30    
4  CAR LADY Mar23 Mar08 Feb22 Feb02 Jan11 (kravets m)CRUZ ANGEL 126 15.00    
5  ESPERANNNA Mar17 Feb26 Feb10 Jan06 Dec31 (farrior ant)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 4.00 ★    
SCR  CONGRESS HALL Mar26 Feb26 Feb04 Jan06 Jul28 (mcfarlane)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 20.00    
7  CHALK HILL Mar18 Feb10 Dec17 Nov19 Nov04 (ramirez a)ACOSTA D 126 15.00    
 
LRL-4   04/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($54K) 3 F PT- 1:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAPPY CLOUDS Mar18 Mar03 Feb11 Jan28 Jan08 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 121 2.00    
SCR  MAYHEM MISS Mar17 Jan29       (brown bru)CARRASCO R 124 2.50 25% 2.90    
3  AND WHISTLE Mar03 Feb05       (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 15.00    
4  JOLLY MISS JILL Feb23 Jan25 Dec01     (allard edw)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 121 4.00 39% 1.60    
5  TINSELTOWN TINA Mar25 Feb24 Feb03     (feliciano ben )ROSADO JOHAN 124 12.00    
6  LIQUIDATOR Mar25 Mar03 Feb11 Jan28 Jan07 (albert lind)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 124 3.50 ★    
7  MUSICMANSANDY Mar18 Mar12 Mar03 Feb17 Jan28 (cash no)ORTIZ ORLANDO 121 12.00 8% 11.90    
 
LRL-5   04/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SEE OUT Mar16 Jan28 Jan14 Dec31 Nov20 (meister s)DELGADO A 122 10.00 20% 3.90    
2  BODE LYNX Feb26 Dec29 Nov24 Oct29 Oct13 (milosevic mi)LEWIS M 115 6.00    
3  NEVER SILENCED Feb02 Jan20 Dec29 Dec04 Nov14 (sanchez-sa)RIVERA R 115 15.00    
4  GIVE IT A GO Mar01 Feb01 Jan16 Dec29 Nov24 (gonzale)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
5  LOVE MACHINE Mar24 Feb25 Feb05 Jan16 Dec30 (pickett crystal )CRUZ ANGEL 126 2.50 25% 2.90    
6  NO ME DIGAS Mar24 Feb26 Feb05 Jan26 Jan16 (davis g)ACOSTA D 126 6.00 ★    
7  SALTY HEIR Mar03 Feb16 Feb01 Jan19 Dec01 (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 122 8.00    
8  WICKOSITY Mar25 Mar19 Mar01 Feb15 Nov22 (hillegass alexa)BOCACHICA O 126 15.00 6% 16.10    
9  COUNTRY CHARLIE Mar16 Dec11 Nov14 Oct29 Sep16 (deiter kel)MENDOZA JHONATAN 117 20.00    
10  THE THINKER Mar24 Feb04 Sep18 Sep05 Aug23 (allen a )BUTTERFLY L 126 15.00    
11  LUCA AT THE SPA Feb15 Dec31 Nov14 Oct17 Sep13 (rojas e)FLORES E 122 6.00    
 
LRL-6   04/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($44K) 3 ALL PT- 2:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NORTHERN RYE         (trombetta m)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 15.00    
2  HE'S PURE TALENT Feb26 Jan27       (gonzalez )HERNANDEZ F 120 15.00    
3  ADMIT NOTHING         (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 124 15.00    
4  CONTEMPT         (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 124 10.00    
5  MR. HOUGHTON Feb26         (perkins jr)BOYCE FOREST 124 10.00 ★    
6  RAGTIME RICHES Mar19 Feb26       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 4.50 21% 3.70    
7  DELEGATED Feb11 Jun18       (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 124 3.50 9% 10.40    
8  DISPUTED CLAIM Feb26 Feb05       (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 6.00 11% 8.50    
9  MOONSET Feb26         (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 124 15.00    
10  BOX N BEN Mar11 Aug06 Jul01     (lynch catha)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 2.50 38% 1.70    
 
LRL-7   04/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($48K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIKE A PRO Mar18 Jan17 Dec21 Oct03 Sep01 (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 126 20.00    
2  FAST TRACKED Mar10 Feb11 Dec03 Nov06   (delacour arnaud)RUIZ JORGE 114 8.00    
3  MONEY'S WORTH Feb15 Feb19       (motion h )CARRASCO R 123 1.60 39% 1.60    
4  ITALIAN DRESSING Mar26 Mar03 Feb18 Feb05 Jan01 (smith a)CRUZ ANGEL 123 4.00    
5  FORTUNATA ITALIA Feb03 Jan15 Dec29 Nov12 Oct02 (farrior an)RIVERA R 116 12.00 5% 18.30    
6  SHE IS WISKY Mar18 Feb03 Jan13 Dec09 Jun19 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 3.50 9% 10.20    
7  SAINT EROS GIRL Jan15 Dec17 Nov25 Nov03 Sep03 (morley thom)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 4.00 25% 3.10    
 
LRL-8   04/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AIN'T DA BEER COLD Mar25 Feb18 Jan21 Dec30 Oct22 (cox m)CRUZ ANGEL 123 5.00    
2  VANCE SCHOLARS Feb18 Jan14 Dec17 Nov24 Oct22 (capuano phillip)RUIZ JORGE 123 4.50    
3  AMERICAN D'ORO Mar18 Feb12 Jan15 Dec30 Nov26 (sillaman ri)GLASER LAURALEA 126 10.00    
4  AMERICAN PATROL Mar18 Jan04 Nov07 Oct01 May25 (lynch catha)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 6.00 16% 5.20    
5  OURNATIONONPARADE Mar18 Feb18 Jan21 Dec30 Nov26 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.50 31% 2.20    
6  ZABRACADABRA Feb12 Jan15 Dec17 Nov24 Nov02 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 1.80 27% 2.70    
 
LRL-9   04/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 35 ALL PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WILLIAM'S CAUSE Mar09 Feb15 Jan25 Oct21 Sep30 (reynold)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 6.00 11% 8.20    
SCR  DOC ROCK Mar19 Feb19 Jan20 Jul29 Jun25 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 2.00 34% 2.00    
3  NOT AS LUCKY AS US Mar19 Jan08       (cox kenneth)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 126 4.50    
4  SECRET SANCTUARY Mar19 Mar09 Feb04 Jan28 Jan14 (klesaris robe)KARAMANOS A 122 4.00 24% 3.20    
5  KERANOS Aug25 Jul28 Jun25 May28   (lawrence l)CRUZ ANGEL 122 6.00    
6  SETTE STELLE Mar22 Mar08 Feb27 Jan31 Jan09 (caraballo wil)MILAN GERARDO 122 15.00    
7  START SINGIN DIXIE         (de hora)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 5.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.