Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - February 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (3/7/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/6/5)-(3/7/6/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/7/6/5)-(3/7/6/5/2)-(3/7/6/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/7/6/5)-(3/2/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/7/6/5)-(3/2/5/4)-(5/3/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-2   WIN (3/2/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/5/4)-(3/2/5/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/2/5/4)-(3/2/5/4/6)-(3/2/5/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/2/5/4)-(5/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5/4)-(5/3/7)-(3/7/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-3   WIN (5/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/7)-(5/3/7/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/7)-(5/3/7/8/6)-(5/3/7/8/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/3/7)-(3/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/7)-(3/7/1)-(6/2/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-4   WIN (3/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/1)-(3/7/1/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/1)-(3/7/1/6/8)-(3/7/1/6/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/7/1)-(6/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/7/1)-(6/2/4)-(2/6/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-5   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4/8/1)-(6/2/4/8/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(2/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(2/6/1)-(4/3/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-6   WIN (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/1)-(2/6/1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/1)-(2/6/1/5/3)-(2/6/1/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/6/1)-(4/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1)-(4/3/5)-(3/4/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-7   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5/8/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5/8/10)-(4/3/5/8/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(3/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(3/4/1)-(8/6/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-8   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1/2/7)-(3/4/1/2/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(8/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TAM-9   WIN (8/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/1)-(8/6/1/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/1)-(8/6/1/2/9)-(8/6/1/2/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   02/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3 ALL PT-12:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ICETECA Feb17 Jan27 Jan08 Nov05 Oct28 (smith craig)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 12.00    
2  UNXPECTED TIGER Feb05 Dec23 Dec04 Oct27 Oct07 (ochoa )ROJAS EDUARDO 120 12.00 ★    
3  HOP AND SCOTCH Feb17 Jan27 Jan07 Dec10 Nov27 (lopez ro)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.00 45% 1.20    
4  RED'S MR Z Sep01 Aug18       (rarick lynn)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 15.00    
5  BIG BUCKSALOT         (nunez mauricio)FERRER C 120 10.00 7% 14.00    
6  ALTAIR Feb05 Jan18 Dec30     (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 4.50 10% 9.50    
7  BARAK Feb05 Dec10 Nov26 Nov05 Aug22 (munoz carlos)BATISTA A 120 1.20 18% 4.60    
 
TAM-2   02/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3 F PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SARA KALI Jan20 Dec28 Dec16 Sep30 Sep11 (cascallares n)ALICEA JEREMY 113 15.00    
2  REBEL CONSORT Dec28 Oct05 Sep06 Aug09 Jul20 (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 120 3.00 25% 3.00    
3  ONE TOUGH DAME Feb12 Jan25 Dec28 Dec03   (bennett gerald)ALLEN D 120 4.50 26% 2.80    
4  JAZHARA         (carrascojr vi)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 10.00 11% 8.00    
5  WISHIN N KISSIN Feb08 Jan29       (ubide max)FERRER C 120 2.00 15% 5.70    
6  BEAST BUNNY Jan25 Dec22       (fisher davi)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 4.50 ★    
7  HIGH DONNA Feb12 Jan20 Jan01 Dec16 Dec03 (escobar alison)MARIN SAMUEL 120 6.00    
 
TAM-3   02/26/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KALINBA Feb15 Jan20 Dec30 Dec16 Nov30 (cascallares n)LOZADA CARLOS 122 15.00    
2  DEACON ELI Feb12 Jan18 May31     (tsirigotis jr)DIAZ S 122 20.00    
3  HIGHJUMP CHARLIE Feb12 Nov05 Jul24 Jan28 Jan16 (werneth ro)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 3.50 18% 4.60    
4  BROADWAY RUCKUS Feb12 Jan28 Oct14 Sep25 Aug13 (dye steven)FUENTES MARIO 122 15.00    
5  SKY TRAVELER Feb12 Jan20 Dec23     (lusk r)CAMACHO SAMY 122 1.60 50% 1.00    
6  RUM NOT BOURBON Feb12 Jan18 Apr20 Apr01   (jones doug)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 4.00 ★    
7  EL MIC TIESUN Feb16 Jan22 Jan06 Dec31 Dec23 (mardif jame)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 5.00 9% 10.10    
8  DEVIL'S MYTH Feb15 Jan28 Dec29 Jul16 Jun19 (dobber arnoud)SOSA LAUREANO 115 8.00 ★    
 
TAM-4   02/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KERIK Jan27 Jan20 Dec09 Nov27 Oct28 (smith ro)ALLEN D 120 6.00 19% 4.40    
2  BEAUTIFUL TIZ Feb05 Jan22 Jan01 Dec22 Nov26 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00    
3  HANNITA'S EMPIRE Jan27 Dec16 Nov27 Nov11 Aug27 (sweeze)ROJAS EDUARDO 122 3.00 36% 1.80    
4  CALENDULA         (nunez maurici)SOSA LAUREANO 113 30.00    
5  DRILL'S VALENTINE Feb01 Dec09 Nov26 Jul01 Apr27 (chavez a)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 12.00    
6  RAPIDAMENTE Feb10 Jan28 Jan08 Aug31 Aug18 (lopez ro)CASTANON L 122 5.00 ★    
7  READY TO FILM Feb08 Jan22 Dec22 Oct13 Sep23 (amado enri)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 3.50 19% 4.10    
8  TAKESTWOTOWIGGLE Feb12 Jan28 Dec24 Dec10 Nov27 (richards rena)IORIO MELISSA 110 6.00 ★    
SCR  LOOK UP TO HEAVEN Feb17 Jan20 Jan08 Dec26 Dec04 (nunn douglas)ARROYO S 122 8.00    
 
TAM-5   02/26/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANYOUHEARMENOW Feb15 Feb01 Jan20 Dec09 Dec02 (duffy sean)ARROYO S 121 15.00 ★    
2  SMART AS ME Feb10 Jan20 Jan06 Dec16 Nov04 (smith r)MORALES PABLO 121 2.00 8% 12.00    
3  EDEN PARADISE Feb15 Feb04 Dec26 Dec08 Nov30 (james gerald)MENESES MARCOS 121 6.00    
4  LINO'S KID Jan16 Dec19 Nov29 Nov10 Oct06 (tsirigotis jam)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
5  FAST N STEADY Feb01 Dec08 May06 Mar31 Mar16 (gonza)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 15.00    
6  TRULY MISCHIEF Feb04 Dec02 Oct20 Sep28 Sep03 (beckman )GALLARDO A 121 1.40 59% 0.70    
7  MAGIC BOMB Nov05 Sep10 Aug07 Jun11 May06 (lorito mario)CASTANON L 121 20.00    
8  CARRONADE Jan29 Jan20 Dec16 Sep27 Aug17 (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 121 5.00 ★    
 
TAM-6   02/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($29.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAPE TO TAPE Feb03 Dec31 Nov25 Oct30 Sep16 (rivelli )GALLARDO A 123 4.00 17% 4.80    
2  OIL MONEY Jul08 Jun10 May29 May21 Feb11 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.00 40% 1.50    
3  ABOUT TODAY (ARG) Jan13 Dec14 Oct20 Sep29 Sep02 (carrascojr vi)MORALES PABLO 121 4.00 ★    
4  WHERE PARADISE LAY Feb11 Jan13 Dec14 Oct27 Sep29 (downing willia)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 8.00    
5  NO QUE NO Feb11 Jan13 Dec31 Nov26 Sep04 (gutier)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 3.00 ★    
6  THEALLIGATORHUNTER Sep10 Aug13 Jul16 Jun12 May18 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 6.00 19% 4.30    
 
TAM-7   02/26/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GO MIKE Jan28 Dec28 Oct15 Sep10 Aug20 (richards ren)BATISTA A 119 6.00    
SCR  TOP ENVOY Sep04 Aug11       (mann mar)GALLARDO A 119 20.00    
3  GREAT BRITAIN Jan27 Jan14 Dec24 Nov26 Sep01 (ward denni)ROWLAND MADELINE 119 4.00 25% 3.00    
4  JUSTINTIMEFORWINE Feb04 Jan21 Dec24 Nov25 Sep30 (delgado jose)ARROYO S 119 3.50 41% 1.40    
5  SOCIALLONGDISTANCE Jan27 Dec31 Dec09 Nov25 Oct01 (lusk brian)ALONSO LUIS 119 8.00 12% 7.70    
6  RONSTADT Feb10 Jan20 Oct14 Sep24 Sep01 (harty eoin)CASTANON L 123 8.00    
7  VINTNER Jan28 Jan11 Dec21 Nov30 Nov05 (yanez r)ALLEN D 119 20.00    
8  BATTLE SCARS Feb04 Dec30 Nov11 Aug10   (gulick james )MORALES PABLO 119 3.00 ★    
9  CONSTANT KNIGHT Feb04 Dec29 Dec11 Nov26 Sep18 (pimental john )MARIN SAMUEL 119 30.00    
10  ROCK THE STARS Dec24 Nov25 Oct21 Aug19 Jul31 (rodriguez dari)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 6.00 ★    
 
TAM-8   02/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($23.5K) 3 ALL PT- 4:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RICHIESONAROLL Feb05 Jan22 Dec24 Dec03 Oct13 (campbell mich)MORALES PABLO 118 3.50 19% 4.20    
2  AWESOME FLAY Aug06 Jul03 Jun18 May20 Apr22 (manning )GALLARDO A 120 12.00 ★    
3  BIG JOHN Jan22 Dec24 Nov13 Oct30 Sep23 (delgado jorge)MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.00 35% 1.80    
4  JOE'S HAD ENOUGH Feb17 Jan28 Dec28 Oct23 Sep30 (granitz anthony )FERRER C 122 1.80 21% 3.70    
5  COX CANYON Feb05 Jan28 Dec23 Nov30   (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00    
6  GRAND MACALLAN Jan18 Dec03 Nov06 Oct08   (barboza vict)BATISTA A 122 8.00    
7  SLIPPERY WHEN WET Jan14 Dec22 Dec16 Nov25 Nov08 (cheeks katy)ALLEN D 118 10.00 ★    
 
TAM-9   02/26/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22.5K) 3 ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GODS GLORY Jan20 Jan13 Dec28 Dec03 Oct27 (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  SOUTHPAW MIKE Feb17 Feb04 Jan08 Sep30 Sep03 (mccarthy b)ROWLAND MADELINE 118 4.00 ★    
3  CESAR Feb05 Jan20 Dec21 Dec07 Nov30 (lopez mari)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 118 6.00    
4  SUMMER ALL YEAR Feb05 Jan20 Dec21 Oct21 Sep30 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 6.00    
5  ASPLUNDER Dec21 Oct24 Oct11 Sep28 Sep06 (cheeks katy)SPIETH S 118 20.00    
6  GO GREEN Jan27 Jan08 Dec09     (o'connel)GALLARDO A 118 4.50 31% 2.30    
7  FLYING SUN Aug11         (raven kerri)NICHOLLS KEVEH 118 15.00    
8  ROCK CHALK Feb05 Jan27 Jan06 Nov27 Oct29 (smith rob)CENTENO E 118 8.00 36% 1.80    
9  OKLETSGO Jan20 Dec21 Dec03 Oct07 Sep10 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.