Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Sunday - February 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (1/2/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/7/5)-(1/2/7/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/2/7/5)-(1/2/7/5/6)-(1/2/7/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/2/7/5)-(5/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/2/7/5)-(5/6)-(2) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
FG-2   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/6/1/2/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/6)-(5/6/1/2/7)-(5/6/1/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6)-(2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (5/6)-(2)-(2/7/1/4) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
FG-3   WIN (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (2)-(2/3/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (2)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (2)-(2/7/1/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2)-(2/7/1/4)-(5/3/1/4) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
FG-4   WIN (2/7/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/1/4)-(2/7/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/1/4)-(2/7/1/4)-(2/7/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/1/4)-(5/3/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/7/1/4)-(5/3/1/4)-(4/2/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-5   WIN (5/3/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/1/4)-(5/3/1/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/3/1/4)-(5/3/1/4/6)-(5/3/1/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/3/1/4)-(4/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
FG-6   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3/6)-(4/2/3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
FG-7   WIN NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
    EXA NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
FG-8   WIN (1/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/7/2)-(1/6/7/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/6/7/2)-(1/6/7/8/2)-(1/6/7/8/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   02/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRONIT Jan16 Dec04 Nov02 Aug26 Jul08 (wilson shane)PARKER L 121 3.00 33% 2.00    
2  SUNSHINE STAR Jan14 Aug25 Jul27     (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 3.50 16% 5.30    
3  PAT HAND GIRL Feb05 Dec04 Sep25 Aug16 Jul25 (hargrave kenneth )SINGH R 121 10.00    
4  THE MISSING PIECE Jan05 Nov25 Sep20 Aug07 Jul16 (hargrave k)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 5.00    
5  FLASHYBOY'S LILSIS Jan12 Nov23 Nov04 Oct20   (bobb thoma)ALBERT S 116 12.00 12% 7.20    
6  RESPOSADO Jan05 Nov25 Aug26 Aug06 Jul23 (thomas lee)GRAHAM J 119 4.00 ★    
7  WENDY WILECAT Jan26 Dec18 Dec04 Oct20 Jul27 (thomas lee)CULP BRIANNE 116 3.50 14% 6.20    
 
FG-2   02/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET LITTLE ROSE         (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 4.50 ★    
2  BITSY PERFECTMATCH Feb03 Dec23 Dec02     (claire alexis)PARKER L 115 5.00 ★    
SCR  CHARMING KAT Feb15 Jan25 Jan11 Nov11 Oct13 (senegal dalto)VARGAS P 125 12.00    
4  PERIPHERAL VISION Feb03         (ladner joh)ALBERT S 112 8.00    
5  CUSTOMIZED TWIN         (calhoun william )MURRAY M 117 3.50 41% 1.40    
6  RUN DREAMING         (faucheu)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 4.00 28% 2.50    
7  DIVINE DEFENCE Feb05 Aug26 Jul23 Jun24   (alonzo howard)GREEN AUBRIE 125 5.00 ★    
8  BERNIECE Dec29         (wilson shane)CULP BRIANNE 112 5.00    
 
FG-3   02/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CORONA DEL MAR Feb05 Jan16 Dec03 Oct22 Sep26 (broussar)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 12.00 ★    
2  JACKIE FLASH Feb09 Jan16 Jan06 Dec15 Sep27 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 125 3.00 35% 1.90    
3  HIGHER NOTE Feb05 Jan16 Dec02 Mar18 Feb24 (marechal merli)CULP BRIANNE 120 6.00 ★    
SCR  WAR ENSIGN Jan16 Mar10 Feb24     (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 3.50 12% 7.10    
5  IDDY BIDDY Dec07 Nov08       (barnett bobb)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 8.00    
SCR  BLAME NELLIE Feb19 Jan30 Jan15     (roussel j)GRAHAM J 125 3.50 27% 2.70    
7  SWEETASBAILY Feb05 Jan16 Dec22     (husak j)SMITH R 125 8.00    
8  TWO HANDS FULL Feb05 Dec23       (duhon joseph )MORALES EDGAR 117 8.00    
 
FG-4   02/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HE'S A BOMB Nov12 Oct28 Sep29 Sep23 Aug27 (govea cesar)SINGH R 122 3.50 14% 6.40    
2  COURTHOUSE COVE Feb12 Jan15 Dec23 Nov13 Oct23 (leonard geo)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 2.50 44% 1.30    
3  KEEN HEIR Jun19 May19 Mar23 Jan22   (stewart dallas)COHEN DAVID 122 4.50    
4  MULTI PLATINUM Jan15 Dec23 Nov11 Oct08 Sep10 (santamaria carl)LANERIE J 122 6.00 8% 11.90    
SCR  TAPIT TO THE LINE Feb02 Jan12 Oct14 Aug13 Jul21 (brown i)STOKES A 122 12.00 ★    
6  FLAT OUT AMERICAN Dec22 Dec08 Oct19 Jul02 Jun02 (williams kev)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 8.00    
7  SPECIAL OPERATOR Feb17 Jan27 Jan06 Dec16 Nov20 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 117 3.50 14% 6.10    
 
FG-5   02/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIELDSTONE Jan08 Dec22 Nov05 Sep02 Aug07 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 4.00 10% 9.10    
2  CRIMINAL DEFENSE Feb03 Dec19 Nov19 Sep28 Aug25 (barnett c)GRAHAM J 121 10.00    
3  CLARESTOWN Jan28 Dec22 Sep24 Sep07 Aug15 (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.00 26% 2.80    
4  JACK A ROSE Dec28 Nov24 Sep03 Aug11 Jul14 (stidham m)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.50 9% 10.00    
5  HE'S GOT THIS Feb03 Dec22 Dec01 Sep26 Sep05 (savoie sherm)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 4.50 33% 2.00    
6  BONUS APPRECIATION Feb03 Jan12 Nov19 Nov02 Oct12 (bourgeois ke)BARRERA J 116 6.00 ★    
7  MILLARD'S SMILE Feb03 Jan26 Nov12 Oct22 Sep24 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 121 6.00    
 
FG-6   02/26/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRYSTINTHENITEAWAY Feb03 Jan14 Dec19     (williamso)PEDROZA MARCELINO 125 8.00    
2  UNCLE BERLEY Jan11 Sep15 Aug23 Aug05 Jul16 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 125 3.00 27% 2.70    
3  CELLULOID HERO Feb03 Jan08 Nov19 Oct08 Sep03 (robertson hu)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 2.50 5% 19.00    
4  CONRAD THE RED Feb02         (silva carlos)CARROLL DECLAN 125 4.50 48% 1.10    
SCR  G'S MILLION Jan14 Dec19       (west g)PARKER L 121 8.00    
6  FORCIBLE ENTRY Dec18         (foley greg)LANERIE J 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  GHOST BIKE Dec23 Oct02 Sep17     (roussel lo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 6.00 ★    
 
FG-7   02/26/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3 F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORE THAN GLORY         (walsh brenda)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 5.00 ★    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of AFTER THE GLORY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
2  HECKLED         (stidham mi)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 5.00 ★    
  (by HARD SPUN out of SPECKLED by STREET CRY (IRE))
3  CAPELLA RED         (desormeaux )BARANDELA SOFIA 115 15.00    
  (by TEXAS RED out of CAPELLA DANCER by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
SCR  JUST SAY SO Jan16 Sep14 Jul31     (kenneally e)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 2.50 31% 2.20    
  (by WAR FRONT out of SAY (IRE) by GALILEO (IRE))
5  CORNER KICK Dec15 Nov16       (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of TRUE ELEGANCE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
6  CAMP AKEELA Feb09 Nov19 Sep28 Sep05 Jul15 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of TREE CHOPPER by WOODMAN)
7  PAINT ME PERFECT Jan16 Oct14 Sep18     (margolis stephe)COHEN DAVID 120 4.50    
  (by MUNNINGS out of KABELLA by KITTEN'S JOY)
8  CALM COOL Feb09         (stall m)LANERIE J 120 6.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of PORT CHARLOTTE by BLAME)
SCR  SALSALITA VERDE Feb09 Jan20       (leonard geo)BARANDELA SOFIA 115 6.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of ADVANCED GREEN by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  SPARTAN QUEEN Jan21 Dec31       (lovell michelle)PARKER L 120 6.00 10% 9.20    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of TULSA QUEEN by CACTUS RIDGE)
SCR  SMART IZZY Jan27 Jan14 Sep18 Sep04 Jul19 (hatcher nathan)GREEN AUBRIE 117 20.00    
  (by MO TOM out of SEA OF DREAMS by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  MAGNIFICENT CODE         (walsh bren)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of MAGNIFICENT SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  PRIZE DEBATE Feb04 Dec12 Oct22 Sep24   (rubley kelly)PARKER L 120 8.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of MISS MONEYHENNY by PHILANTHROPIST)
SCR  ACTING Sep10 Jul22       (casse mark)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of MOANIN (FR) by MEDICEAN (GB))
SCR  CLEVER JOKE Dec03 Aug28       (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.00 36% 1.80    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of LA PIBA by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
SCR  LADY DYNAMO         (tomlinson)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of SEAUXBELLE by DYNAFORMER)
 
FG-8   02/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($53K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUE LALA Jan29 Jan12 Dec01 Mar04 Feb06 (camejo jose )NIEVES EMANUEL 121 2.00 36% 1.80    
2  SIENNA BREEZE Jan29 Jan12 Jan01 Nov23 Oct12 (rosier charles)CULP BRIANNE 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  MAESTRIA Feb05 Dec26 Dec04 Sep15 Aug26 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 2.50    
4  SOPHIE'S PRAYER Jan12 May29 May11 Apr23 Feb23 (zenon shelton)MELANCON G 121 15.00    
5  OURS AND THEIRS Jan29 Jan01 Dec18 Dec03 Aug25 (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 121 8.00    
6  SPEEDY DUDETTE Jan29 Jan01 May29 Mar04 Jan14 (duhon josep)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.50 20% 4.10    
7  WON DAY Feb03 Dec22 Dec01 Nov10 Oct08 (landry all)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 6.00 11% 8.50    
8  HEI HEI CUSTIVITY Feb04 Jan12 Jun03 May19   (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 124 6.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.