Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Thursday - February 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1/6/4/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/1)-(5/1/6/4/7)-(5/1/6/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1)-(5/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(5/1/6)-(4/6/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
DED-2   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/6/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/6)-(5/1/6/2/3)-(5/1/6/2/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/1/6)-(4/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6)-(4/6/3)-(9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
DED-3   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3/5/1)-(4/6/3/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(9) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(9)-(5/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
DED-4   WIN (9) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (9)-(9/4/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (9)-(9/4/2)-(9/4/2) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (9)-(5/4/3) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (9)-(5/4/3)-(6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
DED-5   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3/1/7)-(5/4/3/1/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(6/4)-(1/6/4/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
DED-6   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4/5/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4)-(6/4/5/9)-(6/4/5/9) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/4)-(1/6/4/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(1/6/4/7)-(1/3/9/4) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
DED-7   WIN (1/6/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/4/7)-(1/6/4/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/6/4/7)-(1/6/4/7/2)-(1/6/4/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/6/4/7)-(1/3/9/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4/7)-(1/3/9/4)-(6/3) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
DED-8   WIN (1/3/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/9/4)-(1/3/9/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/3/9/4)-(1/3/9/4/7)-(1/3/9/4/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/3/9/4)-(6/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
DED-9   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3/9/1/10) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/3)-(6/3/9/1/10)-(6/3/9/1/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   02/16/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAZZ Jan26 Jan12 Dec20     (averett ronn)BARRERA J 115 4.50 36% 1.80    
2  TALK TO TOKEY Jan22 Dec29 Dec11 Oct27 Sep24 (pomier chas)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 2.50    
3  GONE SOLUTION         (gonzalez ja)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 12.00    
4  COUNTRY CAT JAKE Feb01 Jan11 Dec29 Dec01 Nov19 (nelson r)POMPELL L 115 6.00 ★    
5  IN DETAIL Jan20 Jan07 Dec19 Oct20 Sep10 (bryant a)TORRES HUGO 113 3.50 40% 1.50    
6  WICKED TOUGH Jan18 Dec20 Dec08 Sep14 Aug28 (gallaway eddi)VARGAS P 123 8.00 ★    
7  RED ON THE HEAD         (pike l)THORNTON G 123 10.00 ★    
8  HE'S TROUBLE         (gomez c)BACA L 120 15.00    
9  AMANDAS NEW MAN Jan21 Oct19 Mar03 Jan26 Jan13 (west henry)MCMAHON J 120 20.00    
10  TYLER'S SENSATION Dec27 Feb11       (delahoussaye tom)FUSILIER C 120 20.00    
 
DED-2   02/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WOODS N WATER Feb02 Jan12 Dec16 Dec01 Nov19 (thomas lee)POMPELL L 117 1.80 24% 3.20    
2  TOUCHDOWN JOE Dec17 Dec01 Nov16 Jul16 Jun09 (noel dane)BIRZER E 117 5.00 ★    
3  JANET'S DEVIL Dec17 Nov17 Oct28 Jul27 Jun10 (gelner j)MCMAHON J 117 8.00 ★    
4  BAQUERO'S BIND Jan28 Jan08       (dison m)TORRES HUGO 112 15.00    
5  HEZA PICKLE Feb03 Jan20 Dec16 Nov25 Nov02 (turner patt)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 2.50 42% 1.40    
6  GUITARTUITION PLZZ Feb02 Jan12 Dec19 Nov26 Sep12 (wilson shane)STOKES J 117 3.00 9% 10.10    
 
DED-3   02/16/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($43K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  SHARP CHARLIE Dec27 Nov30 Aug09 Jul16 Jun08 (thomas lee)POMPELL L 117 6.00 ★    
SCR  REECE'S PRIORITY Jan12 Dec19 Dec10 Nov10 Aug24 (thomas lee)POMPELL L 117 6.00    
2  GRAND PRADO Dec28 Dec14 Oct22 Oct07 Aug05 (landry ray)STOKES J 117 8.00    
3  TOOL BOX Dec28 Nov30 Nov10 Oct15 Jul09 (tracy greg)BIRZER E 117 8.00 16% 5.20    
4  SADIE'S LIGHT Jan11 Nov04 Aug20 Jun08 May14 (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 3.50 43% 1.30    
5  MY MAN LOUIE Jan19 Dec07 Oct07 Aug28 Aug20 (degeyter ran)BARRERA J 112 4.00 ★    
6  HALF OURS N STORMY Nov30 Nov10 Oct07 Aug10 Jul20 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 1.80 16% 5.10    
7  MY AMIGO CHARLIE Jan15 Dec28 Nov30 Nov02 Oct07 (ali andrea )RAMIREZ PAULINA 117 10.00    
 
DED-4   02/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SOGNO DI CAMPIONE (CHI) Jul12         (sanchez m)BIRZER E 117 5.00 23% 3.30    
2  X CLOWN Aug06 Jul12 Jun02 Mar26 Feb21 (delhomme jeff)THORNTON G 114 8.00 ★    
3  LANGS DAY Feb04 Dec20 Nov11 Oct08 Mar05 (thomas lee)BARRERA J 112 6.00    
4  RELENTLESS DANCER Feb03 Jan07 Dec10 Nov11 Oct08 (bourgeois keith)STOKES J 114 10.00 ★    
5  SAMMY DANSEUR JR. Jan28 Jan12 Aug21 Jul12 May24 (broberg karl)VARGAS P 114 12.00    
6  EXTIRPATOR Jan28 Jan12 Dec10 Nov17 Oct13 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 10.00    
SCR  LAURI'S WISH Dec08 Nov04 Oct15 Aug05 Jul02 (thomas lee)COTTO L 114 15.00    
SCR  CUCINA Jan28 Jan12 Dec10 Nov17 Nov02 (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 120 10.00    
9  SLIM MAN Jan18 Dec11 Nov16 Sep29 Jul31 (amoss thoma)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 3.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  OLD HOMESTEAD Aug26 Aug01 Jul02 May21 Apr08 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 117 4.00 25% 3.00    
 
DED-5   02/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLASH OF GENIUS Jan14 Dec10 Sep25 Sep09 Jun17 (davis shawn)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 1.80 ★    
2  COUNTRY BRAVE Jan21 Dec14 Nov25 Oct28 Oct08 (davis h)BIRZER E 117 6.00    
3  THEO D'OR Feb02 Dec16 Nov25 Oct28 Aug29 (dunn r)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 114 12.00 6% 14.60    
4  DARE TO FAIL Jan20 Dec22 Oct21 Sep11 Aug27 (gomez c)MCMAHON J 117 3.50 19% 4.20    
5  MEANT FOR ME Jan12 May29 Mar05 Jan26 Jan13 (johnson b)TORRES HUGO 112 4.50 42% 1.40    
6  UNCLE BRAD Jan20 Dec10 Nov22 Oct21 Sep24 (ward ronnie)HERNANDEZ V 117 8.00    
7  VIKING LEGACY Jan13 Dec27 Oct12     (woodley j)THORNTON G 117 5.00 ★    
 
DED-6   02/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUANA DUDE Feb03 Oct26 Oct07 Aug24 Aug11 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 12.00    
2  AKHNAS Jan07 Dec28 Oct13 Jul30 Jul21 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 4.00    
SCR  GREELEY'S DEALER Jan26 Dec10 Oct14 Aug03 Jun29 (giangrosso russ)BOURQUE J 114 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  INDIMAAJ Jan25 Dec10 Sep25 Jul17 Mar04 (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 117 8.00 16% 5.20    
5  HUMPHREY Jan26 Dec19 Nov25 Nov09 Oct27 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 117 6.00 ★    
6  CLEAR HUMOR Jan26 Jan11 Dec21 Dec03 Nov10 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 2.50 50% 1.00    
7  TRAELEE Jan25 Jan06 Dec09 Nov16 Oct19 (segura kearney)STOKES J 117 12.00    
8  COOL INDIVIDUAL Aug17 Jul20 Jun30 Apr08 Feb26 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 114 5.00    
9  LIKEN IT Jan19 Dec28 Dec09 Nov02 Jun27 (ward ronnie)BARRERA J 112 8.00 ★    
10  BROAD DECISION Feb01 Jan13 Dec27 Dec14 Apr08 (robbins han)RAMIREZ PAULINA 117 15.00    
 
DED-7   02/16/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  CRIMSON ZIP Feb03 Jan06 Dec10 Feb18 Feb04 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 3.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  WHENTHEDOVESCRY Jan21 Dec28 Dec15 Oct14 Jul30 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 3.00    
2  LET IT B Jan20 Oct22 Oct05 Aug13 Jun25 (thompson kevin)TORRES HUGO 112 10.00 ★    
3  MONZZA Jan04 Nov05 Oct22 Aug11 Jul01 (chatters benard)STOKES A 117 12.00    
4  CURTIN'S UP Jan21 Jan04 Dec02 Nov12 Aug17 (gonzalez v)MCMAHON J 120 5.00 16% 5.30    
5  B B MOODY Feb02 Jan13 Dec21 Nov17 Feb24 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 114 15.00    
6  SMOOTH COLLIERY Jan05 Nov03 Oct20 Sep18 Jul28 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 114 2.50 25% 3.00    
7  JONATHAN WHO Jan18 Jan04 Nov12 Jun23 Jun09 (rubin donal)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 4.00 11% 8.30    
8  BUNKIE'S SONG Feb02 Jan04 Dec10 Oct29 Aug18 (landry ray)STOKES J 114 6.00    
 
DED-8   02/16/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCREENPLAY Jan27 Jan12 Dec27 Nov30 Oct15 (gonzalez v)STOKES J 117 2.50 50% 1.00    
1A  NUGGET OF GRACE Jan27 Jan11 Dec28 Dec16 Nov30 (gonzalez v)STOKES J 120 2.50    
2  GENIUS Jan27 Dec30 Dec16 Nov23 Nov10 (pomier chase)BARRERA J 115 12.00    
3  BOTTOMLESS Jan27 Dec30 Dec16 Nov25 Nov05 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 117 3.50 14% 6.40    
4  F J'S GEM Jan27 Dec30 Dec01 Aug27 Aug18 (maturin chad)BACA L 117 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MR LIBERTY Feb02 Jan05 Oct19 Sep15 Aug25 (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 120 4.50    
6  JOEY'S LIGHTENING Feb01 Jan18 Jan06 Nov22 Nov02 (averett ronn)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 10.00    
7  DOUBLE PRIORITY Jan27 Jan06 Dec19 Nov19 Nov02 (beavin judy)RIVERA JOSEAN 117 12.00 ★    
8  CARRIES MAN Feb02 Oct08 Jul30 Jul13 Apr21 (silva walter)TORRES HUGO 112 20.00    
9  INDEFENSIBLE Jan27 Jan06 Nov25 Oct20 Jul21 (melancon do)RAMIREZ PAULINA 117 8.00 6% 16.80    
 
DED-9   02/16/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT-10:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THROUGH THE CRACKS Jan27 Oct13 Sep24 Aug15 Jul23 (pomier chas)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 2.50 ★    
2  MIZZ ALL AMERICAN Jan20         (garza joaq)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 15.00    
3  STARRY STARRY DAY         (derousselle)LEDET THEODRICK 115 15.00 7% 13.40    
4  PIECE OF ME Feb02 Jan07 Dec10 Nov18   (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 5.00    
5  ELLIE'S TOUCH Jan20 Jan05 Dec08 Nov11 Oct19 (segura kearne)VARGAS P 120 12.00    
6  FIRE AND SPEIGHT Jan27 Nov17 Sep19 Aug14 Jul02 (roubion steve)THORNTON G 123 3.50 64% 0.60    
7  AMELIA VEGAS Feb02         (noel dane)BACA L 115 10.00    
8  NOWNOWDANCER Dec19 Nov26       (nelson r)HERNANDEZ V 120 20.00    
9  SERENGETI SIX Feb02 Jan07 Dec19 Dec08   (hibdon n)TORRES HUGO 118 8.00 ★    
10  FIRE VISION Jan25 Dec21 Dec08     (giangrosso r)BARRERA J 115 6.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.