Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Wednesday - February 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (7/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/3)-(7/3/4/5/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (7/3)-(7/3/4/5/1)-(7/3/4/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/3)-(1/4/2)-(8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-2   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2/5/6)-(1/4/2/5/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(8/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(8/6)-(6/5/3/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-3   WIN (8/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/6)-(8/6/3/2/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (8/6)-(8/6/3/2/4)-(8/6/3/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6)-(6/5/3/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (8/6)-(6/5/3/8)-(5/6/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-4   WIN (6/5/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/3/8)-(6/5/3/8/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/5/3/8)-(6/5/3/8/1)-(6/5/3/8/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/5/3/8)-(5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3/8)-(5/6/2)-(1/10/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-5   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2/7)-(5/6/2/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/6/2)-(1/10/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2)-(1/10/9)-(1/8/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-6   WIN (1/10/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/10/9)-(1/10/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/10/9)-(1/10/9)-(1/10/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/10/9)-(1/8/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/10/9)-(1/8/6)-(7/3/8/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-7   WIN (1/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/6)-(1/8/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/8/6)-(1/8/6/5)-(1/8/6/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/8/6)-(7/3/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/8/6)-(7/3/8/1)-(8/9) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-8   WIN (7/3/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/8/1)-(7/3/8/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/3/8/1)-(7/3/8/1/2)-(7/3/8/1/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/3/8/1)-(8/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
CT-9   WIN (8/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/9)-(8/9/2/3/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (8/9)-(8/9/2/3/1)-(8/9/2/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   02/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILLIAM'S CAUSE Jan25 Oct21 Sep30 Sep04 Jan13 (reynolds )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 12.00 ★    
2  TO LIVE IS TO LOVE Jan27 Dec17 Aug17     (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 122 15.00    
3  DULINI         (cooney s)ARAUJO DENIS 119 8.00 12% 7.10    
4  SEAN THE HAMMER Jan25 Dec17 Dec09 Nov10 Apr29 (runco c)LEWIS M 117 0.60 ★    
5  CRYPTIC CODE Jan25 Jan04 Nov16 Oct15 Aug17 (shanley mark)BOCACHICA O 124 6.00 ★    
6  SPARKLING SHIRE Jan04 Dec08 Oct14     (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 10.00    
7  WICKOSITY Nov22 Oct17 Sep27 Aug22 Aug09 (hillegass ale)THORPE DARIUS 124 5.00 63% 0.60    
 
CT-2   02/15/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3 ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHERE IS MIKE Oct19 Sep17       (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.50 36% 1.80    
2  SPEIGHTS YOUR MIND Dec09         (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 118 8.00 7% 13.70    
3  BIGZ'S CABANA BOY Nov25 Nov20 Oct13 Sep17 Aug25 (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 6.00    
4  HAGGERSDALE Jan14 Oct28       (brown ronney)BARBOSA JEIRON 113 2.50 30% 2.40    
5  GRAND ESCAPE Jan20 Dec17 Nov25 Nov02 Oct14 (bailes r)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 4.00 ★    
6  MY BLUE EYES Jan21 Dec16 Nov23 Nov09 Oct07 (kravets b)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 ★    
7  SUPER KHOZAN Jan14 Dec09 Nov25     (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 120 15.00    
 
CT-3   02/15/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMERICAN LEGACY Jan21 Dec17 Dec02 Nov17 Jun11 (butts e)BAEZ M 117 30.00    
2  TAKE CHARGE LISA Jan20         (klesaris ro)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 2.50 ★    
3  MY SILVER LADY Jan13 Dec20       (hurley jack)MORALES KELVIN 124 6.00 ★    
4  OUR GOLDEN COLLEEN Jan21 Jan04 Jun16 May26 May11 (hummer richard )PELTROCHE F 124 8.00 ★    
5  MAKO MISS Jan01 Oct21 Sep03     (perez ernesto)RODRIGUEZ V 124 8.00    
6  GREAT DEVOTION Jan04 Dec03 Oct21 Sep30 Sep14 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 124 4.50 20% 4.10    
7  JO AMY Jan26 Jan11 Dec27 Nov23   (stites flint )THORPE DARIUS 124 5.00    
8  ASHARA Jan27 Nov13 Oct29 Sep16 Sep03 (doran carl)ACOSTA D 124 3.00 56% 0.80    
 
CT-4   02/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OFFICER APPEAL Jan28 Dec09 Dec01 Nov10 Oct27 (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 1.60 ★    
2  DIVINE PROPORTION Feb02 Dec02 Nov11 Oct21 Sep29 (parram derrick)ARAUJO DENIS 122 15.00    
3  HIGH PRINT Jan04 Nov26 Oct28 Oct15 Sep25 (butts e)BAEZ M 115 15.00 10% 8.90    
4  DOHKO Jan11 Nov11 Sep14 Sep07 Jun12 (penaloza mig)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 8.00    
5  SIR TERRE Jan27 Nov25 Nov07 Oct21 Sep30 (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 122 6.00 22% 3.50    
6  REY O REYES Feb02 Jan13 Jan05 Dec15 Dec09 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.80 33% 2.10    
7  MOUNTAIN TIME Nov14 Nov02 Oct19 Oct03 Sep21 (hillegass alexa)BOCACHICA O 122 12.00    
8  RIGHTEOUS MAN Jan25 Dec09 Nov12 Oct21 Sep21 (kirlew lenwo)MARRERO CARLOS 122 10.00 8% 11.10    
 
CT-5   02/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3 ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FUNKLE Jan25         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 8.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of JULIE B by EASTOVER COURT)
2  CRUSH 'N RUN         (lewis w)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 10.00 7% 13.10    
  (by GATTOPARDO out of EXECUTIVE DRIVEN by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
3  JUBAY Jan06 Dec17       (casey a)THORPE DARIUS 122 12.00    
  (by JUBA out of LANGFORD BAY by LANGFUHR)
SCR  MAKIN' GOLD         (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 122 6.00 18% 4.70    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of NEWS MAKIN by MAKIN)
5  LOVETHEBAND         (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.50 32% 2.10    
  (by BANDBOX out of LOV'EMNRUN by NOT FOR LOVE)
6  GRUMPY'S BUDDY Jan25 Dec14 Nov26     (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 19% 4.20    
  (by BAHAMIAN SQUALL out of HARBIN ICE by FIRST DUDE)
7  DE'S CASTLE Dec14 Nov26 Nov05 Oct15 Sep03 (petty kris)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 3.00 ★    
  (by WINDSOR CASTLE out of DEMAY by DEHERE)
8  KAYLEE'S SPITFIRE Jan25 Jan04 Dec14 Nov23   (clatterbuck fre)RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of KAYLEE'S ATTITUDE by STROLL)
 
CT-6   02/15/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRANDIOSELY Feb04 Jan25 Nov04 Sep23 Jun05 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.60 51% 0.90    
2  QUEEN OF KANTHAROS Dec17 Dec02 Nov05 Sep24 Aug13 (cipriano robe)SIMPSON JASON 122 15.00    
3  TREAT ME SPECIAL Jan04 Dec03 Nov11 Nov04   (allard edwar)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 12.00    
4  MISSING MY POINT Nov23 Nov02 Sep03 Feb17 Jan27 (aylor willia)MARRERO CARLOS 120 30.00    
SCR  DEREKA'S BLUFF Nov11 Oct26 May25 May11 Apr28 (venham lyn )RAMGEET R 122 6.00 7% 14.20    
6  BALLYMENA (GB) Jan05 Dec14 Nov23 Nov11 Nov04 (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 115 12.00    
7  YIRA Dec31 Nov13 Oct16 Sep25 Aug31 (salazar marco)ACOSTA D 120 15.00    
8  JESS FOR KICKS Jan26 Jan05 Nov23 Nov02 Sep30 (smith osborn)LEWIS M 115 12.00    
9  LILLY SIMONE Jan25 Dec10 Nov19     (perez ernesto)RODRIGUEZ V 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  RED PRIESTESS Jan26 Jan05 Dec17 Dec03 Oct23 (bailes rober)ARAUJO DENIS 122 3.00 7% 13.00    
SCR  KOBE'S GIRL Dec31 Dec17 Nov30 Nov19 Oct08 (serey jr)PELTROCHE F 120 8.00 7% 14.00    
SCR  CAN I GET AN AMEN Jan28 Dec09 Oct20 Jul28   (hayes kirsten)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00    
 
CT-7   02/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3 ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST MURPHY (IRE)         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.50 30% 2.30    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of REYKJAVIK by SCAT DADDY)
2  HE'S CLEVER Jan06         (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 6.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of CLEVER by SMARTY JONES)
SCR  HARPERSGONEFISHING Jan04 Nov23 Nov08     (carlisle joh)MARRERO CARLOS 122 10.00    
  (by J J'S LUCKY TRAIN out of SYDNEYS ASTRAL HAT by GARNERED)
SCR  O'RIGSBY         (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 122 8.00 ★    
  (by UPSTART out of SHE'S GRUMPY by NORTHERN AFLEET)
5  HAZEDNCONFUSED Jan04 Nov23 Oct12 Sep24   (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 5.00 ★    
  (by JUBA out of CELESTIAL HAZE by UTOPIA (JPN))
6  BROAD IMAGINATION Jan27         (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 6.00 21% 3.70    
  (by IMAGINING out of BROAD BUT NICE by SEEKING DAYLIGHT)
7  CURB THAT TIGER Jan06 Dec17       (petty kristy)BOCACHICA O 122 30.00    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of ARCH TIGER by ARCH)
8  GATTO BE PROUD         (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 4.00 22% 3.50    
  (by GATTOPARDO out of KELA'S PRIDE by KELA)
9  TIME TO CHOOSE Jan25 Jan04 Nov23 Nov02 Sep14 (casey a)ARAUJO DENIS 122 4.50    
  (by WINDSOR CASTLE out of TIME'SONYOURSIDE by MALIBU MOON)
 
CT-8   02/15/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 4UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIO GRACELAND Jan12 Dec16 Nov26 Oct22 Oct05 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00 7% 12.70    
2  CATS DIAMOND BOY Nov12 Oct21 Sep30 Sep09 Aug25 (lane l)RIOS-CONDE A 120 5.00 ★    
3  DONNIE B Jan11 Dec17 Nov26 Nov09   (barber do)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.50 15% 5.60    
4  CHIPPEWA'S CASTLE Dec01 Nov09 Oct15 Aug20 Jun04 (brown ronney)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 6.00    
5  WINDSOR'S TRACKER Dec10 Nov26 Sep09 Jul02 Jun18 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 120 12.00    
6  TALKING TEDDY Jan26 Dec01 Nov12 Oct21 Apr29 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 120 6.00    
7  ENTRY TIME Jan11 Dec01 Nov17 Oct27 Oct06 (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.50 42% 1.40    
8  BERTRAM FLIGHT Dec01 Nov12 Oct15 Sep24 Jul23 (joy j)ACOSTA D 120 4.00 11% 8.20    
SCR  JEFFERSON SECURITY Jan11 Sep24 Sep03 Aug13   (grams timot)RAMGEET R 120 10.00    
 
CT-9   02/15/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED LIL SHIPMENT Jan25 Jan04 May04 Mar23 Mar04 (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 124 4.50 ★    
2  FESSIN UP Dec03 Nov11 Oct21 Oct13 Sep30 (stahlin joh)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 12.00 ★    
3  PRINCESS MIA ROSE Jan25 Jan04 Dec02 Oct15 Oct07 (aylor natash)MARRERO CARLOS 122 6.00 ★    
4  NANNY'S MISSION Jan25 Jan04 Dec03 Oct21 Mar30 (pennella m)RODRIGUEZ V 124 20.00    
5  MY BEST GIRL Dec16 Jul29 May11 Apr15 Mar24 (hamlin kathlee)LOPEZ DERECK 114 12.00    
6  BODIE'S STORM Jan21 Dec01 Nov11 Oct15 Sep30 (pyke joseph)SIMPSON JASON 122 15.00    
7  SUDDEN FLARE Jan25 Jan04 Dec17 Dec02   (dollinger-sthr)ARAUJO DENIS 124 15.00    
8  HOLY HIP         (jones e)BAEZ M 117 2.50 67% 0.50    
9  MYGIDGETMARIE Jan25 Dec01 Oct29 Oct14 Oct07 (huet k)LEWIS M 117 2.00 11% 8.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.