Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Rillito
Sunday - February 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
RIL-5   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/3)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/3)-(7/2/6/5/8) 10 $2.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(7/2/6/5/8)-(6/8/5) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
RIL-6   WIN (7/2/6/5/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/2/6/5/8)-(7/2/6/5/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (7/2/6/5/8)-(7/2/6/5/8)-(7/2/6/5/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/2/6/5/8)-(6/8/5) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
RIL-7   WIN (6/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/5)-(6/8/5/4/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/8/5)-(6/8/5/4/2)-(6/8/5/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/8/5)-(3/7/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/8/5)-(3/7/4)-(4/5/2/8/3) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
RIL-8   WIN (3/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/4)-(3/7/4/8/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/7/4)-(3/7/4/8/1)-(3/7/4/8/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/7/4)-(4/5/2/8/3) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
RIL-9   WIN (4/5/2/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/5/2/8/3)-(4/5/2/8/3) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (4/5/2/8/3)-(4/5/2/8/3)-(4/5/2/8/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
RIL-5   02/05/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($2.5K) Purse ($7.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THIRSTY COWBOY Nov30 Nov07 Sep16 Jul31   (delp corey)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 4.00 ★    
SCR  GABE'S MONSTER Jan24 Jan07 Nov30 Nov12 Aug18 (ybarra rud)PRECIADO A 126 12.00    
3  BELLA VINO Sep03 Aug27 Jul31     (reyes norma)SERRANO KEIVAN 121 3.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  FACE OF GRACE Jan25 Jan09 Nov22 Sep17 Aug13 (scott jr)DEONAUTH P 121 10.00 ★    
5  NUMMY NUM Jan07 Nov30 Nov12 Oct14 Oct07 (crotts james)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 2.00 44% 1.30    
SCR  PICK BYMY FRIEND Jan20 Jan02 Dec10 Nov18 Nov06 (gilmour j)JENSEN P 126 5.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  CANDY RASCAL Jan17 Dec06 Nov07 Oct11   (loma humbert)CARBAJAL KEVIN 126 6.00    
 
RIL-6   02/05/2023 2640ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCESS SUGEITH Sep28 Aug27 Aug10 Apr29 Apr03 (salazar michell)OSUNA JESUS 121 6.00    
2  NIZAMDCARCHY         (cruz omar)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 2.50 16% 5.30    
3  ROSES FOR SUZZETT Dec22 Nov05 Aug16 Aug02 Jul27 (silva jose )WILLIAMS AJHARI 121 12.00    
4  A BIT MUCH Jan09 Nov06 Sep04 Jul08 Jun10 (salas eliaza)CARBAJAL KEVIN 124 8.00    
5  MUSICAL GEM Jan17 Jan05 Dec08 Sep05 Aug22 (torres-casas al)LEON A 126 4.50 9% 10.00    
6  HUGHIE'S HOLIDAY Jan17 Dec14 Nov09     (ybarra rudy)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 5.00 14% 6.30    
7  IDA NEEDA DRINK Sep05 Aug05 Jul10 Jul01 Jun10 (delp corey)CONNING CRYSTAL 119 3.00 27% 2.70    
8  DRAW THE FOUL Jan24 Dec26 Dec04 Nov05 Oct08 (gilmour j)JENSEN P 126 15.00 8% 11.60    
 
RIL-7   02/05/2023 1320ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NIGHTHAWK SPECIAL Apr02 Mar20 Mar06 Feb26   (cruz oma)AYON-QUEVEDO JORGE 121 15.00    
2  SONGOFTHEDESERT Jan19 Dec26 Nov14 Sep10 Aug22 (reyes norma)REYES-FRISBY D 121 8.00 ★    
3  RESTORING DREAMS Dec27 Nov25 Sep23 May29   (tate mary)OSUNA MARTIN 126 3.50    
4  CONQUEST MOONMAD Nov09 Apr24 Apr02 Mar26 Mar12 (alcoverde ernes)OSUNA JESUS 126 12.00 ★    
5  BLUE CHIP BETTY Oct01 Aug28 Jul17 Jul09 Jun12 (lavanway )KELLENBERGER KODY 121 5.00 7% 12.80    
6  MASTER RULER Dec27 Sep17 Sep03 Aug22 Jul18 (salas eliazar)LEON A 126 3.00 59% 0.70    
7  BIGGER THAN YOU Dec17 Nov14 Aug08 Jul18 Jul04 (monteverde alva)PINON DAVID 121 10.00    
8  TIZ A SPEED BOMB Mar26 Mar19 Mar10 Jan18   (kern david)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 2.50 10% 8.70    
 
RIL-8   02/05/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($11.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MINISTERSDON'TLIE Nov05 Sep10 Aug22 Mar12 Feb27 (lewis jim)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 5.00 ★    
2  LIL LATIGO Jan24 Jan10 Dec20 Nov15 Nov04 (lavanway dayson)ELLIS DEVON 126 15.00    
3  DARKSABER Jan20 Jan02 Dec09 Nov13 Oct28 (gilmour jim)DEONAUTH P 126 3.00 52% 0.90    
4  LINEMANS CHECK Jan05 Dec10 Nov29 Nov08 Sep05 (ortega monica)OSUNA JESUS 126 10.00 7% 12.50    
5  FORGOTTEN VOWS Jan19 Jan09 Dec14 Dec10 Nov08 (dennis g)GAMEZ M 126 8.00    
6  MINEHUNTER Jan10 Dec13 Feb25 Jan26 Jan11 (metz jeffrey)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 2.00    
7  FIGHT ME Jan05 Dec15 Sep17 Sep03 Aug22 (figueroa jua)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 12.00 10% 8.80    
8  POLITICAL RIOT Jan25 Jan02 Dec21 Dec01 Oct04 (metz jeffrey)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 4.00 ★    
 
RIL-9   02/05/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWO SOCKS MAC Jan24 Oct09 Oct01 Sep24 Sep16 (dennis g)GAMEZ M 126 12.00    
2  HULA KING Jan16 Dec30 Dec09 Nov13 Oct08 (gilmour j)JENSEN P 126 4.50 9% 9.90    
3  STONUS MAXIMUS Jan10 Dec27 Dec10 Nov29 Nov08 (wheeler tra)CONNING CRYSTAL 126 10.00 7% 13.50    
4  FULL DRAW Jan03 Dec10 Nov29 Nov21 Oct15 (ortega monica)OSUNA JESUS 126 3.00 41% 1.40    
5  AFTER THE CANDY Jan12 Dec27 Dec13 Nov25 Oct14 (silva l)LEON A 126 2.50 12% 7.50    
6  BREXTON Jan28 Jan03 Dec19 Nov23 Nov08 (metz jeffrey)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 5.00    
7  TELLER Jan17 Nov29 Sep27 Aug28 Aug14 (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 126 8.00    
8  KICK IT Jan25 Jan12 Jan02 Dec15 Nov15 (lavanway dayson)ELLIS DEVON 126 15.00 8% 11.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.