Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Saturday - January 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (7/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/1)-(7/8/1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/1)-(7/8/1/4/6)-(7/8/1/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/8/1)-(6/2/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/8/1)-(6/2/3/5)-(1/2/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-2   WIN (6/2/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/3/5)-(6/2/3/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/2/3/5)-(6/2/3/5/1)-(6/2/3/5/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/2/3/5)-(1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3/5)-(1/2/3)-(4/2/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-3   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(4/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(4/2/5)-(9/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FG-4   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5/3/1)-(4/2/5/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(9/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(9/3)-(4/1/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FG-5   WIN (9/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/3)-(9/3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/3)-(9/3/6/4)-(9/3/6/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (9/3)-(4/1/6/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (9/3)-(4/1/6/8)-(4/6) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
FG-6   WIN (4/1/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/6/8)-(4/1/6/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/1/6/8)-(4/1/6/8/2)-(4/1/6/8/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/1/6/8)-(4/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6/8)-(4/6)-(4) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
FG-7   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6/7/5/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/6)-(4/6/7/5/2)-(4/6/7/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6)-(4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (4/6)-(4)-(8/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
FG-8   WIN (4) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (4)-(4/2/6/5) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (4)-(4/2/6/5)-(4/2/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4)-(8/2/3) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (4)-(8/2/3)-(3/7/5/4/2) 15 $0.50 $7.50 
FG-9   WIN (8/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/3)-(8/2/3/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/3)-(8/2/3/4/7)-(8/2/3/4/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/2/3)-(3/7/5/4/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
FG-10   WIN (3/7/5/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/7/5/4/2)-(3/7/5/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/7/5/4/2)-(3/7/5/4/2)-(3/7/5/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   01/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VERO CAMPIONE Mar20 Feb12 Jan16     (duke steven)CULP BRIANNE 120 10.00 6% 17.00    
2  WILD FIST Dec08 Nov27 Aug18 Jun24 Jun04 (peterson je)BARANDELA SOFIA 120 20.00    
3  BROTHER JEFF Dec16 Nov27 Apr15 Mar24   (arndt theodo)THERIOT J 125 20.00    
4  STONE ALLIANCE Dec08 Nov26 Mar20 Mar03   (cuccia j)ALBERT S 120 4.00 ★    
5  STAR READY Dec17 Aug21       (silva miguel)PARKER L 117 8.00    
6  SPREADING RUMORS Dec17 Dec01 Sep13 Aug19   (ducoing sturges )RIQUELME J 117 4.00 ★    
7  RONALDS GATSBY Dec08 Nov26 Nov02 Sep26 Sep05 (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 125 3.00 60% 0.70    
8  HARD KINGS Nov26 Mar20 Mar09 Jan30 Jan21 (ladner herm)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 2.50 10% 9.30    
 
FG-2   01/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AFIKOMAN Mar09 Feb18 Jan19     (stidham m)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50 ★    
2  BUCKY BIK COIN Dec04 Oct28 Sep28 Sep03   (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122 4.50 17% 4.80    
3  PESO IN MY POCKET Sep10 Aug27 Jul25 May24 May08 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 3.00 17% 4.80    
4  IRONMAN RICHIE Dec17 Nov26 Nov12 Sep24 Jun25 (rodriguez )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 5.00    
5  MAJESTIC MANDATE Dec02 Nov05 Oct14 Aug13 Jul21 (gelner jayd)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 3.50 17% 5.00    
6  MESABI Dec02 Aug08 Jun21 May29 Apr28 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 3.50 24% 3.10    
 
FG-3   01/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FREE LIKE A GIRL Dec31 Dec10 Nov04 Oct07 Sep25 (pomier chasey )COTTO L 124 4.00 17% 4.90    
  (by EL DEAL out of FLASHY PRIZE by FLASHY BULL)
2  SPIRITED BEAUTY Dec29 Dec10 Nov18 Oct05 Aug06 (camejo m)COHEN DAVID 118 8.00 9% 9.80    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of SUNDAY'S CHILD by DESERT WINE)
3  WINNING ROMANCE Dec10 Nov18 Oct07 May06 Mar27 (calhoun william )PARKER L 124 5.00 9% 10.30    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of LIPSTICK JUNKY by FLATTER)
SCR  OVA CHARGED Dec10 Nov18 Mar27     (camejo )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 0.40 37% 1.70    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of CHARGED COTTON by DEHERE)
SCR  SNOWBALL Dec10 Nov18 Oct07 Aug27 Aug06 (breaux sa)HERNANDEZ J 124 12.00 8% 12.00    
  (by APRIORITY out of INNER PEACE by SEATTLE SLEW)
 
FG-4   01/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3 F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAR SAVER Dec23         (silva miguel)PARKER L 120 3.00 ★    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of NAMAKA by DECLARATION OF WAR)
2  HUNTRESS FOR HIRE         (stall albe)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 17% 4.80    
  (by NYQUIST out of RICHIEGIRLGONEWILD by WILDCAT HEIR)
3  SINGING EMMA Nov25 Nov16       (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 ★    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of SHINING APPEAL by POWERSCOURT (GB))
4  TOPSY         (asmussen m)GRAHAM J 120 2.00 47% 1.10    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of SECRETARIAT HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
5  PELICAN LANE         (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 120 3.50 11% 8.20    
  (by BLAME out of SEA ROAD by TALE OF THE CAT)
 
FG-5   01/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3 ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLUCKSTADT Dec11 Oct28       (alonzo howar)THERIOT J 120 20.00    
SCR  MOTOWN MISSILE Nov24 Oct28       (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 2.50 44% 1.20    
3  JARED THE WARRIOR Dec03 Sep24       (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 5.00 9% 10.50    
4  LET'S GO RANDOM Dec23 Nov19       (hartman chris)LANERIE J 120 6.00 ★    
5  OWEN THE ICE MAN Dec22 Dec01 Sep17 Aug13   (hatcher nathan)CULP BRIANNE 112 12.00    
6  HOLY PRINCE Dec03 Aug18       (ducoing st)ALBERT S 115 12.00 ★    
7  LA BOUCANE Dec11 Nov18 Sep27     (wilson sha)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00    
8  WINNING DANCE Dec03 Nov19       (desormeaux kei)PARKER L 120 15.00    
9  GIANNIS Dec03 Aug28       (reeves )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 3.00 27% 2.80    
 
FG-6   01/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($51K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BANKROLL Dec15 Nov02 Sep15 Feb10   (scherer eric)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 3.50 19% 4.10    
2  COURTMAN Dec15 May21 Apr13 Mar19 Feb25 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 6.00 ★    
SCR  PEANUT N IKE Nov25 Oct28 Sep17 Aug29 Aug10 (rosier charles)CULP BRIANNE 116 15.00    
4  GEORGE ALLEN Dec15 Nov24 Oct26 Jun04   (brinkman bre)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 3.00 41% 1.40    
5  EDDIE'S HUMOR Nov24 Mar05 Feb04 Jan20   (ducoing sturges )RIQUELME J 121 10.00    
6  HELAIRE Dec15 Dec01 Sep18 Aug30 Jul23 (mouton patrick)LANERIE J 121 4.00 11% 7.80    
7  AUTUMNS STRONG MAN Dec11 Nov24 Oct26 Oct06 Sep17 (husak gary)HERNANDEZ J 121 5.00    
8  GUTZY Dec11 Aug29 Aug09 Mar24 Mar12 (camejo )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 5.00 7% 13.50    
 
FG-7   01/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($26K) 3 ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLANTON Dec03 Nov06       (ortiz alexand)GRAHAM J 120 10.00    
2  WOLF HUNTER Dec23 Nov27 Nov18 Oct29 Oct08 (dorochenko genna)RIQUELME J 120 6.00 ★    
3  GREEN BEANS Oct14 Sep16       (gabriel terry)CULP BRIANNE 111 12.00    
4  FROG TOWN Dec09 Nov03 Oct13     (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 2.50 45% 1.20    
5  AMANWALKSINTOABAR Dec26 Nov27 Oct13     (stidham mic)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.50 ★    
6  BOXSTER Nov13 Oct02 Aug20 Jul02 Jun02 (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 120 3.00 32% 2.20    
7  WIRED TO GO         (sharp joe)ASHTON GAVIN 120 4.00 ★    
 
FG-8   01/07/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMARTY ALEX Dec19 Dec11 Oct06 Sep28 Aug24 (claire a)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 30.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of BARBIES M by AFLEET ALEX)
2  CITY PARK Dec10 Oct26 Aug06 Jul02 Jun04 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 20.00 ★    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of AMERICAN KITTY by TALE OF THE CAT)
3  MAGA MAN Dec10 Nov19 Jun04 May07 Mar27 (miller c)GRAHAM J 124 15.00    
  (by MUSKET MAN out of LEW'S GRAY by PULLING PUNCHES)
4  WHO TOOK THE MONEY Dec10 Nov19 Oct08 May07 Mar27 (calhoun william )PARKER L 118 1.40 45% 1.20    
  (by STREET BOSS out of SPEIGHTS' COLONY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
5  BUDRO TALKING Dec09 Sep17 Aug14 Jun11 May21 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00 ★    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of AMERICAN PLACED by QUIET AMERICAN)
6  BALLINONABUDJET Dec30 Dec10 Nov18 May21 Apr27 (cox h)LANERIE J 118 3.50 ★    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of HEIR TO GLORY by WILDCAT HEIR)
SCR  TOUCHUPONASTAR Dec10 Oct13 Jul27 Jun04 May13 (delhomme jeff)THORNTON G 118 1.60 32% 2.20    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of TOUCH MAGIC by LION HEART)
8  CHARLIE G Nov26 Aug06 Jul16 Jun20 Jun03 (thomas lee)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
  (by MY PAL CHARLIE out of TEN RASPBERRIES by TENPINS)
9  PLAY MO Nov26 Jun18 Mar26 Mar16 Feb26 (delhomme )HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
  (by MO TOM out of MY QUEEN OLIVIA by HALF OURS)
 
FG-9   01/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WIN YA WIN Dec10 Jun04 Mar16 Feb04 Jan27 (camejo jose )BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of WILD ABOUT MARIE by WILDCAT HEIR)
2  BRON AND BROW Dec15 May29 May05 Mar12 Feb17 (casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00 13% 6.60    
  (by GORMLEY out of CHANGING VISTA by CHANGEINTHEWEATHER)
3  BRIAN'S IRON MIKE Dec10 Nov19 Oct08 Aug06 Jul22 (landry r)THORNTON G 124 4.00 8% 11.60    
  (by IRON FIST out of HILDEGARDE by GHOSTZAPPER)
4  BIG CHOPPER Dec10 Nov19 Nov03 Sep25 Sep02 (gelner scott)LANERIE J 124 4.00 ★    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of MISS WELL MOLDED by UNUSUAL HEAT)
5  MIKE J Dec10 Nov19 Nov11 Aug14 Jul12 (thomas lee)COTTO L 118 12.00    
  (by SKY MESA out of DICKSON STREET by STORM BOOT)
6  CREOLE CHARLIE Dec10 Nov19 Aug06 Jul09 Jun04 (alonzo howard)GRAHAM J 118 20.00    
  (by MY PAL CHARLIE out of CAJUN YANKEE by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
7  RELENTLESS DANCER Dec10 Nov11 Oct08 Jun22 Jun04 (bourgeois keith)MELANCON G 124 6.00 ★    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of PASSION FOR WORDS by BENCHMARK)
8  SWOT ANALYSIS Dec11 Oct09 Sep04 Jul22 Jun11 (casse mark)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.50 52% 0.90    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of SOLO BUENA by HALF OURS)
9  JANETS JAY JAY Dec10 Nov19 Oct13 Aug21 Aug03 (alonzo howard)MORALES EDGAR 122 30.00    
  (by ORTHODOX out of JUST CALL ME JANET by PURE PRIZE)
 
FG-10   01/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNDERDOG Dec09 Nov18 Oct26 Aug11 Jul24 (gelner scott)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 8.00    
2  BETTER WATCH OUT Nov18 Oct28 Sep18     (singh s)SINGH R 121 12.00 7% 14.20    
3  MAINTAINANCE MATT Dec09 Nov18 Nov03 Jul22 Jun09 (charles k)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 4.00 26% 2.80    
4  TAPPIN FORA DANCE Dec09 Aug17 Jun02 Apr24 Mar19 (romero j)RIQUELME J 121 15.00 8% 11.70    
5  FOOLISH STEVE Dec09 May14 Feb14 Jan16   (faucheu)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 2.50 10% 9.20    
6  IMPACT PLAYER Dec09 Nov18 Aug18 Jul30 Jun09 (ladner cha)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 8.00    
7  FIFTEEN LOVE BACK Dec02 Nov18 Oct12 Sep27 Sep18 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 4.00 24% 3.10    
8  MUSCADINE Jul20 Jun29 May27 Mar25 Mar06 (wiggins lon)COHEN DAVID 121 12.00    
9  DREWZANO Dec09 Nov18 Sep23 Aug24 Aug04 (bourgeois )ALBERT S 119 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.