Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Wednesday - January 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (1/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/3)-(1/8/3/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/3)-(1/8/3/6/5)-(1/8/3/6/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/8/3)-(10/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/8/3)-(10/7)-(8/6/4/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-2   WIN (10/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (10/7)-(10/7/11/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (10/7)-(10/7/11/4)-(10/7/11/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (10/7)-(8/6/4/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (10/7)-(8/6/4/7)-(1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
CT-3   WIN (8/6/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/4/7)-(8/6/4/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/6/4/7)-(8/6/4/7/3)-(8/6/4/7/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/6/4/7)-(1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (8/6/4/7)-(1)-(6/4/3/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-4   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1)-(1/7/3/8/9) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1)-(1/7/3/8/9)-(1/7/3/8/9) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1)-(6/4/3/2/7) 5 $1.00 $5.00 
    PK3 (1)-(6/4/3/2/7)-(3/4/8/9/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
CT-5   WIN (6/4/3/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/4/3/2/7)-(6/4/3/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/4/3/2/7)-(6/4/3/2/7)-(6/4/3/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/4/3/2/7)-(3/4/8/9/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3/2/7)-(3/4/8/9/7)-(6/4/8/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-6   WIN (3/4/8/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/4/8/9/7)-(3/4/8/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/4/8/9/7)-(3/4/8/9/7)-(3/4/8/9/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/4/8/9/7)-(6/4/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/4/8/9/7)-(6/4/8/1)-(7/1/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-7   WIN (6/4/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/8/1)-(6/4/8/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/4/8/1)-(6/4/8/1/5)-(6/4/8/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/4/8/1)-(7/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/8/1)-(7/1/3)-(3/8/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-8   WIN (7/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/3)-(7/1/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/1/3)-(7/1/3/6)-(7/1/3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/1/3)-(3/8/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CT-9   WIN (3/8/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/8/9)-(3/8/9/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/9)-(3/8/9/6/7)-(3/8/9/6/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   01/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYSTIFIED Dec20 Nov24 Oct15 Sep21 Aug29 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.20 53% 0.90    
SCR  RAYO NEGRO Dec15 Nov17 Nov05 Oct19 Oct06 (nazario pe)MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 20.00    
3  MAKE THE WAY CLEAR Dec03 Nov11 Oct26 Oct08 Sep17 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 5.00 7% 12.60    
SCR  DUKE OF CORK Dec16 Dec10 Nov26 Nov10 Oct22 (shanley mark)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00    
5  MY MIRACLE MAN Dec17 Dec09 Sep02 Jul29 Jun30 (shanley timothy)BAEZ M 115 10.00 ★    
6  TRIPLE TITOS Dec20 Nov05 Oct22 Oct05 Sep17 (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 4.50 ★    
7  DIVINING DANCER Dec03 Nov24 Sep30 Sep09 Aug25 (covello andre)SIMPSON JASON 122 12.00    
8  PLAYBOY ROY Dec03 Sep30 Sep09 Aug24 Aug06 (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 122 4.00 13% 6.80    
 
CT-2   01/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3 ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GATTO BE PROUD         (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 5.00 6% 14.90    
  (by GATTOPARDO out of KELA'S PRIDE by KELA)
2  DON'T GET CAUGHTUP Dec14 Dec08       (boykins kevin)ACOSTA D 122 30.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of PUTTYBADSHARK by ONEBADSHARK)
3  KING KJARTAN Dec17 Nov26       (stehr josep)RAMGEET R 122 30.00    
  (by MR. PRANKSTER out of LOVE THAT KELLY by DOMESTIC DISPUTE)
4  HARPERSGONEFISHING Nov23 Nov08       (carlisle joh)MARRERO CARLOS 122 12.00 ★    
  (by J J'S LUCKY TRAIN out of SYDNEYS ASTRAL HAT by GARNERED)
5  HERE'STHEBREADMAN Nov26         (bass w)BOCACHICA O 122 12.00    
  (by JUBA out of CAPTAIN MOLLY by LOST SOLDIER)
6  TIME TO CHOOSE Nov23 Nov02 Sep14 Sep03 Aug13 (casey a)ARAUJO DENIS 122 6.00    
  (by WINDSOR CASTLE out of TIME'SONYOURSIDE by MALIBU MOON)
7  HAZEDNCONFUSED Nov23 Oct12 Sep24     (casey jam)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 2.50 31% 2.30    
  (by JUBA out of CELESTIAL HAZE by UTOPIA (JPN))
8  KAYLEE'S SPITFIRE Dec14 Nov23       (clatterbuck fre)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of KAYLEE'S ATTITUDE by STROLL)
9  LITTLE ROO ROO Dec14 Nov23       (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of PEPPER BAY by BOP)
10  ZIGGY STARDUST Dec14 Nov23 Nov02 Oct12 Sep14 (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.80 41% 1.50    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of RUNAWAY BRAE by YARROW BRAE)
11  TWO ROOM SCHOOL Dec17 Nov26 Nov05 Sep24 Sep14 (viands grego)MORALES KELVIN 122 5.00 ★    
  (by ALDRIN out of DARKE ICE by FANTASTICAT)
SCR  MISSIONARY Nov26 Nov05 Oct15     (casey w)BOCACHICA O 122 6.00    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of MISSION TRUE by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
 
CT-3   01/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9.7K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGH PRINT Nov26 Oct28 Oct15 Sep25 Sep17 (butts e)RODRIGUEZ V 122 12.00    
2  MEGA MILLIONS Dec01 Oct15 Sep30 Sep16 Jul16 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 12.00    
3  PENNSYLVANIA STEEL Dec01 Oct18 Sep28 Sep14 Sep05 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 4.00 ★    
4  ELLIE'S LIL MAN Dec01 Oct27 Oct13 Sep15 Aug20 (pickett cryst)THORPE DARIUS 124 10.00 9% 10.30    
5  RUNNING VIOLENCE Nov14 Nov02 Oct10 Sep30 Sep16 (grullon rique)SIMPSON JASON 122 20.00    
6  FINAL SAY Dec02 Nov10 Oct21 Sep28 Sep07 (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 1.80 19% 4.40    
7  CHARITABLE SPENNY Dec10 Aug20 Jul14 Jun04 May11 (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 122 15.00 7% 12.80    
8  AWESOME BUZZ Jun16 May21 May12 Mar31 Mar11 (spriggs toschi)MONTANO JOSE 122 3.00 42% 1.40    
9  OBANNON Dec10 Nov24 Oct14 Sep29 Sep22 (racanelli j)CECIL Y 124 20.00    
10  GAMING JACK Nov26 Nov09 Oct14 Sep28 Sep07 (arias alfonso)CHILO JACINTO 122 12.00    
SCR  UNIDENTIFIED MAN Dec11 Nov18 Oct15 Oct01 Sep09 (rodriguez )MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 2.50    
 
CT-4   01/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAYSVILLE MISS Dec10 Nov30 Nov05 Oct14 Sep23 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 72% 0.40    
SCR  UPTOWN BELLE Dec10 Dec02 Nov11 Sep17   (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 6.00    
3  TOUGH ONE Dec14 Nov23 Nov09 Oct29 Oct15 (perez ernesto)BAEZ M 115 10.00 ★    
4  BRANDYURAFINEGIRL Dec17 Nov17 Apr13 Mar16 Jan14 (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00    
5  I B NASTY Dec10 Nov30 Nov05 Oct29 Oct07 (racanelli m)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 12.00    
6  DIVA GAL Dec17 Nov24 Oct22 Oct06 Sep10 (schottroffe edwar)CECIL Y 122 20.00    
7  IRISH SAMURAI Dec10 Dec01 Nov18 Nov04 Oct14 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.00 ★    
8  SHESAHUMBLEHUSTLER Dec17 Nov25 Nov05 Oct07 Sep23 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 124 15.00 ★    
9  RAVIOLI MAMA Dec10 Nov23 Oct19 Sep28 Sep17 (spriggs tosc)LEWIS M 113 12.00 ★    
10  PRETTY SPECTACULAR Dec10 Nov23 Oct29 Oct07 Sep17 (montilla ca)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.50    
SCR  VIOLET JESSOP Nov18 Oct27 Oct07 Sep17 Sep07 (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 10.00    
SCR  FUELED UP Nov30 Nov16 Oct28 Aug31 Jul27 (moreno-barb)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 12.00    
 
CT-5   01/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NICE BUT NAUGHTY Dec17 Nov26 Nov09 Oct29 Sep09 (jackson ange)MORALES KELVIN 123 5.00    
  (by JUBA out of SCOTTISH PUNCH by MY BOY ADAM)
2  DON'TCALLTOOEARLY Nov05 Oct19 Sep29 Sep07 Aug27 (atkins mich)RAMGEET R 123 4.50 6% 16.70    
  (by REAL ESTATE out of CEDAR RUN'S EMBLEM by OUR EMBLEM)
3  MY PHOENIX Dec17 Nov26 Mar16 Feb12   (mckee d)BAEZ M 116 2.00 10% 8.80    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of MIRACLE PRINCESS by MASTER RICK)
4  RIVER ROYALE R V F Nov26         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 3.50 24% 3.10    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of ROYAL DISCOVERY by ALLEN'S PROSPECT)
5  IT'S ONLY MONEY Dec17 Dec06 Oct15 Sep03   (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 123 15.00    
  (by EVANGELISM out of JUST FOR MONEY by NOT FOR LOVE)
6  IRISH FLIGHT Aug19 Jun02       (espinosa victo)MONTANO JOSE 123 4.00 38% 1.60    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of HOW IS MY GIRL by WINDSOR CASTLE)
7  ACASHA'S INTUITION Nov24 Oct26 Sep29 Aug19 Aug12 (bass curtis )LEWIS M 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of CANAL SIX by NOBLE CAUSEWAY)
8  BOBBYS CASE LOAD Nov30 Oct15 Oct01     (pickett cryst)THORPE DARIUS 123 15.00    
  (by BOBALICIOUS out of LADYS CASE LOAD by GOLD CASE)
 
CT-6   01/04/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WORLD OF FOOLS Dec11 Dec01 Nov19 Nov04 Oct18 (smith lawrenc)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 12.00    
2  ADIOS SEE YA Dec16 Dec02 Nov17     (straughn william)BAEZ M 113 10.00    
3  TOLLER Dec02 Nov09 Sep30 Sep07 Aug12 (comi ralph )MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.00 39% 1.60    
4  LION OF THE SEA Dec16 Nov25 Sep10 Jul10 Jun17 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 6.00 17% 4.80    
5  JAIME JAMEL Dec02 Aug28 Aug17 Aug03 Jun23 (cruz jaime)ADAMS L 115 20.00    
6  DINNER BELL Dec02 Nov09 Oct20 Sep16 Aug04 (king yolond)RAMGEET R 122 20.00    
7  SCAREDY CAT Dec10 Dec02 Nov11 Sep08 Aug27 (dillon jacob)LEWIS M 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  BAYTOWN JAKESTER Dec16 Nov25 May05 Apr14 Mar24 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 4.50 9% 9.80    
9  FOREVER THE BOSS Dec01 Oct26 Oct20 Oct01 Sep14 (aylor nata)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 6.00 5% 17.40    
10  URBAN WARRIOR Dec02 Oct21 Oct12 Sep15 Aug25 (mangual manolo)ACOSTA D 122 5.00    
 
CT-7   01/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KLIMT RIDE Dec07 Nov14 Oct31 Oct09 Sep27 (ewell s)SIMPSON JASON 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NTH POWER Nov16 Oct26 Sep24     (mcgill sylves)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 12.00    
3  CHERRYS CROSS Oct27 Oct13 Sep28 Sep09 Aug26 (huet k)CULLUM W 122 12.00    
4  SLOE GIN BIZ Dec07 Nov21 Oct30 Oct08 Sep10 (pickett crystal )BAEZ M 115 6.00 29% 2.50    
5  SMOOZER Dec09 Nov05 Jun01 May06 Apr22 (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 5.00 ★    
6  PLUNK Nov07 Oct26 Sep29 Sep05 Jul29 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.50 41% 1.40    
7  SPARKLING SHIRE Dec08 Oct14       (runco c)LEWIS M 117 15.00    
8  SHEA D CAPTURE Dec21 Nov29 Nov07 Oct26 Sep18 (gotera juan)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
9  RED DEVOLUTION Dec16 Nov20 Jul30     (perri gina)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 10.00    
10  CRYPTIC CODE Nov16 Oct15 Aug17 Jul23 May03 (shanley mark)RODRIGUEZ V 124 8.00    
 
CT-8   01/04/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 4UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BULL SHARK Oct21 Sep29 Aug20 Jul28 May20 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.50 26% 2.90    
SCR  REVOLUTIONARY ROAD Nov30 Sep14 Aug19 Jul28 Jul20 (santillana )MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 4.50 7% 14.30    
3  RULING Dec16 Dec01 Sep29 Sep22 Sep01 (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 2.00 14% 6.20    
4  U ROCK IT Dec17 Dec01 Oct14 Sep04 Aug04 (hillegass alexa)BOCACHICA O 122 15.00    
5  WIZARD OF ODDS Nov30 Oct28 Oct05 Sep14 Sep01 (aylor natash)MARRERO CARLOS 120 30.00    
6  AWESUMMER Nov14 Nov02 Sep30 Aug22 Aug13 (grullon rique)SIMPSON JASON 122 10.00 ★    
7  ATTUCK Dec17 Dec07 Nov19 Oct13 Sep15 (patterson kev)THORPE DARIUS 122 2.50 31% 2.20    
8  LUCKYTOBEINAMERICA Nov30 Oct27 Oct05 Sep23 Sep09 (borges israel)RIOS-CONDE A 122 12.00    
 
CT-9   01/04/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOBLE PRESENT Dec09 Dec03 Nov17 Oct21 Oct13 (rodriguez angel)BOCACHICA O 124 15.00    
2  SUDDEN FLARE Dec17 Dec02       (dollinger-sthr )RODRIGUEZ V 124 15.00    
3  TREAT ME SPECIAL Dec03 Nov11 Nov04     (allard)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 3.00 52% 0.90    
4  NANNY'S MISSION Dec03 Oct21 Mar30     (pennella m)BAEZ M 117 30.00    
5  RED LIL SHIPMENT May04 Mar23 Mar04 Feb11   (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 122 20.00    
6  PRINCESS MIA ROSE Dec02 Oct15 Oct07 Sep03 Jul29 (aylor l)CECIL Y 122 10.00 ★    
7  BLUE BONNIE Dec17 Nov11 Oct21 Oct05 Sep05 (schottroffe e)THORPE DARIUS 124 5.00 ★    
8  GREAT DEVOTION Dec03 Oct21 Sep30 Sep14 Aug18 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 124 3.50 20% 4.10    
9  OUR GOLDEN COLLEEN Jun16 May26 May11 Feb23 Jan25 (hummer richar)ADAMS L 117 2.50 6% 15.50    
10  LICENSE TO CARRY Dec17 Dec02 Nov02 Sep23 Sep16 (espinos)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.