Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mountaineer Park
Monday - November 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MNR-1   11/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS NUCKOLS Oct10 Aug23 Aug01 Jul16 Jun30 (godsey marshall)YARANGA Y 118 2.50 28% 2.50    
2  VAVITE Nov11 Aug24 Aug01 Jul04 Jun14 (fletcher we)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 4.00 ★    
3  SUFFERIN SUCCOTASH Nov06 Oct05 Sep18 Jul13 May24 (baird michael)PAUCAR E 120 4.50 10% 8.60    
4  EPWORTH Nov22 Nov08 Oct30 Sep27 Jun11 (hancock l)CCAMAQUE M 120 20.00    
5  BLUE GRASS ANNA Oct31 Oct10 Sep29 Sep14 Aug25 (fletch)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 2.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  MYRRH Nov06 Oct16 Oct02 Sep19 Aug31 (poole c)RAMGEET R 120 6.00    
7  GREGS POSSE Nov18 Nov06 Oct25 Oct17 Oct05 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 12.00 6% 15.90    
 
MNR-2   11/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAND VENUS Nov06 Oct25 Oct19 Sep22 Aug24 (gotera juan)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 5.00    
2  CHALDEA Nov08 Oct24 Oct10 Oct03 Jul17 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 120 3.50 ★    
3  HUMMIN' THE FUNK Nov21 Sep17 Sep09 Aug19 Jul09 (demczyk virg)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 2.50 58% 0.70    
4  LOVE'S TAVITO Nov22 Oct30 Sep28 Sep14 Sep05 (mcgaffic )CORREA L 120 6.00 ★    
5  IRRESISTIBLE LADY Nov14 Sep28 Jun03 Mar31 Feb23 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 3.00 12% 7.60    
6  TIPARILLO Nov06 Oct22 Oct10 Sep21 Sep13 (buckner h)CCAMAQUE M 120 15.00 ★    
7  NOT SHY Nov22 Nov01 Oct25 Oct09 Sep28 (herri)MONSERRATE A 120 6.00    
 
MNR-3   11/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEZA HANDFUL Oct10 Aug22 May24     (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 8.00 ★    
2  DRIVE BY LAYOVER Nov15 Oct15 Oct01 Aug28 Aug13 (demczyk virg)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 12.00 ★    
3  DON'T POKE THE CAT Nov02 Oct24 Oct18 Oct04 Sep19 (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 2.50 36% 1.80    
4  GAGE HAS A GRAY Nov08 Oct31 Oct11 Sep08 Aug17 (bernardini )SEVERINO VICTOR 120 4.00    
5  KITCHI Nov14 Nov02 Oct24 Oct19 Sep28 (gomez aleja)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 3.00 9% 9.70    
6  BACK ALLEY CAT Nov02 Oct24 Sep04 Aug30 Jul25 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 2.00 33% 2.00    
 
MNR-4   11/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEACH BELLINI Nov01 Oct11 Sep19 Sep07 Aug09 (norris steph)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 3.50    
2  SAN NICOLA PRANCER Nov15 Oct23 Oct11 Sep13 Aug17 (mcfall robe)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 3.00 33% 2.00    
3  SWEET TOOTSIE LU Nov15 Oct31 Oct10 Sep20 Sep06 (jackso)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 5.00 ★    
4  NATIVE VALLEY Nov15 Oct31 Oct10 Oct03 Sep13 (bird danny)CEDILLO MAURO 113 6.00 ★    
5  COURTED Oct11 Sep28 Sep15 Aug31 Aug08 (langley c)YARANGA Y 120 2.50 28% 2.60    
6  WICKED VALENTINE Nov15 Nov02 Oct23 Oct09 Sep14 (mcdonald )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 4.50 7% 13.10    
 
MNR-5   11/28/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARTIE MY BOY Nov14 Oct11 Sep12 Aug30 Aug22 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 118 2.50 32% 2.10    
2  FANCY LANCY Nov02 Oct16 Sep26 Sep07 Aug28 (cain crystal)VIGIL NOEL 120 3.50 21% 3.70    
3  JACKZILLA Nov02 Oct03 Aug21 Aug08 Jul31 (ewell devan)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 15.00    
4  REDMARK Oct23 Sep20 Sep04 Aug22 Jul13 (van de)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 6.00    
5  WILD RIVER WOLF Nov01 Oct17 Oct10 Aug30 Aug02 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 2.00 ★    
SCR  WHISKEY MOMENT         (crago ter)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 15.00 14% 6.40    
7  GATTO MARRONE Nov02 Oct23 Oct02 Sep14 Aug30 (spiess shan)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 6.00 ★    
 
MNR-6   11/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORM RISK Nov08 Oct26 Sep30 Sep07 Aug09 (short travi)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 8.00 11% 8.00    
2  FULCO Oct24 Sep28 Sep08 Aug03 Jul19 (esquivel je)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 8.00    
3  COLAVITO Nov14 Oct19 Oct12 Oct02 Sep14 (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 2.00 ★    
4  EMPEROR'S GOLD Nov01 Oct18 Sep22 Sep08 Aug25 (lopez a)DAVILA M 123 5.00 14% 6.10    
5  CANDY CRUSHEM Nov08 Oct25 Oct14 Sep05 Aug24 (cady khalil)DIAZ I 120 1.60 ★    
6  FAFA FOOEY Oct23 Aug30 Aug16 Aug02 Jul11 (ceccato sharo)CEDILLO MAURO 120 6.00 31% 2.20    
 
MNR-7   11/28/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUE SAGE (IRE) Nov09 Oct25 Sep27 Sep20 Aug30 (skerrett jeff)CEDILLO MAURO 115 3.00 ★    
2  LITTLE LUCERITO Nov15 Nov06 Oct19 Oct11 Sep16 (fernandez a)DIAZ R 118 10.00    
3  WILLYMAR Nov15 Oct24 Oct16 Sep14 Sep07 (rangel arnul)CALLEJA ANDRES 115 2.00 15% 5.60    
4  TARA DAWN Nov06 Mar31 Mar14 Feb16   (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 8.00 ★    
5  SHOW ME THE BEST Nov06 Oct17 Sep14 Aug24 Aug06 (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 2.50 56% 0.80    
6  FUTURE FLAY Oct22 Sep22 Sep16 Sep01 Aug17 (esquivel je)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 5.00 ★    
 
MNR-8   11/28/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL DUQUE Nov15 Sep27 Sep07 Aug23 Aug16 (herrington cally)CCAMAQUE M 120 15.00 ★    
2  GOLDEN OAK Nov13 Nov02 Oct25 Oct17 Oct03 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 10.00    
SCR  JOYRIDE Nov09 Oct26 Mar05 Feb12   (mcgaf)MONSERRATE A 120 3.50 ★    
4  PRETTY LOUD Nov15 Nov09 Oct25 Oct18 Oct05 (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 118 8.00 ★    
SCR  BARELYSTILLCOUNTS Nov15 Oct30 Oct23 Oct09 Aug23 (gomez alejandro)DIAZ R 120 15.00    
SCR  MINE NOT MINE Nov14 Sep29 Sep15 Sep05 Aug23 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 1.60 46% 1.20    
7  RICKI TORNADO Nov15 Nov02 Sep27 Aug10 Jul26 (montano wilfr)CEDILLO MAURO 113 3.00 27% 2.60    
8  GALLIPOLIS Nov06 Oct23 Sep27 Sep05 Aug08 (sanders melinda)DAVILA M 123 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.