Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Saturday - November 05, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-1   11/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JANERO ROSE Sep10 Aug22 Jul23 Jun18 May27 (chambers mi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00    
2  REIGN OF FIRE Sep03 Aug08 Jan06     (rollins sco)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 5.00 7% 14.10    
3  SHEZ A GRINDER Oct09 Sep18 Sep11 Aug21 Aug06 (nunnally jennife)MAWING A 124 12.00    
4  MY EXPRESSION May22 Apr14 Mar15 Feb08 Jan28 (fulmer drew)LULL E 124 15.00    
5  SHOE GAME Sep12 Aug20 Aug01 Jul18 Apr20 (evans justin)LEON A 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
6  MADISON'S QUARTERS Sep19 Sep03 Aug01 Jul18 Jun25 (gleason m)CORBETT W 124 5.00 32% 2.20    
7  ELEGANT CRICKET Sep30 Aug27 Aug10 May27 May15 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.00 8% 12.30    
8  IZANAMI Sep19 Sep10 Aug29 Aug13 Jul19 (soto antonio)BARBER R 124 8.00 6% 16.70    
9  TOP HAT HIGH JINKS Sep03 Jul16 Jun25 Jun04 Apr21 (johnston kim)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 6.00    
 
TUP-2   11/05/2022 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUE AZUL Feb28 Feb07 Jan25 Jan11   (wheeler tr)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 6.00 59% 0.70    
2  BOURBON TAN Sep07 Aug27 Aug04 Jul17 Jun23 (perkinson cc)ZUNINO L 124 12.00 7% 12.80    
3  LIVING VICARIOUSLY Oct09 Aug03 Jul20 Jun17 Jun09 (silva pa)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 5.00 ★    
4  WILLTOBELUCKY Oct02 Sep19 Aug01 Jul15 Jul02 (eikleberry kevi)CORBETT W 124 10.00    
5  PALACE PRINCE Sep15 Sep01 Aug18 Aug04 Jul14 (belvoir vann)WADE LYNDIE 124 8.00    
6  SIDE STREET DAVE Aug24 Aug04 Jul17 Jun23 Jun11 (sanderson bru)VALDES ALEXIS 124 5.00 ★    
7  MOONLITE GRAHAM Jul23 Jun26 Apr21 Mar28 Mar04 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.00 ★    
8  CLEOPATRA'S STRIKE Oct01 Aug27 May15 Feb26 Jan07 (hess b)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.00    
 
TUP-3   11/05/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MINISTERSDON'TLIE Sep10 Aug22 Mar12 Feb27 Feb04 (lewis i)BAZAN ANTONIO 122 20.00 6% 16.50    
2  WARFRONT FIGHTER Sep17 Sep11 Aug06 Jul23 Jun17 (simpson shanno)HENRY WESLEY 122 20.00    
3  EL MAESTRO Sep11 Jul30 Jul03 Jun12 May22 (baze lisa)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 4.00    
4  SHANE ZAIN Sep10 Aug08 Jul23 Jul08 Jan09 (soto anton)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 10.00    
5  JAZZ TOWN Aug29 Aug15 Jul18 Jun27 Apr27 (finch sherry)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 20.00    
SCR  AFTER THE CANDY Oct14 Oct07 Sep10 Aug27 Aug05 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 121 6.00    
7  MISTER MCLEAN Sep17 Sep02 Aug21 Jul30 Mar22 (troiani niccolo)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00 19% 4.10    
8  AUTOPILOT Oct04 Sep20 Sep06 Aug21 Aug01 (martinez a)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 6.00 19% 4.40    
9  FAMOUS ROCK STAR Sep17 Sep10 Aug20 Aug06 Jul18 (villamar candela)MAWING A 122 12.00 12% 7.00    
10  FRANKS FIX IT Sep04 Aug07 Jul23 Jul09 Jun19 (lucarelli frank)WADE LYNDIE 122 8.00    
11  CANNONBALL COMIN Sep07 Aug17 Jul28 Jul02 May15 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 5.00 15% 5.60    
 
TUP-4   11/05/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($22.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISCHIEF MAMA Oct02 Sep12 Aug21 Jul30 Jul09 (mcfarlane l)CORBETT W 122 6.00    
2  KYNLIE'S EMPIRE Sep12 Aug15 Jul30 Jul11 May03 (rollins scott)LINDSAY CHAD 119 10.00    
3  MIRACLE OF HOPE Sep10 Aug27 Aug06 Jul11 Jul01 (villamar candela)MAWING A 122 15.00 ★    
4  V BUCKS Aug18 Jul31       (diodoro robertino)CARRENO J 122 2.50 34% 1.90    
5  ELDORADO DREAM Oct11 Sep30 Sep04 Apr24 Mar08 (valerio raymond)WADE LYNDIE 122 5.00 12% 7.30    
6  OPTIMAS Jul16 Jun25 May02 Apr07 Feb25 (scolamieri )HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.50    
7  RED PANTY NIGHT Aug18 Jul02 Jun03 May08 Feb27 (pierce michael )NEGRON LUIS 122 5.00 10% 8.90    
8  APART OF MY CHARM Sep01 Aug21 Aug13 Jul31 Jun30 (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 13% 6.60    
 
TUP-5   11/05/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DISCOVER A WISH         (wheeler tra)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00 5% 18.20    
2  SKY HIGH VERONIKA Aug29 Aug06 Jul11 Jun27 May06 (leon priscilla)ENRIQUEZ D 124 10.00    
3  AWESOME GALAXY Sep10 Aug22 Jul30 Jul11 May07 (torres-cas)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 20.00    
4  SHE'S NOT TO BLAME Sep01 Aug21 Aug13 Aug03 Jul09 (perkinson cc)ELLIS DEVON 121 6.00    
5  ROSES FOR SUZZETT Aug16 Aug02 Jul27 Jul10 Jun29 (silva l)ZUNINO L 121 10.00 11% 7.90    
6  MISYA GIRL Sep24 Sep03 Aug27 Jul30 Jul09 (oberholtzer k)VALDES ALEXIS 124 10.00    
7  PARTY POLICE Sep17 Sep10 Aug22 Jul30 Jul11 (villamar candela)MAWING A 121 15.00    
8  ROYAL DANIELLE Oct16 Oct08 Feb14 Feb04 Jan27 (dillenbec)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 30.00    
SCR  CLARE CRESCENT Sep14 Aug18 Jul30 Jul04 Jun25 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 5.00    
10  LOW DOSE Sep10 Aug08 Jul23 Jul11 May07 (owens kory)LULL E 124 3.50 31% 2.30    
11  SWEET LADY LANA Sep12 Sep03 Jul30 Jul11 Jun27 (gleason m)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 12.00 14% 6.10    
SCR  NOISEY BURGLAR Aug07 Jul03       (freeman edw)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 2.50 17% 4.90    
 
TUP-6   11/05/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROUGE SUNSET Sep19 Aug27 Aug08 Jul18 Jul04 (torres-ca)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 20.00    
2  FOREMAN Sep03 Jun17 May22 Mar26 Jan08 (diodoro robertino)CARRENO J 122 1.80    
3  AUTISM SAVANT Aug29 Aug01 Jul16 May13 Apr28 (torres-casas )LARA EZEQUIEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  ROYAL TAP Sep19 Sep10 Aug27 Jul19 May17 (torres-casas alex )LULL E 119 12.00    
5  TRACK BOUND Sep14 Aug26 Aug17 Jul18 Jul09 (alvarez serg)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 4.00 19% 4.30    
6  GLENROY Sep18 Aug05 Jun25     (baze t)CORBETT W 122 10.00 16% 5.30    
7  ADD ON Sep12 Aug29 Aug01 Jul09 Apr26 (kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 5.00    
8  MARK OF VALOR Sep08 Aug27 Aug11 Jul03 Jun22 (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 119 6.00    
SCR  CRYIN' CHUCK Sep19 Aug08 Jul18 Jun27 Apr26 (soto anton)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 12.00 18% 4.50    
10  BLESSED BROTHER Sep11 Aug20 Jul31 Apr23 Apr01 (ramnarine larry)MAWING A 119 8.00 16% 5.40    
 
TUP-7   11/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLAZINGBELLABLU Sep18 Jun26       (essex charles)CRUZ M 122 4.00 54% 0.90    
2  LA CASTIGLIONE Sep05 Aug15 Jul16 Jun27 May03 (gutierrez jua)LEAHEY HANNAH 124 10.00    
3  MISS GLORIOUS Sep30 Sep16 Sep04 Aug24 Jul31 (he)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 10.00 ★    
4  OUTSIDE THE LAW Sep30 Sep02 Aug20 Aug08 Jan19 (campo stacy)BARBER R 124 12.00    
5  INTERSTELLA Oct01 Aug15 Jul22 Jul08   (eikleberry ke)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 8.00 ★    
6  WITH THATBEINGSAID Sep03 Aug08 Jul09 Apr19 Mar11 (torres-casas )LARA EZEQUIEL 120 20.00    
7  MY FIRST PEARL Oct04 Jul24 Jun10 Apr26 Feb04 (eikleberry kevi)VERGARA P 122 6.00    
8  ARIZONA SUN Jun17 May28 Apr21 Mar04 Feb04 (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.50 14% 6.10    
9  DAY PLAN Sep17 Jul23 Jun25 Jun05 May20 (wong jonath)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 11% 7.90    
10  CLOCKSTRIKESTWELVE Apr30 Mar20 Feb25 Feb13 Jan14 (wong jonathan)NEGRON LUIS 120 8.00    
 
TUP-8   11/05/2022 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EROTIC Sep09 Aug27 Aug13 Jul22 Jul03 (baze robert)CRUZ M 124 6.00 ★    
2  ATOMIC CANDY Sep14 Sep07 Aug27 Jul16 Jun25 (rarick wade)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 8% 11.00    
3  NORTHERN QUEST (FR) Oct01 Sep03 Aug13 Jul23 Jul11 (wheeler travi)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 8.00    
4  FOUR O'FIVE Sep19 Aug27 Jul18 Jun03 May15 (villamar cande)ENRIQUEZ D 124 20.00    
5  MONUMENTAL SEVEN Sep17 Aug29 May07 Apr21 Mar25 (campo stacy)LULL E 124 12.00    
6  OUR DANDY'S BOY Oct07 Sep09 Aug06 Jul10 Jun24 (oberholtzer kevi)ZUNINO L 124 8.00 ★    
7  EXCALIBUR RIDGE Sep01 Jul23 Jun17 Jun04 May22 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 6.00    
8  WE'RE JUST SAYIN Oct01 Aug15 Jul23 Jul04 May29 (he)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 3.50 43% 1.30    
SCR  AMBASSADOR JIM Sep18 Aug08 Jun28 Apr15 Mar12 (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 4.50 23% 3.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.