Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Ellis Park
Sunday - August 24, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELP-1   WIN (7/4/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/1/6)-(7/4/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/1/6)-(7/4/1/6)-(7/4/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/1/6)-(5/4/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/4/1/6)-(5/4/1/2)-(2/4/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
ELP-2   WIN (5/4/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/1/2)-(5/4/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/1/2)-(5/4/1/2)-(5/4/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/1/2)-(2/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1/2)-(2/4/3)-(1/4/8/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
ELP-3   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(1/4/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(1/4/8/3)-(5/4/3/9/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
ELP-4   WIN (1/4/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/8/3)-(1/4/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/8/3)-(1/4/8/3)-(1/4/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/8/3)-(5/4/3/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/4/8/3)-(5/4/3/9/2)-(5/1/6/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
ELP-5   WIN (5/4/3/9/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/4/3/9/2)-(5/4/3/10/9/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    TRI (5/4/3/9/2)-(5/4/3/10/9/2)-(5/4/3/10/9/2) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
    DD (5/4/3/9/2)-(5/1/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3/9/2)-(5/1/6/3)-(1/5/6/2/10) 100 $0.50 $300 
ELP-6   WIN (5/1/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/6/3)-(5/1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/6/3)-(5/1/6/3)-(5/1/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/6/3)-(1/5/6/2/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6/3)-(1/5/6/2/10)-(2/7/1/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
ELP-7   WIN (1/5/6/2/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/5/6/2/10)-(1/5/6/2/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/5/6/2/10)-(1/5/6/2/10)-(1/5/6/2/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/5/6/2/10)-(2/7/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6/2/10)-(2/7/1/5)-(8/10/4/9/6) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
ELP-8   WIN (2/7/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/1/5)-(2/7/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/1/5)-(2/7/1/5)-(2/7/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/1/5)-(8/10/4/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
ELP-9   WIN (8/10/4/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/10/4/9/6)-(8/10/4/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/10/4/9/6)-(8/10/4/9/6)-(8/10/4/9/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ELP-1   08/24/2025 5940ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($37.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TURNBUCKLE Aug08 Jul03 Jun14 Apr06 Mar19 (hancock dana)LANERIE J 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  RICH VINO Aug01         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00    
3  GREAT SWORD         (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00    
4  BATTER UP Jul15 Jun20 Jun01 May10 Apr12 (troiani nicco)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00 10% 9.50    
5  FILM AT ELEVEN Apr24 Mar06 Feb20 Jan24   (deville car)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 30.00    
6  SABA ROCK         (sharp joe)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  COFFEE TALK Jun26 May03 Mar12 Feb15   (cox h)MACHADO LUAN 118 0.80 67% 0.50    
8  JACK RABBIT Jul03 Apr29 Apr13 Mar14   (williamson b)BARBOSA CARLOS 124 30.00    
 
ELP-2   08/24/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 1:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORNING MENACE Aug02         (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 7% 12.80    
  (by CURLIN out of DAWN THE DESTROYER by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
2  AMES Jul20 Jun25       (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of ATTEMPT TO NAME by CONSOLIDATOR)
3  ALAS         (stewart d)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of ATHENA by STREET SENSE)
4  THE GRUMPY RABBIT Jul05         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 1.80 28% 2.60    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of MIDTOWN TRAFFIC by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
5  GINGER ALE Jul12         (brisset rodolp)MACHADO LUAN 119 2.00 43% 1.30    
  (by WESHAAM out of DANCING GINGER by DANCING CZAR)
6  EVANGALINA         (brown c)TORRES A 119 12.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of MONTMARTRE MORNING by TIZNOW)
7  HOWYOUDOSOMETHING         (amoss m)BEJARANO R 119 12.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of HARD WON by HARD SPUN)
SCR  SEA ZEST Jun27         (colebrook ben)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of SEA SHADOW by JUMP START)
 
ELP-3   08/24/2025 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($102K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEND CASH Jul13 Jun11 Apr17 Mar09 Jun27 (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 122 1.40    
2  CHEVAL DE GUERRE Jul24 Apr25       (mott riley)TORRES A 118 2.50 40% 1.50    
3  HARD TO SAY Jun17 Apr16 Feb08 Jan04 Oct31 (medina rober)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  CORSO'S PICK Aug08 Jul19 Jun26 May09 Aug10 (oliver vict)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 4.00 18% 4.50    
5  HESPER May17 Apr18 Mar20 Feb21 Jan19 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00    
6  REDACTED Jul26 Jun27 Jun12 May10 Apr17 (hancock dana)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 10.00    
 
ELP-4   08/24/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE BLAZE Jun18 May29 May02 Apr19 Mar08 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 2.00 55% 0.80    
2  PROTOMAGIC Aug02 Jun27 Jun07 May10 Mar29 (ramirez-rod)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 6.00    
3  WE'LL DO IT LIVE Aug02 Jun07 May05 Apr16 Mar04 (salas marcel)MONCADA IRVING 122 8.00 6% 17.00    
4  BEAU SOLEIL Jul13 Jun15 May10 Mar17 Feb15 (reavis michael)CEDILLO ABEL 122 3.50 13% 7.00    
5  GOSHEN Aug02 Jul06 May29 Aug08 Jul13 (foster eric)BARBOSA CARLOS 122 8.00    
6  CANDY ARCADE Aug02 Jun21 May18 Apr25 Feb28 (williams matt)CASTILLO AMIN 122 15.00    
7  CALTHA Aug02 Jul06 Jun21 Jun14 May25 (bahena ismael)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 8.00    
8  WHAT'S CRACKIN Aug02 Jul04 Jun21 Jun06 May10 (ramirez-rodr)TORRES A 122 5.00 6% 15.60    
 
ELP-5   08/24/2025 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A STERN LADY         (ewing michael)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00    
  (by ASTERN out of FASHIONABLE LADY by DECLARATION OF WAR)
2  COLD CASE Jul03         (moquett rona)TORRES A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of BRIE'S SNOWFLAKE by TALE OF THE CAT)
3  DIAMONDINTHEROUGH Aug09         (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 119 10.00 20% 4.00    
  (by TRICK QUESTION out of ZAROLIA by MAJESTIC LIGHT)
4  STORM'S WAKE         (lynch a)JUAREZ NIK 119 3.50 21% 3.80    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of AMBER STORM by NIGHT OF THUNDER)
5  CAROLANNIE         (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 35% 1.80    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of GHOSTINHIM by GHOSTZAPPER)
6  MAMARSHA         (holsapple hutch)MEZA JJ 119 30.00    
  (by PROMISES FULFILLED out of FORT MARSH by FORT PRADO)
7  MYSTIC REALM         (vaughan edwa)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of MAGIC HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
8  GIVEMETHEBEAT Aug16 Jul12 Jun18 Apr30 Apr06 (hancock a)LANERIE J 119 15.00    
  (by BEAU LIAM out of DRIFT AWAY by CONGRATS)
9  VELCAMP         (casse mark)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COMBATANT out of TRUE RELIGION by YES IT'S TRUE)
10  PRACTICALLY FAMOUS Aug03 Jun06       (lynch brian )MONCADA IRVING 119 6.00 ★    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of MARY OF BETHANY by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
11  JENNY LAKE         (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 10.00    
  (by DANZIG out of FULLY LIVING by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
12  SONIC ROCKETTE         (sweezey kent)ELLIOTT JANE 119 15.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of FLY AWAY by STREET BOSS)
SCR  TOAST THE STAR Aug23         (hancock )RODRIGUEZ A 119 30.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of DOUBLE CAST by BROKEN VOW)
 
ELP-6   08/24/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($102K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAZOKU Jul19 May22 Feb23 Feb03 Nov16 (butcher jame)BARBOSA CARLOS 122 4.50 29% 2.50    
2  SWIFTWIND Aug11 Jul06 May31 Mar21 Feb28 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 120 3.00    
3  TIZ PURPLE Nov01 Oct04 Aug31 Aug07 Jul04 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  ABITIBI Aug04 Jun18 May24 Apr18 Mar22 (esquivel gu)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 4.00    
5  GREEK HEIRESS Aug03 May24 Sep15 Jun08 May11 (schultz l)LEPAROUX R 124 2.50 33% 2.00    
6  MOON MYSTIQUE Jun17         (west w)ACHARD ALEX 118 10.00 8% 11.10    
7  LADY GO GO Jun08 Mar08 Feb07 Dec19 Nov21 (drury thomas)MONCADA IRVING 122 6.00    
 
ELP-7   08/24/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 3:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VAPORETTI         (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 39% 1.50    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of LIDO by STREET CRY)
2  WADO         (hancock jo)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of CLAUDELLE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
3  INSTANT IMPACT Jul27         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50    
  (by UPSTART out of PERFECT IMPRESSION by SHACKLEFORD)
4  DEVILISH ACT Jun29         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 6.00    
  (by HERO'S AND CROOKS out of DEVIL SLAM by GRAND SLAM)
5  MAXIMUS PRIME May01 Apr18       (mitchell)RODRIGUEZ A 119 6.00 26% 2.90    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of SWEET ALTERNATIVE by ALTERNATION)
6  RANCHO SANTA FE         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00 6% 15.50    
  (by GIROLAMO out of BELLA D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  TWO SEVEN O         (beckman w)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 12.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of BOREALE by MAKFI (GB))
8  MCFASTY Jul21         (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 119 12.00    
  (by MITOLE out of WITHYOURPERMISSION by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
9  WICKED GUN Jul19         (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 10.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of MAYBE WICKED by MIZZEN MAST)
10  OTZELBERGER         (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of KEY MOMENT by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
11  BUCKLEY GOLD WATER         (medina robert)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 30.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of HOLLYWOOD WIFE by CURLIN)
 
ELP-8   08/24/2025 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Ellis Park Turf Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAXISUPERFLY Oct26 Sep08 Aug04 May03 Mar23 (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 122 8.00 9% 10.30    
  (by OPTIMIZER out of FIREFLY by WOODMAN)
2  HOPE MISSION Jul05 Jun06 Apr30 Mar23 Feb20 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.00 43% 1.30    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of ARABIAN HOPE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
3  ROSE PALACE Jun28 May26 Apr26 Mar28 Mar14 (bahena fernando)GRAHAM J 122 20.00    
  (by PALACE out of ROSES PLUS by VALUE PLUS)
4  COZEE RAGS Mar12 Feb07 Dec14 Oct20 Sep27 (michael brian)BEJARANO R 122 10.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of ROSEE IS COZEE by COZZENE)
5  POPPY THE PRINCESS Jul21 Jun13 May17 Apr12 Feb26 (newton troy)MONCADA IRVING 118 8.00 6% 14.60    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of ROCKET GIRL by UNCLE MO)
6  FAITH UNDERSTOOD Jul21 Jul04 May29 Apr23 Jan25 (hancock dana)MORALES EDGAR 122 15.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of ZIA by MUNNINGS)
7  NEXT UP Jul26 May25 Apr26 Mar14   (sims matthe)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 10.00 12% 7.10    
  (by ACCELERATE out of PINCH HIT by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
8  EVERLAND Aug10 Jun29 Mar01 Jan24 Dec14 (foster eric)LANERIE J 122 1.40    
  (by ARROGATE out of EVER CHANGING by TAPIT)
 
ELP-9   08/24/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($31.25K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FALL IN LOVE Aug08 Jul12 Jun12 May30 Mar16 (stinson willia)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 8.00    
2  REYA SUNSHINE Aug08 Jul04 Jun07 May09 Mar06 (hartman chris)CANNON DECLAN 124 3.00    
SCR  SAELI (FR) Aug08         (vaccarezza )CONCEPCION AXEL 118 15.00    
4  DONITA         (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00 9% 9.60    
SCR  BULLET BABY Jul12 May22 Dec18 Nov27 Oct23 (radcliffe robe)ELLIOTT JANE 118 20.00    
6  VINO ALLA MORA         (butcher jame)BARBOSA CARLOS 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
7  COCKTAIL HUMOR Jul12 May30 May02 Mar15 Feb15 (von donn)ROCCO S 118 10.00    
8  READING TIME Jul03 Jun04 Apr16 Dec28   (eurton peter)DOYLE SOPHIE 118 3.50 47% 1.10    
9  CODA MIA May29 May08 Apr24 Mar05 Feb05 (robson lau)ASMUSSEN J 124 12.00 9% 9.60    
10  COUNTRY CLUB         (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 10% 9.20    
11  HOPE RESTORED Jun07 May26 Mar23     (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
12  TECTONIC Aug07 Jul11 Jun12 Mar01 Jan18 (wojczynski jus)SHEEHY DANNY 118 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.