Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Saratoga
Friday - August 01, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SAR-1   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(4/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5)-(4/5/1)-(5/1/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
SAR-2   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(5/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(5/1/6)-(9/4/1/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SAR-3   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/6)-(5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/6)-(9/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6)-(9/4/1/3)-(1/4/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SAR-4   WIN (9/4/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/4/1/3)-(9/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/4/1/3)-(9/4/1/3)-(9/4/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/4/1/3)-(1/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/4/1/3)-(1/4/3)-(5/6/7/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SAR-5   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(5/6/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(5/6/7/2)-(7/1/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SAR-6   WIN (5/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/7/2)-(5/6/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/7/2)-(5/6/7/2)-(5/6/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/7/2)-(7/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/7/2)-(7/1/8)-(2/7/6/12/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
SAR-7   WIN (7/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/8)-(7/1/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/8)-(7/1/8)-(7/1/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/8)-(2/7/6/12/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/1/8)-(2/7/6/12/9)-(1/4/3) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
SAR-8   WIN (2/7/6/12/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/7/6/12/9)-(2/7/6/12/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/7/6/12/9)-(2/7/6/12/9)-(2/7/6/12/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/7/6/12/9)-(1/4/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/7/6/12/9)-(1/4/3)-(4/7/5/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
SAR-9   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/6/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/6/8/3)-(1/4/6/8/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(4/7/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
SAR-10   WIN (4/7/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/5/3)-(4/7/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/5/3)-(4/7/5/3)-(4/7/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SAR-1   08/01/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($35K) Purse ($47K) 2 ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE MORE FREUD         (amoss m)ORTIZ L 122 1.80 39% 1.60    
2  MONEYBAGS MILTON         (green amelia )ORTIZ JR 122 3.00    
3  WHATAREWEDOING Jul02 May23       (russell britt)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  IMPERIA BLUE         (sano antonio)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00    
5  CAITLINS THREES         (falcone robert )DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 8% 11.20    
6  JOE G TWENTYTHREE Jun12         (miceli )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 122 10.00    
 
SAR-2   08/01/2025 6270ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($150K) Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PREVENT Jul05 Mar01 Jan18 Dec07 Nov02 (david carlos )ORTIZ JR 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  MONEY SUPPLY Jul05 Jun01 May01 Apr06 Mar09 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 125 4.50    
3  GOLDENEYE Jul12 Jun14 Dec26 Nov29 Oct16 (mcpeek kenneth)ORTIZ L 125 3.00    
4  WOLFIE'S DYNAGHOST Jun28 Jun01 Mar23 Dec16 Nov05 (thomas jonath)VELAZQUEZ R 125 0.80 62% 0.60    
5  SIGNATOR Jun14 May24 Apr19 Mar02 Jul11 (mcgaughey clau)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 4.00 10% 9.20    
SCR  AWESOME AARON Jul04 May16 Apr12 Mar16 Feb16 (casse w)VELAZQUEZ R 125 1.80    
SCR  DISARM Apr19 Mar14 Sep28 Sep01 Aug03 (asmussen m)RIDER TBA 125 2.00    
SCR  FILM STAR Jul26 Jun05 May04 Apr12 Jan25 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 125 3.00    
 
SAR-3   08/01/2025 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($12.5K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GONE AND FORGOTTEN Jul23 Jul13 Jun27 May15 May01 (kantarmaci ilk)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 2.00 21% 3.70    
2  IT TAKES HEART Jun29 Jun13 May16 May09 Mar16 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 125 3.00    
3  APRIL ANTICS Jul23 Jun13 Apr04 Mar14 Mar07 (barker r)DAVIS DYLAN 123 12.00    
4  SPEAK SOFTLY May02 Mar29 Jan25 Nov16 Oct19 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 125 4.50    
5  MERCY WARREN Jul05 May29 Mar28 Jan19 Nov27 (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 123 1.80 34% 1.90    
6  ALTERED SHOT Jul25 Jul13 Jun27 May26 Apr18 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-4   08/01/2025 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 2:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS PICKY         (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of ALWAYS SHOPPING by AWESOME AGAIN)
1A  UNCATCHABLE         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00    
  (by ELUSIVE QUALITY out of PICK ME by HORSE CHESTNUT (SAF))
SCR  AMERICATHEGREAT Jun29 May15       (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 3.50    
  (by CURLIN out of AMERICA by A.P. INDY)
3  HURRICANE CREEK         (clement miguel)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of SORRENTINA LEMON by LEMON DROP KID)
4  BLUE MADAME         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00 23% 3.40    
  (by DUBAWI out of FANCY BLUE by BLUEGRASS CAT)
5  SCRATCH IT         (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00    
  (by TAPIT out of CAROLYN'S CAT by FORESTRY)
6  GRAZIE PREGO         (stall m)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of INGRASSIA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
7  SMART SUGAR         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 15.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of SMART INDEED by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  TAX HOLIDAY (GB)         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50    
  (by KINGMAN out of SECRET SOUL by SEATTLE SERENADE)
9  CONNECT THE STARS Jul05 Jun12       (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 56% 0.80    
  (by CONNECT out of SPLIT TIME by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
SCR  THE GRUMPY RABBIT Jul05         (mcpeek kenneth )CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of MIDTOWN TRAFFIC by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
SCR  SO VAIN         (gargan danny)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50    
  (by MR. GREELEY out of BLUE MOONRISE by MALIBU MOON)
 
SAR-5   08/01/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWIRLING GOOD TIME Apr18 Mar08 Jul29 Jun15 May03 (bauer a)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.00 35% 1.90    
2  SHE'S COMPLICATED Apr23 Apr12 Mar15 Feb08 Dec27 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 4.00    
3  MARGAUX TREASURE May25 Apr26 Feb19 Jan17 Apr21 (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  FORTUNA MIA Jun08 Apr27 Mar28 Mar01 Dec07 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 120 1.80 30% 2.30    
5  AUNT YOLA Jun12 May17 Apr24 Nov22 Oct26 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 124 15.00    
6  KADENA Jun20 May17 Mar14     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.00    
 
SAR-6   08/01/2025 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FREESTATE Jul13         (rice kev)SANTANA JR 119 10.00    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of FREEDOM by WAR FRONT)
2  MOUNT SOPRIS         (proctor thomas)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00 6% 14.80    
  (by WAR FRONT out of FIGARELLA'S QUEEN by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
3  BRASS NUCKS         (donk david)DAVIS DYLAN 119 20.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of TOO GOOD TO B TRUE by MIZZEN MAST)
SCR  SCHWARZENEGGER         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 1.20    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SOOTHSAYING by LEMON DROP KID)
5  TURF STAR         (motion graha)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 37% 1.70    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of STARSTRUCK by GALILEO)
6  INTRICATE SPIRIT         (clement miguel)ROSARIO JOEL 119 5.00 13% 6.50    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of DOTTIE'S SPIRIT by CURLIN)
7  BROOKLYN STYLES         (clement migue)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 7% 13.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of RESPONSIBLEFORLOVE by DUKE OF MARMALADE)
8  SUPREME GOOD (IRE)         (mcpeek ken)RIVERA R 119 20.00    
  (by SUPREMACY out of ENOUGHISGOODENOUGH by DARK ANGEL)
9  EXPRESS LANE May31         (d'angelo fra)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED EXPRESS out of MISS CARMELITE by MUTAKDDIM)
SCR  OSCAR'S HOPE         (amoss m)RIDER TBA 119 2.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of HOPEFUL PRINCESS by CURRENT HOPE)
 
SAR-7   08/01/2025 5280ft TURF RC13 FIRM National Museum Purse ($400K) 3 ALL PT- 4:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MI BAGO Jun27 Jun07 May03 Apr07 Mar01 (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00 13% 6.80    
  (by VEKOMA out of WABANAKI by INDIAN CHARLIE)
2  LUTHER (GB) Jul04         (fellowes charl)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.00    
  (by IN EXCESS (IRE) out of SUMMER DRESS by SUMMER TIME GUY)
3  TIZ DASHING Jul04 Apr26 Mar09 Feb01 Oct19 (tagg barclay)CASTELLANO J 120 15.00    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of BREAKING BEAUTY by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  MAUI STRONG Jul04 Jun07 May03 Apr07 Feb01 (romans dale)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 12.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of LEGAL TENDER by JUDGE T C)
5  CLEVER AGAIN Jun21 May17 Mar30 Feb23 Apr21 (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 122 6.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of FLATTERING by GALILEO)
SCR  OUT ON BAIL Jun27 Apr30 Oct06 Sep07 Aug16 (maker michael)VELAZQUEZ R 120 15.00    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of JUDGE LEE by STREET CRY)
7  ZULU KINGDOM (IRE) Jul04 May03 Mar08 Nov01 Sep28 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.20 58% 0.70    
  (by TEN SOVEREIGNS out of ZINDZISWA by SMART STRIKE)
8  TANK Jul04 Jun07 May03 Mar30 Feb06 (david a)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of VEGAS by SEEKING THE GOLD)
SCR  MCAFEE Jun21 May10 Apr05 Mar01 Nov24 (dutrow e)RIDER TBA 124 1.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of SATAVES by UNCLE MO)
 
SAR-8   08/01/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AMERICAN LITIGATOR Jul11 Jun07 Apr27 Apr12 Mar07 (capuano phillip)CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00    
2  OMAHA PISTOL Jun21 May23 Apr24 Mar14 Jan25 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 3.00 58% 0.70    
3  RENEW THE BLUE Jul05 Apr11 Mar22 Feb08 Nov23 (donk david)DAVIS KATIE 119 30.00    
4  THE SAINT Jun04         (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
5  AETHERIUM         (martin )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 15.00    
6  ALLOFASUDDENLEE Jul05 May19 Apr24 Mar21 Feb28 (falcone robert)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 6.00 6% 16.80    
7  ARMY PROUD Jun15 May08 Oct27 Sep29 Aug16 (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 11% 8.10    
8  UNCLE BARRIE Jul13 Jul05 Jun15 May11 Apr17 (metivier)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 30.00    
9  COME FULL CIRCLE Jul19 Jun28 May26 May04   (dunham b)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  MONOMOYS PARTNER Jul13 Jun21 May25 May11 May01 (chich)HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 50.00    
11  KISMEHOLDMETHRLME Jul19 Jun27 Jun15 May25 Apr25 (sells rachel)FRANCO MANUEL 119 20.00    
12  SANZIO Jun27 Jun06 May10 Apr19 Mar29 (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
13  SOLOMINI'S LEGACY Jul19 Jun15 May11 Apr23 Mar28 (ferraro w)DAVIS DYLAN 119 30.00    
 
SAR-9   08/01/2025 3630ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHEFFLIN Jun27 May17 Apr30 Dec14 Nov09 (maker michael )PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.60 69% 0.50    
1A  CHESS MASTER Jul03 Jun08 Apr19 Mar23 Aug15 (abreu jo)SANTANA JR 124 1.60    
SCR  OUTLAW COUNTRY Jul18 Jun15 Apr27 Oct05 Sep07 (breen j)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00    
3  VINSANITY Jul19 Jul05 Jun08 May02 Apr23 (arriaga antoni)LEZCANO JOSE 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  HILARIOUS AFFAIR Jul03 Apr09 Mar22 Jan29 Dec20 (maker michael )ROSARIO JOEL 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  WHENLOVETAKESOVER Jun13 Apr12 Feb21 Jan26 Jan04 (quick patr)RIVERA R 124 30.00    
6  FLUID SITUATION Jul03 Jun12 Mar15 Feb22 Feb02 (terranova joh)VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00 ★    
7  JAVA BUZZ Jul17 Jun27 May02 Apr11 Feb13 (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 122 15.00    
8  CLOUDY Jul03 Oct19 Aug22 Jul27 Jul04 (mcgaughey cla)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00 ★    
9  HEAVEN STREET Jul03 Jun15 May15 Oct25 Sep21 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 122 20.00    
10  CHIRINGO Jun28 May23 Apr25 Mar21 Feb24 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 4.00    
SCR  KUNSHAN BRIDGE Jul06 Jun14 May16 May03 Oct12 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50    
 
SAR-10   08/01/2025 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($63K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWIRLY Jun22 May15 Apr24 Mar16 Feb22 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 6.00    
SCR  QUEEN ATLAS Jun21 May24 Dec14 Nov11 Oct22 (morey wi)SANTANA JR 120 12.00    
3  SAUCY SIX Jul06 Jun14 May01 Mar22 Mar09 (keithan )ELLINGWOOD A 125 50.00 5% 19.00    
4  LIFE ADVICE Jul06 May29 Apr26 Oct09 Sep16 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 125 4.00 36% 1.80    
5  COMPETITIVE THREAT (IRE) Jul06 May18 Mar09 Jan02 Jul21 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 3.00 14% 6.10    
6  LOVEUMISSUMEANIT Jul05 Jun14 May26 Apr24 Feb05 (begg bent)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00    
7  LESLIE'S STAR Jul06 Jun21 May15 Sep01   (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 29% 2.50    
8  ADRIAN Jul06 Jun19 May17 Apr12 Dec26 (sweezey kent)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00    
SCR  AVISO Jul06 Jun13 May25 Apr12 Feb23 (mcpeek ken)RIVERA R 120 10.00    
10  LUCKFORYOU Jun14 May23 May02 Apr17 Mar22 (romero jesus)LEZCANO JOSE 120 30.00    
SCR  BEST IMPRESSION Jul10 Jun07 Apr19 Nov16 Aug31 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 125 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.