Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Wednesday - May 21, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (1/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/4)-(1/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/4)-(1/7/4)-(1/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/4)-(3/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/7/4)-(3/2/6)-(2/1/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-2   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/6)-(2/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(2/1/6)-(1/6/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-3   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/6)-(1/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6)-(1/6/2)-(1/7/2/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-4   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/2)-(1/7/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2)-(1/7/2/5)-(4/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-5   WIN (1/7/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/2/5)-(1/7/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/2/5)-(1/7/2/5)-(1/7/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/2/5)-(4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/2/5)-(4/3/5)-(5/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-6   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(5/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(5/4/6)-(1/3/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-7   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/6)-(1/3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-8   WIN (1/3/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/2/4)-(1/3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/2/4)-(1/3/2/4)-(1/3/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   05/21/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LT'S JACKNTHEBOX Apr11 Apr05 Mar27 Mar20 Mar11 (gonzalez dona)SIMPSON JASON 119 5.00 26% 2.80    
2  SWEET TRAVELS Apr24 Apr11 Feb03 Jan25 Oct11 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50    
SCR  AVAILABILITY Mar11 Feb03 Jan25 Jan06 Dec09 (yoder d)STOKES J 119 2.00    
4  DOMI Mar27 Mar11 Jan23 Jan07 Dec27 (s)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 119 15.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  CONVERT Apr24 Apr05 Mar11 Feb04 Jan06 (galloway k)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 2.50    
6  C C'S CLEAR CREEK Apr23 Apr11 Mar27 Mar10 Feb28 (schust)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00    
7  SHORTLY Apr23 Apr05 Mar05 Feb08 Jun08 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 119 6.00 25% 3.00    
 
TDN-2   05/21/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DARK VADER Mar31 Mar03 Feb10 Dec11 Oct26 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 119 1.80    
2  MCGRAW Mar31 Jun22 May08 Apr01 Jan31 (fadlovich m)NUNEZ Y 119 2.50 24% 3.20    
3  MUTINY May12 Apr30 Apr10 Mar22 Aug12 (bailey r)FERNANDEZ R 121 3.50 33% 2.00    
4  QUIET AMIGO Apr30 Mar30 Mar11 Feb10 Jan13 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 4.50    
5  AINT NO BANDLEADER Oct02 Sep21 Aug30 Aug02 Jul26 (estvanko richard)AVILES YAN 119 6.00    
6  SUSIE'S KID Apr30 Jun04 May15 Oct24 Oct06 (rettele rich)TAVARES JAVIER 119 12.00 15% 5.90    
 
TDN-3   05/21/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HELLO SWEETS Mar17 Feb08 Nov18 Jun24 Jun03 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50 30% 2.40    
2  THE DEVIL'S DREAM Apr05 Mar18 Mar05 Dec03 Oct26 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 44% 1.30    
SCR  MISSION GIRL Dec04 Nov18 Oct09 Sep11 Aug21 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 119 2.00    
4  CAUSE OF LOVE Apr21 Apr09 Mar27 Mar10 Feb08 (rivera r)RIVERA R 119 3.00    
5  MISS SPRINGSTEEN Apr29 Sep30 Sep04 Aug14 Jul25 (jackson r)FELICIANO R 119 10.00    
6  HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE Apr29 Aug14 Jul17 Jul03 Jun18 (romero oscar)TAVARES JAVIER 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-4   05/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL'D Dec05 Oct19 Aug21 Jul25 Jul03 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 1.80 75% 0.30    
2  ANIMO ROBERTO Jul30 Jul04 Jun19 May30 May07 (gonzalez ric)TAVARES JAVIER 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  YIPPEE KI YAY May05 Sep26 Aug30 Aug20 Jul16 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 2.00    
4  GIFT OF OAK May03 Apr03 Mar19 Mar11 Feb27 (norris stephani)STOKES J 123 4.00    
5  SPIN DOCTOR May13 Apr22 Apr02 Mar25 Mar10 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 5.00    
6  SPIRIT OF AKRON Apr21 Apr10 Apr03 Mar19 Mar06 (bailey ricardo)PEREZ A 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-5   05/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUCKEYE ROSE Apr28 Apr02 Mar20 Mar03 Jan28 (rivera r)RIVERA R 119 3.50 50% 1.00    
2  SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS Apr28 Apr09 Mar24 Mar10 Feb10 (skerre)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.00 9% 10.60    
3  ANGEL WINGS Apr28 Mar24 Feb05 Jun24 Jun03 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 2.50    
4  STATE OF GRACE Apr23 Apr07 Mar24 Feb28 Feb05 (gonzalez d)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 10.00    
5  SWEET EMPIRE Apr09 Mar10 Feb10 Sep30 Sep18 (romero oscar)TAVARES JAVIER 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  BOSSY LADY Apr22 Apr03 Mar10 Jan29 Jan07 (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 119 4.00    
7  CARMEN OHIO Dec18 Nov18 Oct29 Oct11 Sep03 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 119 5.00 18% 4.60    
 
TDN-6   05/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($50K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KISS VALENTINA May05 Apr02 Mar11 Mar01 Feb06 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50    
2  PRAISE N GLORY May12 Apr24 Mar31 Mar06 Dec26 (vazquez )FERNANDEZ R 117 5.00    
3  MOBIL MEMORY May05 Mar30 Feb27 Feb06 Jan07 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 2.00 18% 4.70    
4  TIERNEY May06 Jan07 Dec04 Nov19 Oct21 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 123 1.60 54% 0.80    
5  THE KID'S PRAYER May05 Oct07 Sep11 Aug22 Jul24 (rettele rich)TAVARES JAVIER 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  NICEASAKITTENSEYES May05 Apr09 Mar22 Sep11 Aug01 (lopez jacint)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 15.00    
 
TDN-7   05/21/2025 3630ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MISS ATHLETIC Apr28 Apr01 Mar25 Feb06 Dec28 (higham)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00    
SCR  TWILIGHT VISION Nov19 Oct21 Sep26 Jul02 May01 (jackson r)RIVERA R 119 4.00    
3  MISS SHADY Apr11 Apr02 Mar12 Feb12 Jan28 (trevino stephen)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00    
4  DREAMING OF AUDREY Apr29 Mar22 Mar06 Feb15 Feb06 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 5.00 19% 4.30    
5  REMEMBER ME Apr29 Apr03 Mar22 Mar06 Feb04 (crumley je)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 3.50 45% 1.20    
6  DATTTSAFANCYFOX Apr07 Mar22 Mar06 Feb04 Jan08 (suarez javier)NEGRON LUIS 119 6.00 13% 6.80    
7  CHESS NOT CHECKERS Apr29 Apr03 Mar19 Feb06 Dec27 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 123 2.50    
 
TDN-8   05/21/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRITONE GAL Jun03 May09 Apr10 Apr02 Mar09 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 1.80 27% 2.70    
2  GIRL BYE May05 Mar31 Mar12 Feb12 Jan25 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 4.00 14% 6.30    
3  ROWDY DAISY May03 Apr23 Jan08 Dec18 Nov27 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 123 2.50 23% 3.30    
4  SABELLE May03 Mar26 Mar18 Feb28 Feb12 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 10.00 11% 8.50    
5  H. T. XENA May03 Mar30 Mar07 Jan31 Jun03 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 123 6.00    
6  QUARANTINA Apr02 Feb26 Jan28 Jan08 Dec27 (casalino)FERNANDEZ R 123 20.00    
7  LILAC LACE May06 Apr23 Mar26 Nov26 Nov11 (yoder sus)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 10.00    
8  JEN'S BATTLE May03 Mar12 Feb12 Feb03 Jan15 (casalinova ti)CEDILLO MAURO 123 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.