Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Wednesday - May 14, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (9/6/1/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/6/1/3/4)-(9/6/1/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/6/1/3/4)-(9/6/1/3/4)-(9/6/1/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/6/1/3/4)-(7/5/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (9/6/1/3/4)-(7/5/6)-(5/1/3) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
TDN-2   WIN (7/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/6)-(7/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/6)-(7/5/6)-(7/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/6)-(5/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/5/6)-(5/1/3)-(3/5/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-3   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(3/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(3/5/6)-(1/6/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-4   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(1/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(1/6/5)-(4/1/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-5   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(4/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(4/1/3)-(2/5/1/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-6   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(2/5/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(2/5/1/7)-(6/8/3/7/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TDN-7   WIN (2/5/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/1/7)-(2/5/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/1/7)-(2/5/1/7)-(2/5/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/1/7)-(6/8/3/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TDN-8   WIN (6/8/3/7/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/8/3/7/1)-(6/8/3/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/8/3/7/1)-(6/8/3/7/1)-(6/8/3/7/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   05/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUPLE BEERS DEEP Apr29 Nov13       (morales )FERNANDEZ R 119 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by QUICK CHANGE out of LATE LOVER by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
2  REMIX FROM PHOENIX Apr29 Apr10 Mar26 Mar12 Feb08 (langley josh)TAVARES JAVIER 119 12.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of HEATHERFROMPHOENIX by SAN PABLO)
3  BLUE BLOOD COWBOY Apr29 Apr10 Mar26 Mar04 Feb08 (dacosta jason)PEREZ A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ONE SIDED out of COWBOY'S PRINCESS by COWBOY CAL)
4  MY FOR O ONE KAY         (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of RED DREAD by FIVE STAR DAY)
5  DEW IT WITH CLASS         (waltz brian)AVILES YAN 119 6.00    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of DEW IT RIGHT by FLOWER ALLEY)
6  LAST MINUTE MIKEY Apr29 Mar26       (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 35% 1.80    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of ANNISQUAM by FORESTRY)
7  EL MEXICANO Apr29 Mar26       (faulkner ro)NUNEZ Y 119 20.00    
  (by DA BIG HOSS out of FLASHY PEARL by FLASHY BULL)
8  AQUAVIT Apr29 Jul22 Jul03     (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 5.00    
  (by BIRDRUN out of OAK BAY BEAUTY by STREET SENSE)
9  RIVER BYE Oct07 Aug28 Aug07     (puhl kim)TOLEDO S 123 2.50 37% 1.70    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of STORM ON BYE by WOKE UP DREAMIN)
 
TDN-2   05/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CANDY CRUSHEM Apr29 Mar25 Mar06 Feb08 Jul29 (sweazey sco)NUNEZ Y 123 2.50    
2  UNCLEJACKOMO May05 Apr08 Mar20 Mar06 Feb08 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 123 12.00    
3  CALLIHOO Apr24 Mar07 Feb07 Jan24 Dec08 (carmichael mikh)BOWEN ROCCO 123 8.00    
4  OWN THE TOWN Nov06 Oct22 Sep30 Jul08 Jun17 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 5.00    
5  SEEING RED Apr29 Apr08 Feb27 Jan29 Dec26 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 1.80 29% 2.50    
6  LAUDA SPEED Apr12 Mar03 Feb03 Jan13 Nov19 (schuster rob)TAVARES JAVIER 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  BOBBY G Mar25 Mar06 Feb08 Dec26 Dec10 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 123 3.50 31% 2.30    
 
TDN-3   05/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXPLOSIVE LADY Apr24 Mar30 Mar07 Feb08 Dec24 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.20 21% 3.80    
2  SICILIAN STYLE TWO Mar19 Mar01 Feb10 Jan24 Jul09 (urieta j)FERNANDEZ R 119 10.00    
3  MY BEST DAY EVER Apr27 Nov05 Oct17 Oct01 Sep11 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 119 8.00 15% 5.60    
4  THEE NEW BEGINNING Apr12 Apr06 Feb19 Feb05 Dec08 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 115 3.50    
5  ONE SMOKIN' RITA Apr23 Mar28 Mar13 Feb26 Jan10 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 1.80 32% 2.10    
 
TDN-4   05/14/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEED TO KNOW BASIS May05 Apr07 Feb05 Jan23 Jan13 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00    
2  MISTER MOBIL May03 Apr07 Mar31 Aug20 Aug10 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00    
3  IT'S OFFICIAL Apr07 Mar03 Jan13 Apr25 Mar26 (juarez lorenzo)AVILES YAN 119 3.50 38% 1.60    
4  MO DONT NO Apr30 Oct03 Sep10 Aug20 Jul30 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.00    
5  HIDDEN ACCESS May03 Apr07 Dec03 Nov12 May27 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 121 2.50 33% 2.00    
6  RAVEN MOON May05 Mar13 Oct26 Sep10 Aug20 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-5   05/14/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROSETTA Apr28 Apr09 Mar20 Feb26 Feb10 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 115 1.80 53% 0.90    
2  WELLOILEDCAT Apr24 Mar13 Feb27 Feb06 Jan23 (casalinova t)TAVARES JAVIER 119 15.00    
3  VAMONOS PIACENTE Apr28 Jul24 Jun17 May29 Apr10 (casalinova tina)PEREZ A 119 15.00    
4  COUNT ON ME Apr24 Apr03 Mar20 Feb26 Feb10 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 1.60    
5  COWGIRLS HUMOR May06 Apr24 Apr09 Mar06 Feb27 (schuster robin)FELICIANO R 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  PRINCESS EM Apr24 Apr09 Mar25 Mar06 Feb27 (yoder d)AVILES YAN 119 3.00 22% 3.60    
 
TDN-6   05/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HENRY MAC Jan13 Nov25 Aug10 Jul15 Jun07 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00 20% 3.90    
2  HIP HIP HOORAY Apr05 Oct26 Oct08 Aug10 Jul16 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00    
3  I WANNA WIN Apr30 Oct26 Sep10 Aug10 Jul11 (jackson r)FELICIANO R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  EMPIRE'S FIRE Nov25 Oct26 Aug29 Aug10 Jul16 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 1.60 54% 0.90    
5  SCRIMPER Mar31 Nov05 Oct03 Sep02 Aug12 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 6.00    
6  WILDCAT EXPRESS Apr05 Mar19 Mar04 Dec18 Nov26 (poole m)AVILES YAN 121 3.50    
 
TDN-7   05/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE STEP ASIDE May06 Apr08 Mar24 Mar04 Feb08 (dacosta jason)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  ROLLIN MY WAY Apr29 Apr08 Mar24 Mar04 Feb08 (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00 51% 1.00    
3  BLAKE'S RYEN Jul01 Jun11 Aug12 Jul25 Jul05 (radosevich justin)STOKES J 119 2.00    
4  HARSH TRUTH Oct08 Sep18 Aug28 Aug13 Jul18 (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ A 119 12.00    
5  DRILIN' FOR GEMS Apr24 Oct03 Sep16 Sep05 Aug19 (johnson gary)TAVARES JAVIER 119 3.50 22% 3.60    
6  LOTSA MATCHA Apr08 Mar24 Feb08 Jan13 Dec23 (gonzalez rica)SIMPSON JASON 119 5.00    
7  OHIO STRONG Nov19 Nov07 Oct08 May09 Mar25 (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-8   05/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SADIE'S GHOST Apr29 Oct28       (rettele rich)TAVARES JAVIER 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KISS THE GHOST out of SILVER SADIE by MEADOW PRAYER)
2  SILENT DRILL Apr29 Mar26       (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.50    
  (by DRILL out of ZARLANZ by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
3  RED CHIPS Apr29 Mar26 Mar12     (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 3.50 21% 3.80    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of STILL SHEA TO ME by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
4  WANDALOU'S PRIDE Feb11 Jan28 Dec26 Dec10   (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 123 15.00    
  (by WESTERN PRIDE out of DEPUTY WANDA by WANDO)
5  BUMPER STICKER Apr29 Apr10 Mar12     (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 5.00    
  (by BIONDETTI out of OPIE by KOKAND)
6  P J'S BOY Jan28         (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 25% 2.90    
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of THUNDERTAP by TAPIZAR)
7  MOONLITE DANCE         (erdel john)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 12.00 6% 14.80    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of MOONLIGHT FLITE by MINARDI)
8  FLARING SONG Apr10 Mar26 Mar12 Feb08 Jan15 (bi)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 23% 3.30    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of FLARING STAR by TAP DAY)
9  TURKODANCER Jul29 Jul22 Jul01 Jun12 May29 (langley joshu)SIMPSON JASON 123 20.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of SMALL TOWN FLIRT by PURGE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.