Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Sunday - March 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (4/2/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/5/8)-(4/2/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/5/8)-(4/2/5/8)-(4/2/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/5/8)-(3/4/9/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5/8)-(3/4/9/1/6)-(3/1/6/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-2   WIN (3/4/9/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/4/9/1/6)-(3/4/9/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/4/9/1/6)-(3/4/9/1/6)-(3/4/9/1/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/4/9/1/6)-(3/1/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/4/9/1/6)-(3/1/6/4)-(2/8/9/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-3   WIN (3/1/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/6/4)-(3/1/6/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/1/6/4)-(3/1/6/4/7)-(3/1/6/4/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/1/6/4)-(2/8/9/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6/4)-(2/8/9/4)-(1/5) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
FG-4   WIN (2/8/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/9/4)-(2/8/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/9/4)-(2/8/9/4)-(2/8/9/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/9/4)-(1/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/8/9/4)-(1/5)-(4/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FG-5   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/5)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(4/6/3)-(3/7/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FG-6   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(3/7/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(3/7/4/1)-(4/7/3/11/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-7   WIN (3/7/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/4/1)-(3/7/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/4/1)-(3/7/4/1)-(3/7/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/4/1)-(4/7/3/11/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FG-8   WIN (4/7/3/11/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/7/3/11/12)-(4/7/3/11/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/7/3/11/12)-(4/7/3/11/12)-(4/7/3/11/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   03/16/2025 4950ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIDE THE BRIDE Feb27 Feb14       (williamson b)TORRES A 125 12.00    
2  ASH WEDNESDAY Feb21 Jan25 Nov28 Mar03   (mcgee pau)HERNANDEZ J 125 2.00 15% 5.90    
3  ROCK HARBOR Feb20 Dec28 May03     (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 125 6.00    
4  MISCHIEF LILY Feb21 Jan17 Dec11 Nov05 Oct15 (scherer eric )MORALES EDGAR 125 2.50 45% 1.20    
5  DARING HOPE Feb21 Jan27 Nov03     (tomlinson m)CONCEPCION AXEL 125 3.50 13% 7.00    
6  LYNNA Feb21 Jan16 Dec26 Dec06 Aug23 (cohn alice)ROWLAND MADELINE 125 20.00    
7  KAZILLION Feb21 Jan25 Mar10 Feb18 Jan06 (brinkman b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 12.00    
8  ANDTHISTOOWILLPASS         (mickelson j)ASTUDILLO FELIX 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-2   03/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ATTILA THE SPUN Feb05 Sep17 Aug12 Jul12 Jun14 (gibson jona)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  BEAT THE DOUBLE Feb21 Jan31 Jan16 Dec19 Nov29 (zenon shelton)MUNOZ SERGIO 122 6.00    
3  PLUM WINE Feb06 Feb24 Feb03 Dec27 Nov22 (johnson h)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 35% 1.90    
4  MIA ANTONIA Feb21 Jan12 Dec22 Jun17 May06 (west patr)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 3.50 25% 3.00    
5  GRACE AND MERCY Feb20 Jan25 Jan12 Aug22 Jul12 (david sam )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 6.00    
6  MY IDEA Feb22 Feb06 Jan16 Dec19 Nov22 (zeno benjamin)FLORIAN JOSE 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  CHAPELLETE Mar06 Feb20 Dec29 Oct30 Sep26 (foster jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 4.50    
8  SUGAR CANE GAL Jan24 Dec19 Nov22 Sep18 Sep10 (zeno b)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 20.00    
9  BROKE DRAW Feb15         (fuselier j)RAMIREZ JR 117 8.00 13% 6.60    
 
FG-3   03/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKIP THE LINE Feb17 Jan04 Jan31 Jan01 Oct01 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 125 3.00 13% 6.90    
2  B WAYNE Jan17 Jan02 Dec15 Nov29 Sep15 (claire ale)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 6.00    
3  GRAND SAM Feb20 Feb08 Dec13 Nov23 Nov05 (degeyter ra)MELANCON JANSEN 122 5.00 50% 1.00    
4  BILLY'S GOT ISSUES Feb22 Jan17 Oct05 Aug23 Jul14 (consta)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 8.00 6% 16.00    
5  CESNOLA Dec07 Oct18 Sep19 Aug29 Aug01 (rubley kelly)GRAHAM J 122 30.00    
6  COURAGEOUS CUPID Feb14 Jan04 Dec08 Nov23 Mar20 (sanchez ju)ALBERT S 122 5.00 9% 10.00    
7  GOTTA KEEP HIM Feb17 Jan17 Jan01 Dec07 Sep04 (foster jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 5.00 ★    
8  NUMERO SIETE Jan27 Dec15 Nov24 Oct29 Sep29 (claire alexi)TORRES A 122 6.00    
9  RIGHT SPOT Jan09 Nov30 Oct04     (scherer t)RIQUELME J 114 8.00    
 
FG-4   03/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PATEK Jan08 Dec13 Nov06 Oct11 Aug22 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 122 6.00    
2  AVERY'S GEM Feb20 Jan03 Dec12 Nov07 Oct10 (bourgeois )MURRILL MITCHELL 122 3.50 38% 1.60    
SCR  PETITFOR Feb27 Jan25 Jan11 Dec21 Nov28 (meaux jas)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 4.50    
4  MR. RONNIE Feb27 Jan08 Nov27 Nov06 Oct12 (duhon o)GRAHAM J 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  OCEAN JACKPOT Mar06 Feb14 Jan11 Dec18   (degeyter ra)DEL-CID VICENTE 125 6.00    
6  ACHROMEDOUTCAT Dec04 Oct30 Aug22 Mar23 Feb17 (alonzo how)ALBERT S 122 6.00    
7  CUSTOM CADILLAC Jan10 Dec20 Nov29 Aug17 Jul05 (cuccia j)TORRES A 122 4.50    
8  MALAKI EMPIRE Sep16 Aug27 May15 Mar22 Feb03 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 12.00 21% 3.80    
9  PARTY AT JAYS Mar04 Jan02 Dec20 Nov28 Nov06 (burkes bob)RAMIREZ JR 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-5   03/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($53K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDZONE Feb19 Jan16 Dec20 Mar21 Feb29 (delhomme jeff)THORNTON G 122 5.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  WALKSONWATER Feb20 Jan16 Mar20 Feb29   (devaux adriann)GREEN AUBRIE 122 8.00    
SCR  DADDY HEY DADDY Jan25 Aug19 Jul01 Jun17 May25 (garcia lui)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 6.00    
4  HOPEITSMYLUCKYDAY Feb01 Jan11 Dec27 Dec06 Jun11 (munoz yovani)MUNOZ SERGIO 122 4.50    
5  PAT HAND GIRL Feb17 Jan26 Jan05 Dec21 Nov28 (hargrave ke)ASTUDILLO FELIX 117 30.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  BACK STREET BABY Feb20 Dec27 Nov29 Aug31 Aug19 (wilson shane)CANNON DECLAN 122 8.00    
SCR  GRACE HAZEL Feb20 Nov30 Aug11 Jul07 May19 (terre david)GRAHAM J 122 15.00    
SCR  ARARATTA Jan01         (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 114 6.00    
SCR  EMILYHASHERTURN Feb17 Jan01 Dec19 Nov28 Nov09 (wong jonat)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.50    
SCR  JUS EVELYN Feb22 Jan12 Jul15 Jun02 Mar02 (cohn g)TORRES A 122 6.00    
SCR  SACRED SAINT Feb02 Oct23 Sep26 Aug19 Feb04 (scherer eric )MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00    
12  DEROUTANTE Nov29 Sep23 Sep11 Aug14 Aug05 (meaux jas)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 8.00    
SCR  RUSTY'S SUNRISE Mar03 Feb06 Dec28 Dec11 Nov20 (breaux samu)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 6.00    
SCR  FRONT AND SILVER Feb20 Feb01 Jan12 Dec21 Nov09 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 122 4.50    
SCR  VISIONISTA Jan04 Dec15 Aug01 Jun16 May25 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 122 8.00    
SCR  OURS AND THEIRS Feb13 Jan20 Dec27 Dec05 Sep26 (schmidt denise)SINGH R 122 20.00    
 
FG-6   03/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($53K) 3 F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GERLIN'S EMPIRE Feb17 Dec21 Nov28 Nov06 Sep26 (stewart dallas)ORTIZ L 119 3.00    
SCR  STUDIO HALL Jun25         (walden will)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00    
3  PONDERING Feb17 Jan20 Oct05 Aug31 Jul22 (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 119 5.00 14% 6.30    
4  MODO Jan25 Dec15 Nov17     (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 2.50 38% 1.60    
5  IN AWE OF JUJU Mar01 Jan31 Dec28     (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50    
6  STABLE CURRENCY Feb17 Jan20 Dec21 Nov15 Oct18 (block chris)COHEN DAVID 119 3.00 24% 3.20    
 
FG-7   03/16/2025 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($53K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THERMOSCAT Feb13 Jan20 Dec26 Nov22   (wilson sha)MURRILL MITCHELL 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  WARHOL Feb01 Dec12 Nov15 Oct13 Jul19 (beckman w)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 10.00    
3  MOONLIGHT Feb15 Jan04 Dec01 Oct16 Jul27 (block chris)ORTIZ L 121 4.00 51% 1.00    
4  FUNNYFLAME Feb15 Jan18 Jun30 Jun07 May11 (wilson shane)CANNON DECLAN 121 10.00 10% 8.90    
SCR  SAND PIPES Feb15 Dec21 Nov22 Oct17 Mar30 (schultz lind)GEROUX FLORENT 121 2.50    
6  RAMPAGIUS Feb21 Jan24 Dec21 Mar08 Jan31 (stidham mi)HERNANDEZ J 123 5.00    
7  BATTLEOFLEXINGTON Feb23 Jul20 Jun07 May02 Apr12 (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 10.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  JUSTIN'S LEGACY Sep03 Aug06 May28 Apr29 Feb16 (barboza vict)TORRES A 121 8.00    
9  NEXT LEVEL Mar01 Sep21 Aug24 Jul06 Jun09 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 121 5.00    
SCR  FURIO Feb17 Jan20 Sep12     (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 113 3.00    
 
FG-8   03/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLAT OUT RUNNER Jan09 Dec26 Dec12 Nov13 Oct23 (ramirez-r)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00    
2  CREOLE CHARLIE Feb23 Feb02 Jan03 Dec15 Nov23 (sanchez juan )VARGAS P 121 10.00    
3  BIND FAITH Feb21 Feb12 Jan03 Dec19 Nov15 (landry allen)GEROUX FLORENT 121 6.00 11% 8.20    
4  DOCTOR LEO Feb12 Jan03 Dec18 Dec04 Nov07 (wong j)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 4.50 37% 1.70    
5  BOULDERING Feb23 Feb05 Jan24 Dec04 Nov14 (ramirez e)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 15.00    
SCR  RECKLESS RANSOM Feb13 Jan26 Dec06 Oct12 Sep17 (degeyter ran)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 8.00    
7  HARD FOUR Feb23 Feb02 Jan12 Dec15 Nov24 (guillory hen)TORRES A 121 8.00 18% 4.50    
8  SAMURAI'S GRANDSON Feb21 Jan30 Dec28 Dec15 Dec04 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 121 15.00    
SCR  IZZY'S BABY BOY Mar01 Dec28 Dec13 Nov15 Jun07 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 4.00    
10  HOORAY AUSTIN Feb23 Feb02 Jan05 Nov24 Aug15 (degeyter ra)MELANCON JANSEN 121 10.00    
11  RISKY PRIORITY Feb16 Jan26 Jan05 Dec15 Nov24 (terre david)THORNTON G 121 10.00 10% 9.50    
12  FLOWER CAT Feb14 Jan16 Dec20 Dec06 Nov16 (ramirez eduardo)COHEN DAVID 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CHAD'S FLASH Feb05 Dec12 Nov16 Aug15 Jul30 (fuselier j)RAMIREZ JR 116 12.00    
SCR  ORDER UP Mar06 Jan26 Jan05 Dec05 Oct16 (sanchez juan )VARGAS P 121 6.00    
SCR  SAMMY DANSEUR JR. Feb23 Feb12 Jan30 Jan02 Dec04 (terre davi)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.