Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - February 13, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (7/6/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/5/3)-(7/6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/5/3)-(7/6/5/3)-(7/6/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/5/3)-(6/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/6/5/3)-(6/2)-(7/3/10/2) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
MVR-2   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/3/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/2)-(7/3/10/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/2)-(7/3/10/2)-(3/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-3   WIN (7/3/10/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/10/2)-(7/3/10/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/3/10/2)-(7/3/10/6/2)-(7/3/10/6/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/3/10/2)-(3/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/10/2)-(3/1/7)-(1/6/7/10/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-4   WIN (3/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/7)-(3/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/7)-(3/1/7)-(3/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/7)-(1/6/7/10/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/1/7)-(1/6/7/10/5)-(1/5/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-5   WIN (1/6/7/10/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/6/7/10/5)-(1/6/7/10/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/6/7/10/5)-(1/6/7/10/5)-(1/6/7/10/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/6/7/10/5)-(1/5/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/6/7/10/5)-(1/5/7/6)-(6/7/8/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-6   WIN (1/5/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/7/6)-(1/5/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/7/6)-(1/5/7/6)-(1/5/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/7/6)-(6/7/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/5/7/6)-(6/7/8/3)-(5/1/6/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-7   WIN (6/7/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/8/3)-(6/7/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/8/3)-(6/7/8/3)-(6/7/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/8/3)-(5/1/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
MVR-8   WIN (5/1/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/6/7)-(5/1/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/6/7)-(5/1/6/7)-(5/1/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   02/13/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FREEDOM PRINCESS Dec26 Dec01       (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 15.00    
2  SHEZA SAID GOODBYE Mar19         (spiess sha)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 12.00    
3  GUNNADIVA Jan29 Jan08 Dec13 Nov23 Oct19 (vlaun )BATISTA ALBERTO 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  MISS LITTLE BIT Jan29 Jan16 Dec05 Nov25 Oct30 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 118 2.00    
5  SILVER MATY Feb05 Dec01 Jun10 May28 May13 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 10.00 9% 10.50    
6  GRAN CONQUISTADORA Jan01 Nov23 Oct13     (morales m)PEREZ A 118 4.00 28% 2.50    
7  NOTHING BUT TIME Jan15 Dec18 Jun27 Jun02   (smith larry)DIAZ I 126 1.80 35% 1.90    
8  ATHENA'S GHOST Feb05 Jan16 Dec26     (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 126 8.00    
 
MVR-2   02/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OBI KENOBI Nov13 Oct23 Oct05 Aug24   (barker w)AVILES YAN 124 4.50    
2  GRAY DAY Dec12 Nov13 Sep26 Sep14 Aug31 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  ENVELOPE PLEASE Nov13 Oct05 Sep07     (maker micha)PETERSON FERRIN 124 1.80 ★    
4  DR. JOBO'S DAY Jan09 Aug15       (szczepanski )GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00    
SCR  RIGHT ON THE MUNNY Nov27 Oct10 Sep16     (gorham robert )DIAZ I 116 6.00    
6  VDAYTOTHETENACIOUS Jan16 Nov23 Oct05     (romans dale)BRACHO A 126 1.20 78% 0.30    
 
MVR-3   02/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ON HIS TOES Jan28 Jan06 Dec11 Oct28 Oct03 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 124 20.00    
2  LITTLE VAQUERO Oct14 Sep24 Sep16 Aug26 Aug14 (gonzalez don)TAVARES JAVIER 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  FLAWLESS CAT Jan28 Dec28 Dec11 Nov25 Oct28 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 2.50 32% 2.10    
4  CHAMPAGNE MIKE Jan30 Dec28 Dec11 Nov25 Nov07 (inirio o)LEON A 124 15.00    
5  UNBRIDLED VICTOR Oct30 Oct16 Sep26 Sep03 Aug13 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00    
6  MSHINDI Jan28 Jan13 Dec27 Nov20 Nov07 (faulkner ro)NUNEZ Y 124 3.50 ★    
7  DR SCHUSTER Jan28 Dec08 Nov12 Oct30 Oct20 (cordero-lopez )DIAZ I 124 4.00 37% 1.70    
8  AURA OF GOLD Jan28 Jan13 Dec28 Nov25 Nov07 (madrigal rodrigo)AVILES YAN 124 8.00    
9  EL BANDIDO Jan28 Dec28 Dec05 Nov25 Nov07 (tumbli)RODRIGUEZ A 119 20.00    
10  PUNCTUALITY Jan24 Dec10 Nov27 Nov17 Nov04 (cordero-lopez ale)PEREZ E 124 10.00 7% 13.00    
 
MVR-4   02/13/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMIGO'S AFFAIR Jan29 Dec17 Nov19 Oct07 Sep16 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 126 3.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  OVER THE HILLS Nov20 Nov05 Oct22 Oct06 May20 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 2.00    
3  JARETH Jan29 Oct03 Aug29 Aug01 Jul19 (smith larry)DIAZ I 126 3.00 34% 2.00    
4  ROCK ON KITTEN Dec26 Dec05 Nov20 Oct22 Jun24 (johnso)RODRIGUEZ A 121 15.00    
5  THAT KHENNY Jan28 Sep10 Feb10 Jan01 Dec09 (castillo j)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 126 6.00    
SCR  KOSCIUSZKO Nov19 Nov02 Oct09 Sep12 Aug29 (brown glenroy)SIMPSON JASON 126 10.00    
7  SEEING RED Jan29 Dec26 Dec02 Nov17 Oct24 (musarro joseph)HOUGHTON D 126 8.00 9% 10.00    
8  LAUDA SPEED Feb03 Jan13 Nov19 Nov04 Oct02 (schuster r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 126 12.00    
 
MVR-5   02/13/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LT'S JACKNTHEBOX Feb03 Jan25 Jan06 Dec19 Oct21 (gonzalez d)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 4.50 28% 2.60    
2  AVAILABILITY Feb03 Jan25 Jan06 Dec09 Nov18 (yo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00    
3  PHOTO HOP Jan23 Jan02 Dec13 Nov21 Oct19 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50    
4  GOLDEN AL Jan02 Dec20 Dec07 Nov29 Nov15 (swan kirsten)SWAN KIRSTEN 124 20.00    
5  SWEET TRAVELS Feb03 Jan25 Oct11 Sep21 Aug17 (dacosta j)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  SAGE RUNNER Feb03 Jan25 Jan06 Dec27 Dec10 (vecchi)RODRIGUEZ A 119 6.00 25% 3.00    
7  SPUNS SON Jan01 Oct24 Oct03 Sep12 Aug15 (hill j)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 22% 3.60    
8  DOMI Jan23 Jan07 Dec27 Dec10 Nov20 (s)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 124 20.00    
SCR  MOTION TO ADJOURN Dec04 Nov14 Oct23 Oct10 Sep23 (thompson erin)BRACHO A 124 12.00    
10  EPIC KNIGHT Feb03 Jan25 Dec28 Dec09 Nov04 (garcia amal)NUNEZ Y 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  C C'S CLEAR CREEK Dec04 Nov19 Nov11 Oct10 Jul08 (schuster r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 20.00    
 
MVR-6   02/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PACIFIC VIEW Jan15 Dec03 Nov11 Oct13 Sep20 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 124 3.50 42% 1.40    
2  TESHIMA Nov30 Nov09 Oct19 Sep28 Sep10 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.00    
3  TIMELY SECRET Feb06 Jan15 Jul28 Jul16 Jul01 (urieta johann)CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00    
4  GOTHAM GRAY Feb03 Jan09 Dec27 Dec09 Nov10 (ccamaque marco)PAUCAR E 124 8.00    
5  QUICK RECOVERY Jan27 Jan09 Dec23 Dec04 Nov19 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 126 2.50 28% 2.60    
6  YEHAWMEMAW Feb03 Jan15 Dec27 Dec09 Nov11 (short thomas)STOKES J 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  KANTBACKOFF Feb03 Jan15 Nov29 Nov16 Nov01 (bailey ric)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 12.00 9% 10.50    
SCR  SMOOKIE Nov24 Nov03 Sep29 Aug28 Aug14 (trierweiler ca)DIAZ I 124 30.00    
 
MVR-7   02/13/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORETHANREADYEDDIE Feb03 Dec11 Nov20 Oct22 Oct07 (g)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 126 4.50    
SCR  SUPPLY CHAIN Jan25 Jun10 May13 Apr09 Mar05 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 8.00    
3  CUGINE Jan29 Jan09 Nov19 Oct22 Sep10 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  BLESS THE KITTEN Jan29 Jan09 Nov06 Sep19 Aug29 (johnson )FERNANDEZ R 126 6.00    
5  NAPA DUDE Jan29 Jan09 Aug20 Jul22 Jul09 (casalinova ti)SIMPSON JASON 126 20.00    
6  HITSVILLE Feb05 Jan23 Dec03 Nov19 Oct30 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 126 2.00 49% 1.00    
7  BOURBON WISDOM Dec19 Dec02 Nov13 Sep10 Aug20 (skerre)RODRIGUEZ A 121 3.00 23% 3.30    
8  CREDIT RIVER Jan29 Jan09 Nov13 Oct23 Aug27 (castro a)AVILES YAN 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ROYAL DRAGOON Jan27 Jan08 Dec19 Nov05 Oct22 (urieta johanna)PEREZ E 126 20.00    
 
MVR-8   02/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EAGLE NEST Jan23 Dec05 Oct08 Sep18 Aug27 (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 124 2.50 6% 15.10    
2  CLASS ACTOR Jan29 Jan09 Dec23 Nov26 Nov12 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 12.00    
3  WILDCAT EXPRESS Dec18 Nov26 Oct30 Oct07 Sep17 (poole m)BRACHO A 124 3.00    
4  ELLIOT THE DRAGON Jan09 Dec04 Nov18 Sep17 Aug21 (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00    
5  CYBERTIME Jan24 Dec06 Nov14 Oct26 Oct04 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.00 66% 0.50    
6  MY TWO AUNT JOANS Jan27 Jan07 Dec23 Dec02 Nov14 (vecchi)RODRIGUEZ A 119 6.00 5% 17.50    
7  MEDIA DARLING Jan27 Jan16 Dec17 Apr29 Apr01 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.