Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - January 18, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/5)-(1/5/7)-(1/5/7) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/5)-(7/4/1/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(7/4/1/8)-(7/1/5/4/9) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
TAM-2   WIN (7/4/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/1/8)-(7/4/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/1/8)-(7/4/1/8)-(7/4/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/1/8)-(7/1/5/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/4/1/8)-(7/1/5/4/9)-(8/3/9/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-3   WIN (7/1/5/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/1/5/4/9)-(7/1/5/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/1/5/4/9)-(7/1/5/4/9)-(7/1/5/4/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/1/5/4/9)-(8/3/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/1/5/4/9)-(8/3/9/2)-(10/5/9/1/4) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-4   WIN (8/3/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/9/2)-(8/3/9/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/3/9/2)-(8/3/9/1/2)-(8/3/9/1/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/3/9/2)-(10/5/9/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/3/9/2)-(10/5/9/1/4)-(10/4/1/6/2) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-5   WIN (10/5/9/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/5/9/1/4)-(10/5/9/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/5/9/1/4)-(10/5/9/1/4)-(10/5/9/1/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/5/9/1/4)-(10/4/1/6/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (10/5/9/1/4)-(10/4/1/6/2)-(6/4/2/10/1) 125 $1.00 $125 
TAM-6   WIN (10/4/1/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/4/1/6/2)-(10/4/1/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/4/1/6/2)-(10/4/1/6/2)-(10/4/1/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/4/1/6/2)-(6/4/2/10/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (10/4/1/6/2)-(6/4/2/10/1)-(7/8/2/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-7   WIN (6/4/2/10/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/4/2/10/1)-(6/4/2/10/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/4/2/10/1)-(6/4/2/10/1)-(6/4/2/10/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/4/2/10/1)-(7/8/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2/10/1)-(7/8/2/5)-(1/7/10/6/2) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-8   WIN (7/8/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/2/5)-(7/8/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/2/5)-(7/8/2/5)-(7/8/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/2/5)-(1/7/10/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-9   WIN (1/7/10/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/7/10/6/2)-(1/7/10/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/7/10/6/2)-(1/7/10/6/2)-(1/7/10/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   01/18/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UTOPIA ROSE Nov29 Sep14 Jul12 Jun01 May26 (moysey chelsey)COTTO L 118 4.00 41% 1.40    
2  PLAY FREE BIRD Jan12 Dec28 Dec11 Oct18 Sep13 (contessa)GALLARDO A 118 5.00    
3  JASSAI Jan05 Dec18 Dec11 Nov03 Oct13 (ochoa gerard)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.50    
SCR  FROTHY Jan05 Dec21 Nov03 Sep27 Aug04 (cascallares nest)LEON SONNY 118 12.00    
5  HONEYCOMB Jan01 Sep26 Sep07 May31 Jun11 (alessi ja)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 30.00 17% 4.90    
6  AWESOME EMPRESS Dec28 Oct25 Sep15 Sep01 Aug18 (guciardo kathy)CAMACHO SAMY 118 1.40    
7  VIOLETS SMILE Dec28 Nov20 Nov10 Oct18 Sep27 (ryan s)IORIO MELISSA 118 5.00 ★    
 
TAM-2   01/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3 ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKYLOFT Dec22 Nov30 Oct24 Oct04   (dini mike)CASTANON L 120 6.00 13% 6.50    
2  EXPRESS PASS Nov06 Oct08       (breed rona)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 20.00    
3  LOVE BUCKS Dec07         (ubide max)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 30.00    
4  HIGHTAIL FOX Oct22 Oct08 Sep20 Aug28   (connelly)RODRIGUEZ O 120 2.50 16% 5.30    
5  OPERA HOUSE A. D. Dec29 Dec07       (gardea abraham)GIL CIPRIANO 120 3.50    
6  WARRIOR OF GOLD May31         (baxter georgina)TORRES R 120 8.00    
7  K PAZ Sep15 Aug04 Jul27     (hernandez enri)MARIN SAMUEL 120 1.80 43% 1.30    
8  GO STORMY         (yanez r)FERRER C 120 12.00 7% 13.20    
 
TAM-3   01/18/2025 5610ft TURF RC8 FIRM Starter Handicap ($16K) Purse ($25K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED WIND Dec28 Dec20 Nov09 Oct18 Oct05 (simone michael)MARIN SAMUEL 121 2.50 21% 3.90    
SCR  IT'S GOODTOBE JOSE Dec27 Aug04 Jul12 Jun16 Apr28 (crook-demasi k)MARIN SAMUEL 115 3.00    
3  STARRY HOPE Nov30 Oct16 Sep24 Sep16 Sep05 (mcgoey monica)GIL CIPRIANO 114 30.00    
4  MRS. KATZ Dec28 Dec13 Nov27 Nov03 Sep28 (contessa c)LEON SONNY 117 5.00 16% 5.40    
5  ADAAY IN ASIA (GB) Dec28 Nov30 Aug17 Jul25 Jun02 (carrascojr vic)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.00 17% 4.80    
6  GLITTER BAY Jan04 Dec20 Nov30 Sep10 Sep02 (curto beverly)GONZALEZ ALEX 115 20.00    
7  LALOBA FEROZ Jan03 Nov23 Sep08 Aug11 May04 (cascallares ne)COTTO L 119 3.50 25% 3.10    
8  NEXT EPISODE Dec24 Dec18 Oct26 Oct12 Aug31 (de jesus)GALLARDO A 115 8.00    
9  SHE FLED THE SCENE Dec28 Nov01 Oct18 Sep07 Aug04 (dobber arnoud)SANTOS ADEMAR 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  LUCKY GIRL COCO Aug11 Jul14 Jun21 May03 Apr10 (morales g)MALDONADO GABRIEL 114 30.00    
 
TAM-4   01/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  D COLDEST Dec11 Nov01 Oct11 Feb03 Jan14 (crichton rohan)LEON SONNY 118 6.00 ★    
2  HAP'S VICTORY Jan05 Dec11 Nov27 Oct24 Sep26 (barrett gr)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  GRANTED SUCCESS Jan05 Dec18 Mar27 Mar02 Feb07 (d'angelo jose )MARIN SAMUEL 118 1.80 14% 6.20    
4  BURN JAKEY BURN Jan10 Dec11 Sep21 Aug04 Jul05 (arnett g)TOHILL S 118 15.00    
5  NORFIE Dec22 Aug30 Aug09 Jun20 Jun01 (passley m)FERRER C 118 30.00    
6  FEDERAL EXCHANGE Jan04 Dec26 Dec08 Nov29 Nov01 (mcgoey monic)GONZALEZ CESAR 111 30.00    
7  DITHER Jan04 Dec18 Sep08 Aug24 Aug16 (pompay terri)IORIO MELISSA 122 3.00    
8  SILVER SLUGGER Mar22 Feb07 Dec05     (avila car)GIL CIPRIANO 118 2.00 62% 0.60    
9  INDULGE Jan10 Dec29 Dec11 Nov27 Nov15 (simone mic)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 108 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-5   01/18/2025 5610ft TURF RC8 FIRM Starter Handicap ($16K) Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LATE CALL Dec28 Nov29 Oct31 Sep28 Sep02 (ryan s)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 6% 14.90    
2  DARK AND FITZY Jan01 Nov23 Oct06 Sep15 Dec24 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 117 5.00    
SCR  HE'S A GOOD DANCER Jan05 Dec27 Nov20 Oct22 Oct09 (sacco d)FERRER C 114 30.00    
4  E MINOR Dec14 Oct16 Sep11 Jul30 Jul03 (hamm )DIAZ RAFAEL 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  PUTTHEBLAMEONME Dec28 Dec04 Nov15 Oct14 Nov15 (potts g)MORALES PABLO 117 6.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  STING MUSIC Nov08 Sep29 Sep14 Aug31 Aug09 (cordero ant)OLIVEROS CHARLE 115 20.00    
7  EDDIE THE GREAT Jan11 Dec28 Nov30 Nov03 Oct04 (simone michael)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.50    
8  EJTIMAA Dec28 Dec11 Nov29 Nov05 Apr12 (dini mike)CASTANON L 116 15.00    
9  ROYAL LUCK (CHI) Dec24 Nov23 Aug26 Jul30 May24 (arriagada j)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 4.50 9% 10.00    
10  SONIC SPEED Dec24 Dec14 Nov29 Oct26 Sep21 (rodriguez da)BATISTA A 118 5.00 32% 2.10    
11  BANDITOFTHEPRAIRIE Jan08 Dec13 Nov15 Oct22 Oct07 (kutt donn)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 112 30.00    
12  MAJESTIC EAGLE Jan04 Dec14 Oct25 Oct10 Sep21 (simone mich)OLIVEROS CHARLE 115 20.00    
 
TAM-6   01/18/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARI Jan04 Dec29 Oct23 Oct02 Sep18 (avila carlo)LEON SONNY 122 6.00 7% 14.30    
2  BREADMAN Dec06 Nov16 Oct09 Sep25 Aug18 (cascal)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 111 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GLOBES Dec28 Dec06 Nov23 Sep21 Aug31 (torres pablo )GONZALEZ ALEX 118 4.00    
4  WOKE UP IN LOVE Jan05 Dec11 Nov20 Oct10 Sep26 (carrascojr v)BATISTA A 118 6.00 22% 3.60    
5  VINTNER Dec27 Sep06 Aug17 Jul11 May25 (yanez r)BRACHO A 116 30.00    
6  H C HOLIDAY Jan03 Nov01 Oct11 Aug31 Aug11 (contessa gary)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  CAMINO DE SANTIAGO Jan05 Oct16 Oct08 Sep18 Sep04 (rice kevin)ALENCAR WALBER 118 30.00    
8  BREAK THE ICE Dec28 Nov23 Nov03 Sep27 Aug25 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 6.00    
9  HEY PADRE Jan05 Dec27 Nov23 Oct22 Oct01 (simone michael)CAMACHO SAMY 118 5.00    
10  LORD KNOWS Dec28 Dec14 Oct11 Sep30 Aug31 (dini mike)CASTANON L 118 3.50 37% 1.70    
11  SHIVAREE (GB) Dec21 Nov27 Nov20 Aug29 Aug03 (arriagada juan)MARIN SAMUEL 118 6.00    
 
TAM-7   01/18/2025 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($53K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRISH STONE Oct14 Sep25 Aug20 Jul15 Jun26 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  DEUTERONOMY Nov29 Nov01 Jul20     (mcgaughey clau)CAMACHO SAMY 122 3.00 12% 7.60    
3  DADDY'S DINERO Nov17 Oct03 Sep08 Aug13 Mar08 (moysey chelsey)COTTO L 118 30.00    
4  WHY NOT ME Dec24 Nov29 Sep30 Jul03 Apr26 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 118 3.50 25% 3.00    
5  HEATHGUARD Nov29 Nov02 Sep19 Jul12 Jun29 (lerman s)CENTENO E 118 8.00    
6  GOING CONCERN (GB) Jul04 Apr26 Feb14     (brown ch)GALLARDO A 118 2.00 40% 1.50    
7  BIG Z OG Dec02 Oct19 Sep16 Jul17 Jul04 (crook-demasi kat)LEON SONNY 118 12.00    
8  JAMESTOWN Dec24 Nov08 Apr27 Jan31 Jan06 (delacour arn)BATISTA A 118 10.00    
9  DRUNK ON SAKE Dec07 Sep08 Jul27 Jun29 Jun06 (crook-demasi kat)FERRER C 118 12.00    
10  NOBLE FACTOR May03 Apr06 Mar10 Feb03 Dec22 (rodriguez dari)CASTANON L 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EVERDOIT Jan12 Dec21 Dec11 Nov20 Oct24 (rice kevin)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 4.00    
SCR  MAGIC HEART Dec24 Aug22 Aug11 Jul20 Jun30 (schuh tim)BRACHO A 118 20.00    
SCR  LONELY RIDE Dec28 Nov30 Oct31 Oct05 Sep28 (ryan s)CAMACHO SAMY 118 15.00    
SCR  REMINDER Dec05 Oct27 Aug31 Aug04 Dec09 (d'angelo jose )MARIN SAMUEL 118 8.00    
 
TAM-8   01/18/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($27.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TATOR MADE Aug30 Aug02 Jul14 Jun23 May16 (cascallares)SPANABEL SKYLER 118 6.00    
2  TWISTED JUSTICE Dec28 Nov14 Oct29 Sep17 Aug28 (simone michael)CAMACHO SAMY 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  PRETTY'N AWESOME Dec04 Oct06 Sep20 Aug25 Jul20 (bennett geral)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 3.00    
SCR  BAND SWEETHEART Dec20 Sep28 Aug14 Jun19 May03 (cudworth pau)GONZALEZ CESAR 111 30.00    
5  DELTA CHARM Dec04 Oct16 Sep28 Sep05 Jun27 (smith g)CENTENO E 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
6  TWIZZLE Dec13 Dec06 Nov24 Sep20 Aug23 (mcgoey monica)MARIN SAMUEL 118 6.00    
7  SPANISH DELIGHT Dec29 Dec04 Oct19 Sep09 Jun02 (wilson tony)FERRER C 118 2.50 40% 1.50    
8  LACONIA Dec04 Oct04 Sep14 Aug30 Jul13 (arnett g)TOHILL S 118 4.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  LI'L MISS CAMILLE Jan01 Dec20 Dec04 Oct19 Oct05 (mendieta alejandr)HESS SARA 111 12.00    
 
TAM-9   01/18/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 3 ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZAPPO Dec08 Nov15       (mcpherson alex)LEON SONNY 120 4.50 37% 1.70    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of SUN CHILD by DISTORTED HUMOR)
2  THE GREAT OSCAR Dec29 Nov27       (romero rafael)BRACHO A 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of UNFULFILLED DREAM by MUNNINGS)
3  PEACE CLOUD         (hamm )DIAZ RAFAEL 120 12.00    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of CLOUD CHARMER by FLATTER)
4  SKY MASTERSON Jan03 Dec07 Nov03 Sep22 Aug29 (contessa c)SPIETH S 120 4.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of KITTY MADDNES by COURAGEOUS CAT)
5  TOM'S WAY Oct12         (mcgaughey clau)CAMACHO SAMY 120 8.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of IN FRONT by WAR FRONT)
6  AUTHENTIC HONOUR Sep15         (dini mike)CENTENO E 120 10.00 7% 13.60    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of HONOUR ISABEL by HONOUR AND GLORY)
7  THINGAMABOB Dec22 Nov30       (pompay terri)MARIN SAMUEL 120 5.00 24% 3.10    
  (by KHOZAN out of CORN POPPY by SMART STRIKE)
8  TWELVE TREASURES         (harty eoin)CASTANON L 120 20.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of VALENCIA by TAPIT)
9  LOUGH CURRANE Aug30 Aug03       (terranova joh)MORALES PABLO 120 6.00    
  (by WIN WIN WIN out of BRENNAN by FORESTRY)
10  CASH THE MONEY Dec20 Nov17 Oct27 Sep21   (casse ma)GALLARDO A 120 3.00 8% 11.50    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of MONEY HUNTRESS by MINESHAFT)
SCR  LEVITATING Nov08         (casse mark)CENTENO E 120 8.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of D'CATS MEOW by D'WILDCAT)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.