Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Gulfstream Park
Friday - January 10, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GP-1   WIN (4/8/3/10/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/8/3/10/7)-(4/8/3/10/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/8/3/10/7)-(4/8/3/10/7)-(4/8/3/10/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/8/3/10/7)-(3/6/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/8/3/10/7)-(3/6/1/2)-(1/6/5/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
GP-2   WIN (3/6/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/1/2)-(3/6/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/1/2)-(3/6/1/2)-(3/6/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/1/2)-(1/6/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1/2)-(1/6/5/2)-(4/2/3) 48 $1.00 $144 
GP-3   WIN (1/6/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/5/2)-(1/6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/5/2)-(1/6/5/2)-(1/6/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/5/2)-(4/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5/2)-(4/2/3)-(6/9/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
GP-4   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/3)-(6/9/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(6/9/2)-(5/1/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
GP-5   WIN (6/9/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/9/2)-(6/9/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/9/2)-(6/9/2)-(6/9/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/9/2)-(5/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/9/2)-(5/1/3)-(7/3/2/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
GP-6   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(7/3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(7/3/2/6)-(8/2/7/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
GP-7   WIN (7/3/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/2/6)-(7/3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/2/6)-(7/3/2/6)-(7/3/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/2/6)-(8/2/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/3/2/6)-(8/2/7/3)-(3/7/4/1/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
GP-8   WIN (8/2/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/7/3)-(8/2/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/7/3)-(8/2/7/3)-(8/2/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/7/3)-(3/7/4/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
GP-9   WIN (3/7/4/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/7/4/1/5)-(3/7/4/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/7/4/1/5)-(3/7/4/1/5)-(3/7/4/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GP-1   01/10/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIGHT TIL DAWN Sep27 Aug31 Aug02 Jul20 Jun28 (passley m)REYES LEONEL 122 10.00    
SCR  MY RIGHT HAND Dec15         (garoff)VASQUEZ ANGEL 122 30.00    
DE LA CALLES Nov10 Sep26 Sep07 Aug27 May27 (engler jeff)BRAVO J 122 6.00 12% 7.50    
COME DREAM WITH ME Nov28 Oct26 Sep27 Aug25 Aug02 (spatz rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 33% 2.00    
BLAZING TYREEK Nov28 Aug16 Jul19 Jul06 Mar29 (hurtak daniel)ROJAS RENZO 122 20.00    
FIFTY ONE FIFTY Nov08 Oct18 Sep13 Aug16 Jun21 (ramirez m)DAVIS DYLAN 122 12.00    
HEAD LAD Nov23 Dec28 Oct11 Aug24 Jul29 (contreras alej)RIOS M 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
RIGHT KARMA Jul30 Jun30 May28 Mar18 Feb18 (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 122 1.60 23% 3.30    
FLAT CAP Jan03 Dec15 Nov28 Nov08 Oct18 (mcgoey monica)SAEZ LUIS 122 15.00    
10  PRAISEWORTHY Dec15 Nov23 Oct26 Sep28 Aug17 (gonzalez jav)MORELOS E 122 12.00 10% 9.30    
11  ONE LAST KISS Dec08 Nov08 Oct06 Jul19 Jun23 (depaulo mic)GONZALEZ MELVIS 115 30.00    
 
GP-2   01/10/2025 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($94K) 4UP ALL PT-12:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAMCARO Dec13 Sep20 Jun22 May18 Apr26 (miller herbert)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 10% 8.60    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of SAPPHIRE KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
EVIL EMPIRE Dec13         (lerman michael)JARAMILLO E 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of DISMISSAL by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
LEAN MUSIC MACHINE Dec13 Apr26       (lynch brian )ZAYAS J 122 2.50 34% 1.90    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of CAN'T USE NELLIE by MINESHAFT)
OVERMARS Dec07 Nov11       (ramsey)VASQUEZ ANGEL 122 8.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of KEY D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
STICKY MCSHNICKENS Nov29 Nov10 Mar27 Mar16 Feb17 (orseno f)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of COMPACT POWDER by STREET CRY (IRE))
PRECISELY Oct31 Aug22 Jun11     (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 117 1.80 27% 2.70    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of HIGH TECH by DATA LINK)
SENOR MARCELO (IRE) Dec21 Nov17       (crichton roh)GONZALEZ EDWIN 122 4.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of MISS MARCELA by BODEMEISTER)
JUSTIFIABLY SO Jan13 Dec17 Sep02     (zito nicho)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 15.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of BE MY PROSPECT by FOREST WILDCAT)
 
GP-3   01/10/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEGGYSUE I LOVE U Jun23 May25 Mar27 Mar10 Feb16 (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 122 1.00 54% 0.90    
HOLY COFFEE Dec19 Nov24 Sep15 Jul21 Jul05 (garcia pedr)GONZALEZ MELVIS 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
JURASSIC CHICK Dec19 Nov24 Nov09 Sep27 Aug16 (rodriguez angel)ROJAS RENZO 122 15.00    
SCR  STARSHIP LEGEND Dec01 Nov09 Sep22 Apr27 Mar15 (santillana f)MORELOS E 122 30.00    
SPIRIT OF VICTORY Nov24 Nov09 Oct13 Sep22 Sep01 (klesaris steve)RUIZ JORGE 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
ONE SMOKIN' RITA Feb09 Jan10 Nov25 Oct27 Sep24 (gonzal)VASQUEZ ANGEL 122 2.50 20% 4.00    
I LOVE VENEZUELA Dec24 Dec18 Oct12 Sep14 Sep01 (yanez reynal)GONZALEZ EDWIN 122 10.00    
JOIA RARA Dec13 Nov12 Oct08 Sep18 Aug02 (caramori eduardo)SALLES LEO 122 30.00    
OUR FORTUNE COOKIE Dec19 Dec12 Nov24 Nov02 Oct12 (dye steven)HENRY WESLEY 122 10.00    
 
GP-4   01/10/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($44K) 3 F PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHACARERA         (correas i)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00    
GUA SHA         (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 118 3.00 18% 4.50    
SABBY SUNSET Nov30         (terranova john )DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
SPATULA Nov28         (minguet ramon)PEREZ EDGAR 118 4.00 35% 1.80    
EXECUTIVE SUCCESS Nov22         (joseph saf)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 111 3.50    
INALLPROBABILITY Dec22 Nov09       (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.60    
 
GP-5   01/10/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREGON Nov10 Sep20 Aug10 Jul19 Jun22 (sanchez ama)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 6.00    
ORTUS Nov17 Oct27 Jul04 Jun09 May06 (clement christo)JARAMILLO E 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BULLET BLUES Dec13 Nov10 Oct13 Sep28 Jul06 (mckanas le)VAN DRAYDEN 122 20.00    
TSHIEBWE Dec13 Nov15 Sep29 Feb17 Aug26 (smullen heath)VELAZQUEZ R 122 10.00    
SCR  HOLDING THE LINE (IRE) Dec13 May11 Mar13 May13   (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.50    
RHUM SAINT ESPRIT Dec13 Nov16 Sep21 Aug23 Jul27 (fawkes david)BRAVO J 122 3.00 41% 1.50    
KOSHER CAPONE Nov22 Nov08 Oct30 Sep28   (sweezey kent)RUIZ JORGE 122 4.00    
SCR  STAR OF THE BEAST Nov28 Sep29 Sep13 Aug03 Jul12 (mcgoey monica)MARAGH RAJIV 122 15.00    
KANTKNOWITALL Dec13 Oct16       (dibona s)SAEZ LUIS 122 5.00 24% 3.10    
 
GP-6   01/10/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($41K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIVER DOG Oct15 Sep21 Aug18 Jun29 May26 (breen j)ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.00 26% 2.90    
AVANT GLORY Dec26 Nov16 Sep20 Aug24 Jul05 (delgado gustavo)PEREZ EDGAR 120 2.50    
UNCLECHARLIESGIFT Nov12 Oct12 Sep01 Aug07 Jul12 (zito n)VASQUEZ ANGEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NOTAH Oct30 Oct04 Aug23 Jul27 Jun07 (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50    
AIR COMBAT Dec14 Nov24 Nov15 Oct18 Sep22 (drexler ma)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.00 39% 1.50    
SMOOTH FLYIN MIKE Dec20 Oct18 Oct03 Aug24 Aug03 (cibelli jane)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00    
 
GP-7   01/10/2025 7260ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($96K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUSTDENY Oct12 Sep14 Aug22 Jul25 Jun20 (gargan dann)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 2.00    
SRI LANKA Nov30 Jun04 Mar07 Feb01 Jan01 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 12.00 14% 6.10    
YOUKNOWNOTHING Dec11 Oct17 Apr28 Mar23 Jan03 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.00 16% 5.40    
MY HAPPY HOLIDAY Dec19 Nov30 Nov03 Oct06 Sep20 (zanelli dante)NICHOLLS MIA 113 30.00    
KIZZY Dec15 Sep15 Aug11 May10 Mar16 (lizardi amp)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 20.00    
I'M A SURE THING Oct17 Apr24 Feb21 Jan14 Dec17 (clement christoph)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
BOURBON THIEF Nov22 Nov02 Sep07 Aug08 Mar21 (wilkes r)ZAYAS J 120 3.50 42% 1.40    
ASPEN DAWN Dec28 Nov30 Oct10 Sep07 Aug16 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00    
 
GP-8   01/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($41K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STORMY MITOLE Nov24 Oct12 Aug23     (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 122 1.80    
DENVER'S ALLEY Nov16 Nov03 Aug11 Jun07 May19 (lerman michael)JARAMILLO E 122 8.00 22% 3.60    
ATALANTA ALEXANDRA Dec14 Nov15 Oct12 Sep07 Aug15 (baxter georgina)PANICI LUCA 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
NEW DIAMOND Dec21 Nov30 May04 Mar02 Feb14 (biancone pa)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 3.50    
CANT STOP DREAMING Jul07 Jun02 Feb22 Jan25 Dec29 (mckath)VASQUEZ ANGEL 122 20.00    
SCR  FIVE EYES ONMICHEL Dec19 Oct12 Sep22 Aug09 Jul20 (rodriquez rode)REYES LEONEL 122 20.00    
ARGUMENTAL Oct17 Sep16 Nov01 Sep15 Apr30 (hernandez sa)GONZALEZ EDWIN 122 6.00 19% 4.20    
BAH HUMBUG Dec18 Nov21 Oct11 Sep15 Aug31 (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.50 26% 2.90    
 
GP-9   01/10/2025 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($96K) 3 F PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DESIGNER BAG Dec12 Oct26       (breen j)ROSARIO JOEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
FLIP FLOPS Oct11 Sep08 Jul06 Jun14 Apr26 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00    
RAMSEY POND Nov28 Oct26 Sep11 Aug29 Jul19 (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 120 3.00 57% 0.80    
LUSH LIPS (GB) Nov23 Sep11       (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
SASHAY AWAY Nov07 Oct04 Sep08 Jul21   (walsh brend)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
MOM'S MARTINI Dec07 Nov17 Sep14 Aug09   (david a)RUIZ JORGE 120 12.00    
SCR  ORIGAMI (IRE) Dec01         (sisterson ja)CASTELLANO J 120 2.50 16% 5.40    
CHEESE Oct26 Oct04 Aug10 Jul19 May23 (casse mark)SAEZ LUIS 120 15.00    
CARPE DIEM (FR)         (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 120 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.