Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fair Grounds
Friday - December 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FG-1   WIN (7/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/5)-(7/3/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/6/5)-(7/3/6/5)-(7/3/6/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/6/5)-(2/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/6/5)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FG-2   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(2/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/1/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-3   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(2/5/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(2/5/1/7)-(8/6/5/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-4   WIN (2/5/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/1/7)-(2/5/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/1/7)-(2/5/1/7)-(2/5/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/1/7)-(8/6/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1/7)-(8/6/5/7)-(6/7/1/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FG-5   WIN (8/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/5/7)-(8/6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/5/7)-(8/6/5/7)-(8/6/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/5/7)-(6/7/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/6/5/7)-(6/7/1/2)-(7/9/6/2/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-6   WIN (6/7/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/1/2)-(6/7/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/1/2)-(6/7/1/2)-(6/7/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/1/2)-(7/9/6/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/7/1/2)-(7/9/6/2/3)-(5/7/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-7   WIN (7/9/6/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/9/6/2/3)-(7/9/6/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/9/6/2/3)-(7/9/6/2/3)-(7/9/6/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/9/6/2/3)-(5/7/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
FG-8   WIN (5/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/2)-(5/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/2)-(5/7/2)-(5/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FG-1   12/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVERYLITTLESINGH Nov29 Oct17 Sep09 Aug31 Jul01 (singh s)SINGH R 121 3.00    
REAL DEAL RYAN Dec06 Nov20 Nov09 Oct18 Aug27 (cormier cardel)MCMAHON J 119 6.00    
SHEZAPERFECTDREAM Aug12 Feb23 Jan04 Dec15   (dandridge co)MURRAY M 119 4.50    
RUN AWAY SAMARI Nov29 Oct12 Sep18 Aug27 Jul02 (jeansonne ju)GEROUX FLORENT 121 4.50    
ARTIE'S DEAL Nov29 Jul27 Jul04 Jun06 Apr10 (cuccia j)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
GIGI'S LUV Sep09 Aug21 Jul10 Jun08 May14 (duhon o)RIQUELME J 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
MISS ROSIE Jul18 May08 Feb03     (gelner sco)WELLINGTON KYLIE 114 2.50 63% 0.60    
 
FG-2   12/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MUNNINGS CATSLE Sep18 Sep02 Jun26 May27 Feb21 (foster jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 4.00    
BET ON BOBBY Nov30 Jul30 Jun19 May20 May04 (duhon jos)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 3.00 36% 1.80    
POP'S PEPPYSTEPER Nov29 Jun15 May17 Apr10 Nov18 (castille )HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50    
LOVELY SASSICAIA Nov30 Nov14 Oct16 Aug17 Jun29 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 121 4.00    
EL DEAL ME ACES Nov06 Oct16 Jul30 Jun29 Jun08 (wong jonath)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 5.00 19% 4.30    
BABY'S LAST DANCE Nov30 Nov07 Oct23 Sep16 Sep04 (zenon shelto)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-3   12/20/2024 5610ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EYE DEE KAY Nov30 Oct11 Sep13 Jul17 Jun08 (modica oscar)TORRES A 120 6.00    
WISH ME HOME Nov29 Sep15 Aug16 Jul05 Apr21 (russell brit)GEROUX FLORENT 122 1.80 49% 1.10    
SUMMER IN AIKEN Nov21 Oct24 Sep18 Jul20 Jun12 (barnett c)GRAHAM J 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
OVERANALYTICAL Aug26 Jul23 Jul12 Jun14 May30 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 4.50    
WARRIOR RICHARD Nov16 Oct10 Aug30 Jul21 Jun22 (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 16% 5.10    
WRITE OFF JERRY Nov22 Oct18 Sep05 Aug24 Jul14 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120 3.00    
SCR  UXMAL Dec07 Nov02 Aug26 Aug02 Jul19 (guillory hen)TORRES A 120 3.50    
 
FG-4   12/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIT THE BULLSEYE Nov14 Sep11 Aug17 Jul11 Jun05 (pedigo ran)WELLINGTON KYLIE 114 3.50 8% 12.30    
FATHER MARK Nov29 Aug14 Jul19 Jun08 May16 (delacruz j)CURTIS BEN 121 4.50 39% 1.60    
CUSTOM CADILLAC Nov29 Aug17 Jul05 Jun15 May01 (cuccia j)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 3.50    
COLT'S BRIM Nov29 Sep24 Sep02 Aug14 Jul29 (hargrave kenneth)RIQUELME J 121 6.00    
SLICK AND FAST Mar08 Feb16 Feb03 Jan18 Mar11 (david b)PARKER L 121 3.00 29% 2.50    
RISING KOTO STAR Nov29 Jul10 Jun25 Jun12 May29 (balderas alf)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 5.00    
PARTY AT JAYS Nov28 Nov06 Aug03 Jul24 Jun25 (burkes bob)ALBERT S 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-5   12/20/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUST FUND BABY Sep26 Sep04 Aug12 Jul30 Jul09 (mickelson judy)SINGH R 124 10.00    
SUNDAY TIFF Nov30 Oct24 Jul14 Jun16 May18 (morley thoma)TORRES A 121 3.00    
MALLORY UNBRIDLED Nov21 Sep14 Aug22 Jul05 Jun22 (zenon she)HERNANDEZ J 121 20.00    
TALE OF CHIANTI Aug31         (west henry)PARKER L 121 20.00    
GOLDZONE Mar21 Feb29       (delhomme )PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 8.00 9% 10.40    
PURE HICKORY Oct03         (robertson mclean)GRAHAM J 124 4.50 27% 2.70    
PROMDATEBONNIE Nov16 Oct24 Sep15 Feb18   (handal raymo)GEROUX FLORENT 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
TALES TO TELL Nov30 Sep21 Sep07 Aug16 Jul11 (stidham michae)ORTIZ L 121 1.40 42% 1.40    
 
FG-6   12/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUPID'S WAR Nov29 Oct06 Aug25 Jul21 Jun22 (lopez eli)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 3.00 19% 4.20    
METRONOME Nov29 Sep17 Sep04 May29 May07 (zeringue w)ALBERT S 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SHAKO Oct25         (williamson)WELLINGTON KYLIE 117 8.00    
TEXAS ADOPTER Nov29 Oct07 Sep21 Sep08 Aug27 (govea cesar)TORRES A 124 4.50    
CONNOR TALKSTRASH Nov29 Sep17 Jul29 Jul15 Jun26 (hatcher nat)ASTUDILLO FELIX 117 15.00    
SENSE YOU ASKED Nov29 Feb18 Jan21 Dec26 Nov26 (mouton chadw)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 2.50 29% 2.50    
ILLUMINATED         (husak j)RIQUELME J 122 5.00 27% 2.70    
LA BOUCANE Nov29 Mar22 Feb10 Jan20 Jan07 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 8.00    
 
FG-7   12/20/2024 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MODDASSAH Nov01 Oct11 Sep27 Aug31 Aug17 (scherer gary)COHEN DAVID 118 12.00    
MAX IS G MONEY Dec07 Oct17 Sep24 Sep04 Jul17 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 10.00 7% 13.50    
LAST ATTACK Dec08 Oct12 Jul04 May25 May10 (gelner j)MCMAHON J 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
MALIBU RAIN Dec07 Feb03 Dec23 Nov18 Oct15 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 6.00    
HIGH RANSOM Sep19 Sep07 Aug24 Aug10 May29 (west henr)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
LEGITIMATE TARGET (GB) Nov24 Oct19 Aug25 Aug03 Jun14 (wong jonat)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 3.00 9% 10.60    
YOU'RE ON MUTE Dec07 Nov27 Oct12 Sep28 Sep04 (govea ces)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 4.50 32% 2.10    
FLYING HOUDINI Oct04 Aug17 Jul20 Jun21 May29 (west henry)PARKER L 121 8.00    
SKALKAHO Dec07 Sep26 Aug30 Jul22 Jul03 (tracy tann)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  CLOUD FOREST Sep01 Jan12 Dec02 Oct20 Sep14 (handal raymond)CURTIS BEN 121 3.50    
 
FG-8   12/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DELIGHTFUL HALO Nov29 Sep14 Jul16 May27 Mar24 (duke steven)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 8.00    
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of LOST MY HALO by FOREST CAMP)
WILLIAM'S LEGACY Nov29 Oct16       (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of MISS MATZOBALL by SMOKE GLACKEN)
SCR  COPPER CRUSH Nov29 Oct16 Sep14     (calhoun will)TORRES A 122 5.00    
  (by KLIMT out of NOTAYANKEEFAN by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
FROM SCRATCH Nov29 Sep11 Aug15 Jul21 Jun08 (forster t)COHEN DAVID 122 4.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of DREAMING OF SUSIE by COWTOWN CAT)
ABOUT TO SET SAIL Nov29 Feb10 Jan18 Jan01 Nov18 (david b)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 5.00 38% 1.60    
  (by RACE DAY out of BEDAZZLE SEATTLE by GILDED TIME)
SCR  REMEMBERIN RONALD Dec01 Aug05 Jul20 Jul07 Jun16 (robinsjr a)ALBERT S 124 20.00    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of STREET BLUSH by STREET BOSS)
PRETTY PRAIRIE Nov29 Jun15 May16 Apr18   (breaux samuel)PARKER L 122 3.00 33% 2.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of ENDURING ERIN by KELA)
GOLDEN CITY Oct16 Sep03 Jul16     (gibson jonas)ORTIZ L 122 5.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of RINGBANG CITY by CARSON CITY)
SCR  JUS MAKES CENTS         (cohn alice)ROWLAND MADELINE 122 12.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of GIMME YO NUMBER by YONAGUSKA)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.