Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mountaineer Park
Wednesday - December 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MNR-1   WIN (3/1/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/2/8)-(3/1/2/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/1/2/8)-(3/1/2/8)-(3/1/2/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/1/2/8)-(5/6/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-2   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/6/1)-(6/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1)-(6/4/5)-(1/2/3/5) 36 $2.00 $72.00 
MNR-3   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(1/2/3/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-4   WIN (1/2/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/3/5)-(1/2/3/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/2/3/5)-(1/2/3/5)-(1/2/3/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/2/3/5)-(7/5/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
MNR-5   WIN (7/5/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
MNR-6   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(1/5/7)-(7/3/10/6/4) 45 $2.00 $90.00 
MNR-7   WIN (1/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/7)-(1/5/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/7)-(1/5/7)-(1/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/5/7)-(7/3/10/6/4) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
MNR-8   WIN (7/3/10/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/3/10/6/4)-(7/3/10/6/4) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (7/3/10/6/4)-(7/3/10/6/4)-(7/3/10/6/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MNR-1   12/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOUCHDOWN MONTAGE Nov11 Oct23 Sep15 Jul31 Jul15 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 120 4.00 24% 3.20    
CAPE LOOKOUT Nov24 Nov11 Oct22 Oct06 Sep10 (blankenshi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 120 3.50 20% 4.10    
OFFUTT COLE Nov24 Nov11 Oct29 Oct06 Sep23 (snatchko a)TAPARA LUIS 120 4.50 29% 2.50    
BIG FALCON ROCKET Nov06 Oct14 Oct06 Sep11 Aug18 (spiess shan)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 20.00    
READYSEEKGO Nov20 Nov05 Oct14 Sep01 Aug19 (lawrence dal)TAPARA BRANDON 123 4.00    
BEND IN THE RIVER Nov03 Oct15 Sep30 Sep17 Aug05 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 120 3.00    
RED MAPLE Nov24 Nov11 Oct22 Aug13 Jul16 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 8.00    
PROFESSIONAL Nov24 Oct06 Sep23 Sep10 Aug18 (spiess shan)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
MNR-2   12/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE FILTER Nov27 Nov17 Nov04 Oct21 Sep29 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 10.00 9% 10.40    
ACT OF VALOR Nov18 Oct29 Oct16 Oct06 Sep23 (murtough step)TOLEDO S 120 20.00    
SCR  VROYSKY Nov03 Oct21 Oct06 Sep05 Jun27 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 120 3.00    
SCR  FOLLOW THE SIGNS Oct14 Sep16 Aug20 Jul17 Jun26 (englehart c)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 6.00    
KOZY'S WILDCAT Nov13 Oct23 Sep30 Sep04 Aug26 (sanders melinda)LEON A 120 1.80 51% 1.00    
CANT GLIDE BY KATZ Nov13 Nov03 Oct21 Sep23 Sep03 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.50 15% 5.60    
SCR  SPIRIT OF WINDSOR Nov27 Nov18 Jul30 Jun19 Jun04 (ewell sr)GILBERT KYLE 120 15.00    
COASTAL CHAOS Nov24 Oct09 Aug20 Jul31 Jun25 (barker ja)HERNANDEZ H 120 30.00    
 
MNR-3   12/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLAYING THE ANGLES Nov12 Aug27       (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 118 2.50    
  (by DIALED IN out of T C B KIWI'S by AFLEET ALEX)
SCR  ATLAS FALLS Oct09 Aug22 Jun14 Apr10 Dec19 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 2.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of OLDFASHIONED STYLE by OLD FASHIONED)
TORREFACTOR Nov12 Oct22 Sep25 Sep11 Sep03 (musarro jos)BARRIOS RICARDO 118 5.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of DANESSA DELUXE by SUMMER BIRD)
HE'S A WILD CHILD Nov26 Nov05 Oct09 Sep18 Sep11 (lopez-olmeda ra)LEON A 118 4.50 23% 3.40    
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of COMMAND PERFECTION by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
KLIMTSTER Oct28 Oct08 Oct02 Sep18 Sep04 (aguirre r)YARANGA Y 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KLIMT out of KELLEY MARIE by BERNSTEIN)
ZAPTASTIC Nov14 Sep28 Sep18 Aug28 May26 (donjua)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 5.00 37% 1.70    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of CHEERY OATS by DISTORTED HUMOR)
KING BUKELE Jul07 Jun15 Jun07 May25 May11 (inirio o)TAPARA LUIS 118 20.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of SUPER CUB by OLD TRIESTE)
 
MNR-4   12/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIBBONS AND LACE Nov26 Nov05 Sep10 Aug26 Aug12 (cluley dennis)CEDILLO MAURO 118 4.00 34% 2.00    
QADIRA Nov25 Nov06 Sep12 Aug19 Jul23 (urieta johanna)YARANGA Y 121 3.00 29% 2.50    
WHATS GOIN ON Nov24 Nov10 Oct21 Oct10 Sep23 (montano wilfrid)HERMAN NOEL 110 8.00 8% 11.50    
SCR  FORMENTOR Nov03 Sep17 Aug26 Jul30 Jul08 (robillard josh)AVILES YAN 120 12.00    
DIXIE RAG Nov26 Oct20 Sep15 Aug26 Aug13 (meeks karl)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
BOH'S N O'S Nov11 Nov01 Oct05 Sep19 Sep05 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 10.00    
SCR  MYGALJUSTICE Nov06 Oct24 Oct14 Sep16 Sep06 (viands gregory)VEGA L 120 5.00    
BIG SIS NIC Nov17 Aug21 Aug06 Jun18 May30 (murtough step)TOLEDO S 120 10.00    
NIGHT LIVIN Oct31 Oct15 Sep16 Aug19 Aug08 (viands gregory)LEON A 120 4.50    
 
MNR-5   12/04/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAND ROZZO Nov17 Oct20 Oct09 Sep12 Jul31 (gotera)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
TAJI MIKE Nov25 Nov11 Oct23 Oct01 Sep01 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 121 4.00    
FAST FORWARD Aug27 Jul22 Jun26 Jun11 Mar22 (bright der)WEATHERLY BAILEY 120 3.50 14% 6.00    
PERJURY Oct07 Aug17 Jul27 Jul13 Jun22 (barker ja)HERNANDEZ H 120 15.00    
NEW JERSEY HEIST Nov12 Oct30 Oct16 Oct02 Sep18 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 120 4.50 23% 3.30    
I'M YOUR CAPTAIN Nov12 Oct26 Oct15 Oct03 Sep15 (dizeo dino)REYES FRANK 120 5.00    
RAY'S GONE ASTRAY Nov19 Nov12 Oct16 Oct02 Sep23 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 123 2.00 40% 1.50    
 
MNR-6   12/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALL ROADS TO DENIS Nov27 Nov12 Sep24 Sep10 Aug25 (ewell sr)GILBERT KYLE 123 4.00 12% 7.70    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of ROAD TO ZANZIBAR by QUALITY ROAD)
SHE'S ALL ABOUT IT Nov10 Oct16 Sep23 Sep09 Aug21 (hayes leland)AVILES YAN 120 2.00 63% 0.60    
  (by SMARTY JONES out of RETURN ENGAGEMENT by PUT IT BACK)
DONALD'S NATION Nov27 Jul01 Jun19 Jun04 May19 (clouston )HERNANDEZ H 118 4.50    
  (by CAL NATION out of HOPE RUN by EUROSILVER)
I'M GREAT TWO Nov27 Jul07 Jul01 Jun19 Jun04 (baird michael)PAUCAR E 118 8.00    
  (by CAL NATION out of DEA by MIDSHIPMAN)
WELCOMETOTHESSHOW Dec12         (flores christi)LEON A 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED ENERGY out of MORE SWEET SECRETS by WISEMAN'S FERRY)
SCR  GC'S MACHENTHUNDER Nov27         (baird mich)TAPARA BRANDON 118 3.50    
  (by MACHEN out of COBRA GIRL by BADGE OF SILVER)
YOUR TROPHY GIRL Nov10 Oct16 Sep23     (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 115 5.00    
  (by AFLEET ALEX out of SNOW FROLIC by ARTAX)
 
MNR-7   12/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MILANO Jun03 May11 Apr15 Mar20 Mar08 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 120 4.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  TAP EM Nov17 Oct24 Oct16 Sep25 Sep16 (inirio o)TAPARA LUIS 120 8.00    
LORD ANTE Nov11 Oct13 Sep01 Aug11 Jul16 (cluley dennis)CEDILLO MAURO 118 3.00    
LUCKY NINETEEN Oct27 Oct06 Sep05 Aug19 Jun22 (loudin-smit)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 4.00    
WHERE IS ESSA Nov16 Nov07 Sep10 Sep03 Aug12 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.50 34% 1.90    
SCR  BILLY'S BET Oct24 Sep14 Aug31 Aug11 Mar08 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 120 4.50    
AMICABLE (IRE) Nov25 Nov11 Oct29 Oct16 Sep12 (vaughn terry)GILBERT KYLE 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MNR-8   12/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
C C'S CLEAR CREEK Nov19 Nov11 Oct10 Jul08 Jun08 (trevino steph)CEDILLO MAURO 120 8.00    
EGOR OTAY Nov20 Nov10 Oct16 Oct09 Sep21 (copland b)HERNANDEZ H 123 4.00    
MALPRACTICE MEUSER (GB) Oct29 Sep25 Aug13 Jul22 Jun26 (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 120 8.00 16% 5.30    
WILEY T Nov19 Apr25 Apr09 Mar25 Mar07 (brown john)WEATHERLY BAILEY 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ONE TRUTH Nov08 Oct18 Sep28 Sep01 Aug02 (ewell sr)WHITACRE B 120 8.00    
MOTION TO ADJOURN Nov14 Oct23 Oct10 Sep23 Sep12 (thomps)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
TAP YOUR HEART Nov19 Nov06 Oct14 Oct08 Aug29 (chapman k)LEON A 120 2.50 43% 1.30    
SIR MASON Nov19 Nov07 Oct07 Sep16 Aug26 (ccamaque marco)AVILES YAN 118 12.00    
MINELLA Nov19 Oct29 Oct16 Oct06 Sep25 (schneider k)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 30.00    
10  BUDDY BUDDY Nov21 Nov06 Oct19 Sep21 Jul30 (collins tim)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 6.00 13% 6.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.