Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - November 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TAM-1   WIN (9/2/3/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/2/3/8/4)-(9/2/3/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/2/3/8/4)-(9/2/3/8/4)-(9/2/3/8/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/2/3/8/4)-(6/4/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (9/2/3/8/4)-(6/4/5)-(11/2/6) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
TAM-2   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(11/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(11/2/6)-(3/2/7/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-3   WIN (11/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (11/2/6)-(11/4/10/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (11/2/6)-(11/4/10/2/6)-(11/4/10/2/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (11/2/6)-(3/2/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (11/2/6)-(3/2/7/8)-(6/8/9/4/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-4   WIN (3/2/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/7/8)-(3/2/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/7/8)-(3/2/7/8)-(3/2/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/7/8)-(6/8/9/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/2/7/8)-(6/8/9/4/2)-(8/3/4/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-5   WIN (6/8/9/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/8/9/4/2)-(6/8/9/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/8/9/4/2)-(6/8/9/4/2)-(6/8/9/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/8/9/4/2)-(8/3/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/8/9/4/2)-(8/3/4/1)-(5/9/7/3/6) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-6   WIN (8/3/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/4/1)-(8/3/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/4/1)-(8/3/4/1)-(8/3/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/4/1)-(5/9/7/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/3/4/1)-(5/9/7/3/6)-(6/1/2/10/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-7   WIN (5/9/7/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/9/7/3/6)-(5/9/7/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/9/7/3/6)-(5/9/7/3/6)-(5/9/7/3/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/9/7/3/6)-(6/1/2/10/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (5/9/7/3/6)-(6/1/2/10/3)-(8/2/7/1/3) 125 $1.00 $125 
TAM-8   WIN (6/1/2/10/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/1/2/10/3)-(6/1/2/10/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/1/2/10/3)-(6/1/2/10/3)-(6/1/2/10/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/1/2/10/3)-(8/2/7/1/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TAM-9   WIN (8/2/7/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/2/7/1/3)-(8/2/7/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/2/7/1/3)-(8/2/7/1/3)-(8/2/7/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   11/30/2024 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHACHITA Oct12 Oct04 Sep19 Sep02 Aug17 (mckathan kevin)MARIN SAMUEL 121 15.00    
LUCKY IN LOVE Nov06 Oct24 Oct12 Oct04 Aug14 (simone michael)HIRALDO JOHN 124 8.00 22% 3.60    
ALMA PURA Oct13 Sep15 Aug25 Aug10 May24 (agostini o)HESS SARA 114 5.00 11% 8.30    
BEAUTIFULLYPERFECT May03 Apr07 Mar22 Feb18 Jan14 (kutt m)DIAZ S 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
HUGE G Jul19 May01 Apr10 Jan26 Jan18 (lilly p)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 5.00    
LITTLE CARLEY Nov15 Sep22 Sep08 May03 Jul29 (kutt m)TORRES YOLBER 111 15.00    
FORTUNE DREAMS Nov15 Nov03 Sep08     (cazares lau)SPANABEL SKYLER 121 3.50    
SECORD Sep28 Sep13 Aug17 Jul27 Jun20 (orantes yo)GONZALEZ E 111 12.00 9% 9.80    
TARIBA DREAM Nov10 Oct13 Sep15 Aug18 Jul27 (rondon-mora carl)BRACHO A 121 2.00 28% 2.60    
 
TAM-2   11/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($54.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOLDEN JUAN Sep14 Sep02 Aug09 Jul28 Jul04 (avila c)MENESES MARCOS 120 15.00    
ZYDECEAUX Sep22 Jul28 Apr06 Mar24 Feb16 (avila car)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.50    
HURRICANE J Sep28 Sep07 Jul21 Jul05 May27 (delgado jorge)CENTENO E 120 2.00    
THEALLIGATORHUNTER Aug31 Aug11 Jul13 Jun22 Jun08 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 3.00 35% 1.90    
TWO STEPPIN KLUKI Oct03 Sep14 May01 Apr07 Aug20 (cudworth pau)BATISTA A 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
BIG EFFECT Nov09 Sep28 Jul06 May26 Apr28 (crichton rohan)LEON SONNY 118 1.80 38% 1.60    
 
TAM-3   11/30/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VINGATIVA Nov09 Oct09 Sep26 Sep07 Aug17 (simone micha)MENESES MARCOS 121 8.00    
PANOTTI Oct16 Sep28 Sep07 Nov19 Sep22 (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
BOARDWALK FRIES Oct16 Sep07 Aug24 Jul31 Jun27 (moysey chelsey)COTTO L 121 20.00    
ADAAY IN ASIA (GB) Aug17 Jul25 Jun02 May18 Apr04 (hernandez sand)CAMACHO SAMY 121 2.00    
SCR  GIRLY THE BUTCHER Oct11 Sep27 Sep07 Aug16 Aug04 (delgado jose )SANTOS ADEMAR 121 8.00    
STARRY HOPE Oct16 Sep24 Sep16 Sep05 Aug17 (mcgoey monic)BATISTA A 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
UP HER SLEEVE Oct11 Sep27 Aug16 Jul04 Oct26 (delgado h)ROCCO S 121 6.00    
CINDY'S SONG Sep07 Aug16 Jul19 Jul04 Jun08 (rondon-mora carl)BRACHO A 121 4.00    
CUPIDS DREAM Oct31 Oct18 Sep20 Sep05 Aug17 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 121 20.00    
10  THEODORA GRACE Oct31 Oct20 Oct10 Sep20 Sep08 (hernandez enri)MARIN SAMUEL 121 4.50    
11  RED PIXIE Oct23 Oct02 Aug13 Aug05 Jul04 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 121 3.00 76% 0.30    
SCR  SUMMER AT THE SPA Oct31 Oct13 Sep26 Sep12 Aug11 (simone michae)SANTOS ADEMAR 121 30.00    
SCR  CABERNET Nov09 Oct19 Sep28 Sep07 Aug23 (torres pab)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 114 4.50    
 
TAM-4   11/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PICCATA PRINCE Oct25 Sep28 Jul24 Jul07 May12 (spanabel ke)SPANABEL SKYLER 122 10.00    
PARALEGAL Oct25 Feb03 Aug05 Jul08   (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 2.00 32% 2.10    
CAJUN GEM Jul02         (yates michae)MENESES MARCOS 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  BIVOL Nov20 Nov09 Sep27 Aug31 Aug09 (kutt donna)GONZALEZ E 112 6.00    
LYLA'S LUCKY BOY Sep06 Aug30       (paramo martin)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 30.00    
YAKOZUKI Sep27 Nov18 Oct08     (delgado jorge)CENTENO E 122 8.00    
GRAND PARK VIEW Nov09 Aug15 Jul24 Jul04 Apr03 (orantes yoni)BATISTA A 122 4.00 7% 12.40    
ARROW GHOST Sep06 Jun09 May26 Apr25 Nov24 (paramo martin)HESS SARA 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-5   11/30/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLOAT ON BY         (delacour arnau)ROCCO S 121 15.00    
  (by FORCE THE PASS out of GASPARILLA FLOAT by WAGON LIMIT)
FOREVER AGAIN Oct24 Sep01 Aug16 Jul13   (schuh tim)MENESES MARCOS 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of FOREVER by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
MYSTICAL POWERS Oct24         (sacco)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 15.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of LIGHT OF THE NILE by ESKENDEREYA)
TRUE MYTH Oct19 Sep20 Aug16 Jun23 Oct20 (terranov)GALLARDO A 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of CAN'T EXPLAIN by NOT FOR LOVE)
BETULA (GB) Sep15         (baumgardner b)MORALES PABLO 121 6.00    
  (by LOPE DE VEGA out of GALILEO GAL by GALILEO)
ENCHANT Nov02 Oct09 Aug11     (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 121 3.50 67% 0.50    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of COACHWHIP by SO YOU THINK (NZ))
CEFALU (FR) Oct10 Mar03       (delacour arn)BATISTA A 121 12.00    
  (by WOOTTON BASSETT out of SALVE SICILIA by SOLDIER HOLLOW)
AMERICANDREAMMAKER Sep14 Aug31 Mar15 Jan20 Dec26 (hemingway miche)CENTENO E 121 3.00 6% 16.10    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of CHOCOLATE SOUFFLE by TAPIT)
CAT EYES (IRE)         (walsh brendan )CAMACHO SAMY 121 4.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TEN SOVEREIGNS out of BODAK by KODIAC)
10  FLINTSHIRES FANCY         (granitz anthony )FERRER C 121 8.00    
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of SAVER THE WAY by SUPER SAVER)
SCR  TIME IS MAGIC Sep04 Aug11 Nov19 Oct06   (breen)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 12.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of MORE THAN MAGIC by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  BONITA BREEZE Oct19 Sep06 Jul20 Apr19   (ya)LUNA PAUL 121 30.00    
  (by TREASURE BEACH out of BREWMISTRESS by MILWAUKEE BREW)
 
TAM-6   11/30/2024 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SING SCAT Oct26 Oct04 Sep25 Sep05 Jul25 (mendieta alejandr)HESS SARA 113 8.00 5% 19.00    
GLITTER BAY Sep10 Sep02 Aug27 Jul29 Jun25 (curto beverly)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 12.00    
CALISUE Oct26 Sep22 Aug18 Jul11 Jun16 (campbell)GALLARDO A 120 2.50 18% 4.60    
SOLAIR Oct22 Sep30 Sep11 Aug28 Jul29 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 120 6.00 14% 6.10    
ABBY THE BULL DAWG Oct19 Sep28 Aug09 Jul20 Jun22 (moysey chelsey)COTTO L 120 6.00    
MORENA DANCER Nov04 Oct27 Sep29 Sep18 Aug29 (marrero nestor)ROCCO S 120 20.00    
HOP AWAY HOTTIE Oct31 Oct12 Sep22 Sep01 Aug11 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.00    
CAJUN FANTASY Aug11 Jul13 Jun07 Apr25 Apr05 (avila car)MARIN SAMUEL 120 3.00 33% 2.00    
 
TAM-7   11/30/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($24K) 2 ALL PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROJO SKY Sep20         (lopez mari)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 112 30.00    
JR SERGIO Nov03         (lopez mario)SPANABEL SKYLER 119 15.00    
KING PLUTUS         (amaya gustav)BATISTA A 119 12.00 12% 7.20    
GAP TO GAP Oct11 Sep07       (avila c)MENESES MARCOS 119 6.00    
SKYLOFT Oct24 Oct04       (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.50 27% 2.80    
NO TELLING Sep15         (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
THINGAMABOB         (pompay terri)MARIN SAMUEL 119 10.00 14% 6.40    
S J B EXPRESS Sep07 Aug03       (o'connell kath)GIL CIPRIANO 119 15.00    
OZZY Nov03 Oct03 Sep02 Aug15   (terranova joh)MORALES PABLO 119 1.60 25% 3.00    
10  DEVIL OF RAMADI Oct26 Sep20 Aug10 Jul13   (parag)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 15.00    
 
TAM-8   11/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VENEZUELAN FAITH Jun08 May17 Apr26 Feb07   (nunez maurici)GONZALEZ ALEX 118 8.00 18% 4.70    
ZINGALES KING Oct18 Sep28 Aug17 Jul19 Jun09 (d'angelo jose )MARIN SAMUEL 118 5.00 15% 5.60    
BLUEJAY WAY Oct25 Sep12 Aug15 Aug01 Jul07 (vanwinkle d)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DUKE SKYWALKER Oct21 Oct08 Sep25 Sep02 Aug26 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 120 20.00    
SCR  JIVE Nov15 Aug25 Jul26 Jun02 Oct01 (delgado jo)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 108 6.00    
SIR ROBERT HALL Jul27 Jul07 Jun23 May19 Apr12 (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 120 3.50 38% 1.60    
BIG TOBY Nov03 Sep14 May26 Apr26 Feb15 (ubide max)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 20.00    
SCR  VIVA VICTORY Aug23 Aug02 Jul21 Jul05 May31 (dobber arn)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 30.00    
SCR  TOOMUCHAINTENOUGH Apr12 Mar03 Jan31 Jan12   (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.00    
10  BIG CASTLE Jun11 May28 Apr22 Mar18 Feb18 (vazquez m)DIAZ S 120 6.00 5% 17.30    
11  MILCHIN Oct26 Sep27 Sep06 Aug17 Aug02 (guciardo kathy)FELICIANO R 120 12.00    
12  CHANGEORDERSONNY Aug31 Jul20 Jun08 Jun25 May27 (crichton r)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 113 8.00    
 
TAM-9   11/30/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLARESTOWN Oct16 Oct03 Sep03 Jul16 May10 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
HARPOON HARRY Aug25 Aug11 May25 May01 Apr13 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 121 3.50 22% 3.60    
POLICY OPTION Oct19 Oct10 Sep08 Aug22 Aug01 (simone micha)BATISTA A 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SCENIC JUSTICE Oct22 Sep16 Sep05 Aug15 Aug01 (granitz anthon)MARIN SAMUEL 121 20.00    
MISSION KEY Sep19 Aug15 Jul13 Jun20 Jun08 (rarick lynn)SANTOS ADEMAR 121 20.00    
EDDIE THE GREAT Nov03 Oct04 Sep07 Aug11 Jul21 (simone michae)MORALES PABLO 121 12.00    
MORE THAN WORK Oct11 Sep17 Jul08 Jun17 Aug25 (crook-de)GALLARDO A 121 4.00 16% 5.40    
JUSTINTIMEFORWINE Oct11 Sep21 Jul20 Jun29 Jun09 (delgado h)FERRER C 121 2.00 39% 1.50    
LONELY RIDE Oct31 Oct05 Sep28 Sep07 Aug13 (ryan s)ROCCO S 120 8.00    
10  INDY LYON Oct11 Aug17 Mar24 Feb25 Jan24 (crichton rohan)LEON SONNY 121 10.00    
11  LEO MONTE Oct04 Sep21 Aug25 Jun21 Jun09 (carrascojr v)MENESES MARCOS 121 10.00    
SCR  FATIMA'S BLESSING Oct26 Oct11 Sep14 Aug17 Jul20 (dini mike)MORALES PABLO 121 6.00    
SCR  FEUILLETON Oct03 Sep07 Aug23 Jul17 Aug17 (dimmett james)GONZALEZ ALEX 123 30.00    
SCR  BREADMAN Nov16 Oct09 Sep25 Aug18 Jul25 (lopez mar)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 114 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.