Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Finger Lakes
Monday - September 02, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FL-1   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FL-2   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/1)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(1/2/4)-(7/5/1/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
FL-3   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/4)-(7/5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4)-(7/5/1/4)-(5/4/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-4   WIN (7/5/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/1/4)-(7/5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/1/4)-(7/5/1/4)-(7/5/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/1/4)-(5/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-5   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/6)-(7/6/4/2/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
FL-6   WIN (7/6/4/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/6/4/2/3)-(7/6/4/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/6/4/2/3)-(7/6/4/2/3)-(7/6/4/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/6/4/2/3)-(5/4/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/6/4/2/3)-(5/4/6)-(1/2) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
FL-7   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/2/6)-(5/4/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/4/6)-(1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FL-8   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/3/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(1/3/4/2)-(1/3/4/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FL-1   09/02/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OLD MAN WINTER Aug12 Jul16 Jul02 May21 Apr30 (acquilano jam)DAVILA A 117 10.00 16% 5.10    
CONFORMIST Aug06 Jul23 Jun26 May14 Nov21 (englehart chris)ROHENA M 120 5.00 20% 4.00    
KOOL KATHMANDU Aug12 Jul29 Jul16 May20 Apr30 (ferraro michae)COA J 121 2.50 24% 3.10    
BROCKMONINOFF Aug05 Jul16 Jun10 Nov13 Oct17 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 3.50    
SCR  ZIP IT SCOTTY Aug05 Jul23 Jul12 Jul01 Jun08 (o'callahan carl)CRUZ JOEL 118 8.00    
MARTINKELLY Aug05 Jul23 Jul02 Jun13 May29 (murphy timothy)BROWN DALTON 123 1.80    
 
FL-2   09/02/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUTTA THE CLOUD Aug19 Jul24 Jul11 Jun20 May19 (dea)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of SURPRISE CAMEO by GIANT SURPRISE)
SCR  WIDOW Jul11 Nov20 Oct18     (barker edwar)HARKIE K 121 15.00    
  (by DESTIN out of EPONYMOUS by UTOPIA (JPN))
SHINY LURE May17         (gargan d)DAVIS A 121 1.40    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of FROLIC'S DREAM by SMOKE GLACKEN)
PLAYING WITH DOLLS Aug05 Jul04 Nov20     (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 5.00 47% 1.10    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of ANY VALID SATURDAY by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
MIA NIPOTINA Aug19 Aug01 Jul11 May26 Apr29 (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 2.50    
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of YOUNG ANNA LEE by POSSE)
SCR  VISION OF ANNA         (goodwin gabri)DAVILA A 121 10.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of IMAGE OF ANNA by READY'S IMAGE)
 
FL-3   09/02/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($18.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGGIE Jul31 Jul04 Jun04 May24 May12 (bre)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 2.50 30% 2.30    
REMOANE Aug21 Aug12 Jul30 Jul16 Jun18 (lopez ar)DAVIS A 119 3.50 21% 3.80    
INVESTMENT GRADE Aug21 Aug05 Jul24 Jul15 Jun25 (morales samuel)COA J 118 10.00    
TASTY WAVE Aug12 Jul30 Jul04 Jun04 Nov15 (ashley jul)DE EMANUEL 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
HYPNOCURRENCY Jul30 Jul01 May03 Feb17 Jan19 (englehart chris)ROHENA M 122 1.80    
BON FIRE DIVA Aug12 Jul24 Jul09 Jun26 May28 (williams omani)PEREZ E 119 5.00    
 
FL-4   09/02/2024 6600ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($23.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISAPPEARANCE Aug05 Jul19 Jun29 Jun08 May04 (barrera oscar)CASTILLO AMIN 122 2.50 16% 5.40    
KODIAK BROWN Aug05 Jul16 Jul01 Jun18 May27 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 114 15.00    
CENTRAL LOVE Aug21 Aug05 Jul23 Jul09 Jun24 (lopez arcadi)HARKIE K 120 4.50    
POT OF GOLD Aug21 Aug07 Jul29 Jul10 May28 (murphy t)DAVIS A 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
COACH BAHE Jul23 Jun26 Jun11 May27 May14 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 3.00 26% 2.90    
DATESFREEDOM Aug19 Jul22 Jun26 Jun11 May17 (marino e)ROHENA JR 119 6.00    
RED FORTRESS Aug13 Jun18 Nov13 Oct11 Sep26 (ferraro michae)COA J 117 3.50 31% 2.20    
 
FL-5   09/02/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LINDSEY (GB) Aug05 Jul22 Jul04 Jun18 Jun04 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 121 2.00    
CLIFDEN PUNCH Aug19 Jul30 Jul04 Jun18 Nov22 (ashley juliu)HARKIE K 117 6.00    
SCR  QUIET HORIZON Aug19 Aug05 Jul24 Jul15 Jul04 (cabrera j)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 115 15.00    
LEADERSHIP ABILITY Aug05 Jul15 Jul01 May24 Apr25 (ferraro michae)COA J 118 3.00 35% 1.80    
KEEPMYEYEONTHEBOYS Jul10 May28 Nov13 Oct24 Oct11 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 119 2.50 36% 1.80    
R GIRL FAITH Aug19 Jul31 Jul04 Jun17 Aug01 (huertas )DAVIS A 116 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-6   09/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Arctic Queen Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOLCE VELOCE Aug12 Jul15 Jun24 May20 Apr29 (o'callahan car)COA J 115 8.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of TIZ MY LOVE by TIZ WONDERFUL)
EASY PLAY Aug18 Jul25 Jul02 Jun10 Apr25 (d'a)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 8.00 7% 13.30    
  (by BIG BROWN out of SWEET FROST by FROST GIANT)
HONEST BANKER Jul30 Jul13 Jun04 May21 Feb23 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of TRUE CHARM by LANGFUHR)
NO CHALK Aug14 Jul22 Jul08 Jun18 May27 (iorio sal)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 120 4.00 10% 8.90    
  (by TAPITURE out of JUSTLEAVEMEALONE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SMALL PEBBLES Aug13 Jul31 Jul17 Jun18 May20 (o'callahan carl)CRUZ JOEL 118 8.00    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of BRIGHT LINE by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
KAZ MUSIC Aug13 Jul17 Jul04 Jun18 May15 (murphy timoth)DAVILA A 122 6.00 25% 3.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of MALIBU COUGAR by MALIBU MOON)
GONE AND FORGOTTEN Aug02 Jun15 May25 Apr19 Mar15 (dixon k)PEREZ E 118 3.00 32% 2.10    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of LITTLE ROCKET by KOKAND)
TIVOLI GARDENS Jul22 Jul02 Nov15 Oct23 Oct03 (ferraro michael)FRET STEVEN 118 3.50    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of PARC MONCEAU by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
BURY THE LEDE Jul24 Jan31 Dec26     (o'callah)DAVIS A 115 30.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of SPIN TO GOLD by HARD SPUN)
 
FL-7   09/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG BABY HENRY Aug19 Jul29 Jul01     (marino e)ROHENA JR 121 6.00    
ENTICING PROSPECT Aug20 Aug06 Jul08 May20 May06 (ferraro anth)COA J 121 2.50    
MAKAR Aug20 Oct21 Sep17 Jul07 Jun09 (gutterson ka)HARKIE K 124 5.00    
HAPPY INSTEAD Aug12 Jul29 Jul15 Apr29   (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 121 3.50 13% 6.70    
COIN JAR Aug06 Jul08 Jun17     (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 3.00 55% 0.80    
GOLD TEMPLAR Aug20 Jul24 Jun30 Jun19 May27 (falk jacqueline)FRET STEVEN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
BENJI BROWN Aug20 Jul08 Jun24 Jun10 May20 (babcock kathl)DAVILA A 121 12.00    
 
FL-8   09/02/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AELFGAR Aug19 Jul29 Jul15 Jun24 Jun17 (sells rachel)PEREZ E 121 3.00 71% 0.40    
  (by LEOFRIC out of STAR ORCHID by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
DERBY CHILD Jul31 Jul02 Oct30 Sep27   (goodwin gabri)DAVILA A 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of MARIE'S TUFF by TEUFLESBERG)
JAKE'S ORCHARD Aug19 Aug05 Jul24 Jul15 Jul01 (torelli stac)HARKIE K 121 6.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of BLUEBRASS BELLE by BLUEGRASS CAT)
WAFLR Aug18 Aug11 Jul05 Jun22 May19 (mastin k)DAVIS A 124 2.50    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of HONORIA by SADLER'S WELLS)
ROAD TO POWER Aug19 Aug05       (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 121 6.00    
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of WOMAN POWER by BOYS AT TOSCONOVA)
REV PARKER Aug19 Jul29 Jul08 Jun24 Jun10 (acquilano )DE EMANUEL 121 4.00    
  (by ASTERN out of DITCH EM by UNCLE MO)
PROPHETIC Aug12 Jan13 Dec17 Nov17 Oct20 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 8.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of WHISPERING ANGEL by NOW LISTEN)
DR. DARBY Aug19 Sep18 Sep04 Aug22 Aug07 (huertas nirka)CRUZ JOEL 124 20.00    
  (by ZIVO out of PROVIDED FOR by SIGNAL TAP)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.