Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Wednesday - August 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (1/8/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/7/5)-(1/8/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/7/5)-(1/8/7/5)-(1/8/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/7/5)-(2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/8/7/5)-(2/3/6)-(1/6/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-2   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6)-(1/6/3)-(1/3/6/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-3   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3)-(1/3/6/2)-(2/5/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-4   WIN (1/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/6/2)-(1/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/6/2)-(1/3/6/2)-(1/3/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6/2)-(2/5/1/7)-(4/2) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
BTP-5   WIN (2/5/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/1/7)-(2/5/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/1/7)-(2/5/1/7)-(2/5/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1/7)-(4/2)-(3/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-6   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(3/6/5)-(9/1/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-7   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(9/1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BTP-8   WIN (9/1/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/1/6/4)-(9/1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/1/6/4)-(9/1/6/4)-(9/1/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   08/28/2024 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 2 F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOON DANCE LAURA Aug01         (hernandez rey)LUCILLE GEENA 119 4.50 34% 1.90    
  (by CUPID out of BOLD INTENT by SCAT DADDY)
2  VOODOO PRINCESS Aug05 Jun09 Apr24     (wojczynski ju)LEBRON VICTOR 119 5.00    
  (by KLIMT out of AMALUNA by CONGRATS)
3  MARIPOSA DE PISTA Jul17 Jun14 May22 May03 Apr26 (pinzon maria)AYALA ISAIAS 119 4.00    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of MISS UNBRIDLED CAT by BROKEN VOW)
4  RIO DE PAZ Aug01 Jun29 May25 May13 Apr26 (ramos rafae)BLANCHE RISHAWN 114 6.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of AMERICAN ROSE by DIGRESSION)
5  RUN IN GOLD Jul30 Jun29       (torres alexa)MURGIA A 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of IN GOLD BLOOD by MY GOLDEN SONG)
6  LA MEDUSA Aug01 Jul18 Jun15 May25 May03 (fernandez kel)ORANTES CESAR 114 8.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of STORMY ENCOUNTER by FED BIZ)
7  GOOD LOOKING Jul17 Jun24 May13 Apr24   (leitch daniel)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 3.50 12% 7.30    
  (by UNKNOWN out of TOWN FLIRT by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
8  LOOKATMYBUCKLE Aug17 Aug05 Jun26 Apr26 Apr07 (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 2.50 27% 2.70    
  (by GIO PONTI out of MISS GOLD BUCKLE by MY BOY ADAM)
 
BTP-2   08/28/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMIC BOOK Jun01 May18 Apr26 Apr02 Mar07 (cline robert )ZONETT KEYNER 118 12.00    
2  AUTISM COMPASSION Jul17 Jun19 Mar15 Mar01 Feb01 (smith larry)SOSA LAUREANO 118 3.00 58% 0.70    
3  DELANEY'S GRACE Aug14 Jul24 Jul04 Jun14 May23 (quezada ino)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 3.50 16% 5.20    
SCR  HULAH JAY Aug15 Jul26 Jul05 Jun12   (clark robert )CANUTO THIAGO 122 2.50    
5  READY SET ADIOS Aug14 Jul26 Jul02 Jun12 May24 (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 5.00    
6  SUBTLE SENORITA Jul17 Jun22 Jun05 May22 Apr28 (dominguez )SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-3   08/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAKAFUMI (BRZ) Aug14 Jul13 Jun26 Jun06 May24 (hernandez debbie)MURGIA A 123 3.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  VIOLIN MAKER Aug21 Mar16 Feb21 Jan25 Dec30 (hernandez deb)CANUTO THIAGO 123 10.00    
3  JAHEZ Aug17 Aug08 Jun22 May23 May15 (fernandez e)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  FRISCO LINE Aug09 Jul19 Jun26 Jun15 May29 (morelos ma)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 5.00    
5  DROP IT Aug22 Jul24 Jun26 Jun08 May21 (figueroa cesar )SERPA ANGEL 123 3.50    
6  D'MONEY HONEY Aug01 Jul12 Jun21 May23 Dec11 (cahill f)BUSH V 123 2.50 23% 3.30    
 
BTP-4   08/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRANKLY MY DEAR Aug14 Jul31 Jul05 Jun18 May08 (ocasio osvald)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 2.50 33% 2.10    
2  HIGH MEADOWS Aug10 Jul31 Jul13 Jun29 May25 (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  OUT ATTHE SPEEDWAY May23 May04 Apr11 Mar28 Mar12 (haehn terry)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 10.00 17% 5.00    
4  COUNTLESS DREAMS Aug14 Jul24 Jun18 Apr24 Apr03 (anderson susa)SOSA LAUREANO 122 3.50    
5  MY ANGELICA Aug14 Jul26 Jul17 Jun28 Jun20 (pinzon maria)AYALA ISAIAS 122 5.00    
6  MERRY OF SOUL Jul31 Jul12 Jun29 Jun06 May18 (shetron ph)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 6.00 17% 5.00    
7  MY TOMMY LEE Jul31 Jul13 Jun29 Jun06 May23 (sands sh)CALZADILLA JACKSON 122 4.50    
 
BTP-5   08/28/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAST CHANCE DANCE Aug16 Jul27 Jul05 Jun19 May29 (morelos mat)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 8.00 12% 7.30    
2  SONHO DE VERAO Aug16 Aug07 Jul17 Jul03 Jun13 (orantes yoni )SOSA LAUREANO 117 2.50 32% 2.10    
3  BAYTOWN KITTY CAT Aug10 Jul26 Jul04 Jun28 Jun17 (edwards willia)ELLIOTT JANE 119 4.50    
4  ELORA Aug07 Jun29 Jun13 May29 May16 (wittek karyn)MOJICA JR 117 5.00    
5  C C GRAND Aug16 Jul18 Jun29 May18 Apr27 (smith larry)OUZTS W 117 3.50 24% 3.10    
6  TOP HAT TIGRESS Aug16 Jul11 Jul05 Jun01 May16 (adams l)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 6.00    
7  ABIGAIL G Aug09 Jul26 Jul12 Jun28 Jun15 (rodak geral)JIMENEZ J 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-6   08/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AGADOR SPARTACUS Aug16 Aug08 Jul13 Jul03 Jun05 (adams l)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 8.00    
2  PRINCE OF ROSES Aug10 Jul10 Jun20 Oct06 Sep20 (esqu)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 123 4.50 8% 10.90    
SCR  SARGEANT BARGER Aug16 Jul26 May29 May16 Apr26 (alessi jam)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 5.00    
4  SUPREME SONG Aug09 Nov29 Oct03 Sep14 Aug23 (smith larry)OUZTS W 123 2.50 66% 0.50    
SCR  GHOST BIKE Aug10 Jul03 Jun17 Jun01 May16 (pasley iii)MCKEE J 123 10.00    
6  FLAGS UP Jul31 Jul15 Jun26 May25 May10 (figueroa cesar )SERPA ANGEL 123 3.00    
 
BTP-7   08/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HALLOWEEN Aug01 Jul17 Jun26 May25 Apr24 (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 4.50    
2  MANNY WAH Mar02 Feb03 Dec30 Nov04 Oct06 (ennis john)MONCADA IRVING 117 1.80    
3  TROJAN TALE Oct28 Oct04 Aug18 Jul25 Jun24 (maker michael )ELLIOTT JANE 122 3.50 48% 1.10    
SCR  MORE LOVE Oct24 Oct02 Sep13 Aug21 Jul11 (waltz brian)MOJICA JR 122 6.00    
5  ARELLA STAR Aug08 Dec09 Oct08 Sep18 Jul27 (orantes r)SERPA ANGEL 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  NABOKOV Jul27 Jul04 Jun08 May03 Mar17 (moger jr)MCKEE J 122 4.00 20% 3.90    
 
BTP-8   08/28/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZAPTASTIC May26 May01 Mar24 Feb25   (orantes yoni )JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 2.50 23% 3.30    
2  SUPERSONIC ME Aug10 Jul03 Jun05 May02   (kubinova eliska)SERPA ANGEL 119 5.00    
SCR  MO ANGELL Aug10 Jul27 Jul10 Jun15 Jun01 (haehn terry)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 10.00    
4  KING DEIVYS Aug10 Jul20 Jul07 Jun05 May23 (perez carlos)MCKEE J 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  SOCIAL ANXIETY Jul31         (butcher james)CANUTO THIAGO 119 12.00    
6  HEZMORETHANREADY Aug04 Jul13 Jun22 Jun13 May01 (house gary)LEBRON VICTOR 125 15.00 16% 5.40    
7  REVENGE TOUR Jul27 Jul10 Jun19 Jun01 May22 (grubbs jami)JIMENEZ J 119 10.00    
SCR  MADDON Jul20 Jul02 May30 May09 Mar22 (upton m)MOJICA JR 125 4.00    
9  UNUSUAL ACTIVITY Aug10 Jun15 May10 Mar06 Jan25 (smith larry)OUZTS W 125 4.50 37% 1.70    
10  SHOTGUN PRO Aug10 Jul20 Jul05 Oct24 Aug26 (royal madelyn)BUSH V 119 20.00    
SCR  ROENICK Jul20 Jul03 Jun20 May23 May03 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 125 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.