Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Friday - August 23, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (1/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/3)-(1/8/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/8/3)-(1/8/2/3)-(1/8/2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/8/3)-(6/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BTP-2   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1)-(1/2)-(3/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-3   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(3/2/5)-(3/7/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-4   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(3/7/8/4)-(2/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-5   WIN (3/7/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/8/4)-(3/7/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/8/4)-(3/7/8/4)-(3/7/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-6   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1)-(3/4)-(4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
BTP-7   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/4)-(4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
BTP-8   WIN (4) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (4)-(4/5/7/1) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (4)-(4/5/7/1)-(4/5/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   08/23/2024 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARVEY'S PRINCESS Jul25 Jul13 Jun13 Mar09 Feb07 (salas felipe)MCKEE J 124 1.80 57% 0.70    
2  TALK RADIO Jul13 May08 Mar02 Jan24 Dec22 (wittek karyn)LEBRON VICTOR 121 5.00 ★    
3  SUZY Q THE QUEEN Aug09 Jul16 Jun03 May15 Apr30 (mauro julia)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  LIGEIA Aug09 Jul12 Jun30 Jun14 May18 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 121 3.50    
5  SHE'S A KEEPER Aug08 Jul17 Mar15 Feb15 Jan13 (esqu)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 121 12.00    
6  ENDLESS Jul25 Jun27 Jun14 May25 Apr30 (adams l)HESS SARA 116 4.50    
SCR  SEAU N'TAP Aug07 Jul20 Jun13 May30 May18 (caramori caio)MURGIA A 116 15.00    
8  LUCKY SHORE Aug07 Jul11 Jun28 Jun13 Mar21 (sturgeon rober)ELLIOTT JANE 121 6.00 13% 6.40    
 
BTP-2   08/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEUTRAL CAUSE Aug01 Feb23       (axmaker cody )CANUTO THIAGO 119 8.00 9% 10.10    
2  COURT COSTS Aug15 Aug01 Jul18 Jun19 May30 (smith mike )MIRANDA ROGELIO 125 4.00    
SCR  VOSTRA Aug10 Jul11 Jul05 Jun13 May22 (jones s)SOSA LAUREANO 125 3.50    
4  FLAT OUT FAY Aug15 Aug01 Jul24 Jul12 Jun28 (aguirre r)PENA L 125 4.50    
5  SATIS Jul27 Jul11 Jun13 May23 May03 (beck rowena)LEBRON VICTOR 125 3.00 25% 3.00    
6  OUR MAGIC PRINCESS Aug10 Jul22 Jun30 Mar21 Jan01 (mendieta a)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 119 2.00 43% 1.30    
 
BTP-3   08/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOM'S SPIRIT Oct30 Aug02 Jul10 Jun10 Nov03 (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 123 3.00 55% 0.80    
2  NUEVO AMANECER Jul13 Jul03 Jun08 May29 May11 (salas felipe)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 4.50 8% 12.20    
3  ROYALLY FLUSHED Aug07 Jul25 Jul06 Mar28 Mar08 (short travi)LAGUNES GABRIEL 118 3.50    
SCR  LONG CROW Jul31 Jun23 May02 Apr12 Feb16 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 123 1.80    
5  MOON CHARGER Aug07 Jul25 Jul06 Jun19 Jun08 (alvarez ne)BATISTA X 118 4.00    
 
BTP-4   08/23/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HAPPYSECRET Aug09 Jun21 Apr25 Jan05 Sep29 (alessi james)HESS SARA 117 12.00    
2  MIRO MOGO Jul26 Jul18 Jul04 Jun06 May24 (williams colb)LEBRON VICTOR 118 5.00 23% 3.30    
3  PATRIETTIC Jul12 Jun28 Jun14 May16 Apr23 (smith larry)OUZTS W 118 4.00 44% 1.30    
4  LANDY Aug09 Jul12 Jun21 May17 May03 (caban carl)BATISTA X 118 2.50    
5  SYLLABUS Aug14 Jul27 Jul18 Jul04 Jun21 (dominguez )SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  ABOVE THE SKY Aug14 Jul18 Jun22 May31 May03 (nunez maurici)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 3.50    
7  SHORT ON THE SUGAR Aug09 Jul26 Jul12 Jun21 Sep08 (helmbrecht wi)CANUTO THIAGO 122 8.00    
SCR  SNAP JUDGEMENT (IRE) Jul12 Jun15 Jun01 May09 Apr11 (barret)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 122 8.00    
 
BTP-5   08/23/2024 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANOTATION Jul31 Jun07 Apr28 Mar18 Mar02 (hale jr)CANUTO THIAGO 122 6.00    
2  LADLE Aug07 Jul24 Jun22 Jun15 May30 (miller jerome )ELLIOTT JANE 120 12.00    
3  SIS BOOM BOB Jul13 Jun14 Jun06 Dec22 Oct25 (esqu)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 2.00 45% 1.20    
4  MS TEMPTATION May11 Mar27 Feb21 Feb07 Jan24 (brownfield claude)MCKEE J 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  AFFICIONADO (FR) Aug07 Jul13 Jun28 Jun14 Jun09 (mendieta a)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 10.00    
SCR  FLUENT Jul13 May18 Jun18 Mar26 Feb20 (drury thomas)MONCADA IRVING 117 5.00    
7  STELLA TERESA Jun24 Jul13 Jun24 Jun01 Oct25 (wojczynski ju)LEBRON VICTOR 122 4.50 22% 3.60    
8  MIDNIGHT GRIND Jul18 Jul03 Feb21 Jan31 Sep07 (ewing mich)VILLARREAL OSCAR 117 3.50 13% 6.50    
SCR  ANN KOR Aug09 Jul27 Jul13 Jun22 Jun06 (manning joh)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 8.00    
 
BTP-6   08/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KETTLE KING Aug07 Jul01 Jun11 May21 Dec07 (mauro juli)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  TOUGH CAT Jul31 May18 Oct28 Sep22 Aug15 (drury jr)MCKEE J 119 1.80 59% 0.70    
3  CARSON N SPENCE Aug03 Jul18 Jul05 Jun05 May15 (cline robert )LEBRON VICTOR 121 3.50 17% 4.90    
4  SHAKE THE FROST Jul06 Jun19 Jan18 Dec18 Nov30 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 119 4.00    
5  MR. HIGH POCKETS Aug15 Jul05 Jun27     (helmbrecht wi)CANUTO THIAGO 123 4.50    
6  DREAMINGABOUTTIME Aug05 Jul19 Jun26 Jun12 May29 (galloway khadee)BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00    
 
BTP-7   08/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KIT KAT KIDD Aug03 May24 Apr19 Mar08 Feb16 (knudsen ke)BATISTA X 123 8.00    
SCR  YOU MAKE ME HAPPY Jul27 Jul10 Jun16 May29 Jan17 (veinot tr)BEALMEAR C 118 4.00    
3  WAUHATCHIE Aug11 Jul10 Jun26 Jun06 May18 (estvanko rich)LEBRON VICTOR 119 3.50 44% 1.30    
4  WE WILL CONQUER Jul24 Jun19 May27 May14 Apr24 (cristel mark )CANUTO THIAGO 123 4.50 5% 19.00    
5  FEUILLETON Jul17 Aug17 Aug03 Jun23 Jun07 (chain pearl)SOSA LAUREANO 123 6.00    
6  BILLY JACK Dec09 Oct15 Aug26 Aug04 Jul02 (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 123 1.80    
 
BTP-8   08/23/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY SPRING SUNSHINE         (pinzon maria)AYALA ISAIAS 120 6.00 ★    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of FIRST EMBRACE by FIRST DEFENCE)
2  VEGAS LOVE         (morey william)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 5.00    
  (by CUPID out of MARCH TO GLORY by MARCHFIELD)
3  LYNNA Jul29 Apr19 Feb10 Jun02 Mar12 (cohn alic)BEALMEAR C 120 4.00    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of CORINTHIAN'S LARK by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
4  THE MONEY MONKEY Jun16         (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 2.50 63% 0.60    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of BLUEGRASS SAPPHIRE by BLUEGRASS CAT)
5  PALMILLA'S BET Jul20 Jun28 Jun19 Apr14 Feb10 (cambray andres)HESS SARA 115 3.50 ★    
  (by GENTLEMEN'S BET out of PALMILLA by CROWD PLEASER)
6  STACKING TENS         (guida anthony)LEBRON VICTOR 120 6.00    
  (by FIRING LINE out of VELVET MOSS by SHAMARDAL)
7  TRIBE         (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 120 4.50 ★    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of TRADING PAINT by INDIAN CHARLIE)
8  VIN D'OR         (drury thomas)MONCADA IRVING 120 5.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of SPECIAL VINTAGE by DOMINUS)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.