Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Colonial Downs
Friday - August 02, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CNL-1   WIN (6/4/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/3/7)-(6/4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/3/7)-(6/4/3/7)-(6/4/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/3/7)-(5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3/7)-(5/2/3)-(1/3/2/7/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CNL-2   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(1/3/2/7/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(1/3/2/7/5)-(1/6/4) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CNL-3   WIN (1/3/2/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/3/2/7/5)-(1/3/2/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/3/2/7/5)-(1/3/2/7/5)-(1/3/2/7/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/3/2/7/5)-(1/6/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2/7/5)-(1/6/4)-(7/4/2/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CNL-4   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/4)-(7/4/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4)-(7/4/2/5)-(3/8/5/6/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CNL-5   WIN (7/4/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/2/5)-(7/4/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/2/5)-(7/4/2/5)-(7/4/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/2/5)-(3/8/5/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/4/2/5)-(3/8/5/6/7)-(2/1/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CNL-6   WIN (3/8/5/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/8/5/6/7)-(3/8/5/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/8/5/6/7)-(3/8/5/6/7)-(3/8/5/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/8/5/6/7)-(2/1/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/8/5/6/7)-(2/1/3)-(5/12/9/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CNL-7   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/3)-(5/12/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(5/12/9/3)-(10/6/8/5/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CNL-8   WIN (5/12/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/12/9/3)-(5/12/9/3/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/12/9/3)-(5/12/9/3/11)-(5/12/9/3/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/12/9/3)-(10/6/8/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CNL-9   WIN (10/6/8/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/6/8/5/7)-(10/6/8/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/6/8/5/7)-(10/6/8/5/7)-(10/6/8/5/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CNL-1   08/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BRUDER May11 Apr21 Mar01 Feb04 Jan13 (godsey d)CONNER TYLER 118 1.80    
2  EL MIC TIESUN Jun20 May29 May05 Jan28 Jan12 (mcgoey monic)SAEZ SEBASTIAN 123 30.00    
3  MELODY WIN Jun01 May01 Apr05 Mar08 Oct27 (ochoa gerard)FUENTES MARIO 118 12.00 6% 15.60    
4  SPURS UP Sep08 May20 Apr23 Sep06 Jul18 (mccutchen jaso)ASHTON GAVIN 123 6.00 16% 5.30    
5  SIMON'S CHOICE Jul13 Jun23 Jun07 May04 Apr19 (wolfendale )MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 15.00    
6  INSPIRED IRISH Jun14 May26 May04 Mar24 Feb02 (mcmahon h)CARRASCO R 123 2.00 50% 1.00    
7  BEYOND REPROACH Jul25 Jun08 Apr04 Mar23 Feb28 (seale christophe)RIQUELME J 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  DRUM AND DRUMMER Jul19 Jul05 May31 Apr28 Apr14 (mcgoey monic)CASIQUE UBARDO 123 4.00    
 
CNL-2   08/02/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIAMONDS FOR LILY Jun21 May16 May03 Apr07 Nov23 (dye steven)FUENTES MARIO 123 3.00    
2  WICKED LUNA Jul01 Sep26 Aug20 May10 Mar11 (smith frankli)KARAMANOS A 123 8.00 9% 10.10    
3  LIZQUEENFLUERDELIS Jul18 May26 May01 Apr05 Mar22 (yanez r)ALLEN D 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  CAJUN EXPECTATION Jul19 Jul11 Jun09 May18 May03 (hester leann)CASIQUE UBARDO 123 2.50    
5  RECOGNIZE ME Jul18 Jun15 May23 May11 Mar14 (hernandez cano)ROCCO S 123 2.00 60% 0.70    
SCR  MICHEAUX Jul18 Jun14 Oct21 Oct07 Aug31 (clement rolan)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 30.00    
7  BACHELORETTE Jul19 Jan24 Jan12 Dec16 Nov25 (mccutchen j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 5.00    
 
CNL-3   08/02/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOLD ROCK Jul19         (figgins ollie)KARAMANOS A 119 4.50 31% 2.20    
  (by CAPO BASTONE out of NASHI by E DUBAI)
2  GANGSTER May17         (casse ma)GALLARDO A 119 2.50 18% 4.50    
  (by STREET SENSE out of COMING ATTRACTION by TAPIT)
3  REGGIE RUNS ROGUE         (nixon justin)PEREZ XAVIER 119 3.50 24% 3.20    
  (by ROGUEISH out of SKY LANI by SKY MESA)
4  BUTHESPRETTY         (cooney s)ASHTON GAVIN 119 12.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of HOLLY GO LIVELY by LITE THE FUSE)
5  CASEY N PAP Jun30         (smith ham)CARRASCO R 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of THREE HAWK by VIOLENCE)
6  DEDICATED HERO         (brown a)CHILO MAXIMO 119 6.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SEATTLE GIRL by IKARI)
7  MILLIBAR         (lawrence j)SANCHEZ J 119 10.00 6% 16.10    
  (by ISOTHERM out of TESI by TEMPLE CITY)
8  SCHRADER Jul14         (mcmahon hug)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 119 30.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of GRECIAN MAIDEN by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  KITTY'S SON Jun30 Jun08 May27     (corral)ARAUJO VICENTE 119 8.00    
  (by CUPID out of FREE KITTY by TALE OF THE CAT)
10  BISHOP MEADE         (cooney s)CURTIS BEN 119 12.00    
  (by MASTERY out of ROSE TO FAME by GEMOLOGIST)
 
CNL-4   08/02/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IT'S WITCHCRAFT Jun22         (casse ma)GALLARDO A 119 2.00 42% 1.40    
  (by TAPIT out of LADY'S ISLAND by GREATNESS)
2  FUNNY LADY Jul20         (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 119 8.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of SHE'S FUNNY by TAPIT)
3  PRINCESS ATTITUDE         (oliver victori)ASHTON GAVIN 119 10.00    
  (by FRANKEL out of KEERTANA by JOHAR)
4  ABUNDANT LOVE         (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of TSUNAMI OF LOVE by BERNARDINI)
SCR  AURORA'S MUSIC Jul13         (zook w)CONNER TYLER 119 30.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of AURORA POINT by MALIBU MOON)
6  BELLE OF THE SOUTH Jul13 May25       (delacour )CARRASCO R 119 3.00 36% 1.80    
  (by THE FACTOR out of SUMMERLAND by HE'S TOPS)
SCR  YOUNG AT HEART         (russell br)SANCHEZ J 119 4.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of BARREL OF DREAMS by NOT FOR LOVE)
SCR  LOST RIVER Jul11 Jun08       (morgan carla)SILVERA RUBEN 119 30.00    
  (by LONG RIVER out of FOUND by SEEKING THE DIA)
9  HEARTFULL OF JOY         (chapman k)LEON A 119 15.00    
  (by HEARTWOOD out of JOYFUL EMMA by TRIBAL RULE)
 
CNL-5   08/02/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAUTIFUL GORGEOUS Jul19 Jun01 May16 Oct14 Sep22 (george lai)SANCHEZ J 122 4.50    
2  THAT GIRL ARTEMUS Jun23 Nov04 Oct06 Sep10 Aug13 (schoenthal )MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00 5% 17.60    
3  GOOD ACCELEBRATE Jul13 Oct18 Sep21 Sep09 Aug26 (williams)GALLARDO A 122 5.00    
4  PRINCESS LUCIA Jun22 May31       (mcmahon i)ROCCO S 118 8.00 10% 9.40    
5  MOLLIE TAPPER Jul20 Jun28 Jun01 Dec09 Nov19 (sanchez-salom)SILVERA RUBEN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  HOT BOTTOM GIRL Oct12 Sep29 Sep09 Aug10 Jul19 (kelly blake)CURTIS BEN 122 15.00    
7  LADY ENSIGN Jul18 Jun28 Jun02 Nov19 Oct27 (trombetta)CARRASCO R 122 1.00 59% 0.70    
 
CNL-6   08/02/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 7:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXPECT LOVE         (chapman k)LEON A 119 12.00    
  (by HEARTWOOD out of EXPECT by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
2  AMERICAN SELECT Jul13         (desormeaux k)CONNER TYLER 119 8.00    
  (by FLATTER out of TANGO TIME by DANEHILL DANCER)
3  LOVE MUSIC         (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 119 3.00 32% 2.10    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of LOVE BEACH by BERNARDINI)
4  BELLA BLUEGRASS         (godsey d)ASHTON GAVIN 119 15.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of BECKY'S BLUEGRASS by MACHO UNO)
5  GIVE LIFE         (correas ignaci)BOYCE FOREST 119 4.00 6% 15.10    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of CALL MARIAH by DIXIE UNION)
6  UNSHAKABLE         (schuh tim)ALLEN D 119 10.00 6% 16.60    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of UNHEDGED by BROKEN VOW)
7  CAVALLA Jul13         (campbell mi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of ROCKIN GIRL by ROCK HARD TEN)
8  SEGER SONGS         (brion ker)CARRASCO R 119 3.50 24% 3.10    
  (by THE FACTOR out of IMAGINARY SAINT by SAINT LIAM)
9  OK BY ME Jul13         (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 119 6.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of I B OK by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
 
CNL-7   08/02/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS DELICIOUS Jun27 Jun03 Mar25 Mar04 Jan26 (klesaris s)SANCHEZ J 123 3.00 15% 5.70    
2  GHOSTLY GAL Jun06 Jan13 Dec21 Jan27 Dec10 (catalano m)CURTIS BEN 123 2.50 47% 1.10    
3  DARK DAHLIA Jun28 Jun19 Jun03 Oct26 Oct03 (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  STELLA MARS Jun23 May25 Apr27 Nov25 Oct27 (maker michael)SILVERA RUBEN 123 2.00    
5  AMAZON QUEEN Jul14 Jun20 May22 Apr30 Mar13 (lauer mi)GALLARDO A 123 6.00    
SCR  FLASHY TOO Jun18 May27 Oct04 Aug21 Jul22 (alvarado diane)CONNER TYLER 123 20.00    
SCR  SPOTTY SHOWERS Jul10 Jun12 May28 May07 Feb24 (lauer michael)ASHTON GAVIN 123 10.00    
 
CNL-8   08/02/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EVAN HARLAN May09 Apr19 Mar16 Feb25 Feb02 (walsh brendan )ROCCO S 122 6.00    
SCR  WINFROMWITHIN Jun28 May24 Apr19 Mar01 Feb03 (gaudet lacey)PEREZ XAVIER 122 20.00    
3  GASTON Sep09 Aug12 Jul01 May28 Dec11 (wyatt tod)CARRASCO R 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  GRAY'S FABLE Jul06 Jun19 May18 Apr20 Nov05 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 124 12.00    
5  HIGHESTDISTINCTION Oct13 Sep16 Aug13 Jul14 May27 (schultz lindsa)BOYCE FOREST 122 2.00 56% 0.80    
6  COINAGE Jul13 Oct15 Oct01 Jul02 Jun04 (casse mark)KARAMANOS A 122 15.00    
SCR  HIDDEN STASH Jul14 Jun28 Jun06 May13 Apr14 (oliver victori)ASHTON GAVIN 122 15.00    
8  FEELING WOOZY Jul13 Jun16 Jan27 Dec31 Dec01 (smith hamilto)SILVERA RUBEN 122 12.00    
9  ENGLISH BEE May18 Apr20 Mar21 Mar02 Oct07 (motion gr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  WOW WHATA SUMMER Jun30 May17 Apr14 Feb17 Dec23 (lawrence james)CONNER TYLER 122 30.00    
11  SKY'S NOT FALLING Jun27 Jun01 May05 Feb24 Jan27 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 122 10.00 ★    
12  YES THIS TIME Jun30 Nov25 Oct01 Aug31 Jul21 (ramsey n)GALLARDO A 122 4.00 17% 5.00    
 
CNL-9   08/02/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($56.25K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STEAM KNOT Jul05 Jun08 May25 Apr21 Oct20 (cooney s)CURTIS BEN 118 3.00    
2  PRACTICAL ROYALTY Jul07 Jun08 Nov16 Oct12   (payne beale)ASHTON GAVIN 118 20.00    
3  BISCUIT Jun16 May31 May04     (russell br)SANCHEZ J 118 5.00    
4  INTEL AGENT Jul13 Jun22 Jun02 Apr26 Nov10 (barr h)BOYCE FOREST 124 8.00    
5  LAST GLANCE         (williams)GALLARDO A 118 15.00 8% 11.50    
6  AUDIBLY Jun22 May27 Apr28 Mar17 Feb10 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 118 4.50 13% 6.50    
7  MAGIC TOKEN Jul20 Jun22 Sep09 Aug19 Jul22 (schoenthal ph)SILVERA RUBEN 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  INCISIVE KITTEN Jul19 Jun08       (trombetta)CARRASCO R 118 4.00 12% 7.10    
9  WORKING ON IT Jul20 May30       (collins tim)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 118 30.00    
10  THE SPLENDID ONE Jul04 Jun09 May11 Mar29 Feb16 (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 6.00 44% 1.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.