Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Finger Lakes
Monday - July 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FL-1   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(5/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-2   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(5/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(5/4/3)-(1/8/6/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-3   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(1/8/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(1/8/6/4)-(2/5/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-4   WIN (1/8/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/6/4)-(1/8/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/6/4)-(1/8/6/4)-(1/8/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/6/4)-(2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-5   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(9/4/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-6   WIN (9/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/4/5/7)-(9/4/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/4/5/7)-(9/4/5/7)-(9/4/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/4/5/7)-(7/2/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/4/5/7)-(7/2/5/3)-(6/1/4/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
FL-7   WIN (7/2/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/5/3)-(7/2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/5/3)-(7/2/5/3)-(7/2/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/5/3)-(6/1/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-8   WIN (6/1/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/4/8)-(6/1/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/4/8)-(6/1/4/8)-(6/1/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FL-1   07/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUSTINROXY Jul02 Jun18 May22 May13 Apr30 (ferraro anth)COA J 124 2.00 36% 1.80    
NO CHALK Jul08 Jun18 May27 May07 Nov08 (iorio sal)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 2.50    
A MAIZE ZING DOTIE Jun17 May20 Nov08 Sep19 Sep11 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 3.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  HOLIDAY JAZZ Jun17 Jun05 May27 Apr04 Mar08 (breed ronald )DAVILA A 124 8.00    
EMBRACEABLE GAL Jun18 May22 Apr11 Mar08 Dec31 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 5.00 5% 17.70    
CAPITAL GAL Jul07 Jun15 May14 Apr28 Mar09 (breed ro)DAVIS A 122 6.00    
 
FL-2   07/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SALOON GIRL Jul02 Jun19 Jun03 May20 May07 (huertas nirka)PEREZ E 124 5.00 7% 12.80    
LINDSEY (GB) Jul04 Jun18 Jun04 May22 May07 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 120 2.00    
MELISSA'S SMILE Jul10 Jun19 Jun10 Aug09 Jul25 (pettine m)BAEZ JOSE 122 8.00    
MISTY GALE Jun05 May20 Mar30 Mar15 Jan28 (falk jacqueline)FRET STEVEN 120 6.00 7% 13.70    
MIND OF GOLD Jul09 Jun10 May21 Nov08 Oct30 (oyola david)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 2.50 59% 0.70    
SCR  STRANGE FRUIT Jul02 Jun19 May02 Mar14 Feb19 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 122 3.50    
 
FL-3   07/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEKILA Jun03 Nov13 Oct23 Sep19 Aug08 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 5.00    
GOLDEN MOONLIGHT Jul11 May24 May07 Nov15 Oct18 (acquilan)DAVIS A 121 3.50    
TIVOLI GARDENS Jul02 Nov15 Oct23 Oct03 Aug09 (ferraro mic)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
TRUE EMPRESS Jun15 May24 May05 Mar17 Feb17 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 121 2.00 11% 8.20    
CUZ UR PRETTY Jun10 May07 Aug16 Jun27 May17 (ree)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 1.80 55% 0.80    
 
FL-4   07/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARS N STONES Jun24 Jun10 May20 Apr29   (ferraro anth)COA J 120 4.00 31% 2.20    
UNION NAVY Jun19 Nov22 Oct30 Oct16 Sep18 (buckley )DAVIS A 124 6.00    
PROFITABILITY Jun26 Jun10 May13 Apr29 Feb23 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 120 10.00    
BINGOOD TO KNOWYA Jun17 May02 Apr11 Mar28 Feb24 (o'c)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SMILE TAKES CHARGE Jun24 Nov20 Oct19 Sep04   (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 10.00    
POP COYER Jun19 May28 May06 Nov22 Oct16 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 3.50 23% 3.40    
BOOM BOOM THUNDER Jul01 May10 Apr29 Apr12   (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 120 5.00    
RHUM PRESSURE Jun24 Jun03 Aug07 Jun28 May30 (barrow pau)DE EMANUEL 124 3.00 25% 3.10    
 
FL-5   07/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHARPAZ May29 May20 Apr06 Feb24 Jan18 (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
BUSTIN AWAY Jun16 May20 May06 Jul28   (ferraro anth)COA J 120 3.00 35% 1.90    
SCR  C J'S GRAND SLAM Jun26 May29 Apr29 Oct09 Sep25 (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 6.00    
D'ONT LOSE CRUZ Jul10 Jun12 May20 Apr26 Mar29 (buckley jonathan )PEREZ E 124 3.50    
CIVIL SERVICE Jul10 Nov15 Oct18 Sep20 Sep05 (ferraro mic)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 8.00 25% 3.00    
EAST COAST GIRL Jun26 May14 Aug20 Jul15 May29 (o'callahan carl)CRUZ JOEL 124 6.00    
SCR  RETURN THE RING Mar01 Feb04 Jan04 Dec16 Nov24 (barker edward )LUZZI J 124 4.00    
 
FL-6   07/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOROTHYS HAPPINESS         (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 120 6.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of FINDING AURUM by SEEKING THE GOLD)
SUPPORT THE CAT Jun24 Jun03 May20 Feb24 Feb03 (sells rachel)COA J 124 20.00    
  (by COURAGEOUS CAT out of SUPPORTER by HOOK AND LADDER)
MONTAUK SURF Jul08 May25 Apr28 Mar08   (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 6.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of ILLGIVEYOUWATTEVER by WISEMAN'S FERRY)
SHARP PLAY BOY Jul01 May20 May06 Nov22 Nov01 (bre)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 3.50 21% 3.80    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of LARA by JUMP START)
DESTINED FOR GLORY         (englehart )DE EMANUEL 120 8.00 16% 5.20    
  (by DESTIN out of WILD SHINER by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
SCR  SHAWNPATRICK Jul08         (iorio sa)DAVIS A 120 3.00    
  (by FIRING LINE out of ABSENCEISPRESENCE by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
CASTLECOVE SPIRIT Jun24 May29 Apr19 Mar30 Mar10 (davis edmund)HARKIE K 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of SPIRIT OF SHANGHAI by SHANGHAI BOBBY)
SHARPOON Jul08 Jun26 Jun17 Jun18 May19 (henry n)BROWN DALTON 124 20.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of GANESHA by SHARP HUMOR)
JERSEY GREGG Jun22 May19 Dec01 Oct06 Aug27 (acquilano jam)DAVILA A 124 4.00 26% 2.80    
  (by UNCAPTURED out of AMELIA ISLAND by HOOK AND LADDER)
 
FL-7   07/22/2024 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEVIL OR ANGEL Jul01 Jun11 May20 May07 Nov15 (lecesse michae)COA J 124 10.00    
BROTHER JEREMIAH Jul08 Jun19 Sep25 Sep04 Aug15 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 3.00 26% 2.90    
DATESFREEDOM Jun26 Jun11 May17 Apr14 Mar28 (marino e)PEREZ E 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
LEO AND ROYAL Jan11 Dec16 Nov18 Oct23 Oct09 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 4.00    
DELTA RIDGE Jul04 Jun18 May27 Apr05 Mar15 (turetsky j)DE EMANUEL 124 6.00 5% 17.30    
TACONY ROAD Jun26 Jun11 May29 May20 May07 (murphy timothy)ALVARADO R 124 5.00    
ROYAL SUSPECT Jul08 Jun19 Jun05 Nov22 Nov08 (huertas nirka)CRUZ JOEL 122 2.50 42% 1.40    
 
FL-8   07/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAINT BONES May26 Apr12       (shaffer richard)CRUZ JOEL 124 8.00 20% 4.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
WITT DASHING SPEED Jul08 Jun17 Nov22 Nov06   (progno michael )ROHENA JR 124 20.00    
  (by ENCAUSTIC out of SHE'S GOT THEFEVER by GOLD FEVER)
HAL AWAY Jul08 Jun24 May29 May13 Oct16 (falk jacqueline)FRET STEVEN 120 4.00    
  (by GIANT SURPRISE out of RENNINA by MONASHEE MOUNTAIN)
GOD LAUGHS Jun30 Nov12 Oct05     (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 5.00 12% 7.10    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of TALKING TREASURE by CATIENUS)
FIVE DESTINATIONS Jun10 May20 Oct18 Sep25 Sep04 (acq)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 6.00    
  (by DESTIN out of CINCO by PANCHO VILLA)
OLLIE CAN DANCE Jun26 Jun10 May20 Nov21 Nov01 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 2.50 33% 2.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of TOKEN BAY by GOLD TOKEN)
JOE WEST Jun26 Jun03 May20 Nov20   (acquilano jame)COA J 120 3.00    
  (by DESTIN out of BELONGS TO DIXIE by BELONG TO ME)
MOUNT MORRIS Jul01         (bartlett)DAVIS A 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of PERFECT MEADOW by TOUCH TONE)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.