Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Sunday - July 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (4/1/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/6/3)-(4/1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/6/3)-(4/1/6/3)-(4/1/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-2   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-3   WIN (8/5/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/6/4)-(8/5/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/6/4)-(8/5/6/4)-(8/5/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-4   WIN (2/6/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/1/7)-(2/6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/1/7)-(2/6/1/7)-(2/6/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-5   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-6   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (3)-(3/2) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
MTH-7   WIN (10/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/4/2)-(10/4/8/11/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/4/2)-(10/4/8/11/2)-(10/4/8/11/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MTH-8   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-9   WIN (4/1/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/6/3)-(4/1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/6/3)-(4/1/6/3)-(4/1/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-10   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   07/14/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRAMBLE BLAZE Jun16 Jun01 Apr10 Mar20 Feb16 (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 121 5.00 20% 4.10    
2  GOOD MEDICINE Jun22 May27 May09 Apr25 Mar03 (pletcher tod)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 1.50    
3  TEPEU Jul05 Jun16 Jun01 May18 May04 (ramirez s)MALDONADO GABRIEL 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  NINETEEN OYSTERS Jun16 May12 Apr20 Mar21 Feb03 (maker michae)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 6.00 20% 4.10    
5  HERE COMES BILLY Jun21 May26 Mar01 Feb07 Jan21 (nunn do)GONZALEZ LUIS 124 4.50    
6  PRINCE OF CAPS Jul05 Jun16 Jun01 Nov03 Oct15 (gonzalez)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 15% 5.80    
7  HARTSBEATLIKTHUNDR Jun28 May04 Apr06 Feb24 Dec23 (falcone robert)RENDON JAIRO 121 6.00    
8  WRITEITONTHEICE Jun30 Jun02 May18 May01 Apr11 (foglia anthony)TORRES JOMAR 121 20.00    
 
MTH-2   07/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUBWAY SUSIE Jun28 Jun08 May19 May05 Apr13 (serey mario )CASTILLO ISAAC 115 2.50    
2  PINK ROSE Jun26 May06 Mar10 Feb21 Jan03 (sacco gre)MALDONADO GABRIEL 112 3.50 10% 9.50    
3  ROYAL SEAMSTRESS Jun12 Apr20 Mar08 Feb02 Dec01 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 121 2.00 62% 0.60    
4  SAVE THE FLAG Jun16 Mar09 Feb17 Dec28 Dec02 (foglia )GONZALEZ LUIS 121 8.00    
5  THEARCHERORTHEPREY May01 Apr09 Mar13 Feb26 Feb12 (gonzalez )VARGAS A 121 4.00    
6  VELIKIY Jun22 Apr26 Mar15 Mar01 Dec05 (ward dan)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-3   07/14/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($47.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NICKYS NOTION Jun23 May25 Aug05 Jun11 Dec14 (martin ra)VARGAS A 123 12.00    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of NICK'S FUNNYBONE by D' FUNNYBONE)
2  H M S VICTORY Jun21 Dec01 Nov16 Jul02   (cash russell)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 6.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of OLD HARBOR by RAFFIE'S MAJESTY)
3  MYGIRLISABOMB Jun23 Jun09 May25 Sep23 Jul29 (bedard a)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 112 15.00    
  (by HIT IT A BOMB out of TIZDIAN by TIZDEJAVU)
4  ALAS DORADAS Jun23 May25 Apr20     (hernandez jo)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of FEMMEN'FORTUNE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  MISS ELLARY Jun23 Dec26 Nov10 Oct13 Sep23 (falcone robert)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.00 23% 3.40    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of LILLIE'S ANSWER by KITTEN'S JOY)
6  BROOKMESA Jun21 Nov10 Sep24 Aug20   (pompay terri)JARA FERNANDO 119 5.00 21% 3.80    
  (by SKY MESA out of MELLONBROOK by DISCREET CAT)
7  PLAY MISTY (IRE) Jun23 May25       (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 114 3.50    
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of FORCES OF DARKNESS by LAWMAN (FR))
8  LESLIE'S HUMOR May17 Jan14       (clement christ)RENDON JAIRO 119 2.50 33% 2.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of LA TITINA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
MTH-4   07/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YORK TAVERN Jul05 Jun15 May23 Apr25 Mar13 (potts wayne)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.00 13% 7.00    
2  DUAL MONARCHY Jun23 May25 May01 Apr11 Feb23 (atras rob)VARGAS A 121 2.50 32% 2.10    
3  HAVE NO REGRETS Jun23 Jun02 May19 Apr19 Mar30 (martin ramo)BURNHAM MATILDA 110 20.00    
4  IMAGINIZED Jul04 Jun16 Jun08 May18 Mar29 (gonzalez claud)MARIN SAMUEL 120 8.00    
5  SUPREME DOMINANCE Jun18 May18 Mar02 Feb03 Oct07 (delgado jorge)RENDON JAIRO 120 3.00    
6  GROUP TICKET Jul05 Jun09 May27 Apr20 Mar23 (sweezey ken)JARA FERNANDO 117 5.00 23% 3.30    
7  CODE ENFORCER Jun28 Jun01 May14 Apr27 Apr05 (sacco )ROJAS EDUARDO 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-5   07/14/2024 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM My Frenchman Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROI SOLEIL Jul07 Jun16 May19 Apr18 Aug20 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 116 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of EDEN'S MOON by MALIBU MOON)
2  APOLLO TEN Jun17 Apr18 Nov04 Sep22 Aug25 (clement christ)RENDON JAIRO 116 2.50 28% 2.60    
  (by VIOLENCE out of STORMY REGATTA by MIDSHIPMAN)
3  BOLT OF AURUM Jun08 Nov11 Oct14 Sep10   (duarte jorge )JARA FERNANDO 116 10.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of SCENIC ROAD by QUALITY ROAD)
SCR  GLACIAL POWER Jun27 Jun05 May12 Mar06 Jul08 (camejo m)CAMACHO SAMY 116 5.00    
  (by ASTERN out of KODIAC GAL by KODIAC)
5  MATTINGLY May19 Apr07 Dec02 Oct21 Sep30 (orseno josep)LOPEZ PASCACIO 116 2.00 33% 2.10    
  (by BUCCHERO out of BATTINGSTAR by GRAND SLAM)
6  FELTRINELLI Jun23 May19 May03 Sep22 Aug25 (weaver george)BRAVO J 116 3.50    
  (by UNCLE MO out of FANTASTIC STYLE by FIGHTING FIT)
 
MTH-6   07/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($40K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RIVER DOG Jun29 May26 Apr20 Mar24 Oct16 (breen j)RENDON JAIRO 124 3.00    
2  ALPINE THUNDER Jun30 Jun12 Apr21 Mar24 Mar02 (padilla-precia)ADORNO ABNER 124 4.50 ★    
3  DOWNTOWNCHALYBROWN May31 Apr14 Mar02 Jan18 Dec08 (synnefias pan)OLVER MADISON 121 8.00 38% 1.70    
SCR  WRITER'S REGRET Jul06 Jun29 May27 Apr28 Mar10 (kantarmaci mertk)CASTILLO A 121 15.00    
SCR  DISCO BALL Jun07 Mar29 Mar03 Jan05 Dec02 (jacobson davi)IORIO MELISSA 119 3.00    
6  SYNTHESIS May26 Apr20 Mar30 Mar07 Feb23 (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 121 2.50    
SCR  LLOYD Jun29 Jun02 Apr15 Mar21 Mar13 (synnefias pana)TORRES JOMAR 124 6.00    
 
MTH-7   07/14/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($59.375K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MICRO BREWSKY Jul07 Jun21 May19 May12 Jul08 (ryan dere)BOCACHICA J 118 12.00    
  (by MICROMANAGE out of RED HEADED LILL by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
2  LAURA'S SONS         (kendall s)JUAREZ NIK 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BANDBOX out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  FULLY COMMITTED Jul07 Jun21 Oct06     (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 119 12.00    
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of ELECTRIC COWGIRL by COWBOY CAL)
4  J J VALENTIN Jun01 May19 Mar16 Feb10   (sanchez jose )RIVERA D 119 3.50 15% 5.50    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of LOST PRINCESS by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
5  CHANGING THE KARMA Jun09 Jun01 Mar11 Dec19 Dec05 (simon l)GONZALEZ LUIS 123 8.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of KARMAGEDDON by WILDCAT HEIR)
6  MIDHEIRFLYINHIGH Jun21 Oct06 Aug27     (ward dan)MARIN SAMUEL 119 15.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of IN MID HEIR by WILDCAT HEIR)
7  BILLY'S LEGACY         (wilson tony)MOYA F 119 15.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of BILLYSCRYSTALBALL by PARK AVENUE BALL)
8  CHAZ THE CHIEF Jun16 May21       (falcone r)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 5.00 ★    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of I AIN'T P T by A.P. INDY)
9  J. T. THREE Jun16 Sep22 Aug27 Aug06 Jul23 (sweezey ken)IORIO MELISSA 114 6.00    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of NOSUBSTITUTEFORLUV by NOT FOR LOVE)
10  VESPARO Jun16 Jun01 Oct06 Aug27 Jul29 (huston ro)VARGAS A 123 6.00 56% 0.80    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of FORBIDDEN ISLE by BELONG TO ME)
11  GIANT JAMES Jun09 Jun01 Oct06 Aug27 Jun25 (ward dan)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 4.00 ★    
  (by GIANT SURPRISE out of ROMANOVA by BURNING ROMA)
SCR  SWEET SPITE Jun21         (spina cha)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 8.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of WY NOT CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  DONT ROCK THE BOAT Jun21 Sep10 Jul23 Jun17 Jun03 (owens jr)RENDON JAIRO 119 5.00    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of DISCREETLY ROCKIN by DISCREETLY MINE)
 
MTH-8   07/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRINGOTTS Jul05 Jun21 May25 May10 Apr21 (samsundar)VARGAS A 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ANOTHERDAYGONEBY Jun29 May12 Apr24 Mar23 Mar08 (sacco gre)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 1.20    
3  FOREST MAIDEN Jun21 Jun08 May14 Apr02 Mar19 (linder lo)MALDONADO GABRIEL 119 3.50 28% 2.60    
4  LARAMORE Jun22 May25 Apr17 Apr02 Mar13 (gonzalez claudio)JUAREZ NIK 121 4.50    
5  OSCAR GAZE Jun30 Jun07 Apr10 Mar13 Feb17 (dini mike)RENDON JAIRO 124 3.50 26% 2.80    
6  MATOULA Jun29 Jun15 May25 Apr06 Mar15 (serey mario )GONZALEZ CESAR 111 15.00    
7  POPTHECHAMPAGNE RO Apr02 Mar18 Feb21 Feb07 Nov28 (brown howard )RIVERA D 121 12.00    
 
MTH-9   07/14/2024 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($52.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHILDERS May17 Apr28 Apr14 Nov23 Oct27 (russell britt)JARA FERNANDO 121 4.50 16% 5.10    
2  EVENING NEWS Jun01 May11 Apr06 Mar08 Feb10 (pino v)CAMACHO SAMY 117 8.00    
3  PRACTICAL COACH Jul07 Jun16 Jun01 May18 May12 (ramirez silvin)MARIN SAMUEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  AIM FOR THE SKY Jun30 Jun09 May19 Apr28 Dec10 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 121 6.00 31% 2.20    
5  SILARDI May12 Apr21 Mar09 Feb10 Jan15 (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 121 10.00    
6  VAMOS VIEJO Jun16 May19 Mar28 Feb07 Jan26 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 2.50 15% 5.80    
SCR  FITTS Jun23 May26 Aug20 Jul02 Jun16 (berrios)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 15.00    
8  POINT LIAM Jun23 May26 Aug17 Jul27 Jun10 (pompay terri)RENDON JAIRO 121 5.00    
SCR  BARRISTAN THE BOLD (GB) Jun13 May12 Apr21 Mar09 Feb10 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 4.00    
 
MTH-10   07/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 WET FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARYVIC Apr27         (avila carl)OLIVERO A 117 2.50 22% 3.50    
SCR  ALI'S HANNAH Jul06 Jun22 Jun09     (pantaleo jo)BURNHAM MATILDA 112 20.00    
3  MY HONEYBUNCH Jun21 May11 Aug13     (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  STREET CHARITY Jun09 Apr18 Mar15 Feb16 Jan18 (margotta antho)MOYA F 123 2.00 53% 0.90    
5  FANCY'S ROSEBUD Jul06 Jun08       (mazza jos)BOCACHICA J 114 8.00    
6  DIGITAL CURRENCY Jun28 May26 May02     (potts wa)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50    
7  YUMYUM EAT EM UP Jul06 Jun28 Apr28 Mar23 Mar08 (serey jr)MARIN SAMUEL 117 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.