Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Sunday - June 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-2   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-3   WIN (11/7/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/7/8/4)-(11/7/8/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (11/7/8/4)-(11/7/8/4/2)-(11/7/8/4/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MTH-4   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-5   WIN (7/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/4/6)-(7/3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/4/6)-(7/3/4/6)-(7/3/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-6   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-7   WIN (7/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/1)-(7/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/1)-(7/6/1)-(7/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-8   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-9   WIN (8/10/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/10/2/6)-(8/10/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/10/2/6)-(8/10/2/6)-(8/10/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-10   WIN (5/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/6/2)-(5/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/6/2)-(5/3/6/2)-(5/3/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   06/30/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($47.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATALYZED (FR) Jun01         (brown cha)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 2.50 38% 1.70    
  (by WOOTTON BASSETT out of RED LINE by IMPEACHMENT)
2  DETERMINED FIRST Jun01 May12 Aug12 Jul13   (trombetta mi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of DANCEFORTHECAUSE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
3  JILLAROO May19 Apr14       (sisterson jack)BRAVO J 119 3.00    
  (by CURLIN out of BOUNDING by CRESTA RIDER)
4  SHAKREVENGE May19 Apr20 Mar08     (d'angelo jos)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 3.00 17% 4.80    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of MADAKET MILLIE by SUNNY CLIME)
SCR  EL ZAIN         (pletcher todd )RENDON JAIRO 119 6.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of CENTRE COURT by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  MY BLESSING May12 Apr07 Feb02 Jan19 Aug20 (preciado gua)HERNANDEZ ANDY 119 20.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of JERMIDY by DEVIL HIS DUE)
7  ON MOONLIGHT BAY Jun01 Apr28 Mar24 Feb11   (pletcher todd )CAMACHO SAMY 119 6.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of TAKE CHARGE PAULA by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
8  QUEEN ROCKET Jun04 Nov19 Oct11 Sep30 Aug17 (aro michael)BURNHAM MATILDA 116 15.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of GABEIRA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  SHORT SKIRTS Jun09 Apr12       (mcgaughey)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 3.50    
  (by FLATTER out of UR DVLN DISGUISE by CALEB'S POSSE)
 
MTH-2   06/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGIC GLASS Apr12 Mar22 Dec27 Nov21 Oct18 (synnefias pan)JARA FERNANDO 121 3.50 39% 1.60    
2  HIGH SCHOOL CRUSH May18 Apr19 Apr12 Mar16 Mar02 (potts wayne)CAMACHO SAMY 121 4.00    
3  ELEVENMONTHSLATER Jun15 May14 Apr23 Apr01 Mar13 (bedard alan)OLVER MADISON 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  OSCAR GAZE Jun07 Apr10 Mar13 Feb17 Dec29 (dini mike)RENDON JAIRO 121 2.50    
5  QUEEN TAPITURE May18 Sep01 Aug04 Jul21 Jul01 (falcone robe)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 2.00 14% 6.40    
6  MADE BIRDIE Jun15 May25 May19 Apr23 Mar25 (gonzalez )VARGAS A 120 3.50    
 
MTH-3   06/30/2024 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SWEET SUMMER LOVE Jun14 May16 Dec03 Oct28 Oct18 (nambo ce)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 8.00    
2  BOLT OF PARADISE Jun21 Nov05 Aug19 Jul29 Jun30 (crook-demasi k)RENDON JAIRO 123 3.50 ★    
3  DENIM N LACE Jun21 May26 Dec14 Nov09 Oct25 (bedard alan)TORRES JOMAR 123 20.00    
4  LITTLE HOT MESS Jun14 Oct30 Sep27 Sep14 Jun14 (sullivan ellio)CAMACHO SAMY 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  SHAMU Jun15 May25 Apr24 Mar13 Feb17 (dini mike)OLVER MADISON 119 15.00    
SCR  LADY TRIXMEISTER Jun21 Jun08 Oct13 Sep15 Aug27 (harris holl)BURNHAM MATILDA 116 20.00    
7  IN THE END Jun06 May25 Dec09 Oct26 Sep16 (sweezey ke)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 3.00 24% 3.10    
8  SOPHISTICATED CAT May26 May03       (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 119 5.00 11% 8.10    
9  HIGHLAND HOLIDAY Jun15 May25 Apr26     (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 114 8.00    
SCR  STREET CHARITY Jun09 Apr18 Mar15 Feb16 Jan18 (margotta antho)MOYA F 123 4.00    
11  MO'S VINO MESA May30 May04 Apr05 Dec02 Nov12 (thomas jo)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 3.50 44% 1.30    
12  MONEYSLOT Jun15 Apr21 Mar16 Feb28 Feb07 (avila ca)IORIO MELISSA 114 20.00    
 
MTH-4   06/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL DE CHIREL Jun14 May30 Mar08 Feb21 Jan17 (potts wayne)CAMACHO SAMY 121 3.00 41% 1.40    
2  RASCALLY REBEL Jun23 Jun02 May26 May12 Apr26 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 119 8.00    
SCR  BARGAINING POWER Jun22 Jun02 May27 May12 May05 (serey j)IORIO MELISSA 119 3.50    
4  AWESOME PRINCE May11 Apr21 Mar27 Mar16 Feb24 (potts wa)HERNANDEZ J 121 6.00    
5  ICE COLD FROSTY Feb24 Feb03 Dec15 Nov23 Nov05 (ward dan)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 4.00 5% 19.00    
6  INDULGE Jun02 May19 Apr14 Mar14 Feb25 (schultz lind)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 1.60 26% 2.90    
 
MTH-5   06/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST BE HONEST Apr14         (carvajal luis)JARA FERNANDO 119 15.00    
2  IKE'S GAMBLE May29 May19 Apr04 Mar06 Feb07 (preciado gua)HERNANDEZ ANDY 119 4.00    
3  GRAN YACO Jun02 Apr14 Mar10 Feb17 Jan21 (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.50 16% 5.10    
4  STATELY ORDER Jun09 May15 Apr10 Mar08 Feb23 (sacco gregory )MARIN SAMUEL 119 4.50 15% 5.90    
5  HOLD OUT Jun21 May19 Mar08 Feb09 Jan12 (gonzalez )VARGAS A 119 6.00    
6  QUISTMER Apr27 Sep09       (pompay terri)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  TRICOLOUR May29 May15 Apr30 Apr09 Mar11 (aristone phi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 3.50 36% 1.80    
8  NIMMO Mar29 Mar08 Feb10 Jan12   (orseno f)BRAVO J 118 5.00    
 
MTH-6   06/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($71.875K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DANTASTIC Jun05 May01       (ramirez)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 6.00    
2  D' TIGER LILY May18 Apr24 Apr10 Mar16 Jun16 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 121 4.00    
3  LASSIE'S NOTION Jun02 Feb10 Jan06 Dec16 Jun16 (martin ra)VARGAS A 121 8.00    
4  CARATS FOREVER Sep09 Aug20 Jul23 Jul07 Jun09 (owens j)IORIO MELISSA 116 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  PROUD MULE Feb21 Feb02 Oct11 Aug11 Jul14 (ward dan)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 5.00 9% 9.90    
6  MY TWO SOPHIA'S May11 Jul21       (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.00 59% 0.70    
7  SADIE BABY Jun02 May18 Apr26 Oct06 Aug27 (mcburney pat)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 2.50    
 
MTH-7   06/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARMY OF THOUGHTS Jun15 May19 May03 Apr20 Mar22 (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  TAVIN Jun15 May26 Apr18 Mar29 Mar03 (potts wayne)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 3.00    
SCR  MS. LADY T Nov08 Oct24 Oct09 Sep25   (nunn dougla)BURNHAM MATILDA 114 15.00    
4  AMIRATI Jun15 May22 May04 Apr19 Apr10 (simone michael)CAMACHO SAMY 117 4.50    
5  BORNFORGREATNESS Jun08 May18 Mar29 Jan19 Dec28 (david carlos )OLVER MADISON 117 3.50    
6  CASTELLANA Jun15 May26 Mar06 Jan31 Jan21 (serey j)IORIO MELISSA 112 5.00 25% 3.10    
7  BUCKIN' LUCKY Jun22 Jun08 May25 May03 Apr26 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 120 2.00 30% 2.40    
 
MTH-8   06/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TEPEU Jun16 Jun01 May18 May04 Feb28 (ramirez silvi)IORIO MELISSA 116 10.00    
2  JERSEY PERFECTION May26 Apr14 Oct26 Aug27 Jul29 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 122 4.00    
3  AGARRAMESIPUEDES Jun02 May12 Mar30 Feb11 Jan05 (gonzalez )VARGAS A 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  PANDO Jun02 May09 Apr13 Feb23 Dec09 (schultz lind)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 2.50 26% 2.80    
5  AMITY ROAD Jun02 Feb25 Feb02 Jan14 Dec22 (soto- martin)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 3.00 26% 2.80    
6  DEPOLI May11 Apr23 Apr09 Mar25 Dec12 (cole-d)ROJAS EDUARDO 121 5.00    
7  WRITEITONTHEICE Jun02 May18 May01 Apr11 Mar15 (foglia antho)GONZALEZ CESAR 111 5.00    
 
MTH-9   06/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOHN JAY Jun02 May11 Mar29 Feb17 Jan21 (mcburney patri)RENDON JAIRO 121 4.50    
2  CHARLIE FIVE O Jun02 Apr28 Mar17 Feb25 Feb10 (rodriguez ru)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.00 8% 12.10    
3  ALPINE THUNDER Jun12 Apr21 Mar24 Mar02 Dec15 (padilla-precia)ADORNO ABNER 121 6.00    
SCR  HUSHION Jun09 May25 May19 Mar18 Feb23 (cole-d)ROJAS EDUARDO 121 30.00    
SCR  BALI AMOUR May18 Apr29 Apr21 Mar25 Feb25 (whylie her)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 20.00    
6  CLASSIC JOKE May18 Apr20 Apr06 Mar08 Sep15 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  AWESOME CITY May19 Apr03 Mar13 Feb24 Feb02 (potts wayne)JUAREZ NIK 122 5.00    
8  CHUCK WILLIS (IRE) May26 Mar30 Feb04 Jan12 Nov26 (falcone r)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 5.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  HOT LOVE Jun16 Jun04 May21 Apr24 Apr01 (whylie hero)WILLIAMS AJHARI 121 20.00    
10  ATOMIC TONE May19 Apr19 Apr06 Mar03 Jan28 (ward dan)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 3.50 21% 3.70    
 
MTH-10   06/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOCEPHUS Jun23 May27 May19 May12 Apr13 (serey j)IORIO MELISSA 116 1.20    
2  SIX WHIPS Jun15 Jun09 Apr03 Mar09 Feb17 (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  TURNSANDCONDITIONS May12 Aug04 Jun11 May28 Apr14 (falcone rober)OLVER MADISON 121 3.50 17% 5.00    
4  DR RAGS Jun09 May31 Mar21 Mar07 Feb09 (synnefias pan)JARA FERNANDO 121 8.00    
5  HIGH TONE May19 May12 Oct09 Sep11 Aug26 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 124 3.00 17% 4.90    
6  HE IS BONAFIDE Jun16 Jun02 Dec15 Nov24 Oct20 (gomez pompey)GONZALEZ CESAR 111 10.00 16% 5.30    
7  NOTION TO TAPIT Jun16 Jun09 May27 May19 May12 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 121 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.