Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Emerald Downs
Sunday - June 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EMD-1   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(6/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(6/4/3)-(4/6/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-2   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/3)-(4/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3)-(4/6/1)-(6/3/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-3   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/1)-(6/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1)-(6/3/4)-(6/5/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-4   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(6/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4)-(6/5/3)-(6/4/1/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-5   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/3)-(6/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3)-(6/4/1/3)-(6/7/2/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-6   WIN (6/4/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/1/3)-(6/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/1/3)-(6/4/1/3)-(6/4/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/1/3)-(6/7/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1/3)-(6/7/2/8)-(2/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-7   WIN (6/7/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/2/8)-(6/7/2/8/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/7/2/8)-(6/7/2/8/10)-(6/7/2/8/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/7/2/8)-(2/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
EMD-8   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EMD-1   06/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREWY Jun21 Jun02 May11 Apr20 Aug12 (birdwell tena)MONTALVO C 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  BOOSICAL LADY Jun09 May02 Apr10 Mar26 Apr29 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 125 6.00    
3  EYELIGHT Jun02 Apr21 Mar31 Feb17 Jan26 (markle dan)OROZCO E 121 2.50 12% 7.00    
4  ALICESHOUSEOFHEART Jun09 May26 Apr10 Jul01 Jun18 (essex charles)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50    
5  SMOKEMONTHECLIFF Jun14 May19 Apr25 Apr09 Mar12 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 125 1.80 48% 1.10    
 
EMD-2   06/30/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOTSA STEEL May18 Apr30 Apr17 Apr08 Mar19 (alvarez sergio)LOPEZ KARLO 121 4.00    
2  DEUX MERES Jun14 May26 Jul29     (cooper kay)CRUZ M 121 3.50    
3  ESCAPEFROMPARADISE Jun08 Jun11 May06 Apr15   (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  ENGLISH MEADOW Jun14 Jun02 May18 Mar05 Feb14 (leonard robert)REYES R 125 2.50 25% 3.00    
5  ENGAGING SOUL Jun21 Jun02       (bean rob)AMADOR RUIZ 125 8.00    
SCR  BULLETPROOF TOO May04 Apr21 Mar09 May19 May05 (gilmour jim)MORALES ALLYSSA 125 3.00 31% 2.30    
 
EMD-3   06/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3 F PT- 5:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BETTY LUTE Aug27 Aug11       (simkins )AMADOR RUIZ 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  SEEYAMIA Jun14 May18 Nov17 Oct29 Sep03 (lucarelli fr)OROZCO E 121 4.00    
3  POP CHART Jun08 May12 Apr25 Apr02 Mar14 (madrigal elodio)LOPEZ KARLO 121 4.50    
4  SIMPLY GRACIOUS Jun01 May11 Apr20 Mar17 Feb04 (birdwell tena)CRUZ M 121 3.00 51% 1.00    
5  SHE'S A KRAKEN Jun14 May31 May11 Aug27 Aug06 (cooper kay)REYES R 118 5.00    
6  MY QUIET PLACE May31 Mar25 Mar13 Feb21 Jan29 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 1.80 13% 7.00    
 
EMD-4   06/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CIBOLO May21 May03 Apr12 Feb17 Jan06 (silva-martinez a)MONTALVO C 122 3.50    
2  MISCHIEVOUSHOLIDAY Jun01 May02 Mar19 Feb29 Feb20 (alvarez )AMADOR RUIZ 122 4.50    
3  HARD TO DENY Oct19 Sep10 Aug19 Jul28 Aug14 (allen marshall)ZUNINO L 122 5.00 27% 2.70    
4  SMOOTH PAPA Jun22 Jun02 May25 May02 Apr15 (fearon john)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  TRIBAL IMPACT Jun23 May25 Apr15 Mar19 Feb28 (silva-martinez )CRUZ M 125 3.00    
6  NEW EVERY MORNING Jun01 May12 Apr18 Apr02 Mar06 (tubbs scott)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.50 31% 2.20    
 
EMD-5   06/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCINDA RELLA May25 Oct01 Sep17 Sep04 Aug27 (harwood m)MONTALVO C 122 6.00    
SCR  CLASSIC LEAH Jun07 May18 Sep17 Sep03 Aug26 (christian bill)ENRIQUEZ D 122 4.00    
3  FLYIN BY Jun01 May11 Sep10 Aug25 Aug06 (johnston kimber)CRUZ M 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  CHARMANT E Jun01 May19 Apr29 Apr18 Mar20 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 125 3.00    
5  SHE'S RESILIENT Jun01 May11 Apr08 Mar11 Dec15 (alvarez sergio)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 23% 3.30    
6  FEATHER INTHE WIND Jun08 Mar28 Sep03 Aug25 Aug06 (lawrence heath)MATIAS J 122 2.50 30% 2.40    
 
EMD-6   06/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROLL DEM BONES Jun21 Jun02 May18 Apr18 Apr08 (essex charles)REYES R 122 3.00 12% 7.70    
2  CAJUN TREASURE Jun02 May18 Apr16 Jul03 May12 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.00    
3  LIL MIRACLE MAN Jun15 Apr11 Mar18 Jan28 Jan05 (cruz pea)CRUZ M 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  MR. FIREBALL Jun15 Sep09 Aug20 Jul30 Feb15 (simkins rosie)MATIAS J 122 5.00 12% 7.30    
5  QUIET CHARM Sep25 Sep03 Aug20 Aug06 Jul03 (perez se)AMADOR RUIZ 122 12.00    
6  BOSS OF THEMOSS Jun07 May04 Mar23 Mar10 Jan05 (gabriel luc)ORTIZ A 122 4.00 43% 1.30    
7  ARIZONA ANDREW Jun14 May26 May02 Apr15 Mar28 (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 6.00    
 
EMD-7   06/30/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($25.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GODSEND (GB) Jun01 Apr29 Apr04 Feb05 Jan13 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 125 2.50    
2  SMILING GOODBYE Jun07 Sep03 Aug06 Jul23 Jun25 (peery debbie)REYES R 122 15.00 6% 15.40    
3  MUNCEY Jun16 Jun01 May12 Sep17 Sep03 (belvoir howard)MATIAS J 122 12.00    
4  LLOYDS LOGIC Jun01 May18 Aug13 Jul16 Jun18 (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 122 8.00    
5  LANGSTON ROAD Jun01 Sep17 Aug13 Jul16 Jun25 (markle dan)MONTALVO C 122 6.00    
6  PETER FLIES Jun08 May26 May11 Mar15 Feb23 (essex charles)CRUZ M 125 3.50 45% 1.20    
7  EXECUTIVE CHEF Jun07 Sep09 Aug18 Jul15 Jul08 (wright blaine)GUTIERREZ M 122 5.00 24% 3.20    
8  GOLDEN ALE Jun02 Apr30 Feb10 Jan01 Dec03 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  OUR BOY ROY Jun08 Feb13 Jan18 Jan05   (peery de)AMADOR RUIZ 122 20.00    
10  EL ALTO HOMBRE Apr29 Apr17 Mar27 Feb20 Jan15 (kowalski liz)MAWING A 125 8.00 ★    
 
EMD-8   06/30/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA POPIS Jun23 Jun08 May26 May12 Mar24 (gabriel luciano )MONTALVO C 125 6.00    
2  CLAY'S OPAL INDY Jun16 May25 May01 Feb07 Jan25 (alvarez )AMADOR RUIZ 125 3.00 37% 1.70    
3  LUVAHAPPYENDING Jun23 Jun09 Oct29 Oct15 Oct08 (perez s)REYES R 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CAN'THELPFALLIN (IRE) Sep11 Aug26 Aug03 Jul28 Jun18 (perez sergi)ORTIZ A 125 4.00    
5  CONFIDENCE BUILDER Jun07 May18 Oct08 Oct02 Sep25 (gibson vinc)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 125 8.00    
6  WARREN'S MEMORABLE May25 May12 Oct09 Sep17 Aug25 (gibson vince)LOPEZ KARLO 125 4.50 31% 2.20    
7  MISCHIEF MAMA Jun16 Jun07 May18 Oct14 Oct06 (bean a)CRUZ M 125 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.