Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mountaineer Park
Sunday - May 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MNR-1   WIN (6/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/7)-(6/5/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    DD (6/5/7)-(6/1/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
MNR-2   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/1/4)-(5/2/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4)-(5/2/7/6)-(3/1/4/9) 48 $2.00 $96.00 
MNR-3   WIN (5/2/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/7/6)-(5/2/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/7/6)-(3/1/4/9) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
MNR-4   WIN (3/1/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/4/9)-(3/1/4/9/10) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (3/1/4/9)-(3/1/4/9/10)-(3/1/4/9/10) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    DD (3/1/4/9)-(5/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MNR-5   WIN (5/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/7)-(5/1/8/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (5/1/7)-(5/1/8/7)-(5/1/8/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
MNR-6   WIN (5/3/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/2/4)-(5/3/2/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/3/2/4)-(5/3/2/4)-(5/3/2/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2/4)-(8/4/6/7)-(3/7/2/4) 64 $2.00 $128 
MNR-7   WIN (8/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/6/7)-(8/4/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/6/7)-(3/7/2/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
MNR-8   WIN (3/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/2/4)-(3/7/2/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/7/2/4)-(3/7/2/4)-(3/7/2/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MNR-1   05/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUALITY MOON May07 Apr21 Feb21 Feb07 Jan10 (fiesman rob)BARRIOS RICARDO 116 12.00    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of QUALITY LASS by CUTLASS)
BETHPAGE Apr30 Dec04 Sep04 Aug22 Jul31 (baird michael)NEGRON LUIS 123 4.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of THE CRANE by TIZNOW)
UNMATCHED May07 Mar27 Feb14 Jan10 Dec16 (blanke)BATISTA ALBERTO 116 4.50    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of YAHILWA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
GETS ON BASE May07 Apr17       (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 116 3.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of TIES THAT BIND by BROKEN VOW)
MAYBE SARDONIC         (cluley denni)GONZALEZ KEVIN 116 10.00 14% 6.10    
  (by TIZ SARDONIC JOE out of IDONTKNOW MAYBE by DONERAILE COURT)
HILLERITO         (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 2.50 37% 1.70    
  (by ARMY MULE out of REVEILLE'S ECHO by WAR FRONT)
SAVANNAH'S STAR         (baird mic)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 123 5.00 14% 6.10    
  (by MAWTHOOQ out of SAVANNAH STAR F F by BETHESTAR)
 
MNR-2   05/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($7.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOW U DOIN Apr28 Apr01 Feb24 Feb03 Jan27 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 116 3.50 15% 5.90    
FAST STRIDE Feb12 Aug12       (clouston edward)LEON A 116 8.00    
SPYRO Apr28 Feb08 Jan04 Dec14   (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 116 20.00    
TRUST FUND ROBBER Apr28 Dec13 Dec06 Nov20 Nov14 (lopez e)VEGA L 123 6.00 7% 12.60    
F F READY OR NOT Apr28 Jan18 Aug21 Jul12 Jun26 (baird michael)NEGRON LUIS 123 20.00    
L L L COOL Feb27 Feb09 Dec26 Nov23 Oct06 (silva pa)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 2.50 54% 0.80    
SCR  RANGER JOE May04 Apr09 Mar18 Mar04 Feb13 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 118 1.60    
 
MNR-3   05/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AGENDA Sep27 Aug01 Jul19 Jul09 May29 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 2.50    
RED ROSEBUSH May05 Nov27 Nov12 Oct18 Sep18 (cluley denn)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 3.50 28% 2.50    
NOSHEWONT Feb28 Jan20 Jan01 Feb10 Jan13 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 115 4.50    
NOGRATZ May05 Apr22 Dec27 Dec03 Nov19 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 20.00    
FIXYURHAIRUPRETTY Apr29 Apr04 Mar25 Mar12 Feb14 (silva l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 3.00 33% 2.00    
LIPARI May13 Dec12 Nov19 Oct30 Oct11 (gilbert timoth)GILBERT KYLE 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SAWEETIE GIRL Apr28 Dec09 Nov24 Aug19 Jun30 (gotera car)LEON A 120 4.00 11% 8.00    
 
MNR-4   05/19/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M GREAT TWO         (baird michael)NEGRON LUIS 116 10.00 17% 4.90    
  (by CAL NATION out of DEA by MIDSHIPMAN)
ALL ROADS TO DENIS Apr22 Oct25 Sep18 Sep09 Aug17 (ewell s)BRACHO A 123 6.00    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of ROAD TO ZANZIBAR by QUALITY ROAD)
HERE'STHEBREADMAN Jul01 Jan04 Nov26     (binnin)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.50 19% 4.40    
  (by JUBA out of CAPTAIN MOLLY by LOST SOLDIER)
DONALD'S NATION         (baird mic)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 116 10.00 17% 4.90    
  (by CAL NATION out of HOPE RUN by EUROSILVER)
THE GROOM'S JUL Dec12         (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 116 15.00    
  (by THE LADY'S GROOM out of SHIMMERING JUL by OMEGA CODE)
SOMESAYNEIGH Apr22 Nov30 Oct25 Sep18 Jun02 (dixon geoff)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 12.00    
  (by BULLSBAY out of SOME SAY by CHELSEY CAT)
IT'S ONLY MONEY Jul06 Jun10 Jan28 Jan04 Dec17 (pickett cryst)CEDILLO MAURO 123 4.50    
  (by EVANGELISM out of JUST FOR MONEY by NOT FOR LOVE)
SENZA STRIKE Apr22 Feb17 Dec06 Nov08 Sep07 (sanders melinda)LEON A 123 30.00    
  (by GATTOPARDO out of TEMILY by TENPINS)
FERNANDO'S GOLD         (dixon geoffr)GONZALEZ KEVIN 116 8.00 15% 5.80    
  (by BALLADO'S GOLD out of BENNY'S COMPASS by BENNY THE BULL)
10  BABY DOG Apr22 Dec12       (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 116 3.50    
  (by CAL NATION out of BLUEMOONOFSARATOGA by GONE ASTRAY)
 
MNR-5   05/19/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRANDMA LAURENE         (baird mic)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 116 12.00 31% 2.30    
  (by CAL NATION out of NATALIE'S WONDER by TIZ WONDERFUL)
SUNSET QUEEN Nov13 Oct03 Sep18 Jun17 May20 (dixon geoff)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 20.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED ENERGY out of CANADIAN QUEEN by ROCK HARD TEN)
XHILARATINGPURPOSE Apr30 Apr04 Mar12 Feb24 Nov27 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 3.50    
  (by UNBRIDLED ENERGY out of SOUL PURPOSE by FAPPIE'S NOTEBOOK)
SCR  UNALTERED Apr21 Feb28 Feb07 Jan13 Dec07 (sanders melinda)LEON A 123 2.50    
  (by ALDRIN out of RITE OF PASSAGE by PRIZED)
XPENSIVE PRINCESS Apr21 Mar19 Feb24 Nov27   (poole c)AVILES YAN 123 2.00 40% 1.50    
  (by UNBRIDLED ENERGY out of PRINCESS JANELLE by CAME HOME)
BABY BONNIE Apr21 Sep17 Sep03 Aug20 Aug09 (ewell)MONSERRATE A 123 30.00    
  (by THE LADY'S GROOM out of EXECUTIVE BONNIE by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
FIERY SIDE Dec12         (baird michael)NEGRON LUIS 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CAL NATION out of DELIGHTFUL MAGIC by MINESHAFT)
LADY GANGSTER Apr21 Oct03 Sep18 Aug26 Aug04 (ewell s)BRACHO A 123 4.00    
  (by GANDHI out of STERLINGS AMERICA by SILVER TRAIN)
 
MNR-6   05/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REDWHITEANDTACOS May07 Apr30 Mar16 Mar08 Feb11 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 2.00    
BLUE TWIRLIN Apr28 Mar16 Feb24 Feb03 Jan13 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 120 12.00 13% 7.00    
HUMMIN' THE FUNK May05 Nov14 Oct31 Sep25 Sep10 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 2.50 23% 3.30    
SHE IS ROYALTY Apr30 Dec20 Dec03 Nov19 Oct09 (cordero-lopez ale)YARANGA Y 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
MALIBU MARLEE Apr30 Feb13 Jan04 Dec10 Nov15 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 120 4.00 24% 3.10    
MANHATTAN LADY Apr23 Jan04 Dec10 Nov27 Nov15 (brown john)WEATHERLY BAILEY 113 20.00    
MISS FORT Nov27 Nov12 Oct16 Sep18 Aug13 (cluley denn)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 5.00    
SUGAR BRITCHES Dec10 Nov22 Nov12 Oct25 Oct17 (witherow wil)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 10.00    
 
MNR-7   05/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($23.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HURRY ON OUT May05 Mar13 Feb09 Jan04 Dec07 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 120 8.00    
SCR  DISCRETIONARY DAY May14 Apr24 Apr09 Mar21 Mar12 (silva pa)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 99.00    
ROYAL PAIN May05 Apr20 Mar27 Feb17 Jan25 (johnson r)HO WESLEY 120 8.00    
NO LOVE FOR JUBA May05 Apr12 Mar22 Mar09 Feb22 (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 4.50 24% 3.10    
SCR  DIVINE FEMININE Mar01 Feb10 Feb02 Jan13 Jan05 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 115 8.00    
LATE IN THE GAME Apr18 Mar30 Oct14 Sep21 Aug25 (sigler g)LARROSA G 120 6.00 16% 5.40    
MALIBU ROCK STAR Apr28 Apr03 Mar19 Sep03 Aug06 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
COUTH May05 Dec20 Oct18 Oct01 Sep17 (stephen antho)CEDILLO MAURO 123 1.60 35% 1.80    
INDIAN EMPIRE May05 Dec20 Nov08 Oct25 Oct02 (johnson je)WEATHERLY BAILEY 113 10.00    
 
MNR-8   05/19/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I MATTER Dec04 Nov21 Nov12 Aug19 Jun14 (howard william )LEON A 123 20.00    
MAVI Sep24 Aug27 Aug14 May09 Apr15 (ortiz-ruiz c)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 6.00 8% 11.50    
UNTOUCHED ELEGANCE Dec05 Nov05 Oct17 Sep24 Aug07 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 123 1.20 42% 1.40    
QUEEN CASHMERE Nov01 Sep29 Aug18 Aug04 Jul08 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LOST ANCHOR Apr30 Mar28 Jan25 Dec03 Oct31 (collins tim)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 8.00    
SHARP JUSTICE Dec06 Nov26 Nov13 Nov05 Oct16 (murillo rodri)CEDILLO MAURO 123 20.00    
MIZZEN May07 Nov05 Oct01 Sep05 Aug27 (clouston ed)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 2.50 28% 2.50    
LIGHT HEARTED Oct25 Oct17 Oct02 Sep13 Aug29 (herri)MONSERRATE A 123 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.