Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Emerald Downs
Saturday - May 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EMD-1   WIN (2/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/5/7)-(2/6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/5/7)-(2/6/5/7)-(2/6/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/5/7)-(1/6/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5/7)-(1/6/3/4)-(4/3/6/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
EMD-2   WIN (1/6/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/3/4)-(1/6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/3/4)-(1/6/3/4)-(1/6/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/3/4)-(4/3/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3/4)-(4/3/6/2)-(2/5) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
EMD-3   WIN (4/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/6/2)-(4/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/6/2)-(4/3/6/2)-(4/3/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/6/2)-(2/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6/2)-(2/5)-(4/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
EMD-4   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/3/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(4/1/5)-(1/6/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
EMD-5   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(1/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(1/6/4)-(6/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
EMD-6   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/4)-(6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4)-(6/4)-(4/7/5/8/2) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
EMD-7   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/5/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/4)-(6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/4)-(4/7/5/8/2) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
EMD-8   WIN (4/7/5/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/7/5/8/2)-(4/7/5/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/7/5/8/2)-(4/7/5/8/2)-(4/7/5/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EMD-1   05/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASH'S CAT May04 Apr08 Mar18 Oct08 Sep09 (silva-martinez a)PENA BRYAN 125 2.50    
THE GOLDEN EGG Sep16 Sep03 Aug19 Jul29 Jul07 (essex charles)LOPEZ KARLO 125 3.50 44% 1.30    
MONGOLIAN SPRING Feb23         (silva-martine)GUTIERREZ M 125 5.00    
SPORT COAT May04 Apr09 May05 Mar19 Sep12 (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 125 20.00    
ELUSIVE GOLD Oct09 Oct02 Sep17 Aug27 Aug05 (bozell alan)ZUNINO L 125 15.00 11% 8.50    
ARIZONA DAVIN May02 Apr18 Apr07 Mar18 Feb15 (hernandez migue)CRUZ M 121 1.80 20% 4.10    
GOTHAM'S FINALE May04 Apr09 Jan29 Nov18 Nov05 (lawrence heath)MAWING A 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
EMD-2   05/18/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($10.5K) 3 F PT- 4:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOTSA STEEL Apr30 Apr17 Apr08 Mar19 Feb15 (alvarez sergio)PENA BRYAN 121 3.00 31% 2.20    
LADY MORMONT May04         (cryderman candi)LOPEZ KARLO 121 4.50    
GORMLEY GAL         (crowe shelly)CRUZ M 121 10.00 13% 6.50    
WINANYWAYUCAN Aug11 Jul29       (velasquez ri)MARTIN A 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
SEEYAMIA Nov17 Oct29 Sep03     (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 2.50    
HARBOR LASS May04 Mar20 Feb24 Feb04   (perez se)AMADOR RUIZ 121 3.50 29% 2.50    
HIDDEN TIGER May04         (birdwe)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 121 15.00    
 
EMD-3   05/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIA SUZI May02 Apr16 Apr08 Mar19 Feb15 (alvarez sergio)PENA BRYAN 121 3.50    
POCKET KNIFE Sep16 Aug19 Jul30 Jul14 Jun11 (carlson a)ZUNINO L 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
BUMPING RIVER         (navarr)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 125 8.00 22% 3.60    
LIBBY'S GAMBIT Sep16 Aug19 Jul30     (wright blain)OROZCO E 125 3.00 34% 1.90    
MY MOTORHOME May04 Mar22 Mar01 Feb18 Jan26 (nunnally jennif)CRUZ M 121 15.00    
ENGLISH MEADOW Mar05 Feb14 Jan31 Oct01 Aug19 (leonard robert )LOPEZ KARLO 125 5.00 11% 7.80    
ANOTHER TEN Apr16 Aug26 Aug12 Jul30 Jul07 (evans justin)REYES R 122 2.50    
 
EMD-4   05/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALEX'S GIRL Apr08 Mar19 Oct22 Apr02 Mar18 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 122 1.80    
FRISCO FRILLS Sep17 Sep03 Aug18 Aug04 Jul09 (balcom cl)JENSEN P 122 3.00 72% 0.40    
CLASSIC LEAH Sep17 Sep03 Aug26 Jul22 Jul08 (gibson vince)PENA BRYAN 122 2.50    
MISCHIEF MAMA Oct14 Oct06 Sep17 Sep09 Aug27 (bean rober)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 20.00    
SQUARE FOOTAGE Aug25 Aug05 Jul16 Jun18 May28 (navarro jose)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
CONFIDENCE BUILDER Oct08 Oct02 Sep25 Aug11 Jul21 (gibson vince)REYES R 122 10.00    
 
EMD-5   05/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($25.5K) 3 ALL PT- 6:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREIGHTLINE Aug06 Jul22 Jul09 Jun18   (bullock steve)CRUZ M 119 2.00 30% 2.30    
CONRAD MEADOWS Sep02 Aug18 Jul30 Jul09   (navarr)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 119 15.00    
BEER BEGONE Oct08 Aug27 Aug06 Jul09 Jun25 (evans justin)REYES R 119 12.00    
MINER LEAGUE Sep17 Aug05 Jul22     (wenzel tom)MAWING A 119 1.80 41% 1.50    
CHANCELLORS BOOM Sep17 Aug27 Aug19 Aug05   (gibson vince)LOPEZ KARLO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SPINNIN PISTOLS Mar01 Feb02 Jan14 Nov11 Oct22 (wright blaine)ZUNINO L 119 2.50    
 
EMD-6   05/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROLL DEM BONES Apr18 Apr08 Mar06 Feb20 Dec12 (evans justin)REYES R 122 1.60 42% 1.40    
STEPHEN JAMES Sep10 Aug12 Jul15 Jul01 Jun18 (pirone m)AMADOR RUIZ 122 15.00    
A VIEW FROM ABOVE Sep16 Sep02 Aug11 Jul28 Jun11 (cooper kay)OROZCO E 122 4.50    
MARCH ON LINCH Sep16 Aug27 Aug13 Jul29 Jul14 (bozell alan)CRUZ M 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SMOKEN SHADOW Sep09 Aug18 Jul28 Jul09 Jan07 (peery debb)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 3.50    
CAJUN TREASURE Apr16 Jul03 May12 Mar26 Dec18 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.50 18% 4.60    
 
EMD-7   05/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($25.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COOL PAPA G Apr08 Mar06 Feb06 Dec15 Nov24 (evans justin)REYES R 125 3.50    
COMPANY'S DREAM Aug27 Jul30 Jun18 May14 Feb28 (gibson vince)LOPEZ KARLO 122 10.00    
LLOYDS LOGIC Aug13 Jul16 Jun18 Sep18 Aug14 (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 122 4.50    
MONGOLIAN MEMORY Apr11 Feb17 Apr10 Mar07 Feb11 (tubbs scott)PENA BRYAN 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
COASTAL JAZZ May04 Apr13 Mar24 Feb10 Sep09 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 2.50    
TAX CODE Aug20 Aug06 Jun17 May27 May13 (wright blaine)CRUZ M 122 1.80 70% 0.40    
 
EMD-8   05/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SINGLE MERIT Sep02 Aug11 Jul28 Apr14 Mar24 (gilmour jim)MATIAS J 125 3.50    
TAINO HOUSE Mar18 Feb29 Feb06 Jan19 Dec19 (alvarez )AMADOR RUIZ 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
IDIDNTSEETHATCOMIN Sep16 Sep09 Aug26 Aug12 Jul23 (jenne bonnie)ZUNINO L 125 6.00    
CLAYTON DELANEY Aug25 Aug13 Jul14 Jun23 Jun09 (crowe shelly)LOPEZ KARLO 125 2.50 32% 2.10    
UPPER ROOM Apr30 Apr02 Mar18 Feb29 Sep17 (toye joe)CRUZ M 125 8.00 13% 6.60    
WEAR THE CROWN Apr15 Mar26 Mar13 Aug26 Aug12 (toye joe)PENA BRYAN 125 4.50    
ANNA'S IRON MAN Oct01 Sep25 Sep02 Aug19 Jul22 (morris michael)REYES R 125 10.00 16% 5.30    
HYDROGEN Oct09 Oct01 Aug26 Aug12 Jul30 (lowe nick)MAWING A 125 20.00 9% 9.80    
BRONY BOY Mar31 Oct08 Sep17 Sep02 Jun18 (nunnally je)MORALES ALLYSSA 125 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.