Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Oaklawn Park
Sunday - April 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

OP-1   WIN (1/7/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/2/5)-(1/7/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/2/5)-(1/7/2/5)-(1/7/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/2/5)-(6/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
OP-2   WIN (6/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/8)-(6/1/4/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/1/8)-(6/1/4/8)-(6/1/4/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/1/8)-(7/8/3/12/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/1/8)-(7/8/3/12/6)-(12/2/7/3/5) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
OP-3   WIN (7/8/3/12/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/8/3/12/6)-(7/8/3/12/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/8/3/12/6)-(7/8/3/12/6)-(7/8/3/12/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/8/3/12/6)-(12/2/7/3/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (7/8/3/12/6)-(12/2/7/3/5)-(1/5/9/3) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
OP-4   WIN (12/2/7/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (12/2/7/3/5)-(12/2/7/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (12/2/7/3/5)-(12/2/7/3/5)-(12/2/7/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (12/2/7/3/5)-(1/5/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (12/2/7/3/5)-(1/5/9/3)-(1/10/3/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
OP-5   WIN (1/5/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/9/3)-(1/5/9/12/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/5/9/3)-(1/5/9/12/3)-(1/5/9/12/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/5/9/3)-(1/10/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/5/9/3)-(1/10/3/6)-(3/6/1/10/9) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
OP-6   WIN (1/10/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/10/3/6)-(1/10/3/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/10/3/6)-(1/10/3/6/5)-(1/10/3/6/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/10/3/6)-(3/6/1/10/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/10/3/6)-(3/6/1/10/9)-(1/9/8/5/10) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
OP-7   WIN (3/6/1/10/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/6/1/10/9)-(3/6/1/10/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/6/1/10/9)-(3/6/1/10/9)-(3/6/1/10/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/6/1/10/9)-(1/9/8/5/10) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1/10/9)-(1/9/8/5/10)-(9/11/1/4/2) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
OP-8   WIN (1/9/8/5/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/9/8/5/10)-(1/9/8/5/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/9/8/5/10)-(1/9/8/5/10)-(1/9/8/5/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/9/8/5/10)-(9/11/1/4/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
OP-9   WIN (9/11/1/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/11/1/4/2)-(9/11/1/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/11/1/4/2)-(9/11/1/4/2)-(9/11/1/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
OP-1   04/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($115K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEEN CLANCY Mar22 Jan26 Dec29 Nov08   (von hemel )ERAMIA E 124 2.00 52% 0.90    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of MISS DIXIE CUP by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
VINOBELLO Feb24         (casse no)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 6% 15.50    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of SOPHIE SOPHIE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
MONEY IS TIME Mar28 Feb18 Feb04     (asmussen ste)FUENTES A 124 20.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of FREE MONEY by STREET SENSE)
AVA MOON PIE Apr07 Mar09       (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 12.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of AVA PIE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
BABY AVERY Mar29 Mar08       (vance d)COURT K 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of CHARMAINE'S LEGACY by MR. GREELEY)
LOUPIT Apr29         (mcpeek kenneth )VAZQUEZ A 124 3.00    
  (by TAPIT out of COURTISANE by SILVER FINDER)
XENA Mar30         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 1.60 15% 5.60    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of PRINCESS WARRIOR by MIDSHIPMAN)
 
OP-2   04/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEENEYES Apr04         (martin william)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 3.50 26% 2.80    
I GOT A GUY Feb23 Jan12 Dec16 Dec09 Sep23 (martin ti)BEALMEAR C 117 15.00    
THANKS FRANK Mar21 Mar02 Aug05 Jun29   (von hemel )ERAMIA E 120 10.00    
PEACEAFTERTHUNDER         (tranquili)DE CRUZ 115 30.00    
SCR  CLOUD WITHOUT REIN Mar03 Feb10 Nov09 Jun16 May21 (compton greg)BARBOSA CARLOS 117 2.50    
MUSEUM QUALITY Apr06 Mar01 Jan25 Dec05   (fincher t)TORRES A 124 1.60 50% 1.00    
WITHOUT OBJECTION Apr13 Mar16 Feb11 Dec29 Oct24 (puhl kim)WALES T 120 12.00    
NICK JAGGER         (vance d)BOWEN ROCCO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
BARREL THIEF Apr13 Nov02 Oct03     (jacquot gene)ZIMMERMAN R 120 12.00    
 
OP-3   04/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEALTHESPOTLIGHT Apr06 Mar22 Mar09 Jan12 Nov08 (williams matt)VAZQUEZ A 118 6.00    
HAYEK Apr13 Mar24 Mar03 Dec31 Oct21 (mcknight norman)JUAREZ NIK 118 3.50    
LOFTY HEIGHTS Mar23 Feb10       (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 15.00 8% 12.00    
BODI ODI Apr05 Mar21 Mar01 Feb18 Jan07 (northrop debra)COURT K 124 15.00    
TIZ SWEET CANDY Apr13 Mar23 Mar08 Feb16 Jan12 (milligan a)ERAMIA E 122 8.00    
GATA RUNZ Apr19 Apr06 Sep12 Sep05 Aug14 (murphy)FLETCHER D 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
TIFF WITH JIMMY Apr07 Mar09 Feb02 Dec17 Dec09 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 2.50 42% 1.40    
ACCELERATING BABE Apr07 Mar21 Feb09 Jan07 Dec17 (cravens r)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 4.50 10% 8.60    
RYE MUNNY Apr13 Mar23 Feb19 Feb05 Dec14 (rufino eu)DE CRUZ 119 30.00    
SCR  ALWAYS SMILING Apr06 Mar23 Feb16 Jan12 Dec03 (jordan t)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 15.00    
11  CHOCTAW BLESSINGS Apr06 Mar22 Feb17 Feb04   (witt erni)TORRES A 122 20.00    
12  WEATHER MAP Apr06 Feb17 Dec13 Nov01 Sep23 (hartman chris)BOWEN ROCCO 122 12.00 7% 13.70    
 
OP-4   04/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAMPISI Apr12 Mar17 Feb02 Dec16 Nov11 (borel renay)QUINONEZ S 120 20.00    
COLONEL BARTON Apr12 Feb25 Dec29 Dec08 Nov11 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 4.00 26% 2.80    
MACHO ROCCO Mar28 Mar02 Feb19 Feb03 Jan01 (garcia genaro)BEJARANO R 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SHAKE UP Apr19 Mar28 Mar09 Feb17 Feb03 (westerman)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 12.00    
BRAHMS IMAGE Mar29 Mar09 Feb25 Jan28 Jan13 (cunningha)DE CRUZ 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
MACHO RONNIE Mar09 Feb19 Feb09 Jan01 May12 (mcbride burl )BAILEY CHEL-C 120 20.00    
CHOCTAW ZIP Apr12 Mar09 Feb17 Feb03 Dec17 (witt erni)TORRES A 125 3.00 19% 4.20    
HIGHTAIL COWBOY Apr19 Feb25 Feb02 Sep13 Aug30 (robertso)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 20.00    
REUP Apr14 Mar21 Feb16 Jun17 Jun07 (cline n)HARR KELSI 120 30.00    
10  MIRI A COINCIDENCE Mar28 Feb16 Jan05 Jul30 Jun26 (prather h)WALES T 120 8.00    
SCR  ASPEN CLUB Apr12 Mar21 Feb18 Feb10 Jan06 (hewitt mi)BEALMEAR C 113 6.00    
12  BLAME J D Mar28 Feb19 Feb02 Jan01 Oct13 (ward dan)BOWEN ROCCO 120 2.50 28% 2.60    
 
OP-5   04/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3 F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVELAND Mar24 Nov11 Oct06     (casse no)SANTANA JR 122 0.80 42% 1.40    
MISS RUTH         (milligan )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00    
HONORABLE MISCHIEF Mar22 Sep27 Sep02 Aug09   (rosin w)FUENTES A 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
LIL KNOCKOUT         (murphy)FLETCHER D 122 20.00    
RUBY QUEEN Mar29 Feb11 Dec16 Oct15 Aug06 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 4.50 33% 2.00    
TAKER BACK Apr07 Mar22 Mar09 Feb10   (haran john)BARBOSA CARLOS 115 20.00    
WORM BURNER         (milligan allen)QUINONEZ S 122 30.00    
GRAND PRAIRIE GAL Oct13 Aug26       (moquett r)TORRES A 122 20.00    
NO PAY NO HAY Mar28 Feb25 Feb10 Jan26 Jan01 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  MIESHA Mar22 Feb25 Feb02     (rone mike)JUAREZ NIK 122 30.00    
11  PEPPERS GIRLFRIEND Mar29 Feb24 Jan12 Dec09   (von hemel )ERAMIA E 122 20.00    
12  OPPOSITE THE CROWD Mar22 Feb25       (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 6.00    
SCR  NORTHERN ANGEL Jul19         (rosin w)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 30.00    
 
OP-6   04/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($80K) Purse ($75K) 3 ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LANDLORD Apr06 Mar02       (moquett ro)ASMUSSEN J 117 4.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  STRIKE RIDGE Apr19 Apr06 Mar15 Feb19   (hartman chris)VAZQUEZ A 117 20.00    
COPPER ECHO Mar23 Mar02 Jan27     (casse no)SANTANA JR 122 10.00 7% 12.50    
FASTENED Apr12 Feb09 Jan27 Nov24   (durham danele)BOWEN ROCCO 122 15.00    
SWEET SODDY J Apr06 Mar15 Feb24 Jan27 Jan06 (ginter ra)BEALMEAR C 111 6.00    
ANDY'S CANDY Mar01 Feb11 Jan28 Dec31 Dec08 (hartman c)TORRES A 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
BOURBON AFICIONADO Mar15 Jan13 Oct29 Aug30   (robertson mclean)BEJARANO R 122 2.00    
KONTEEKEE Mar21 Jan20 Dec30     (cline n)HARR KELSI 122 20.00    
POWER SLAM Mar19 Mar08 Feb19 Jan13 Nov08 (rufino eu)DE CRUZ 118 12.00    
10  PATTON'S TIZZY Apr06 Mar17 Feb19 Jan12   (cox h)CHUAN MARTIN 117 3.50 25% 3.10    
 
OP-7   04/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($140K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVER GIRL Apr04 Mar08 Feb04 Dec16 Nov08 (williams )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 3.50 13% 6.70    
RONNIE'S DEAL Apr14 Aug05 Jul17 Jun25   (tranquilino sa)CHAVEZ ORIEL 117 50.00    
CONNIE K Mar02 Feb04 Jan13 Dec16 May04 (morse ran)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 3.00 20% 4.10    
FASHION RAGE Apr06 Feb10 Dec30 Dec08 Nov16 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 8.00    
OFF RAMP Apr04 Sep02 Jul26 Jun07 Apr30 (rosin w)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 8.00    
LETS DECLARE PEACE Apr06 Feb17 Jun04 Mar05 Jan26 (asmussen ste)FUENTES A 121 6.00 19% 4.20    
MAIRSILS FIRST Apr06 Mar16 Feb03     (west henry)TORRES HUGO 121 50.00    
SCR  DEALING JUSTICE Feb03 Dec30 Dec16 Nov16 Aug27 (martin ti)BEALMEAR C 114 12.00    
PROMISES TO DANCE Mar17 Dec16 Nov01 Sep29 Feb23 (mcknight norman)BEJARANO R 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  SUMMER SHOES Mar02 Jan13 Dec16 May04 Mar31 (swearingen to)BAILEY CHEL-C 116 20.00 11% 8.30    
11  SILVIA Apr30 Apr01 Mar16 Feb18 Jan20 (van tho)BARBOSA CARLOS 114 4.00    
12  H. T. XENA Mar17 Feb19 Dec29 Nov26 Oct06 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 123 20.00    
 
OP-8   04/28/2024 5940ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($140K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NYQUICK Mar23 Jan27 Nov05 Apr02 Mar11 (cox brad )TORRES A 124 2.00 28% 2.60    
GAME KEEPER Apr13 Mar29 Mar07 Feb16 Jan27 (lukas w)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 5.00    
SHATTUCK Apr07 Mar10 Feb11 Dec31 Dec08 (prather h)QUINONEZ S 119 30.00    
IMPECCABILITY Apr13 Mar28 Sep27 Aug25 Jul28 (hornsby tammy)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 30.00    
MEDIA MOGUL (GB) Mar30 Mar14 Feb23 Jan26 Oct11 (caster boyd)ZIMMERMAN R 118 8.00 9% 9.70    
KING RUSSELL Mar30 Feb16 Jan13 Jun11 May06 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 121 3.50    
SCR  INTERLOCK EMPIRE Apr13 Mar23 Feb25 Jul09 Apr22 (shorter aaron)VAZQUEZ A 121 15.00    
MACKMAN Apr13 Mar21 Feb15 Sep29   (compton g)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 12.00 9% 9.60    
UNLOAD Mar23 Jun25 Apr02 Feb18   (asmussen)SANTANA JR 121 4.00 26% 2.90    
10  SILVER HEIST Apr13 Mar07 May04 Mar09 Feb18 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
OP-9   04/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOENCHANTED Apr06 Mar08 Feb10 Dec08 Nov02 (peitz dan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 8.00 10% 9.40    
HOT SHOT SHOPPER         (martin timothy )ZIMMERMAN R 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KOKOMO STARLET Apr04 Mar03 Dec30 Apr28 Mar18 (jackson richard)BOWEN ROCCO 124 10.00    
MELANIA T Apr04 Mar23 Mar08 Feb03 Dec30 (tranquilino )FUENTES A 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SOPHIE'S STAR Apr04 Mar23 Mar03 Jun25 May19 (chleborad ly)BARBOSA CARLOS 117 20.00    
SKY RAVEN Apr12 Apr04 Mar21 Mar08 Jan27 (espinoza edgar)TORRES HUGO 120 30.00    
SCR  TEXAS SEQUOIA Apr04 Mar21 Mar03 Feb02 Dec31 (soto fermin)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 30.00    
KANTIRUN Apr05 Mar03 Feb02 Dec31   (morse ran)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 4.50    
SNOW FLURRY Mar23 Feb24       (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 1.60 53% 0.90    
10  ZONGS IRISH FROST Apr12 Mar23 Mar01 Feb17 May04 (cline n)HARR KELSI 124 6.00    
11  STREET PAINTER Mar23 Mar03 Feb03 Dec30 Mar30 (cates al)DE CRUZ 124 4.00 10% 8.80    
12  FIRST CLASS GIRL Mar21 Mar01 Feb02     (prather jo)ERAMIA E 120 30.00    
SCR  PNEUMA Apr04 Mar23 Mar01     (witt ii)WALES T 124 20.00    
SCR  WHO LU Apr04 Mar16 Feb03 Dec31   (cambray andres)JUAREZ NIK 124 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.