Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Thursday - April 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(6/7/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(6/7/3/4)-(10/8/1/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-4   WIN (6/7/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/3/4)-(6/7/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/3/4)-(6/7/3/4)-(6/7/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/3/4)-(10/8/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/7/3/4)-(10/8/1/4)-(7/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-5   WIN (10/8/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/8/1/4)-(10/8/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/8/1/4)-(10/8/1/4)-(10/8/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/8/1/4)-(7/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/8/1/4)-(7/4/6)-(1/6/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-6   WIN (7/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/6)-(7/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/6)-(7/4/6)-(7/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/6)-(1/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/4/6)-(1/6/2)-(5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TUP-7   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/4/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/4/6/2)-(1/4/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/6/2)-(5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2)-(5/3)-(5/10/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TUP-8   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/3)-(5/3/7)-(5/3/7) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/3)-(5/10/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TUP-9   WIN (5/10/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/10/9)-(5/10/9/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/10/9)-(5/10/9/3/4)-(5/10/9/3/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   04/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($31K) 3 F PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AVOIR Mar04 Feb16 Oct28 Oct09 Sep08 (miller peter)AYUSO ARMANDO 121 2.00 37% 1.70    
2  ROCKY BAY RAE Mar28 Mar13 Feb21     (lucarelli frank)RADKE K 121 2.50 23% 3.40    
3  MUSICAL DIVA Apr03 Mar13 Feb21 Jan29 Nov09 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.50 18% 4.70    
4  CALEBS LADY Mar19 Feb13 Oct20 Aug25 Jul29 (eikleberry kevi)CORBETT W 121 4.50    
5  CAN'T WANT THAT Mar28 Feb21 Nov21 Sep23 Aug13 (eikleberry kevin)PENA BRYAN 121 6.00    
6  ZORINA Mar28 Mar14 Feb26 Dec12 Sep10 (moreno )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 8.00    
 
TUP-4   04/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3 ALL PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARIZONA DAVIN Apr07 Mar18 Feb15 Jan05   (hernandez mig)VALDES ALEXIS 121 4.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of SWISSARELLA by SWISS YODELER)
2  MARVELOUS MARK Apr04 Mar28       (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 6.00    
  (by EZ EFFORT out of CASHMERE MUFFIN by PURE PRIZE)
3  PARETO'S PRINCIPLE Apr02         (esquibel )VALENZUELA A 121 8.00 7% 14.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of BUILDING BRIDGES by INDIAN CHARLIE)
4  GONZAGA BAY Mar28 Apr15       (eikleberry)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MAJESTIC HARBOR out of MISS SCATALICIOUS by SCAT DADDY)
5  DON JUAN BUBBA Apr04 Mar18 Feb15 Sep11 Aug28 (eiklebe)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 5.00    
  (by BOCEPHUS out of COMPLIMENTARY by PORTO VARAS)
6  MOON SHINE TIME Apr02 Mar12 Feb15     (kenney ryan)RADKE K 121 3.00 59% 0.70    
  (by MOONSHINE MULLIN out of POCKETFUL by TOP HIT)
7  CAUTION CARDINAL Mar18 Feb15 Jan05 Nov20 Sep30 (story chad)MAWING A 121 3.50 11% 8.40    
  (by STANFORD out of MS. CAUTION by MR. GREELEY)
 
TUP-5   04/18/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOUNTAIN BREEZE (IRE) Mar28 Aug24 May20 May07 Jan08 (moreno car)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 15.00 9% 9.60    
2  GREENBRIER Mar28 Mar04 Jan29 Jan11 Dec20 (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 122 12.00    
SCR  WHISKEY VISION Apr04 Mar27 Mar18 Feb27 Feb13 (silva l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 10.00    
4  MR LOVE MUFFIN Mar28 Mar05 Feb14 Apr22 Apr12 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 8.00 7% 12.90    
5  WARRENS CANDY MAN Mar22 Mar09 Mar01 Feb18 Feb03 (perez s)MAWING A 122 6.00    
SCR  NYQUILER Mar19 Mar06 Feb19 Feb05 Dec29 (rosales jorge)PENA BRYAN 124 3.00    
7  INNOCENT MAN Feb23 Feb03 Dec29 Nov09 Aug22 (sepich f)CORBETT W 116 6.00    
8  HEIR (FR) Mar28 Mar12 Mar05 Feb20 Jan30 (fuentes)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 10.00 20% 4.00    
9  COLOR ME LEGENDARY Apr08 Mar06 Feb27 Feb06 Jan05 (silva jose )MORALES ROBERTO 124 4.00    
10  I'M NOBLE Mar28 Mar04 Jan29 Oct29 Oct13 (person kenneth )CRUZ M 122 5.00 33% 2.00    
 
TUP-6   04/18/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POETIC PURSUIT Mar11 May02 Mar01 Feb02 Jan07 (silva l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 4.50    
SCR  TOTHEMOONANDBACK Apr08 Jul30 Jul10 Jul01 Jun18 (lavanway day)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 12.00    
3  DANIELLE'S SECRET Mar12 Feb26 Oct09 Sep25 Sep10 (lawrence )IRONEYES R 119 15.00    
4  WRIGHT WINGED Apr08 Mar12 Aug20 Jul08 Jun21 (gutierrez juan )CORBETT W 124 4.00 20% 4.10    
5  ROSES FOR SUZZETT Apr09 Mar11 Feb21 Feb05 Jan12 (torres-casa)MORALES ROBERTO 124 10.00    
6  OLIVIAN Apr08 Nov21 Oct18 Oct01 Sep11 (christian billy)PENA BRYAN 124 10.00 14% 6.20    
7  FIRST EMERALD Apr10 Mar21 Feb26     (christian billy)CRUZ M 124 0.80 45% 1.20    
 
TUP-7   04/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KO OLINA Mar20 Mar04 Dec15 Oct27 Oct15 (ferguson )VALENZUELA A 122 3.00 64% 0.60    
2  CHARMANT E Mar20 Feb26 May06 Mar04 Feb12 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  SPRINKLES Mar21 Mar12 Feb20 Oct28 Oct08 (matt wende)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 5.00    
4  OLIVIA'S CHOICE (IRE) Mar25 Mar06 Feb26 Jan30 Dec05 (villamar candel)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.00 ★    
5  LADY OF THE RIVER Apr04 Mar06 Feb24 Feb04 Jan19 (perez s)CRUZ M 122 15.00    
6  WORK N FLIRT Mar11 Feb26 Feb15 Feb07 Dec04 (valerio)BRAVO MISAEL 117 4.50 5% 18.60    
7  KIRA FEVER Mar20 Feb26 Feb01 Sep13 Jul30 (ke)DA FAUSTO 122 6.00    
8  SUPER ANNIE Mar11 Feb26 Sep17 Jun26 May08 (caraman michael)PENA BRYAN 122 8.00    
 
TUP-8   04/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PERFORMATIVE Apr09 Mar11 Dec10 Oct15 Oct08 (ferguson curt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.50    
2  LIL LATIGO Mar11 Feb15 Feb02 Jan25 Dec19 (la)DA FAUSTO 122 15.00    
3  JOKER MATT Mar26 Mar05 Feb20 Feb06 Nov21 (bourdieu martin)CRUZ M 122 4.00 10% 9.20    
4  ROLL DEM BONES Apr08 Mar06 Feb20 Dec12 Dec05 (evans justin)REYES R 122 5.00    
5  HORSE DOCTOR Apr03 Mar13 Mar01 Feb17 Jan05 (perez s)PENA BRYAN 124 1.40 59% 0.70    
6  SO CAL MEMORY Mar12 Feb20 Jan30 Jul08 Apr26 (cruz omar)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 15.00    
7  NEW EVERY MORNING Apr02 Mar06 Feb20 Jan30 Jan05 (tubbs scot)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 3.50 ★    
 
TUP-9   04/18/2024 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CALCULATED SPIN Mar27 Mar14 Feb26 Jan28 Jan07 (davis c)MAWING A 124 20.00    
2  PURE CANE SUGAR Mar27 Feb28 Jan25 Dec07 Nov16 (toye joe)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 8.00    
3  EARTHLY TIGER Dec10         (evans j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00 ★    
4  VINNIEBOB Mar27 Feb27 Feb09 Jan28 Jan19 (story chad)CRUZ M 124 4.00 ★    
5  ADMIRALTY PLACE (GB) Feb20 Jan27 Jul22     (belvoir vann)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 45% 1.20    
6  EXTRA BEAT Mar26         (drysdale neil)AYUSO ARMANDO 118 20.00    
7  GOALINE Apr08 Mar14 Feb05     (belvoir)BRAVO MISAEL 119 20.00    
8  R BARRACUDA Mar26 Mar12 Feb22 Jan30 Jan07 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 118 5.00    
9  GOLDEN AFFAIR Apr03 Jul22 Jul09     (lucarelli frank)RADKE K 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
10  YOU'REINTHEARMYNOW Mar26 Mar12 Feb26 Aug31   (schnell don)PENA BRYAN 118 4.50 33% 2.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.