Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - March 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(1/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(1/4/2)-(4/2/3/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(4/2/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(4/2/3/5)-(4/3/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (4/2/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/3/5)-(4/2/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/3/5)-(4/2/3/5)-(4/2/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/3/5)-(4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(5/7/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-4   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(5/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(5/7/6)-(3/4/6/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-5   WIN (5/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/6)-(5/7/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/7/6)-(5/7/6/2)-(5/7/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/7/6)-(3/4/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/6)-(3/4/6/5)-(5/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-6   WIN (3/4/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/6/5)-(3/4/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/6/5)-(3/4/6/5)-(3/4/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/6/5)-(5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6/5)-(5/2/3)-(8/5/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-7   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(8/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CT-8   WIN (8/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/5/6)-(8/5/6/7/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/6)-(8/5/6/7/11)-(8/5/6/7/11) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   03/16/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHERIFF'S KID Feb24 Feb15 Jan26 Jan05 Dec07 (shanley m)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 6.00 27% 2.70    
2  SOMMER VELVET Aug18 Jul08 Jun10 Nov14 Oct22 (fulmer allison)BOCACHICA O 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  REDWHITEANDTACOS Mar08 Feb11 Jan05 Dec10 Nov25 (horn e)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 5.00    
4  STARSHIP BLANCA Feb19 Feb05 Jan02 Dec11 Nov29 (brown kei)BOCACHICA J 115 4.00    
5  A LITTLE BIT CRAZY Feb15 Jan05 Dec07 Nov16 Oct05 (viands r)ACOSTA D 122 1.40 44% 1.30    
6  RIGHTOFFTHEBENCH Feb23 Feb01 Jan11 Dec27 Dec15 (stites w)CRUZ ANGEL 124 3.00    
 
CT-2   03/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALLEN CAN DO IT Feb29 Feb07 Jan25 Nov29 Nov04 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 124 1.40 52% 0.90    
2  SARGENT KOBE Mar07 Jan25 Jan04 Dec16 Dec06 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 6.00 5% 17.90    
3  RUN TO DAYLIGHT Feb29 Jan31 Nov30 Oct25 Sep29 (mangual manolo)CRUZ ANGEL 124 8.00    
4  NICKEL NICKEL Feb29 Feb12 Dec26 Nov15 Aug31 (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 1.20 19% 4.20    
5  GUN COLLECTOR Feb23 Feb08 Dec14 Nov22 Oct17 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 10.00    
6  WHITE PIGEON Feb21 Jan26 Dec28 Nov02 May30 (dollinger-sth)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 20.00    
 
CT-3   03/16/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LET'S EAT Feb28 Jan31 Jan18 Jan10 Dec13 (gillespie)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 15.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of NAKED BOOTLEG by PASS RUSH)
2  RUN FOR REAGAN Mar10 Dec28 May18 Apr28 Apr13 (cooper steve)WHITACRE GRANT 124 2.50 10% 9.10    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of ROAD OF HONOR by CAHILL ROAD)
3  SOMEBODY LOVES ME Mar01 Jan25 Dec23 Dec15 Dec02 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SUCCESSFUL LUCK by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
4  AMERICAN SYMPHONY Feb07 Jun06       (schoen)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.60 60% 0.70    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of KINDLE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
5  BOOK RUNNER Feb22 Feb07 Jan19 Nov24 Nov03 (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MINESHAFT out of SHE'S HOT STUFF by NOT FOR LOVE)
6  SHARP STYLE Feb28 Feb16 Dec14 Nov22 Nov03 (stites w)ACOSTA D 124 6.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of DECORATEDWITHSTYLE by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
7  ICETECA Jan31 Nov18 Oct21 Oct07 Aug18 (hunt ja)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 4.50    
  (by KEEN ICE out of RIGHT DECISION by HAY HALO)
 
CT-4   03/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUBA BOUND Mar02 Feb10 Jan04 Dec01 Nov09 (knoblauch-perez)BOCACHICA O 120 4.00    
2  SILIPO Nov17 Oct28 Oct07 May20 Apr14 (hillegass alex)RIOS-CONDE A 120 15.00    
3  CIDERHOUSE WAY Dec16 Oct18 Sep22 Sep01 Aug10 (gazzier k)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 1.60 34% 1.90    
4  THEWITCHISGONE Feb15 Jan25 Dec09 Nov22 Nov04 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 2.00 35% 1.90    
5  MISSIONSNINETYNINE Feb07 Jan25 Nov22 Oct18 Sep29 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.50 9% 10.30    
6  SPRITZER Mar01 Feb07 Jan05 Dec13 Nov01 (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 120 15.00    
 
CT-5   03/16/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLD FIBER Feb24 Dec08 Nov22 Oct21 Oct07 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 10.00    
2  EL LUCERITO Feb24 Feb03 Jan12 Dec08 Nov17 (campbe)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 5.00 ★    
3  HOPPING HENRY Feb24 Feb03 Jan04 Nov30 Jul08 (sterling michae)PELTROCHE F 124 8.00    
4  GUN FACTOR Mar02 Feb09 Jan13 Jan04 Dec08 (ceciliano mis)BATISTA C 120 15.00    
5  MARSHALL PEANUT Feb02 Dec14 Nov03     (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 115 1.20 37% 1.70    
6  EPIC TIME Feb23 Feb03 Dec08 Jul27 Jul08 (kolb chris )MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  TEACHINTHERELEASE Feb24 Feb03 Dec08 Nov22 Oct28 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 124 3.00 37% 1.70    
 
CT-6   03/16/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRAVO ZULU Feb17 Jan29 Dec18 Sep25 Sep06 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.50    
2  TIZ MICHELLE'S WAY Feb24 Feb03 Jan13 Dec09 Nov17 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 20.00    
3  MAKINLIMMARGARITAS Feb21 Jan18 Nov18 Oct28 Oct07 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.60 50% 1.00    
4  SHES SO SPEIGHTSY Feb24 Feb14 Dec09 Nov17 Oct27 (jones royland)CHILO JACINTO 122 5.00 16% 5.30    
5  EXPRESS LADY Feb24 Jan26 Jan05 Oct27 Sep06 (reynol)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  BLUE TWIRLIN Feb24 Feb03 Jan13 Nov29 Nov15 (runco c)CULLUM W 122 6.00 7% 12.80    
7  DORITA'S HEART Feb24 Feb03 Jan05 Dec09 Nov10 (keller christop)RODRIGUEZ V 122 8.00    
 
CT-7   03/16/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SPANISH GHOST Feb23         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 3.00    
2  JLODIAMOND Nov24 Nov02       (rangel ricardo)RIOS-CONDE A 116 2.50 37% 1.70    
3  SOMESUGARNSPICE Mar01 Feb24 Feb03 Jan12 Dec12 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  TRUE INDY Feb10 Jan24 Jan03 Nov29   (sanderson wade )PELTROCHE F 122 15.00    
5  OVERNIGHT POW WOW Feb14         (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 1.80 41% 1.50    
6  CREME DE LA QUEEN Feb24 Feb07 Jan27 Jan13 Dec14 (brown kelton)CHILO MAXIMO 120 3.50    
 
CT-8   03/16/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONEYCAMP Feb24 Feb03 Jan13 Dec13 Nov11 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00    
2  LADY CINCO DE MAYO Feb17 Aug12 Jul22 Jun10 May27 (johnson dewayne)BOCACHICA O 122 20.00    
3  NANA'S BOOPA Feb24 Nov28 Oct11 Sep04 Jul28 (jones michael)RIVERA JAVIER 122 20.00    
SCR  LONDON GOLD Mar06 Feb24 Feb03 Jan13 Nov17 (hillegass alex)RIOS-CONDE A 122 20.00    
5  MISS ANTIETAM Feb24 Feb03 Jan13 Nov18 Oct28 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
6  SHE'S MYBUDDYBUDDY Aug05 Jun23 Jun09 May20 Apr28 (hess g)RODRIGUEZ V 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  WAVERLEY Feb17 Jan27 Dec08 Nov15 Oct25 (butts e)LARROSA G 124 15.00 ★    
8  SUMMERTIME ROSE Feb29 Feb10 Oct18 Sep30 Jun22 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 0.60 74% 0.40    
9  SISTER SPIRIT Feb24 Feb03 Jan13 Aug26 Aug05 (aylor natasha)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00    
10  HOVEL Feb03 Nov18 Oct28 Oct07 Sep16 (davis russell)ADAMS L 113 20.00    
11  DALLAS Feb23 Feb03 Dec28 Nov18 Oct28 (salinas jose)LARROSA G 122 12.00 ★    
SCR  HIGHWAY QUEEN Feb23 Feb14 Jan31 Jan12 Dec28 (miller marlin)CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.