Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Saturday - March 09, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(2/1)-(3/2/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-2   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-3   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(3/2)-(7/3/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-4   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/2)-(7/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(7/3/2)-(8/7/6/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-5   WIN (7/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/2)-(7/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/2)-(7/3/2)-(7/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/2)-(8/7/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/2)-(8/7/6/1)-(6/5/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-6   WIN (8/7/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/6/1)-(8/7/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/6/1)-(8/7/6/1)-(8/7/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/6/1)-(6/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/7/6/1)-(6/5/4)-(7/1/6/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-7   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/4)-(7/1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (7/1/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/6/3)-(7/1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/6/3)-(7/1/6/3)-(7/1/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   03/09/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PATTI BLUE EYES Oct21 Sep30 Sep07 Aug11 Jul28 (farrior a)BOCACHICA J 117 5.00 28% 2.50    
TINA'S SONG Jan25 Mar02 Feb16 Jan20 Dec03 (aylor william )REAP E 120 30.00    
SCARLET REBEL Feb28 Feb01 Nov10 Nov01 Sep23 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.00    
LET'S DO THIS Oct26 Sep30 Sep07 Jul20 Jul07 (aylor natasha)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
JACKYSINTHECASTLE Feb29 Feb01 Jan10 Dec14 Dec06 (rideout m)HO WESLEY 122 1.60 34% 2.00    
 
CT-2   03/09/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3 ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASPENDOS Feb11 Jan28       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ENTICED out of EDDY GOURMET by EDDINGTON)
CASSIUS Feb17 Jan04 Dec01 Nov07 May25 (cooper steve)WHITACRE GRANT 122 1.80 32% 2.20    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of PROSPERITY by TAPIT)
TAPPEDWITHSUCCESS Feb17 Feb01       (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 6.00    
  (by TAPIT out of EUROPEAN UNION by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
SCR  LAWYER UP RILEY Feb16 Dec21       (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 2.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CALL PAT by LAWYER RON)
SCR  BESOTTED Feb17 Feb01 Dec01     (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 117 30.00    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of KLUVYABYE by WINDSOR CASTLE)
SCR  DYNA POINT Jan27         (caiazzo corby)ACOSTA D 122 5.00    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
MANSION PARTY Jan25 Jan09 Nov27 Nov07 Oct11 (short thom)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 8.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of LAZULITE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
 
CT-3   03/09/2024 2970ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ THE REASON Feb02 Jan04 Dec16 Nov10 Oct25 (brown ron)BOCACHICA J 115 12.00 8% 12.20    
TARGE Feb16 Jan26 Jan04 Mar04 Feb17 (perri gina)CRUZ ANGEL 120 5.00 10% 9.10    
LITTLE BIT OF THAT Feb16 Jan04 Dec16 Nov10 Sep08 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 0.60 62% 0.60    
VALID REASON Feb16 Jan25 Dec02 Nov10 Oct25 (johnson dewayne)BOCACHICA O 120 12.00    
SCR  FORTES Feb16 Jan26 Jan04 Nov10 Oct25 (reynol)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 4.50    
CRUZ IN THE CASTLE Feb21 Feb08 Jan05 Dec02 Nov18 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 120 6.00    
 
CT-4   03/09/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GUN COLLECTOR Feb23 Feb08 Dec14 Nov22 Oct17 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 120 15.00    
MOTIVATING Feb23 Jan27 Dec29 Oct28 Sep27 (viands r)ACOSTA D 122 3.00 5% 19.00    
PERSONABLE Jan12 Dec09 Nov17 Oct28 Sep01 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 2.00 39% 1.60    
NOBALLSTWOSTRIKES Jan25 Nov18 Oct14 Sep21 Aug25 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 4.50    
NO LOVE FOR JUBA Feb22 Feb01 Jan11 Nov18 Oct27 (sigler ro)BOCACHICA J 119 2.50    
SCR  GOLDEN ARM Feb29 Feb09 Feb03 Jan24 Jan13 (smith l)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 6.00    
 
CT-5   03/09/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PUSH Feb28 Feb17 Feb07 Jan26 Dec08 (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 6.00    
LA CORONA Feb17 Jan31 Dec15 Aug03 Jul05 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
TRAVEL SMART Jan26 Jan03 Dec15 Nov03 Oct18 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 2.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  CURVE APPEAL Feb24 Oct06 Aug05 Jul15 May28 (smith osborne)CHILO MAXIMO 122 30.00    
SCR  WICKED SAUCY Feb17 Jan27 Jan03 Nov29 Sep30 (calhoun amanda)CULLUM W 122 30.00    
BRIGHT MOON Sep15 Aug31 Jul27 Jun25 Dec30 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80    
SKYLAR'S SISTER Feb17 Jan27 Jan03 Nov29 Nov15 (joy ke)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.50 39% 1.50    
SCR  HERECOMES SCARLETT Jan27 Nov11 Oct25 Oct05 Aug10 (davis e)HO WESLEY 120 10.00    
 
CT-6   03/09/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAVE THE FLAG Feb17 Dec28 Dec02 Nov15 Oct23 (zook jeff )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
TRITONE GAL Dec30 Dec10 Nov24 Oct29 Oct15 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 120 2.00    
SCR  IHEARTRAINACOMN Feb28 Feb01 Dec14 Nov29 Nov04 (dollinger)BOCACHICA J 119 10.00    
SCR  LOVE OF GRACE Feb08 Dec04 Oct26 Sep30 Aug19 (collins tim)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00    
GILDED QUEST Jan24 Dec13 Dec02 Oct29 Oct13 (delong ben)ACOSTA D 120 15.00    
TOUGH ENOUGH Feb24 Feb03 Jan18 Jan03 Nov16 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 120 12.00 12% 7.20    
SNEAKY LYNK Feb21 Feb09 Jan31 Jan03 Dec04 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 4.50 13% 6.40    
JOYA DEL SUR Feb25 Dec31 Dec08 Nov24 Oct21 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80 41% 1.40    
LIVE AID Dec21 Nov22 Oct25 Oct09 Sep12 (cornwell jr)CULLUM W 120 30.00    
 
CT-7   03/09/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIEUTENANT BROWN Feb10 Jan27 Dec01 Nov18 Oct27 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 124 8.00    
SCR  ORANGEBURG Jan12 Dec16 Dec05 Oct31 Oct08 (meehan )NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 15.00    
SCR  RIVER MALBUMOONRVF Feb17 Jan26 May19 Jan28 Oct20 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 4.50    
O'RIGSBY Feb03 Jan04 Nov18 Nov01 Oct18 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
MR. DUMBLEDORE Feb17 Jan05 Nov24 Nov02 Oct13 (grams )ARAUJO VICENTE 116 4.00 28% 2.60    
JUDGEMENT DAY Feb01         (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 118 1.00 32% 2.10    
CHASE LIL ME Dec16 Nov01 Oct11 Sep07 Aug18 (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 120 15.00    
SCR  AIR MEDAL Jan25 Dec01 Nov18 Nov11 Oct25 (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00    
HARPERSGONEFISHING Feb10 Jan27 Dec09 Nov18 Oct06 (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 120 15.00    
 
CT-8   03/09/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALLIGATOR ARMS Jan31 Jan22 May04 Apr16 Mar31 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 4.00 14% 6.00    
DOWSING ROD Feb16 Jan27 Jan11 Dec22 Dec01 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 124 4.50    
TIZAWINNER Feb03 Jan13 Jan06 Dec03 Oct28 (joy j)ACOSTA D 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
EAST TO BEAST Feb24 Feb17 Jan17 Dec08 Aug18 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 124 12.00    
HERE COMES RUSTY Mar02 Feb09 Dec09 Oct27 Oct01 (schott)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 5.00    
RUM CUP Feb17 Jan27 Dec13 Nov22 Nov01 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 124 3.50 13% 6.80    
MACHISTO Feb16 Jan27 Jan10 Mar19 Jan21 (farrior)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 4.50 41% 1.50    
SCR  CATALINA KID Feb24 Dec22 Dec01 Nov24 Nov09 (brown kei)BOCACHICA J 113 15.00    
SCR  SUPER BUSTER Feb07 Jan07 Oct20     (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 118 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.