Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fonner Park
Friday - March 08, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FON-1   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/3/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (5/1)-(2/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
FON-2   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
FON-3   WIN (4/1/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/5/2)-(4/1/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/5/2)-(4/1/5/2)-(4/1/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-4   WIN (3/8/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/5/2)-(3/8/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/5/2)-(3/8/5/2)-(3/8/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/8/5/2)-(4/8/7)-(7/3/8/5/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FON-5   WIN (4/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/7)-(4/8/7/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/7)-(4/8/7/1/5)-(4/8/7/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/8/7)-(7/3/8/5/9) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
FON-6   WIN (7/3/8/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/3/8/5/9)-(7/3/8/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/3/8/5/9)-(7/3/8/5/9)-(7/3/8/5/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FON-1   03/08/2024 2640ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($11.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCORE MCCOY Sep03 Aug24 Jul23 Jul09 Oct13 (donlin larry)BETHKE A 125 4.00 6% 15.50    
  (by I WILL SCORE out of THE REAL MCCOY by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
TIZ RED TIME Oct28 Oct22 Oct01 Sep17 Aug28 (thompson grady)DELORME L 125 6.00    
  (by TIZNOW MY WAY out of RED HEADED WOMAN by CACTUS RIDGE)
WANTABE Feb18 May06       (rivera gregori)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 3.00    
  (by HOLIDAY JUSTICE out of B G GOLDEN TIME by GOLD TRIBUTE)
BUY NOW Feb18 Oct28 Oct22 Oct01 May20 (condon schuyler)ROMAN KEVIN 125 10.00    
  (by TIZNOW MY WAY out of B G GOLDEN TIME by GOLD TRIBUTE)
GAME'S KARTEL Feb18         (johnson marvin )HAAR NATHAN 125 0.80 66% 0.50    
  (by LOVEOFTHEGAME out of LOOKN' ATTA WIN by NOTIONAL)
 
FON-2   03/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEDDYISTRUCKING Feb17 Dec13       (ramaekers)MEDINA ANGEL 121 4.00    
SANCERRE Aug19 Jun17       (rushton stacy)MARTINEZ A 121 2.00 48% 1.10    
GNAUGHTY KIMMY Mar01 Feb21 Nov10 Oct14   (gourneau jerry)RAMOS B 121 2.50    
KONA KINLEY Mar03 Dec14 Nov17 Oct28 Sep22 (rushton temple)DELORME L 121 8.00 17% 5.00    
WOKE JOKE Mar03 Feb03 Dec16 Nov21 Nov03 (gourneau jerry)MARTINEZ R 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CRUISE TALK Jan14         (johnson marvin )HAAR NATHAN 121 8.00    
 
FON-3   03/08/2024 2640ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ORCADIAN STORM Sep18 Aug28 Aug14 Jul25 Dec13 (sanderson br)BETHKE A 125 6.00 16% 5.40    
ACE GILFORD Feb17 Jul01 Jun04 May12 Apr12 (martinez )MEDINA ANGEL 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
CAJUN BERTI Feb25 Jan04 Dec19 Nov11 Oct05 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.20    
RETALIATED Feb25 Mar11 Feb11 Nov30 Nov23 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 2.50 52% 0.90    
DAVE Feb25 Jul29 Jul14 Jun17 May12 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 125 4.00 10% 8.60    
CHILLY WILLIS May12         (drake dean)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 15.00    
EXPECT ROYAL Feb25 Nov01 Aug13 Jul17 Jul03 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 15.00    
 
FON-4   03/08/2024 2640ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REVEREND AJ Oct07 Sep14 Aug24 Jul13 Mar13 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.50    
FASCINATED Dec15 Nov13 Oct22 Oct01 Sep03 (schindler kyle)RAMOS B 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
CAPTAIN DON Oct22 Sep24 Sep02 Aug27 Jul29 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 5.00 44% 1.30    
FRANKS DEHERE Feb24 Sep16 Sep02 Aug19 Aug06 (bunn shawn)BACON W 120 10.00    
DAAHERS BULLY Feb24 Dec30 Dec06 Nov11 Oct27 (lemburg mark)DELORME L 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
GRAND PRADO Feb22 Feb07 Jan04 Nov25 Nov01 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00    
CHIEF TY HE Oct30 Oct29 Oct08 May14 Apr30 (hemmer terrel)FACKLER CHRIS 125 6.00    
CAPTAIN SCOTTY Feb24 Aug19 Aug05 Jul01 Jun03 (bunn shawn)BETHKE A 125 5.00 21% 3.80    
 
FON-5   03/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEET GEORGE JETSON Dec31 Dec10 Nov18 Sep25 Sep17 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 3.50    
DONNY'S GOT GAME Feb18 Apr23 Apr08     (johnson a)RAMOS B 125 15.00    
DADSAMUMBLER Feb09 Dec19 Dec02 Nov18 Oct26 (gourneau jerr)BACON W 116 15.00    
SAMURAI'S GRANDSON Mar02 Feb17 Jan18 Dec29 Dec01 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.80 67% 0.50    
FRUIT CUP Jan04 Dec02 Nov18 Oct28 Oct12 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 121 15.00    
WATCHNTHETIDEROLL Feb24 Dec27 Dec14 Oct17   (ramaekers eric)DELORME L 121 15.00    
TIZKANDOIT Dec13 Dec01 Oct27 Sep09 Aug19 (rushton temple)HAAR NATHAN 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
LONG COOL Feb24 Jan11 Dec13 Nov15 Oct11 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 1.40 10% 9.30    
CAN DANZER Oct21 Oct08 Jul30 Jul09   (muckey john)LUARK M 125 15.00    
 
FON-6   03/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DIRECTIONAL Feb25 Feb17 Dec15 Dec01 Nov22 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00    
RISKY SITUATION Feb25 Feb17 Oct27 Oct22 Oct07 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 20.00    
RYAN EXPRESS Feb25 Oct27 Sep28 Sep14 Aug25 (johnson marvin )HAAR NATHAN 125 3.50 27% 2.80    
R T'S IRON MAN Feb23 Jan25 Dec30 Dec15 Nov21 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 4.50    
SKYLINE Oct22 Oct07 Sep30 Jul30 Jul14 (bliss dean)LUARK M 125 15.00 6% 15.40    
CORTE Feb24 Feb07 Jan18 Dec29 Dec14 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 6.00    
RING TAILED TOOTER Feb25 Oct27 Oct07 Oct01 Aug06 (hoffman robert)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 4.00 38% 1.60    
BREAKING THE BANK Feb25 Jan27 Jan06 Nov13 Oct14 (hodgson barry)DELORME L 125 10.00 6% 15.20    
LAST NATIVE CAT Feb25 Feb17 Jun23 Jun02 May05 (castillo sal)RAMOS B 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  ASTA LAVISTA HONEY Feb25 Feb09 Jan27 Jan12 Sep20 (gourneau jerr)BACON W 120 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.